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January 07, 2026

U.S. December ISM Services strength probably outweighs weaker November Job Openings
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 3:38 PM UTC

December’s ISM services index at 54.4 from 52.6 is the strongest since October 2024 with positive details. While some caution is needed with other surveys less impressive the ISM services strength probably outweighs weakness in November’s JOLTS report, where openings fell by 303k to 7.146m.

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 2:17 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on support at 183.00

U.S. December ADP Employment improved from November but still subdued
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 1:41 PM UTC

ADP’s December estimate of private sector employment of 41k falls slightly short of expectations but confirms the recovery from the negative November (revised to -29k from -32k) that weekly ADP data had been signaling. Now that we have weekly ADP data, surprises in the monthly ADP reports are gene

USD flows: USD gains slightly on ISM
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January 7, 2026 1:36 PM UTC

USD slightly firmer on stroner than expected non-manufacturing ISM

Chart USD/RUB Update: Pressuring resistance - background studies rising
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 1:11 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on resistance at the 80.7250 Fibonacci retracement and congestion around 81.0000

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 12:43 PM UTC

Consolidation above the 16.3025 current year low of 6 January is giving way to a bounce

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 12:03 PM UTC

The test of congestion resistance at 1.6150 has been pushed back from 1.6165~

Europe Summary and Highlights 7 Jan
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 11:31 AM UTC

The USD made modest gains of around 0.1% across the board in the European morning.

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 11:15 AM UTC

Cautious trade around support at the 0.9275 congestion lows is giving way to a test higher in CHF-driven trade

Psychology for major markets Jan 7
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 11:11 AM UTC

AUD firm, USD otherwise edging up

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EZ HICP Review: Services Inflation Still Resilient But Core Goods Soften Further

January 7, 2026 10:44 AM UTC

HICP inflation has been range bound for the last 5-6 months between 2.0% and 2.2% with the November and October numbers in the middle of that range. And it stayed in that range falling to 2.0% in the December flash numbers, albeit where adverse rounding pre vented a fall to 1.9%.  We see this as th

FX Daily Strategy: N America, January 7th
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 10:01 AM UTC

AUD well supported regardless of CPI if risk appetite remains strong
USD and equities could be sensitive to non-manufacturing ISM
GBP strength looks excessive
EUR also starting to look toppy

Chart USD/CHF Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 9:37 AM UTC

The break above 0.7950 has given way to consolidation

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 9:22 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation following the break above 98.50

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Consolidating losses - studies under pressure
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around 0.8645/50

Chart EUR/USD Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 8:41 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a drift lower

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pullback from 1.3555 Fibonacci retracement
Freemium Article

January 7, 2026 8:30 AM UTC

The anticipated break above resistance at the 1.3555 Fibonacci retracement has not been seen

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Greenland: U.S. Sphere of Influence or More?

January 7, 2026 8:05 AM UTC

·       Trump will likely go for more pressure and then seek to negotiate with Denmark and Greenland.  Denmark and Greenland already have mutual interests with the U.S. on security; minerals and Russia/China that are already covered by previous agreements and understandings.  Trump would li

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extending losses
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 7:36 AM UTC

Break of the 1.7400 level see prices extending losses from the 1.8160, August/October double top

EUR flows: EUR edges lower on softer data
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 7:26 AM UTC

EUR edges slightly lower after weaker German retail sales data

USD/JPY flows: USD lower
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 5:39 AM UTC

USD lower

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, January 7th
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 5:03 AM UTC

AUD well supported regardless of CPI if risk appetite remains strong
USD and equities could be sensitive to non-manufacturing ISM
GBP strength looks excessive
EUR also starting to look toppy

AUD/USD flows: Inflation still above 3%
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 3:04 AM UTC

Australian November headline CPI 3.4% y/y, Trimmed Mean 3.2% y/y

Chart GBP/USD Update: Settled back in consolidation
Freemium Article

January 7, 2026 1:34 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the 1.3555 Fibonacci level as prices settled back in consolidation to unwind overbought intraday studies

Chart EUR/USD Update: Leaning lower from December high
Paying Article

January 7, 2026 1:20 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the downside as prices extend pullback from the December high to pressure support at the 1.1700/1.1682 area