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June 26, 2026
EUR/USD flows: Consolidating into w/e, risk heavy but choppy
June 26, 2026 6:44 AM UTC
Still somewhat slower heading into the weekend, though the heavier corrective risk tone is still prevailing – Nasdaq future off 1% to be inching a low for the week. It still needs to go some way further to be actually breaking down from an 8-week top if that’s how this choppier action if recent
June 25, 2026
U.S. Trimmed Mean and Median PCE Price Indices not as strong as Core PCE
June 25, 2026 6:19 PM UTC
The Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE inflation index, which is reported to be a series favored by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, as well as the Cleveland Fed’s Median PCE price index, look a little less alarming than the Fed’s officially targeted Core PCE price index. This could be used as an argument ag
U.S. Personal Income and Spending, GDP, Durable Goods Orders, and Initial Claims - Mostly firm but consumer spending revised lower
June 25, 2026 1:40 PM UTC
The latest US data is mostly strong, with an upward revision to Q1 GDP, stronger than expected May personal income and spending, still firm core PCE prices, lower initial claims and strength in May durable goods orders outside a fall in transport. However the Q1 GDP revision was mixed, with a signif
Preview: Due June 26 - U.S. May Advance Goods Trade Balance - Exports, Imports and Deficit to rise
June 25, 2026 12:09 PM UTC
We expect an advance May goods trade deficit of $87.8bn, up from $83.0bn in April and the widest deficit since December. We expect exports and imports to both show strong gains, rising by 4.0% and 4.5% respectively. Even if exports and imports saw the same gain in percentage terms, the deficit would