View:

May 01, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 1 May
Freemium Article

May 1, 2026 7:37 PM UTC

Overview - The USD slipped early in Europe led by a sharp drop in USD/JPY but recovered in North America, with Trump stating he would put a 25% tariff on EU autos. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Prices remain under pressure
Freemium Article

May 1, 2026 4:26 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 1.3600 has reached 1.3550

...
Norges Bank Preview (May 7): A Close Call?
Freemium Article

May 1, 2026 12:31 PM UTC

The next Norges Bank decision next Thursday will be a close call, not least after the clear pointer from the Board in March that at least one rate hike looms in the next couple of months.  While we acknowledge the hawkish and active manner of the Board we adhere to a stable policy decision outlook

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

May 1, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

FOMC keeps rates on hold but three of four dissents are hawkish
BoE MPC Playing Its Cards Safe
ECB Mixed Communications
Bank of Canada Policy seen appropriate under baseline assumption
BoJ Slightly Hawkish Hold

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room for higher
Freemium Article

May 1, 2026 7:38 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp bounce

April 30, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 30 Apr
Freemium Article

April 30, 2026 7:48 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was softer, most notably USD/JPY with the BoJ seen behind the move, though oil coming off its highs saw the USD slipping elsewhere too. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Under pressure in both USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

April 30, 2026 3:52 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a pullback in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

...
BoE Review: MPC Playing Its Cards Safely (For Now)?
Freemium Article

April 30, 2026 12:29 PM UTC

Very clearly, the BoE kept rates on hold with the MPC last month and the same decision was both expected and delivered this time around but with only token fresh dissent, with Chief Economist Pill wanting an immediate hike from the current 3.75%.  But splits were more evident in the individual MPC

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

April 30, 2026 7:38 AM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.3500 has given way to a drift lower to support at 1.3450

Chart GBP/USD Update: Lower in consolidation towards 1.3450 support
Freemium Article

April 30, 2026 2:06 AM UTC

 Lower in consolidation and return below the 1.3500 level threatens retest of the 1.3450 low of last week

April 29, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 29 Apr
Freemium Article

April 29, 2026 8:11 PM UTC

Overview - The USD advanced as oil reflected increasing Middle East risk, with the move modestly extending after the FOMC meeting. The CAD was relatively resilient after the BoC meeting.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Room for a minor test higher
Freemium Article

April 29, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test of congestion resistance at 1.3700

...
Bank of Canada - Policy seen appropriate under baseline assumptions, but risk may lean to upside
Freemium Article

April 29, 2026 3:25 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada left rates unchanged at 2.25% as expected and Governor Macklem sees policy as appropriate under a BoC baseline that assumes oil prices evolves according to market expectations and US tariff rates remaining unchanged. This supports our view for steady BoC policy through 2026, thoug

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

April 29, 2026 7:31 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade around congestion support at 1.3500

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extend consolidation above 1.3450 support
Freemium Article

April 29, 2026 1:57 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above the 1.3450 low of last week

April 28, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 28 Apr
Freemium Article

April 28, 2026 7:25 PM UTC

Overview - In another quiet day, the USD advanced in Europe but corrected in North America. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Limited tests higher
Freemium Article

April 28, 2026 4:03 PM UTC

The test of support within the broad 1.3600 - 1.3630 range is giving way to a steady intraday bounce

U.S. April Consumer Confidence remains resilient, labor market view improves
Freemium Article

April 28, 2026 2:26 PM UTC

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index, as was the case in March, has proven surprisingly resilient to worries on gasoline prices, with the index seeing a third straight marginal rise, to 92.8 from 92.2.

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

April 28, 2026 7:34 AM UTC

The anticipated test above congestion resistance at 1.3550 has been pushed back from 1.3575

...
BoJ Review: Hawkish Hold
Freemium Article

April 28, 2026 4:53 AM UTC

The BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.75% in the April meeting with a 6-3 vote

Chart GBP/USD Update: Scope to extend bounce from 1.3450 support
Freemium Article

April 28, 2026 1:34 AM UTC

Extend bounce from the 1.3450 low to reach 1.3575 high before settling back in consolidation

April 27, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 27 Apr
Freemium Article

April 27, 2026 7:44 PM UTC

Overview - In a quiet day, the USD saw some slippage in Europe which was corrected in North America. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

April 27, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a fresh pullback in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

...
Straits of Hormuz Standoff and Mixed Markets
Freemium Article

April 27, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

•    Equities longer time horizon means that they are hoping for a reopening of the Straits of Hormuz (though also being helped by renewed AI optimism), whereas government bond markets actually want to see tangible progress and an associated tempering of DM central banks posturing.  This dive

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited tests higher
Freemium Article

April 27, 2026 7:29 AM UTC

Consolidation around congestion support at 1.3450 has given way to a bounce