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November 02, 2026
EZ CPI Preview - Another Piece of the Puzzle Before December's Hike
November 2, 2026 3:40 PM UTC
We expect headline annual inflation to hit 4% in October as the impact of the energy shock continues to filter through. That increase would represent a further uptick from the 3.8% recorded in September and from the 1.9% rate seen just before the start of the Middle East conflict. Preliminary nation
EZ CPI Preview - Another Piece of the Puzzle Before December's Hike
November 2, 2026 3:40 PM UTC
We expect headline annual inflation to hit 4% in October as the impact of the energy shock continues to filter through. That increase would represent a further uptick from the 3.8% recorded in September and from the 1.9% rate seen just before the start of the Middle East conflict. Preliminary nation
U.S. October ISM Manufacturing firm, September Construction Spending slips
November 2, 2026 3:15 PM UTC
October’s ISM manufacturing index of 55.5 is up from 54.5 in September and 54.6 in August but slightly below July’s 55.6 which was the strongest since May 2022. The data continues to imply a positive manufacturing picture.
October 30, 2026
Eurozone Economy Remains Resilient in Q3 - Headwinds Ahead?
October 30, 2026 11:41 AM UTC
The economy expanded more than expected in Q3, rising 0.4% q/q from 0.6% before, with the Eurozone aggregate benefitting from Ireland’s large and volatile growth rate. Most of the larger member countries experienced weak quarter on quarter growth, with Germany’s economy increasing 0.2%, Italy’
Eurozone Economy Remains Resilient in Q3 - Headwinds Ahead?
October 30, 2026 11:41 AM UTC
The economy expanded more than expected in Q3, rising 0.4% q/q from 0.6% before, with the Eurozone aggregate benefitting from Ireland’s large and volatile growth rate. Most of the larger member countries experienced weak quarter on quarter growth, with Germany’s economy increasing 0.2%, Italy’
October 29, 2026
EZ Q3 GDP to Show Ongoing Resilience
October 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC
GDP is expected to grow 0.2% q/q in Q3 following a large quarterly gain of 0.6% in Q2, a figure that had been boosted by Ireland’s significant expansion of 10.2% q/q - driven largely by a surge in multinational-dominated sectors, led by Information & Communication and high-value industry. Once Ire
EZ Q3 GDP to Show Ongoing Resilience
October 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC
GDP is expected to grow 0.2% q/q in Q3 following a large quarterly gain of 0.6% in Q2, a figure that had been boosted by Ireland’s significant expansion of 10.2% q/q - driven largely by a surge in multinational-dominated sectors, led by Information & Communication and high-value industry. Once Ire
October 28, 2026
U.S. September Advance Goods Trade - Deficit higher on capital goods imports
October 28, 2026 12:42 PM UTC
September’s advance goods trade deficit of $134.9bn from $132.1bn, continues to deteriorate, ensuring that net exports will be a significant negative in what is likely to be an otherwise strong Q3 GDP report tomorrow.
U.S. September Advance Goods Trade - Deficit higher on capital goods imports
October 28, 2026 12:42 PM UTC
September’s advance goods trade deficit of $134.9bn from $132.1bn, continues to deteriorate, ensuring that net exports will be a significant negative in what is likely to be an otherwise strong Q3 GDP report tomorrow.
October 27, 2026
U.S. Septenber New Home Sales, October Consumer Confidence - Surprising resilience, notably on labor signal
October 27, 2026 2:19 PM UTC
September new home sales, down a marginal 0.6% to 676k, have held up better than expected, while October consumer confidence with a bounce to 91.7 from 84.2 is even more surprising, reaching its highest level since June.
U.S. September Durable Goods Orders - Some loss of underlying momentum in Q3
October 27, 2026 12:47 PM UTC
September durable goods orders are in line with expectations, up by 1.8% overall and 0.5% ex transport. The ex transport trend remains positive but has lost some momentum in Q3 after a very strong Q2.
U.S. September Durable Goods Orders - Some loss of underlying momentum in Q3
October 27, 2026 12:47 PM UTC
September durable goods orders are in line with expectations, up by 1.8% overall and 0.5% ex transport. The ex transport trend remains positive but has lost some momentum in Q3 after a very strong Q2.
October 21, 2026
China September Activity Data Review: Dichotomy between Supply and Demand
October 21, 2026 1:32 AM UTC
China’s dichotomy between supply and demand continued to deepen in September, as sluggish retail sales and fixed-asset investment slump highlighted persistent weakness in domestic demand, with analysts expecting more policy stimulus from Beijing to stave off downside risks. Export and Industrial n
October 20, 2026
U.S. September Pending Home Sales - More signs of housing sector weakness
October 20, 2026 2:17 PM UTC
September’s 7.3% decline in pending home sales is the sharpest decline since December with the level a record low. This adds to growing evidence that rising mortgage rates are undermining housing demand.
U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC
September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.
U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC
September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.
October 19, 2026
UK CPI Preview: Further Increase Will Push the BoE to Hike in November
October 19, 2026 8:47 AM UTC
This week’s CPI headline is expected to continue to reflect the impact of the oil price shock with markets seeing an increase to 3.4% y/y in September from 3.1% before. To date, energy has been the main culprit behind the rise in headline inflation with goods also showing a modest increase (see Fi
UK CPI Preview: Further Increase Will Push the BoE to Hike in November
October 19, 2026 8:46 AM UTC
This week’s CPI headline is expected to continue to reflect the impact of the oil price shock with markets seeing an increase to 3.4% y/y in September from 3.1% before. To date, energy has been the main culprit behind the rise in headline inflation with goods also showing a modest increase (see Fi
October 15, 2026
U.S. September Retail Sales and PPI, October Philly Fed and Empire State, Initial Claims - Generally strong
October 15, 2026 1:15 PM UTC
The latest set of US data is on the firm side of expectations, September PPI at 1.3% overall and 0.7% ex food and energy, September retail sales at 0.8%, 0.9% ex autos. Underlying gains of 0.5% for PPI ex food energy and trade and 0.2% for retail sales ex autos and gasoline are less firm but far fro
U.S. September Retail Sales and PPI, October Philly Fed and Empire State, Initial Claims - Generally strong
October 15, 2026 1:15 PM UTC
The latest set of US data is on the firm side of expectations, September PPI at 1.3% overall and 0.7% ex food and energy, September retail sales at 0.8%, 0.9% ex autos. Underlying gains of 0.5% for PPI ex food energy and trade and 0.2% for retail sales ex autos and gasoline are less firm but far fro
UK Growth Resilience Continues in August
October 15, 2026 7:32 AM UTC
In the event, growth did not contract by 0.1% m/m as consensus had expected, but grew 0.1% in August. While the month-on-month number can be volatile, the more reliable 3-month measure is showing the economy is proving to be a lot more resilient than many had expected. The better growth outturn alon
UK Growth Resilience Continues in August
October 15, 2026 7:32 AM UTC
In the event, growth did not contract by 0.1% m/m as consensus had expected, but grew 0.1% in August. While the month-on-month number can be volatile, the more reliable 3-month measure is showing the economy is proving to be a lot more resilient than many had expected. The better growth outturn alon
October 14, 2026
U.S. September CPI - Makes a case for tightening, will Warsh?
October 14, 2026 1:20 PM UTC
September’s core CPI is stronger than expected at 0.3% and at 0.335% before rounding a clear disappointment, with the strength broader based than August’s 0.29% when almost 0.1% came from what has proven a one-time bounce in telephone services. Overall CPI rise by 0.6% as expected, but was 0.649