View:
December 24, 2025
Psychology for major markets Dec 24
December 24, 2025 9:03 AM UTC
EUR/USD – EUR/USD is consolidating recent gains as holiday mood persists.
USD/JPY – More selling momentum following through. After multiple verbal intervention attempt, JPY is retreating more recent high. Yet, progress in year end illiquid times may not be the stroy in the new year.
EUR/GBP – EU
FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, December 22nd - January 2nd
December 24, 2025 5:04 AM UTC
USD should be well supported by Q3 GDP
JPY the focus as it hits new lows in real trade-weighted terms
Japanese FX intervention looks necessary to reverse JPY weakness – probability of intervention now high
AUD and NOK look undervalued
December 23, 2025
U.S. Q3 GDP: Better Than Expected, But
December 23, 2025 1:54 PM UTC
Q3 GDP came in better than expected due to a big net export contribution to growth. Gross domestic purchases at 2.7% were more in line with expectations, with mixed performance in key expenditure sectors. We see growth slowing in Q4, with net exports unlikely to repeat the Q3 outcome and consume
Trump’s Peace Framework as a Path to a Late 2026 Settlement?
December 23, 2025 1:48 PM UTC
Bottom Line: With Russia maintaining its long-held demands in Ukraine and negotiations intensifying around President Trump’s latest peace proposal, our baseline view is that this framework will serve as the primary catalyst for a settlement. We anticipate a Russia-friendly peace deal (70% probabil
Psychology for major markets Dec 23
December 23, 2025 9:19 AM UTC
EUR/USD – EUR/USD continue to perform strongly closer to Christmas and is fast approaching last Tuesday's high at 1.1804. But the strength seems to be derived from USD weakness.
USD/JPY – The pair is facing more verbal intervention from multiple Japanese officials. The escalation of language has