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December 04, 2025

Chartbook: Chart JP Nikkei Update: Corrective pullback from record high
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December 4, 2025 6:20 AM UTC

Saw break of the 45850 September high to reach fresh all-time high at start of Q4 to 52636 high before settling back in consolidation

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, December 4th
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December 4, 2025 4:00 AM UTC

US claims data likely to be benign
Challenger layoff data should also see a dip after October spike
Risk positive tone to favour the AUD
Limited SEK upside coming into November CPI

AUD/USD flows: Trade Balance Beats
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December 4, 2025 3:50 AM UTC

Australian October Trade Balance AUD4385mn

USD/JPY flows: Keeping Up the Jawboning
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December 4, 2025 2:20 AM UTC

Japan's Chief Cabinet Sec. says concerned over rapid, one-sided yen moves

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending gains
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December 4, 2025 1:53 AM UTC

Consolidation at the 1.3200 level has given way to rebound through the 1.3300 level

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extending November gains
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December 4, 2025 1:31 AM UTC

Consolidation below resistance at the 1.1650 congestion has given way to break to extend from the 1.1500/1.1470 November lows

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extend consolidation below 182.00 high
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December 4, 2025 12:57 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation below the 182.00, November current year high

December 03, 2025

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, December 4th
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December 3, 2025 10:00 PM UTC

US claims data likely to be benign
Challenger layoff data should also see a dip after October spike
Risk positive tone to favour the AUD
Limited SEK upside coming into November CPI

Chart USD/CAD Update: Leaning lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

December 3, 2025 4:54 PM UTC

Consolidation beneath resistance at 1.4000 is giving way to renewed selling interest in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, December 4th
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December 3, 2025 4:12 PM UTC

US claims data likely to be benign
Challenger layoff data should also see a dip after October spike
Risk positive tone to favour the AUD
Limited SEK upside coming into November CPI

U.S. November ISM Services - Rise led by delivery times
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December 3, 2025 3:17 PM UTC

November’s ISM services index has marginally extended an October bounce, and at 52.6 from 52.4 is at its highest since February. Details are less impressive but the latest two months suggest the economy is still expanding, if moderately, and worries over tariffs, which may have contributed to a di

USD flows: USD firms slightly on better ISM services data
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December 3, 2025 3:08 PM UTC

ISM services indices support USD

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Cautious trade beneath year highs
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December 3, 2025 2:46 PM UTC

The break above 181.00 is giving way to consolidation

U.S. September Industrial Production - Trend marginally positive
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December 3, 2025 2:34 PM UTC

September industrial production was in line with expectations with a marginal rise of 0.1%, with manufacturing unchanged. Mining was also unchanged with the rise in industrial production coming from a 1.1% upward correction from a 3.0% August decline in weather-sensitive utilities.

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Turkiye’s Inflation Eased to 31.1% y/y in November, Hitting Below Expectations
Freemium Article

December 3, 2025 1:40 PM UTC

Bottom line: According to Turkish Statistical Institute’s (TUIK) announcement on December 3, Turkiye’s inflation softened to 31.1% y/y in November backed by moderate unprocessed food prices. We continue to think upside-tilted inflation risks will likely limit the downward trend during the disin

U.S. November ADP Employment leaves trend looking fairly flat
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December 3, 2025 1:38 PM UTC

ADP’s November estimate of private sector employment of -32k does not quite reverse a 47k increase in October (revised from 42k) but leaves trend looking fairly flat. The data is consistent with negative signals from weekly ADP employment data released a week ago and also the finding of the latest

USD, JPY, EUR, AUD flows: USD lower on weaker ADP
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December 3, 2025 1:29 PM UTC

Decline in ADP employment increases expectatinos of Fed ease, suggests scope for more USD losses, particularly versus AUD and JPY

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Consolidating - long-term studies under pressure
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December 3, 2025 12:53 PM UTC

The anticipated test of critical support within 16.9280 - 17.0315 is giving way to consolidation

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Range trade - background studies under pressure
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December 3, 2025 12:14 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the broad 1.6200 - 1.6200 range

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidating - background studies rising
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December 3, 2025 11:31 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday and daily studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Europe Summary and Highlights 3 December
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December 3, 2025 11:17 AM UTC

The USD was generally weaker through the European morning, with GBP and scandis making the biggest gains.

Psychology for major markets Dec 3
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December 3, 2025 11:02 AM UTC

USD slipping lower on stronger European PMIs and hopes of Fed easing

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Asia Country Risk Ratings
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December 3, 2025 11:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Asia countries including China, India, Indonesia, Taiwan and Phillipines.  

FX Daily Strategy: N America, December 3rd
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December 3, 2025 10:04 AM UTC

ADP the focus with downside risks for the USD
JPY ought to be the biggest beneficiary of weak data
AUD looks attractive despite Q3 GDP miss
CHF weakness is welcome for the SNB

Chart USD/CHF Update: Leaning lower
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December 3, 2025 9:55 AM UTC

Choppy trade beneath resistance at the 0.8050 break level is giving way to a pullback