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June 08, 2026

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Preview: Due June 17 - U.S. May Retail Sales - Consumers vulnerable to a pull back
Freemium Article

June 8, 2026 1:28 PM UTC

 We expect May retail sales to increase by 0.3% both overall and ex autos, but with a 0.1% decline ex autos and gasoline, which would suggest that consumers are starting to pull back as elevated gasoline prices increasingly weigh on real disposable income. 

USD flows: Latest truce, but dollar dips to be bought?
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 12:39 PM UTC

Some mkt comfort in Trump still driving de-escalation 
Both sides of dollar smile still active though and better buyers of dips

Preview: Due June 9 - U.S. May Existing Home Sales - Some positive signals
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 12:31 PM UTC

We expect May existing home sales to increase by 2.0% to 4.10m, extending a marginal 0.2% increase in April but still not fully reversing March’s 2.9% decline. This would bring the first yr/yr increase since October 2025, by 1.5%, following a flat April.

Preview: Due June 9 - U.S. April Trade Balance - Advance goods data points to a lower deficit
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 12:18 PM UTC

We expect an April trade deficit of $55.5bn, down from $60.3bn in March though March’s deficit is likely to be revised lower, probably by around $2.0bn. The deficit appears to be stabilizing slightly below $60bn per month, which compares to around $75bn before Trump took office and implemented dra

Psychology for major markets June 8
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 10:03 AM UTC

"Dangerous Game" in Middle East

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Country Risk in MENA
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Country risk in Middle East and North Africa countries including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Qatar.

Europe Summary and Highlights 8 Jun
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 9:53 AM UTC

Consolidation, after Friday's sharp moves and dollar break higher
Focus remains on Iran, yields, and tech momentum
USD/JPY still dancing on the edge

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Jun 8-12
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 9:28 AM UTC

Expected dollar break higher on a number of pairs, US CPI next data of note
Fed repricing and tech adjustment key factors along with Iran
ECB hike already 100% odds. Given 2 more hikes in the market, a lot priced in

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extending corrective gains
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 7:18 AM UTC

Higher to pressure resistance at the 1.6350/80 May highs as prices unwind oversold daily and weekly studies

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Jun 2
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 6:53 AM UTC

Dollar longs broadened
AUD/NZD pared, though AUD remained an outlier
JPY shorts extended to Jun24 highs
So short base, but USD/JPY highs dollar led, so intervention tactics quandary
AUD,EUR were the outliers and prone to the correction

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Consolidating at 213.30 support, lower later
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 6:51 AM UTC

Steadied at 213.30 support as prices consolidate losses from the 215.50 high of last week

USD flows: Tech, yields, and Iran remain in focus
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 6:36 AM UTC

More Israel strikes despite Trump's warning
Kospi off steeply, Nasdaq future flat
Dollar steadies after break higher, remains well supported

AUD/USD flows: More Missiles
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 5:14 AM UTC

Iran says that Israeli strikes have damaged its Karoon Petrochemical complex

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Jun 8-12
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 4:49 AM UTC

Dollar breaking higher on a number of pairs, US CPI next data of note
Fed repricing and tech adjustment could drag the likes of AUD/USD
ECB hike already 100% odds. Given 2 more hikes in the market, a lot priced in

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating above 1.3300
Freemium Article

June 8, 2026 2:04 AM UTC

Gapped lower to 1.3312 low before turning up to consolidate losses last week from the 1.3485 resistance

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating above 1.1500, room for lower later
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 1:50 AM UTC

Weak opening has seen losses to 1.1505 low before turning up to consolidate sharp losses last week from the 1.1655/85 resistance

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating, room for lower later
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 1:20 AM UTC

Gapped lower at the open to reach 184.33 low before turning higher as prices consolidate losses last week from the 186.00/23 area

USD/JPY flows: Second Read of Q1 GDP Revised Lower
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 1:13 AM UTC

Japan Q1 annualized GDP 1.8%

June 05, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Jun 8-12
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

Dollar breaking higher on a number of pairs, US CPI next data of note
Fed repricing and tech adjustment could drag the likes of AUD/USD
ECB hike already 100% odds. Given 2 more hikes in the market, a lot priced in

Preview: Due June 16 - U.S. May Housing Starts and Permits - Slightly lower on volatile multiples
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 4:47 PM UTC

We look for May housing starts and permits to both see modest declines, with starts down by 2.4% to 1.43m and permits down by 0.2% to 1.42m. The detail is likely to see gains in the single family sector outweighed by corrections lower in multiples.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Approaching strong resistance at 1.3965/85
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Choppy trade around 1.3900 has given way to fresh gains

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, Jun 8-12
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 3:44 PM UTC

Dollar breaking higher on a number of pairs, US CPI next data of note
Fed repricing and tech adjustment could drag the likes of AUD/USD
ECB hike already 100% odds. Given 2 more hikes in the market, a lot priced in

Preview: Due June 15 - U.S. May Industrial Production - Improvement in trend to continue
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

We expect a 0.4% increase in April industrial production with a 0.3% increase in manufacturing, the latter seeing a fifth straight gain to confirm a positive trend. 

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Canada May Employment - Recent weakness largely erased, wages correct lower
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 2:05 PM UTC

Canada’s May employment report keeps the series volatile, with a strong 87.8k bounce reducing unemployment to a four month low of 6.6%, from April’s 6-month high of 6.9%. This should ease any Bank of Canada worries over the weak Q1 GDP data which saw a second straight, if marginal, decline. The

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 2:01 PM UTC

Choppy trade around congestion resistance at 186.00 is giving way to a pullback in EUR-driven trade

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