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February 19, 2026
FOMC Minutes: Shows Splits, But Rate Cuts Should Still Arrive
February 19, 2026 9:24 AM UTC
· The January FOMC minutes show a split Fed, with some sounding mildly hawkish. However, the district Fed presidents are on the mildly hawkish side, but most are non-voters and we feel that the FOMC voting consensus is more neutral. Additionally, we feel that Fed is too upbeat on th
February 18, 2026
Turkish Economy Will Likely Grow by Around 3.8% in 2025
February 18, 2026 3:13 PM UTC
Bottom Line: The Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) is scheduled to announce Q4 2024 and full-year GDP growth on March 2. We expect the Turkish economy expanded by approximately 3.8% y/y in 2025, underpinned by resilient household consumption, investment, and ongoing construction projects. Domesti
Preview: Due February 19 - U.S. December Trade Balance - Despite volatility, 2025 will average similar to 2024
February 18, 2026 2:46 PM UTC
We expect a December trade deficit of $59.5bn, which would be the widest since August and up moderately from November’s $56.8bn. It would be up sharply from October’s $29.2bn which was the lowest since June 2009 but heavily influenced by temporary factors. The data may bring some fine tuning to
South Africa Inflation Moderately Eased to 3.5% y/y in January
February 18, 2026 1:41 PM UTC
Bottom Line: Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) announced on February 18 that annual inflation slightly edged down moderately to 3.5% y/y in January, driven by higher housing and utilities, food and non-alcoholic beverages, and insurance and financial services. Annual core inflation came in at 3.4%