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December 10, 2025

Chartbook: Chart EUR/GBP: Corrective pullback/consolidation before higher
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 1:49 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have posted a fresh 2025 year high at 0.8865,
before turning lower in steady profit-taking to trade below 0.8800.
Weekly stochastics and the weekly Tension Indicator are under pressure, highlighting room for deeper losses into early 2026 Q1, with focus to turn to congestion around 0.

Preview: Due December 11 - U.S. September Trade Balance - Canadian data suggests a wider deficit
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 1:48 PM UTC

We expect a September trade deficit of $70.5bn, up sharply from August’s $59.6bn but still below July’s $78.2bn. We expect exports to fall by 0.5% after a 0.1% August increase while imports rise by 2.8% after a 5.1% July decline.  This could weigh on estimates for Q3 GDP, now due on December 23

U.S. Q3 Employment Cost Index - Slightly slower but still above pre-pandemic trend
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 1:42 PM UTC

The 0.8% increase in Q3’s Employment Cost index follows three straight gains of 0.9% so can be seen as a mild easing of inflationary pressures, though Q3 2024 also saw a rise of 0.8%. 

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Cautious trade - background studies under pressure
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December 10, 2025 12:33 PM UTC

Little change, as unwinding oversold daily stochastics and the flat daily Tension Indicator extend cautious trade

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
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December 10, 2025 11:59 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed/positive intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chartbook: DAX Chart: Balanced at fresh highs - room for a corrective pullback before higher levels unfold
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December 10, 2025 11:51 AM UTC

After posting fresh marginal contract highs at 24771, prices have bounced from congestion support at 23000 to trade around 24000

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Leaning lower
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December 10, 2025 11:30 AM UTC

The anticipated test above resistance at 0.9400 has not been seen

Europe Summary and Highlights 10 December
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December 10, 2025 11:23 AM UTC

There was little net change in most FX rates in the European morning.

Psychology for major markets Dec 10
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December 10, 2025 11:19 AM UTC

EUR steady, JPY weak as FOMC awaited

FX Daily Strategy: N America, December 10th
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December 10, 2025 9:48 AM UTC

FOMC likely to cut 25bps but with dissents
Market may see the move as a “hawkish ease”
USD has upside scope, but JPY weakness looks extreme
CAD unlikely to be impacted by BoC

Chart USD/CHF Update: Choppy trade leaning lower
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 9:33 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around support at the 0.8050 break level

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Norges Bank Preview (Dec 18): Still Far Too Cautious
Freemium Article

December 10, 2025 9:17 AM UTC

No change in policy and little shift in rhetoric was the message from the Norges Bank’s latest verdict.  After what was to some a surprise (and seemingly far from a formality) move in September, in which the Norges Bank cut is policy rate by a further 25 bp to 4.0%, we see no change at the loomin

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
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December 10, 2025 9:12 AM UTC

Still little change, as deteriorating intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Limited tests higher
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December 10, 2025 9:03 AM UTC

The anticipated break below congestion support at 0.8720 has not been seen

Chart EUR/USD Update: Immediate gains to remain limited
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 8:39 AM UTC

Still little change

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade - limited tests lower
Freemium Article

December 10, 2025 8:26 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation above congestion support at 1.3300

NOK, SEK, JPY flows: SEK still firm after GDP decline, JPY weakness continues
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December 10, 2025 7:51 AM UTC

SEK still strong despite drop in October GDP. JPY weakness continues, intervention likely necessary soon.

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Extending gains
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December 10, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

Bulls stays fimly in focus as break of the April 2024 year high at 208.10 see prices extending the broader gains from the 2011 year low to approach the 209.00 level

USD/JPY flows: Takaichi Triggered a Wave of JPY Bids
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 4:24 AM UTC

Japan PM Takaichi asked about rising yields, says closely watching market moves
Zelensky signals Ukaine's answer to Trumps peace plan will come Wednesday

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, December 10th
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 4:00 AM UTC

FOMC likely to cut 25bps but with dissents
Market may see the move as a “hawkish ease”
USD has upside scope, but JPY weakness looks extreme
CAD unlikely to be impacted by BoC

AUD/USD flows: Soft Start
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 1:49 AM UTC

Trump says he will be meeting with "a couple" people for the Fed chair job

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Freemium Article

December 10, 2025 1:38 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from the 1.3385 high as prices unwind overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart EUR/USD Update: Lower in consolidation from 1.1682 high
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 1:31 AM UTC

 Leaning lower from the 1.1682 high as prices consolidate gains from the 1.1470/1.1500 November lows

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Break to fresh year high
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December 10, 2025 1:20 AM UTC

Choppy trade within the 182.00/180.00 range area finally gave way to break to fresh year high

December 09, 2025

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, December 10th
Paying Article

December 9, 2025 10:00 PM UTC

FOMC likely to cut 25bps but with dissents
Market may see the move as a “hawkish ease”
USD has upside scope, but JPY weakness looks extreme
CAD unlikely to be impacted by BoC