Preview: Due October 27 - U.S. September Durable Goods Orders - Bounce from a below trend August

October 13, 2026 5:57 PM UTC

We expect a 3.5% increase in September durable goods orders after a below trend 0.1% decline in August. While aircraft are likely to lead the increase we expect a healthy 1.0% increase ex transport, also picking up from a below trend 0.2% rise in August.

Preview: Due October 27 - U.S. September New Home Sales - August rise unlikely to be sustained

October 13, 2026 3:59 PM UTC

After August saw new home sales reach an 8-month high of 684k, we expect September to slip to 630k, which would be the lowest since a matching outcome in February. That would be down 7.9% from August though risk is that August’s 6.4% increase will be revised lower.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

October 13, 2026 3:26 PM UTC

Choppy trade beneath strong resistance at the 1.4290 Fibonacci retracement and the 1.4300 current year high of 9 October is giving way to a pullback in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

U.S. September Existing Home Sales - Correction higher but trend weakening

October 13, 2026 2:19 PM UTC

September existing home sales rose by 1.5% after a 3.2% decline in August, with August’s decline revised from -2.0%. This leaves the data slightly stronger than expected though still on a weakening trend, which is likely to continue given rising mortgage rates.

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy trade - background under pressure

October 13, 2026 2:06 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test below congestion support at 177.00

Preview: Due October 14 - U.S. September CPI - Stronger, but with a slower core rate

October 13, 2026 12:33 PM UTC

We expect a stronger rise of 0.6% in overall CPI in September, but a moderate 0.2% increase ex food and energy. Before rounding we expect the respective gains to be 0.57% and 0.19%. The latter would be a significant slowing from August’s 0.29%, but the former would be the strongest since April.

U.S. September NFIB survey - Weaker but remains in recent range

October 13, 2026 12:08 PM UTC

September’s NFIB survey of Small Business Optimism at 97.9 from 98.7 shows a second straight dip but remains within a quite narrow recent range.

Chart EUR/SEK Update: Extending losses from year highs

October 13, 2026 10:38 AM UTC

Anticipated continuation of February gains has posted a fresh year high at 11.3650

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Cautious trade - gains to remain limited

October 13, 2026 9:32 AM UTC

The test below congestion support at 0.9300 has bounced from 0.9280

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Oct 13

October 13, 2026 9:25 AM UTC

Dollar stays bolstered into US CPI; defensive of upside risks
GBP retaining some better support, as political risk pricings rebalance
EUR/AUD still holding around key medium-term support

Chart USD/CHF Update: Price action remains cautious

October 13, 2026 8:36 AM UTC

The anticipated test of resistance at 0.8350 is giving way to a minor pullback

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows - Tech weighed, yields off; US CPI still the n/t decider

October 13, 2026 8:33 AM UTC

Asia tech remains pressured, yields off the highs, dollar flagging
US CPI remains the key n/t guide - if unable to rally then s/t exhaustion/pullback might kick in

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Balanced above fresh year low - background under pressure

October 13, 2026 8:28 AM UTC

Cautious trade has posted a fresh year low around 0.8444

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Turning away from fresh year high

October 13, 2026 8:19 AM UTC

Cautious trade has posted a fresh year high around 102.60

Chart EUR/USD Update: Bounce from fresh year low - background under pressure

October 13, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a dip lower to fresh year lows around 1.1150

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade

October 13, 2026 7:21 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above strong support at 1.3200

Weekly Chart USD/CNH: Retest 6.6910, September current year low

October 13, 2026 7:18 AM UTC

Corrective bounce from the 6.6910 September current year low has met with renewed selling pressure at the 6.7250 high

FX Daily Strategy: Europe Oct 13

October 13, 2026 4:30 AM UTC

Dollar stays bolstered into US CPI; defensive of upside risks
GBP retaining some better support, as political risk pricings rebalance
EUR/AUD still holding around key medium-term support

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower in choppy trade

October 13, 2026 1:50 AM UTC

Extending choppy trade above the 1.3180 low but bearish price action keep pressure on the the downside

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extending losses to fresh year low

October 13, 2026 1:40 AM UTC

Consolidation above 1.1161 low has given way to renewed selling pressure to reach fresh year low at 1.1150