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August 20, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Partial Recovery
Paying Article

August 20, 2026 5:36 AM UTC

USD/JPY recovered partially on Thursday

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 20
Paying Article

August 20, 2026 4:13 AM UTC

USD breaks weaker after Treasury buyback move, might have done some damage on the s/t charts
Whether 'bond put' or 'dollar debasement' narrative, neither helping dollar near-term

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher
Freemium Article

August 20, 2026 2:12 AM UTC

Settled back from the 1.3630 high as prices consolidate bullish break above the 1.3550/58 July high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extending bullish break
Paying Article

August 20, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Consolidating at the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance has given way to sharp break higher to approach resistance at 1.1685/1.1700 area

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Pressuring 185.00, scope for break
Paying Article

August 20, 2026 1:13 AM UTC

Bounce from support at the 184.00 congestion see pressure returning to the upside to reach strong resistance at 184.92/185.00 area

August 19, 2026

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FOMC Minutes: Inter-meeting data seen as important
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:58 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 confirm that most participants supported leaving rates steady but several favored a 25bps tightening, implying more than the three hawkish dissenters, presumably non-voting district presidents. Many assessed that tightening would be necessary if inflation did not decline, w

FOMC Minutes: Inter-meeting data seen as important
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:56 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 confirm that most participants supported leaving rates steady but several favored a 25bps tightening, implying more than the three hawkish dissenters, presumably non-voting district presidents. Many assessed that tightening would be necessary if inflation did not decline, w

Chart USD/CAD Update: Lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

August 19, 2026 3:39 PM UTC

Consolidation around congestion resistance at 1.3900 has given way to a sharp fall in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 20
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

USD breaks weaker after Treasury buyback move, might have done some damage on the s/t charts
Whether 'bond put' or 'dollar debasement' narrative, neither helping dollar near-term

USD/JPY, EUR/USD flows: Dollar breaks lower with yields after Treasury backstopping signal
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 1:31 PM UTC

Dollar breaks lower as Treasury increases long end buyback ops
Drives long end yields down, reverses the week's gains, and viewed as backstopping reassurance
Dollar reaction both driven by yields but also the 'bad look'

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy in JPY-driven trade
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 1:22 PM UTC

Consolidation beneath resistance at 185.00 has given way to a spike lower in JPY-driven trade

Weekly Chart EUR/USD Update: Poised for further gains
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 11:32 AM UTC

Extended consolidation above congestion support at 1.1500 is giving way to fresh gains,
with prices currently pressuring strong resistance at the 1.1615 Fibonacci retracement.
Weekly stochastics continue to rise and the weekly Tension Indicator is also positive, suggesting an improvement in sentiment

Chart EUR/NOK Update: Lower in range - studies coming under pressure
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 10:49 AM UTC

The anticipated drift lower has reached strong multi-week support within the 10.8525 Fibonacci retracement and the 10.8765 monthly low of 24 July

Europe Summary and Highlights 19 Aug
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 10:02 AM UTC

Equity and bond back and forth, market edgy up at these levels
CAD does react much initially to deadline extension, suggestion of potential deal, but still has potential
GBP little moved out of broadly as expected CPI

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Balanced beneath year high
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 9:59 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Psychology for major markets Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 9:35 AM UTC

Sea of Red

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Running on Empty - Low Rivers could add to Europe’s Supply Squeeze
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 9:30 AM UTC

* Drought is not only directly impacting water-dependent activity, fire damage, and food crops. It is also seeing extreme low river levels across the major Rhine–Danube/Central-European industrial corridor
* That can significantly impact freight flow, adding to costs and disrupting industrial produ

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:53 AM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade coming under pressure
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:20 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a pullback

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - prices coming under pressure
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Further consolidation - studies improving
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 7:50 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.8547 - 0.8560 range

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - studies improving
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 7:44 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath resistance within congestion around 1.1600 and the 1.1620~ weekly high of 15 June

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies improving
Freemium Article

August 19, 2026 7:30 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath resistance at the 1.3558 monthly high of 15 July

EUR/USD, USD/CAD, EUR/GBP flows: Risk still retreating, CAD not celebrating yet; data leaves BoE views unchanged
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:59 AM UTC

Risk still correcting while bonds level off, and oil still drifting out 
CAD not yet celebrating potential deal, as talks extended 
Sterling unmoved by CPI, BoE odds still at that gradual move to one hike view

Weekly Chart USD/CNH: Still grinding lower, but stretched
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:37 AM UTC

Still grinding lower to reach fresh year low at 6.7375 as prices extend losses from the April 2025 year high

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