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October 30, 2026

Eurozone Economy Remains Resilient in Q3 - Headwinds Ahead?
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 11:41 AM UTC

The economy expanded more than expected in Q3, rising 0.4% q/q from 0.6% before, with the Eurozone aggregate benefitting from Ireland’s large and volatile growth rate. Most of the larger member countries experienced weak quarter on quarter growth, with Germany’s economy increasing 0.2%, Italy’

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Eurozone Economy Remains Resilient in Q3 - Headwinds Ahead?
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 11:41 AM UTC

The economy expanded more than expected in Q3, rising 0.4% q/q from 0.6% before, with the Eurozone aggregate benefitting from Ireland’s large and volatile growth rate. Most of the larger member countries experienced weak quarter on quarter growth, with Germany’s economy increasing 0.2%, Italy’

October 29, 2026

EZ Q3 GDP to Show Ongoing Resilience
Paying Article

October 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

GDP is expected to grow 0.2% q/q in Q3 following a large quarterly gain of 0.6% in Q2, a figure that had been boosted by Ireland’s significant expansion of 10.2% q/q - driven largely by a surge in multinational-dominated sectors, led by Information & Communication and high-value industry. Once Ire

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EZ Q3 GDP to Show Ongoing Resilience
Paying Article

October 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

GDP is expected to grow 0.2% q/q in Q3 following a large quarterly gain of 0.6% in Q2, a figure that had been boosted by Ireland’s significant expansion of 10.2% q/q - driven largely by a surge in multinational-dominated sectors, led by Information & Communication and high-value industry. Once Ire

October 28, 2026

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U.S. September Advance Goods Trade - Deficit higher on capital goods imports
Paying Article

October 28, 2026 12:42 PM UTC

September’s advance goods trade deficit of $134.9bn from $132.1bn, continues to deteriorate, ensuring that net exports will be a significant negative in what is likely to be an otherwise strong Q3 GDP report tomorrow.

U.S. September Advance Goods Trade - Deficit higher on capital goods imports
Paying Article

October 28, 2026 12:42 PM UTC

September’s advance goods trade deficit of $134.9bn from $132.1bn, continues to deteriorate, ensuring that net exports will be a significant negative in what is likely to be an otherwise strong Q3 GDP report tomorrow.

October 27, 2026

U.S. Septenber New Home Sales, October Consumer Confidence - Surprising resilience, notably on labor signal
Paying Article

October 27, 2026 2:19 PM UTC

September new home sales, down a marginal 0.6% to 676k, have held up better than expected, while October consumer confidence with a bounce to 91.7 from 84.2 is even more surprising, reaching its highest level since June.

U.S. September Durable Goods Orders - Some loss of underlying momentum in Q3
Paying Article

October 27, 2026 12:47 PM UTC

September durable goods orders are in line with expectations, up by 1.8% overall and 0.5% ex transport. The ex transport trend remains positive but has lost some momentum in Q3 after a very strong Q2.

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U.S. September Durable Goods Orders - Some loss of underlying momentum in Q3
Paying Article

October 27, 2026 12:47 PM UTC

September durable goods orders are in line with expectations, up by 1.8% overall and 0.5% ex transport. The ex transport trend remains positive but has lost some momentum in Q3 after a very strong Q2.

October 21, 2026

China September Activity Data Review: Dichotomy between Supply and Demand
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:32 AM UTC

China’s dichotomy between supply and demand continued to deepen in September, as sluggish retail sales and fixed-asset investment slump highlighted persistent weakness in domestic demand, with analysts expecting more policy stimulus from Beijing to stave off downside risks. Export and Industrial n

October 20, 2026

U.S. September Pending Home Sales - More signs of housing sector weakness
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:17 PM UTC

September’s 7.3% decline in pending home sales is the sharpest decline since December with the level a record low. This adds to growing evidence that rising mortgage rates are undermining housing demand.

U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

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U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

October 19, 2026

U.S. October NAHB Homebuilders Index - Lowest since 2012 as mortgage rates rise
Paying Article

October 19, 2026 2:26 PM UTC

October’s NAHB homebuilders index at 29 from 32 is the lowest since June 2012 and suggests that rising mortgage rates are having a significant impact on housing demand.

UK CPI Preview: Further Increase Will Push the BoE to Hike in November
Paying Article

October 19, 2026 8:47 AM UTC

This week’s CPI headline is expected to continue to reflect the impact of the oil price shock with markets seeing an increase to 3.4% y/y in September from 3.1% before. To date, energy has been the main culprit behind the rise in headline inflation with goods also showing a modest increase (see Fi

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UK CPI Preview: Further Increase Will Push the BoE to Hike in November
Freemium Article

October 19, 2026 8:46 AM UTC

This week’s CPI headline is expected to continue to reflect the impact of the oil price shock with markets seeing an increase to 3.4% y/y in September from 3.1% before. To date, energy has been the main culprit behind the rise in headline inflation with goods also showing a modest increase (see Fi

October 15, 2026

U.S. September Retail Sales and PPI, October Philly Fed and Empire State, Initial Claims - Generally strong
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

The latest set of US data is on the firm side of expectations, September PPI at 1.3% overall and 0.7% ex food and energy, September retail sales at 0.8%, 0.9% ex autos. Underlying gains of 0.5% for PPI ex food energy and trade and 0.2% for retail sales ex autos and gasoline are less firm but far fro

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U.S. September Retail Sales and PPI, October Philly Fed and Empire State, Initial Claims - Generally strong
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

The latest set of US data is on the firm side of expectations, September PPI at 1.3% overall and 0.7% ex food and energy, September retail sales at 0.8%, 0.9% ex autos. Underlying gains of 0.5% for PPI ex food energy and trade and 0.2% for retail sales ex autos and gasoline are less firm but far fro

UK Growth Resilience Continues in August
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

In the event, growth did not contract by 0.1% m/m as consensus had expected, but grew 0.1% in August. While the month-on-month number can be volatile, the more reliable 3-month measure is showing the economy is proving to be a lot more resilient than many had expected. The better growth outturn alon

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UK Growth Resilience Continues in August
Freemium Article

October 15, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

In the event, growth did not contract by 0.1% m/m as consensus had expected, but grew 0.1% in August. While the month-on-month number can be volatile, the more reliable 3-month measure is showing the economy is proving to be a lot more resilient than many had expected. The better growth outturn alon

October 14, 2026

U.S. September Median CPI up 2.8% annualized, less alarming than core CPI
Paying Article

October 14, 2026 6:38 PM UTC

The Cleveland Fed’s September Median CPI is stronger than in August, but less alarming than September’s core CPI. The Median CPI rose by 0.23% on the month and 2.8% annualized.

U.S. September CPI - Makes a case for tightening, will Warsh?
Paying Article

October 14, 2026 1:20 PM UTC

September’s core CPI is stronger than expected at 0.3% and at 0.335% before rounding a clear disappointment, with the strength broader based than August’s 0.29% when almost 0.1% came from what has proven a one-time bounce in telephone services. Overall CPI rise by 0.6% as expected, but was 0.649

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U.S. September CPI - Makes a case for tightening, will Warsh?
Paying Article

October 14, 2026 1:19 PM UTC

September’s core CPI is stronger than expected at 0.3% and at 0.335% before rounding a clear disappointment, with the strength broader based than August’s 0.29% when almost 0.1% came from what has proven a one-time bounce in telephone services. Overall CPI rise by 0.6% as expected, but was 0.649

October 13, 2026

U.S. September Existing Home Sales - Correction higher but trend weakening
Paying Article

October 13, 2026 2:19 PM UTC

September existing home sales rose by 1.5% after a 3.2% decline in August, with August’s decline revised from -2.0%. This leaves the data slightly stronger than expected though still on a weakening trend, which is likely to continue given rising mortgage rates.

U.S. September NFIB survey - Weaker but remains in recent range
Paying Article

October 13, 2026 12:08 PM UTC

September’s NFIB survey of Small Business Optimism at 97.9 from 98.7 shows a second straight dip but remains within a quite narrow recent range.

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