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March 17, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, March 18th
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

Bank of Canada No change in rates or from January's message
USD/CAD Downside remain limited
U.S. February PPI Ex food, energy and trade suggests trend at 0.3% 

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Gains capped in range
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March 17, 2026 2:28 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at 183.00

U.S. February Pending Home Sales - Modest correction from recent weakness
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 2:13 PM UTC

Pending home sales have seen a modest 1.8% rise in February to follow two straight declines, which took the series to a record low. 

Chartbook: Chart EUR/CHF: Potential for a minor bounce from fresh lows, before long-term bear trends resume
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 1:41 PM UTC

The test of congestion around 0.9400 has given way to steady selling interest

Preview: Due March 18 - U.S. February PPI - Ex food, energy and trade suggests trend at 0.3% per month
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 12:51 PM UTC

We expect PPI to rise by 0.3% in February, slower than January’s 0.5% and December’s 0.4%. Ex food and energy we expect a rise of 0.2% after a strong 0.8% January increase. Ex food, energy and trade however, we expect a fourth straight increase of 0.3%, which would signal where trend is.

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Limited downside tests
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March 17, 2026 12:49 PM UTC

Anticipated losses are giving way to consolidation above support within the 16.5000 - 16.6000 range

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Corrective bounce
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 12:02 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a push higher

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 11:03 AM UTC

The anticipated break above 0.9050 has met selling interest around 0.9065/70

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U.S. Private Credit: One To Watch Rather than Systemic Issue
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 10:29 AM UTC

While the U.S. private credit sector could face further problems in 2026/27 (due to the lagged impact of the end of ultra-low rates in 2021-23), this appears to be a sectoral issue.  U.S. banks equity capital and funding are robust enough to weather a further deterioration, though some corporates c

FX Daily Strategy: N America, March 17th
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March 17, 2026 10:19 AM UTC

RBA a 50/50 Call
DXY Should Continue to Dominate FX Flows
USD/JPY At Intervention Level

Chart USD/CHF Update: Room for a minor test lower
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March 17, 2026 9:18 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 0.7900

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Extending consolidation above critical support
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March 17, 2026 9:09 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above critical support at the 0.8613 current year low of 4 February and 0.8620, (GBP/EUR 1.1600)

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited tests lower
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 9:03 AM UTC

Little change, as prices consolidate the break below 100.00

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UK CPI Preview (Mar 25): The Calm Before the Storm?
Freemium Article

March 17, 2026 8:53 AM UTC

Although most aspects of the January CPI came in a notch above BoE thinking, there was still a clear fall even in the core rate.  Indeed, the headline CPI rate fell from December’s 3.4% to 3.0% (a 10-mth low) and we see it staying there is February’s numbers - as do BoE projections.  Services

Chart EUR/USD Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 8:50 AM UTC

Consolidation above congestion support at 1.1400 and the 1.1410~ current year low of 13 March has given way to a bounce

Psychology for major markets Mar 17
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March 17, 2026 8:35 AM UTC

RBA Hiked By 25bps with Divided Votes

Chart GBP/USD Update: Gains to remain limited
Freemium Article

March 17, 2026 8:34 AM UTC

Consolidation above strong support at congestion around 1.3200 and the 1.3215 Fibonacci retracement has given way to a steady bounce

Chartbook: US Chart Crude Oil Futures: Volatile trade above 80.00
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 7:53 AM UTC

Turned up from the 55.00 support at the start of the year to consolidate at the 65.00 level before sharp spike to retrace losses from 2022 year high

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extend consolidation above 1.6130 low
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 7:31 AM UTC

Corrective bounce from the 1.6130 low has met with selling pressure at the 1.6350 high

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, March 17th
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 6:17 AM UTC

RBA a 50/50 Call
DXY Should Continue to Dominate FX Flows
USD/JPY At Intervention Level

AUD/USD flows: RBA Hike With Division
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 5:52 AM UTC

The RBA March meeting hike rates to 4.1% on a 5-4 vote

RBA Review: Divided Hike
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 5:35 AM UTC

The RBA March meeting hike rates to 4.1% on a 5-4 vote

USD/JPY flows: Slow Grind Towards 160 continues
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 3:10 AM UTC

BOJ’s Ueda says inflation rising toward 2% ahead of policy meeting

Chart GBP/USD Update: Range-bound in consolidation
Freemium Article

March 17, 2026 1:58 AM UTC

Turned up in range from the 1.3213 Friday's current year low as prices consolidate losses from the 1.3483 high of last week

Chart EUR/USD Update: Higher in range from 1.1410 current year low
Paying Article

March 17, 2026 1:37 AM UTC

Turned up in range from fresh year low at 1.1410 as prices unwind oversold intraday and daily studies