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July 20, 2026 8:00 AM UTC
· Asset Price Index (API) framework suggests the US gap is elevated and, on some constructs, has moved into top-decile territory.
· The question is whether prices, capex and financing conditions are beginning to reinforce the same cyclical risk-accumulation dynamics.
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July 17, 2026 1:31 PM UTC
June industrial production has seen a second straight subdued month to follow a strong April, still leaving a healthy underlying picture but may temper some excessive optimism over the impact of rising AI-led investment.
July 17, 2026 1:31 PM UTC
June industrial production has seen a second straight subdued month to follow a strong April, still leaving a healthy underlying picture but may temper some excessive optimism over the impact of rising AI-led investment.

July 17, 2026 7:05 AM UTC
· The vigilance mantra means that the ECB will still have a broad caution against 2nd round effects and the risks that energy prices could push higher. We feel that the June inflation data, plus the prospect that Iran/U.S. could call a new truce (here) will be enough to make most on t