EUR/JPY-Commentary

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September 10, 2025

USD, NOK, SEK, JPY flows: Quiet markets ahead of US price data
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September 10, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

FX markets briadly steady but JPY and NOK remain undervalued

September 09, 2025

USD, JPY, CHF, AUD flows: USD soft, JPY and AUD favoured
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September 9, 2025 6:39 AM UTC

JPY can close Monday's opening gaps on crosses. AUD/USD threatening top of recent range

September 08, 2025

JPY flows: Dip on Ishiba resignation unlikely to last
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September 8, 2025 6:59 AM UTC

JPY lower after Ishiba resignation, but has scope for major recovery

September 05, 2025

USD, CAD, JPY flows: US employment weak, Canadian weaker
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September 5, 2025 12:52 PM UTC

USD lower after weaker employment data, Canadian data much weaker still 

JPY flows: JPY supported by strong wage data
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September 5, 2025 8:27 AM UTC

JPY upside potential remains, downside risks decline as wages rise

September 03, 2025

USD flows: USD dips on JOLTS
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September 3, 2025 2:22 PM UTC

July JOLTS lowest since September 2024. USD and US yields lower

September 02, 2025

USD, JPY flows: USD slips after ISM, JPY has scope for recovery
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September 2, 2025 2:15 PM UTC

ISM manufacturing rises less than expected but new orders index encouraging. USD downside likely modest but scope for more general JPY recovery.

JPY flows: JPY under pressure as US and European yields rise
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September 2, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

JPY falls across the board as US and European yields rise despite hawkish comments from BoJ deputy governor Himino

August 28, 2025

USD flows: USD softer as yields move lower
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August 28, 2025 6:40 AM UTC

Declining US yields and negative Nvidia reaction to results put the USD under pressure

August 27, 2025

EUR flows: EUR has some downside risks as confidence slips
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August 27, 2025 6:46 AM UTC

German confidence follows French confidence decline

August 19, 2025

USD flows: Most pairs rangebound
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August 19, 2025 6:42 AM UTC

Little to move markets today as Ukraine Summit produces little of substance. Mild risk negative tone

August 04, 2025

USD, JPY, CHF flows: JPY recovery has legs, CHF under a little pressure
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August 4, 2025 7:33 AM UTC

Quiet start, CHF softer, JPY has potential to gain more longer term

August 01, 2025

USD flows: USD hit by downward revisions to employment
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August 1, 2025 1:14 PM UTC

Big downward revisions to May and June employment data undermine labour market perceptions and weaken the USD

USD, CAD, CHF, JPY flows: CAD, CHF hit by tariffs, JPY still weak
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August 1, 2025 7:12 AM UTC

CAD and CHF marginally weaker after higher tariff announcement, JPY still weak but verbal intervention has started

July 31, 2025

JPY flows: USD/JPY gains continue
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July 31, 2025 1:00 PM UTC

USD/JPY continues higher with longer term trend traders potentially being squeezed

JPY flows: JPY firmer o/n but little impact from BoJ
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July 31, 2025 6:42 AM UTC

USD/JPY a little lower overnight but decline came pre-BoJ. Increase in inflation forecast maintains lieklihood of future tightening, but little indication that tightening is imminent. 

July 30, 2025

EUR, USD, JPY, CAD flows: Better Eurozone data may provide some EUR support
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July 30, 2025 6:56 AM UTC

Stornger French GDP and German retail sales help stabilise EUR

July 28, 2025

EUR, USD, JPY flows: EUR/USD ambiguous after trade deal, JPY weak
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July 28, 2025 7:04 AM UTC

EEUR/USD failes to maintain initial gains on trade deal. EUR/JPY continues to advance towards all time high

July 25, 2025

JPY flows: JPY under pressure again
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July 25, 2025 9:05 AM UTC

EUR/JPY on an unprecedented ninth consecutive week of gains as risk sentiment remains buoyant, but valuation is extreme

July 24, 2025

USD flows: USD weaker on trade deals
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July 24, 2025 8:56 AM UTC

The USD has weakened on talk of trade deals, but underlying picture is unclear

July 23, 2025

JPY flows: JPY reverses initial gains on trade deal
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July 23, 2025 6:42 AM UTC

JPY i nitially agins on trade deal, but positive equity market reaction and expectation of other deals helps the USD

July 22, 2025

JPY flows: JPY rallying without an obvious trigger
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July 22, 2025 1:17 PM UTC

The JPY correction higher is overdue, and should have further to go, but weaker risk sentiment is needed to create a positive JPY trend

USD flows: Risks to the downside as trade sentiment sours
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July 22, 2025 6:38 AM UTC

A quiet calendar, but the ruling out of a trade deal with India before August 1st suggests a risk negative tone

July 21, 2025

JPY flows: Recovery after election could extend, but...
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July 21, 2025 6:39 AM UTC

JPY recovered after Upper House election result was less bad than feared, and correction can extend, but risk sentiment needs to weaken if JPY is to manage a sustained recovery.

July 18, 2025

USD, JPY, EUR flows: JPY weakness continues as US data stays solid
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July 18, 2025 6:46 AM UTC

JPY stays weak as equities hit new highs 

July 15, 2025

JPY, EUR, USD flows: JPY still weak after softer US CPI
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July 15, 2025 1:09 PM UTC

Lower US yields ought to be JPY supportive, but sentiment remains negative. USD otherwise softer versus AUD

JPY, EUR, USD flows: JPY still weak as equities stay firm
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July 15, 2025 6:48 AM UTC

JPY weak despite higher JGB yields. New high in S&P500 futures

July 14, 2025

JPY, EUR, USD flows: Tariff news weighs on EUR, JPY favoured
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July 14, 2025 6:55 AM UTC

30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico announced at the weekend put downward pressure on EUR, support JPY

July 08, 2025

AUD, JPY flows: AUD makes modest gains on RBA, JPY stays weak
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July 8, 2025 6:59 AM UTC

AUD gains only modestly after RBA surprisingly leaves rates unchanged. JPY continues to decline against European currencies

July 07, 2025

USD, JPY flows: USD firmer after Trump announces 25% tariffs for Japan and Korea
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July 7, 2025 5:02 PM UTC

Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on Japan and South Korea has the USD generally firmer, though impact on USD/JPY was modest.

JPY flows: JPY weak as wage growth slows, but...
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July 7, 2025 7:05 AM UTC

JPY weak as earnnigs growth comes in well below consensus, but yield spreads and risk premia still supportive

July 04, 2025

JPY, CHF, EUR flows: USD back to near pre-employment levels, JPY still soft
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July 4, 2025 6:55 AM UTC

USD has slipped back overnight and the JPY has recovered, but remains weak, especially versus CHF

July 03, 2025

USD flows: USD up on employment data
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July 3, 2025 12:46 PM UTC

USD gains as payrolls come in slightly above consensus

July 01, 2025

USD, JPY flows: JPY starting to come to the party, but...
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July 1, 2025 9:46 AM UTC

USD/JPY down fairly sharply today but JPY continues to lag well behind European currency strength. JPY still has the most potential for major long term gains

June 27, 2025

USD flows: Softer after data, EUR leading
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June 27, 2025 1:17 PM UTC

USD lower as prices rise more than expected and income and spending disappoint

USD flows: New highs in S&P supportive for USD/JPY
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June 27, 2025 7:00 AM UTC

Quiet overnight session but equity strength keeping JPY under pressure

June 23, 2025

JPY, USD, EUR, CHF flows: JPY the big loser overnight, PMI data of interest
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June 23, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

JPY loses ground across the board overnight. Preliminary June PMIs of interest in the absence of escalation of the Middle East conflict

June 19, 2025

CHF flows: EUR/CHF dips slightly after SNB cut
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June 19, 2025 8:10 AM UTC

SNB cuts 25bps as generally expected. Small EUR/CHF dip due to minority view that SNB would cut rates to negative

June 17, 2025

JPY, SEK flows: JPY soft, SEK has scope to weaken
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June 17, 2025 7:08 AM UTC

JPY weakness looks extended, some scope for correction. SEK strength may falter after higher unemployment

June 11, 2025

USD flows: US-China trade progress fails to impress
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June 11, 2025 7:17 PM UTC

Even with a surprisingly subdued CPI to welcome, equities have not been as positive on the US-China trade progress as was Trump, with China’s 6-month limit on rare-earth export licenses suggesting they wish to maintain some leverage. USD weakness has resumed after the post-CPI dip was followed by

June 06, 2025

EUR, JPY flows: EUR supported by German data, JPY soft
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June 6, 2025 6:44 AM UTC

Solid German production and orders data support more positive EUR tone post-ECB. JPY undermined by weak real wages and consumption.

June 04, 2025

USD flows: USD dips further on weak ISM services
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June 4, 2025 2:38 PM UTC

Weak ISM services keeps downward pressure on the USD

USD flows: USD dips on weak ADP
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June 4, 2025 12:33 PM UTC

ADP much weaker than expected pulling the USD lower, especially against the JPY

June 03, 2025

USD, JPY, AUD flows: USD firmer overnight, JPY dips on Ueda, AUD soft
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June 3, 2025 6:39 AM UTC

USD firmer in Asia with commodity currencies weaker. JPY dips on Ueda but net impact modest. Rangy trading to persist

May 30, 2025

JPY, EUR flows: JPY higher on more risk negative tone, EUR edging down
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May 30, 2025 6:40 AM UTC

JPY benefiting from weakening risk sentiment, stronger CPI. EUR slipping towards the centre of recent range

May 29, 2025

USD flows: USD lower as consumer spending revised down
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May 29, 2025 12:52 PM UTC

USD lower as Q1 consumer spending revised down to just 1.2%

USD flows: USD gains on court tariff decision
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May 29, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

USD up vs safe havens as court rues reciprocal tariffs illegal

May 27, 2025

EUR, JPY flows: USD firmer early after EUR rally on Monday
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May 27, 2025 7:09 AM UTC

EUR gained as tariff threat delayed, but slipping after weak French CPI. JPY under presure

May 23, 2025

EUR, USD flows: EUR falls as Trump proposes 50% tariff
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May 23, 2025 12:22 PM UTC

The proposal of a 50% tariff on the EU to start on June 1 has hit the EUR

EUR, GBP flows: Data supportive of EUR and GBP
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May 23, 2025 6:40 AM UTC

Strogn UK retail sales and upward revision in German GDP should underpin EUR and GBP