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July 04, 2025

Chart USD/CAD Update: June losses attempting to stabilise
Freemium Article

July 4, 2025 3:08 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a test higher

FX Weekly Strategy: July 7th - 11th
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 3:01 PM UTC

USD focus switches back to tariffs
All outcomes possible but USD may be less vulnerable than it was
JPY weakness looks overdone
AUD may get mild support from RBA

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Balanced beneath the 170.50 Fibonacci retracement
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 1:08 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath strong resistance at the 170.50 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD/RUB Update: Balanced trade
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 11:32 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend quiet trade above the 78.0000 congestion lows

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 11:05 AM UTC

Consolidation around congestion support at 17.5000 has given way to a bounce

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Choppy trade - room for a test lower
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 10:31 AM UTC

Sharp selling interest has reached 1.5930, where unwinding oversold intraday studies have prompted a steady bounce back to congestion resistance at 1.6000

Psychology for major markets Jul 04
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 10:13 AM UTC

USD consolidating after recent declines but underlying sentiemnt still negative

Europe Summary and Highlights 4 July
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 10:08 AM UTC

A quiet session saw GBP move slightly lower, with EUR/GBP gaining 10 pips to 0.8625.

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Extending choppy trade
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 10:05 AM UTC

The anticipated test above congestion resistance at 0.9350 has not been sustained

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 4, 2025 10:00 AM UTC

Trump Tariffs: Update
Some signs of slowing activity in U.S. June Employment 
These Week's Fed Speaker
DXY Fresh Lows
EZ HICP and ECB Strategy

FX Daily Strategy: N America, July 4th
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 9:00 AM UTC

Quiet day likely on US holiday
German orders unlikely to be of significant interest
USD recovery on employment report looks to be sufficient
JPY weakness still looks overdone
GBP to remain weak

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China: Housing Still A Headwind
Freemium Article

July 4, 2025 9:00 AM UTC

Last October, China’s government support package has helped turn residential property less negative and our baseline is that residential property will likely deduct around 0.75% from 2025 growth and 0.5% from 2026.  However, the risks for the economy could turnout worse than our baseline view on

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 8:44 AM UTC

Little change, as choppy trade gives way to fresh consolidation around 0.7935

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Extending consolidation above 2025 year lows
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 8:31 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above strong support at the 96.38 current year low of 1 July

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 8:04 AM UTC

The anticipated pullback has extended to congestion support at 0.8600

Chart EUR/USD Update: Balanced at year highs - potential for a minor test lower
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 7:42 AM UTC

The sharp pullback from congestion resistance at 1.1800 has bounced from above congestion support at 1.1700

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending cautious trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

July 4, 2025 7:30 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade around 1.3665

JPY, CHF, EUR flows: USD back to near pre-employment levels, JPY still soft
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 6:55 AM UTC

USD has slipped back overnight and the JPY has recovered, but remains weak, especially versus CHF

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Choppy below 198.80 high
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

Rebound from the 95.35 low has seen gains to retest the 198.00 level

AUD/USD flows: Risk asset calms
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 4:50 AM UTC

Market sentiment calms as Trump began to send tariff letters

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, July 4th
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 3:28 AM UTC

Quiet day likely on US holiday
German orders unlikely to be of significant interest
USD recovery on employment report looks to be sufficient
JPY weakness still looks overdone
GBP to remain weak

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room to extend corrective pullback
Freemium Article

July 4, 2025 1:48 AM UTC

 Range-bound above the 1.3562 mid-week low as prices consolidate pullback from the 1.3788 current year high

USD/JPY flows: Strong Household spending
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 1:43 AM UTC

A blockbuster Household Spending for Japan

Chart EUR/USD Update: Leaning lower in choppy trade from 1.1830 high
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 1:40 AM UTC

Leaning lower in choppy trade from the 1.1830 high as prices consolidate strong gains from the 1.1150/45 support 

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating below 170.60, fresh year high
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 1:28 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 170.00 level has given way to break to reach fresh year high at 170.60