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November 21, 2025

Chart USD/CAD Update: Extending pressure on strong resistance
Freemium Article

November 21, 2025 4:39 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on resistance within the 1.4100 break level and the 1.4140 weekly high of 5-6 November

FX Weekly Strategy: November 24th-28th
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 4:09 PM UTC

Equities likely to drive FX
Some reasons to expect equity market stabilization and a USD dip
GBP risks on the UK Budget mostly on the downside
JPY still vulnerable to equity recovery short term, but upside preferred medium term

Canada September retail sales - A subdued Q3, October seen unchanged
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 3:22 PM UTC

Canadian retail sales with a 0.7% decline were as the preliminary indicator released with August report had suggested, but ex auto sales exceeded expectations with a rise of 0.2%. Still, Q3 is negative in real terms, and October’s preliminary indicator is unchanged, suggesting a continued subdued

U.S. November S&P PMIs - Still healthy
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 3:01 PM UTC

November’s preliminary S and P PMIs both remain at healthy levels, manufacturing modestly slower at 51.9 from 52.5 but still comfortably positive, while services have unexpectedly seen a modest increase to 55.0 from 54.8. The composite increased to 54.8 from 54.6.

Preview: Due December 5 - Canada November Employment - Correcting from a strong October
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 2:34 PM UTC

Canadian employment data has been volatile in recent months. Underlying trend still seems modestly positive, but after two strong gains in excess of 60k we expect a modest decline of 5k in November. This would lift unemployment to 7.0% from 6.9% in October, still below the 7.1% seen in August and Se

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Leaning lower in both EUR- and JPY-driven trade
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 2:33 PM UTC

Cautious trade beneath critical resistance at 182.00 has given way to a pullback in both EUR- and JPY-driven trade

Chart USD/RUB Update: Lower towards strong support
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 12:38 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to the anticipated break below 80.0000

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Sharp bounce
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 12:20 PM UTC

Cautious trade around congestion at 17.2000 has given way to the anticipated push higher

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Choppy trade - daily studies falling
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 11:58 AM UTC

Consolidation around congestion support at 1.6200 has given way to a sharp bounce towards congestion resistance at 1.6300

Psychology for major markets Nov 21
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 11:31 AM UTC

USD generally firm but JPY correcting recent losses

Europe Summary and Highlights 21 November
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 11:25 AM UTC

USD/JPY dropped half a figure, EUR/USD lost 20 pips and AUD/USD lost 15 pips through the European morning.

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 11:17 AM UTC

Still little change, as deteriorating intraday studies keep prices balanced in choppy trade beneath congestion resistance at 0.9300

FX Daily Strategy: N America, November 21st
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 10:19 AM UTC

Weaker PMIs put downward pressure on the EUR and GBP
GBP risks already on the downside on retail sales
JPY recovering but gains still corrective

EUR, GBP flows: GBP under pressure after weaker PMIs
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 10:08 AM UTC

GBP under pressure after weaker PMIs

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

November 21, 2025 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. September Employment Makes Case for a December easing looks a little weaker
And See Risk Asset Continue its Correction
These Week's Fed Speaker
Japan's Takaichi Outlines More Stimulus
UK CPI Down from Likely Peak

Chart USD/CHF Update: Room for a minor test lower
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 9:40 AM UTC

The test above resistance at 0.8050 has been pushed back from 0.8075

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 9:27 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within strong resistance at congestion around 100.00 and the 100.26 monthly high of 1 August

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Further consolidation - studies leaning lower
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 9:07 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/USD Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 8:46 AM UTC

Choppy trade above congestion support at 1.1500 is giving way to a drift higher

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited tests higher
Freemium Article

November 21, 2025 8:37 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift higher

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U.S. Asset Inflows After April’s Trump Tariffs
Freemium Article

November 21, 2025 8:00 AM UTC

·       Net foreign portfolio inflows have not been hurt by Trump’s April tariff drama, with the AI and tech boom attracting new equity inflows.  Flows could become more volatile with a U.S. equity bear market or recession, but these are modest risk alternative scenarios rather than high r

GBP, AUD, JPY flows: GBP dips briefly on retail sales, risk negative tone
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 7:45 AM UTC

GBP dips briefly on weaker retail sales. Mild risk negative tone perissts. PMIs awaited

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Lower in consolidation from 206.85 fresh year high
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 7:08 AM UTC

Break of the 205.30 October high has seen extension to fresh year high at 206.85 before settling back in consolidation

Chart NOK/SEK Update: Leaning lower in choppy trade
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 6:20 AM UTC

Leaning lower in choppy trade from the .9500 September high to pressure support at the .9350/.9330 area

AUD/USD flows: Regional sentiment sunk
Paying Article

November 21, 2025 5:06 AM UTC

Regional equities sunk