View:

June 02, 2026

U.S. April JOLTS report - Openings rise impressive, other detail less so
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 2:26 PM UTC

April’s JOLTS report has shown a much stronger than expected 731k increase in job openings, more than fully reversing two straight declines to raise the 3-month average to 124k, its highest since November 2022. The 6-month average moved back above neutral after falling below in March, now standing

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Higher in EUR- and JPY-driven trade
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 1:19 PM UTC

Cautious trade following the test of congestion resistance at 186.00 is giving way to a fresh test higher in both EUR- and JPY-driven trade

EUR/CHF, CHF/JPY flows: SNB Schlegel reiterates increased readiness to intervene
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

While accepting that real appreciate is clearly less than nominal, SNB chairman Schlegel at an event in Bern reiterates again the Bank’s raised readiness to intervene to deal with overvaluation pressure due to the Middle East conflict.
This pits the CHF on the opposite side of the fence to the yen

Preview: Due June 3 - U.S. May ISM Services - Seasonal adjustments may provide a lift
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 12:37 PM UTC

We expect May’s ISM services index to pick up to 54.5 from 53.6 in April, picking up after two straight declines from February’s 56.1. While rising energy prices are a downside risk for services activity, seasonal adjustments may provide some support in May. 

Preview: Due June 3 - U.S. May ADP Employment - Weekly ADP data remains firm
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 12:32 PM UTC

We expect a 100k increase in May’s ADP estimate for private sector employment, which would be similar to April’s 109k, which was the strongest since January 2025. It would not be as strong as a 4-week average of 37.75 in the weekly ADP employment report for the weeks to May 9 implies. The weekly

Chart USD/RUB Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 12:27 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a push higher

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Choppy trade - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 11:49 AM UTC

The anticipated test above 16.2500 has been pushed back from 16.3850

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 11:22 AM UTC

Choppy trade around 1.6100 has given way to the anticipated break

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Choppy trade - daily studies turning higher
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 10:39 AM UTC

The test of congestion resistance at 0.9150 is giving way to anticipated consolidation

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Jun 2nd
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 9:56 AM UTC

Some calm after Lebanon intervention but uncertainties remain
Mkt remains a binary trade driven by dollar haven swings

...
EZ HICP Review: Headline Rise Capped by Food & Energy, Services Jump Seasonal?
Freemium Article

June 2, 2026 9:50 AM UTC

Even given what seem to be a series of reassuring aspects, the May flash HICP data is unlikely to have a material impact on ECB thinking.  As expected, and helped by German fuel subsides which kept the energy rise to around zero, headline HICP rose just 0.2 ppt to 3.2%, still a 32-mth high, but whe

Psychology for major markets June 2
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 9:38 AM UTC

Is the deal here yet

Europe Summary and Highlights 2 Jun
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 9:11 AM UTC

Subdued morning, some calm after Mon's concerns, but still uncertainties
Crude sits just off $90, mid range for last few days

Chart USD/CHF Update: Range trade - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 8:32 AM UTC

The test above 0.7850 has met selling interest at 0.7885

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Choppy in range - studies turning down
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 8:23 AM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to a spike to 99.40

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 8:03 AM UTC

The anticipated test of support at 0.8640 is giving way to consolidation

Chart EUR/USD Update: Choppy in range - daily studies rising
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp pullback to congestion support at 1.1600

Chart GBP/USD Update: Choppy trade - daily studies improving
Freemium Article

June 2, 2026 7:31 AM UTC

The test below support at 1.3450 has bounced sharply from 1.3405

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Above 215.00 return focus to 216.00/60 highs
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 7:07 AM UTC

Extending bounce from the 213.30 low of last week to retrace losses from the 30 April current year high

USD, SEK, NZD flows: Some relief at partial ceasefire; Iran yet to review
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 6:37 AM UTC

Pullbacks on yesterday's sharp moves after Trump does intervene 
Story remains the only focal point at present

AUD/USD flows: RBA's Harper hawkish
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 5:41 AM UTC

RBA board member Harper said stronger-than-expected domestic demand and the return of capacity constraints have reopened the output gap
Trump told ABC News a Hormuz ceasefire extension and reopening deal could come within a week

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Jun 2nd
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 4:41 AM UTC

Breakdown over Lebanon a concern unless it's quickly neutralised
Has potential to escalate unless US intervenes
Mkt remains a binary trade driven by dollar haven swings

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating
Freemium Article

June 2, 2026 2:14 AM UTC

Settled into consolidation around 1.3450 following bounce from the 1.3367 low of last week

USD/JPY flows: Trump Adjusting His Tariff Strategy
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 2:13 AM UTC

White House trims tariffs on farm and industrial gear

Chart EUR/USD Update: Settled back from test of 1.1655/80 resistance
Paying Article

June 2, 2026 2:00 AM UTC

Consolidation from the 1.1575 May low has seen bounce attempt capped at 1.1655/80 resistance and 200-day MA