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June 01, 2026

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Turkish Economy Grew by a Below-Expectation 2.5% y/y in Q1
Paying Article

June 1, 2026 12:38 PM UTC

Bottom Line: The Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) announced Q1 2026 growth figures on June 1. Turkish economy expanded by a below-expectations 2.5% y/y in Q1. The main drag came from net trade as annual exports and imports shrank by 12.7% and 2%, respectively, while industrial sector contracted

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Limited tests higher - studies under pressure
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June 1, 2026 12:22 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a test higher

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Choppy trade edging higher
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June 1, 2026 11:50 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade around resistance at 1.6100

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Choppy in range - studies under pressure
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June 1, 2026 11:07 AM UTC

The anticipated test of congestion support at 0.9100 is giving way to a bounce

Europe Summary and Highlights 1 Jun
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June 1, 2026 9:55 AM UTC

Lack of signoff delivery, and ongoing frictions lift oil off the lows (+3%)
Stems NZD (-0.6%, rolled from 0.6); and SEK (-0.5%) as leaks back into some dollar support
EUR/USD consolidates at 1.1650 decision point

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Jun 1st-5th
Paying Article

June 1, 2026 9:23 AM UTC

Focus on elusive MoU, dollar to slip if deal signed, though long-term outlook less clear cut
Oil crosses such as NOK/SEK also potential to key off resolution if/when seen 
Payrolls and ISM the key data out of the US, to show ongoing resilience
Outside of Iran, a large list of political tail risk event

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Sharp reversal
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June 1, 2026 9:18 AM UTC

The anticipated test of congestion resistance at 0.8680 has given way to sharp selling interest

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Limited tests higher
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June 1, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test of congestion resistance at 186.00

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
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June 1, 2026 8:46 AM UTC

The anticipated test of congestion support at 0.7800 has giving way to a bounce

Psychology for major markets June 1
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June 1, 2026 8:26 AM UTC

Is the deal here yet

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP flows: Data leaves consolidation in place
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June 1, 2026 8:22 AM UTC

Data leaves current consolidation in place

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Choppy trade - studies turning down
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June 1, 2026 7:58 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a spike down to 98.75

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - daily studies rising
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June 1, 2026 7:38 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a spike to 1.1685

Chart GBP/USD Update: Daily studies improving
Freemium Article

June 1, 2026 7:26 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a push higher

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e May 26th
Paying Article

June 1, 2026 6:59 AM UTC

AUD/NZD position trimmed both sides but still large - further adjustments since
JPY shorts extend to highest since Jul24, albeit not that extreme in scale
GBP remained skewed short

EUR/USD flows: Holding pattern
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June 1, 2026 6:36 AM UTC

Still a holding pattern after failure to move forward yet, ongoing tensions

AUD/USD flows: Risk Hopeful
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June 1, 2026 4:54 AM UTC

Broader risk hopeful without anything concrete

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Jun 1st-5th
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June 1, 2026 4:00 AM UTC

Focus on MoU, dollar to slip if deal signed, though long-term outlook less clear cut
Oil crosses such as NOK/SEK also potential to key off sustained pullback 
Payrolls and ISM the key data out of the US, to show ongoing resilience
Outside of Iran, a large list of political tail risk events across the

USD/JPY flows: Doesn't sound like a deal is close
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June 1, 2026 3:06 AM UTC

Barrage of headlines over the weekend

May 29, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Jun 1st-5th
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May 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

Focus on MoU, dollar to slip if deal signed, though long-term outlook less clear cut
Oil crosses such as NOK/SEK also potential to key off sustained pullback 
Payrolls and ISM the key data out of the US, to show ongoing resilience
Outside of Iran, a large list of political tail risk events across the

EUR/USD flows: Final decision?
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May 29, 2026 3:34 PM UTC

Positive noises as Trump making 'final determination' on MoU

Preview: Due June 9 - U.S. April Trade Balance - Advance goods data points to a lower deficit
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May 29, 2026 3:28 PM UTC

We expect an April trade deficit of $55.5bn, down from $60.3bn in March though March’s deficit is likely to be revised lower, probably by around $2.0bn. The deficit appears to be stabilizing slightly below $60bn per month, which compares to around $75bn before Trump took office and implemented dra

Chart USD/CAD Update: Choppy trade leaning lower
Freemium Article

May 29, 2026 3:19 PM UTC

Choppy trade is giving way to a fresh test lower

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, Jun 1st-5th
Paying Article

May 29, 2026 3:14 PM UTC

Focus on MoU, dollar to slip if deal signed, though long-term outlook less clear cut
Oil crosses such as NOK/SEK also potential to key off sustained pullback 
Payrolls and ISM the key data out of the US, to show ongoing resilience
Outside of Iran, a large list of political tail risk events across the

Preview: Due June 1 - U.S. May ISM Manufacturing - A renewed acceleration
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May 29, 2026 2:08 PM UTC

We expect a rise in May’s ISM manufacturing index to 53.5 from 52.7, reaching its highest level since June 2022 after four straight similar months, extending the improvement from negative late 2025 readings.