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March 13, 2024

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Country Insights: Human Resource Potential
Paying Article

March 13, 2024 11:30 AM UTC

The most recent update of our Country Insights model places Ireland, China and Belarus as strong performers in the Human Resource Potential factor. In contrast, Iraq, Equatorial Guinea and Congo rank at the top bottom of the ranking.

March 12, 2024

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Country Insights: Technology and Innovation
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March 12, 2024 11:30 AM UTC

The most recent update of our Country Insights model places Singapore as the leading performer in the world in the Technology and Innovation factor. In contrast, Afghanistan ranks at the bottom of the ranking.

March 11, 2024

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Country Insights: Demography
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March 11, 2024 11:27 AM UTC

The most recent update of our Country Insights model places several African countries at the top of the Demography factor ranking, including Zambia, Uganda, Tanzania and others. In contrast, some European countries such as Croatia, Italy and Greece rank at the bottom of the list.

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Central America: Country Risk Ratings
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March 11, 2024 11:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Central America countries including Cuba and El Salvador.  

March 08, 2024

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Country Risk in MENA
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March 8, 2024 11:00 AM UTC

Country risk in Middle East and North Africa is impacted by the ongoing war in Gaza.     

March 07, 2024

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Sub Sahara Africa: Country Risk Ratings
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March 7, 2024 11:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Sub Sahara Africa countries including Ethophia/Sudan and Angola/DRC.  

March 06, 2024

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Asia Country Risk Ratings
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March 6, 2024 11:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Asia countries including China, Malaysia, Philippines and Taiwan.  

February 28, 2024

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2023 Q4 Shadow Credit Ratings to download in Excel
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February 28, 2024 11:50 AM UTC

Below is the access to our latest Shadow Sovereign Credit Ratings.

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2023 Q4 Country Insights Scores to download in Excel
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February 28, 2024 11:50 AM UTC

Below is the access to our full range of scores across 174 countries.

February 13, 2024

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BJP's Political Confidence Shines Through in India's FY25 Interim Budget
Freemium Article

February 13, 2024 10:44 AM UTC

India's interim budget for FY25 presented ahead of the upcoming general election, reflects the government's commitment to economic growth, infrastructure development, and fiscal responsibility. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted key aspects of the budget, emphasizing a multi-pronged app

January 25, 2024

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The war in Gaza and Country Risk in MENA
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January 25, 2024 11:00 AM UTC

Country risk in Middle East and North Africa is impacted by the ongoing war in Gaza, though we feel that the war will likely come to an end in the coming months.    

January 22, 2024

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Latin and Central America: Country Risk Ratings
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January 22, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Latin and Central America countries including Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico.  

January 19, 2024

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Middle East and North Africa: Country Risk Ratings
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January 19, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Middle East and North Africa including Saudi Arabia, Iran and Egypt.  

January 18, 2024

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Chile Constitution Progress Remains Slow
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January 18, 2024 8:30 PM UTC

Progress on changing Chile constitution remains slow.

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EM Europe/CIS: Country Risk Ratings

January 18, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for EM Europe/CIS countries including Russia, Ukraine and Turkey. 

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Hong Kong Political Risk Remain
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January 18, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

Hong Kong is assigned a medium-low overall risk, with political violence at the same risk level.

January 17, 2024

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Saudi Iran Relations Help Cools Major Risk
Paying Article

January 17, 2024 8:00 PM UTC

Saudi Arabia less hostile relationship with Iran is curtailing the risk of a major war in the Middle East.  

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Sub Sahara Africa: Country Risk Ratings
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January 17, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Sub Sahara Africa countries including S Africa.  

January 16, 2024

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Asia Country Risk Ratings
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January 16, 2024 11:57 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Asia countries including India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Taiwan.  

December 07, 2023

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MENA: Human Resource Potential
Paying Article

December 7, 2023 3:18 PM UTC

The Human Resource Potential factor measures the extent to which the country's economy is able to make use of its human resources. It assesses levels of education, employment, labor force participation, and labor market rigidity. In our latest update for the third quarter of 2023 (here), the UAE, Ba

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LATAM: Health Scores
Paying Article

December 7, 2023 1:55 PM UTC

The Health factor measures the basic health of the population, as reflected by mortality levels (infant, child, maternal), current life expectancy at birth, and the ability of the health system to deliver vaccinations. In our latest update for the third quarter of 2023 (here), Chile, Uruguay, and Co

December 06, 2023

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Global Country Strength Index Scores
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December 6, 2023 4:24 PM UTC

The Country Strength Index reflects a country’s macroeconomic, growth potential, political, and social strength. In particular, it is based on the four model’s pillars – external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, medium-term growth potential, and social inclusion. In our latest up

November 30, 2023

2023 Q3 Shadow Credit Ratings to download in Excel
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November 30, 2023 11:18 AM UTC

We produce Shadow Credit Ratings for 162 countries, comparable to official credit rating agencies.
The ratings are based on our Country Strength Index, which is our most comprehensive assessment across our full range of Country Insights data. The ratings are consistent with our 2023-Q3 Country Insigh

2023 Q3 Country Insights Scores to download in Excel
Paying Article

November 30, 2023 11:17 AM UTC

The scores file allows for comparison with other periods and ranking for all countries across the headline indicators and are available as easily accessible time series. For more details see our methodology document. 

October 23, 2023

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Asia and Elections: Country Risk
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October 23, 2023 7:29 AM UTC

Asia Regional Overview
India continues to be an investor haven supported by strong economic growth and stable policy guidance. The political environment is heating up in India as well, as the country prepares for regional elections in five states in end-2023 and then for the larger general elections

October 20, 2023

Asia Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

October 20, 2023 3:21 PM UTC

Cambodia
Cambodia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Samdech Hun Sen remains the prime minister of the country and leader of Cambodia’s People Party (CPP) and has been since 1985. Hun Sen won the 2023 election with a 76.85%, winning 120 out of the 125 seats. The leader of the Cambodia Nati

Middle East and North Africa: Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

October 20, 2023 3:18 PM UTC

Algeria
Algeria’s overall risk remains medium high. Since Abdelmadjid Tebboune assumed office in December 2019, a series of popular policies have been implemented, contributing to an enhancement of government and political stability. Notwithstanding, a number of challenges persist, making political

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Middle East and North Africa: Country Risk Grows
Paying Article

October 20, 2023 8:49 AM UTC

 It is also feasible that Hezbollah in South Lebanon could be drawn into the conflict depending on how the situation in Gaza and Israel develops. Israel is also likely to retaliate against Iran at a later date, due to intense political pressures in Israel. This is most probably to involve attacks o

October 19, 2023

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EM Europe/CIS: Country Risk Ratings

October 19, 2023 10:33 AM UTC

Armenia
Armenia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Vahagn Khachaturyan continues to be the president of Armenia after being in elected in March 2022, after the resignation of his predecessor. Political violence remains medium high and political interference and legal & regulatory risk at a m

Africa: Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

October 19, 2023 9:19 AM UTC

Angola
Angola’s overall risk has decreased to a medium high level. In 2022 Lourenco was re-elected, after the previous presidency of Jose dos Santos that had lasted 38 years up to 2017. The new government has tried to increase investment from abroad through various policies, such as fiscal consolid

Eastern Europe and CIS: Country Risk
Paying Article

October 19, 2023 9:02 AM UTC

Eastern Europe and CIS Regional Overview
The main issue across the Eastern Europe and CIS region is still the Russia - Ukraine war, which remains deadlocked. Taking into account that the winter is arriving (as Russia prefers to keep low level activity during the winter time), in addition to Russia’

October 18, 2023

Latin and Central America: Country Risk
Paying Article

October 18, 2023 9:23 AM UTC

Latin and Central America Regional Overview
During the last quarter, Brazil experienced a period of relative stability with no major significant events. President Lula has maintained his position of authority, while the opposition forces remain comparatively subdued. Some changes in the cabinet were

October 17, 2023

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Sub Sahara Africa: Country Risk
Paying Article

October 17, 2023 2:19 PM UTC

South Africa economic problems remain acute with large power cuts during the winter season and the logistic and transport crisis restraining production and exports. The government is trying to make progress on both fronts, but progress remains slow. Though the G7 and China has separately offered hel

September 01, 2023

Investment Attractiveness in European Countries
Paying Article

September 1, 2023 12:59 PM UTC

Source: Continuum Economics
The Investment Attractiveness Index weights three pillars of our Country Insights model; namely, external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, and medium-term growth potential. In our latest update for the second quarter of 2023 (here), Denmark, Poland, and Norwa

August 31, 2023

Export Diversification: Africa in Focus
Paying Article

August 31, 2023 2:00 PM UTC

Source: Continuum Economics
Consistent with a United Nations (UN) report on export diversification in Africa (here), our Country Insights model (here) suggests the need of countries in this continent to diversify their economies. Targeted trade policies aiming to achieve diversification will likely r

Country Strength Index: LATAM Under Review
Paying Article

August 31, 2023 12:55 PM UTC

Source: Continuum Economics
The Country Strength Index weights the four pillars of our Country Insights model, which include external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, medium-term growth potential, and social inclusion. In our latest update for the second quarter of 2023 (here), Uruguay,

August 29, 2023

2023 Q2 Shadow Credit Ratings to download in Excel
Paying Article

August 29, 2023 4:26 PM UTC

We produce Shadow Credit Ratings for 162 countries, comparable to official credit rating agencies.
The ratings are based on our Country Strength Index, which is our most comprehensive assessment across our full range of Country Insights data. The ratings are consistent with our 2023 Q2 Country Insigh

2023 Q2 Country Insights Scores to download in Excel
Paying Article

August 29, 2023 4:25 PM UTC

The scores file allows for comparison with other periods and ranking for all countries across the headline indicators and are available as easily accessible time series.  For more details see our methodology document. 

July 21, 2023

Asia: Election Fever and High Inflation Impact
Paying Article

July 21, 2023 7:26 AM UTC

Alongside India, its neighbor Pakistan’s elections are due in October, which will likely stoke violence there. Indonesia too is gearing up for elections in early 2024 and the political landscape there is also tense. In the past quarter, political risks were elevated in Asia given unpopular policie

Asia Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

July 21, 2023 7:15 AM UTC

Afghanistan
Afghanistan has a very-high overall risk. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (ruling political entity) is under the leadership of the Taliban, a predominantly Pashtun, and Islamic fundamentalist political movement. The presence of ethnic fragmentation, Islamic terrorist movement and human

July 20, 2023

Africa: Politics and Reform
Paying Article

July 20, 2023 1:02 PM UTC

South Africa remains in the spotlight, both due to problems relating to the Ukraine war and also the approaching 2024 general election (scheduled between May and August). The government is investigating U.S. claims that arms were shipped to Russia from a naval base, though the U.S. has downplayed th

Ukraine War Dominates the Region
Paying Article

July 20, 2023 7:31 AM UTC

Eastern Europe and CIS Regional Overview
In Russia, Wagner Group’s mutiny on June 23, which involved Wagner forces marching towards Moscow and taking control of military facilities in two Russian cities, tipped the scales and weakened President Putin’s authority. Despite Putin announcing on July

EM Europe/CIS Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

July 20, 2023 7:29 AM UTC

Albania
Albania has a medium overall risk. Political leadership is stable in Albania, with the Socialist Party of Albania retaining election for the third consecutive term in April 2021. The government are expected to serve its term in its entirety, with the next election in 2025. However, high food

July 19, 2023

Middle East: Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

July 19, 2023 2:15 PM UTC

Bahrain
Bahraini overall risk has fallen from medium-high to medium. Social unrest remains a challenge in Bahrain, due to its Shia Muslim population’s long-drawn discontent with the Sunni ruling Al Khalifa royal family. The Sunni ruling Al Khalifa royal family holds the main political and military

Latin and Central America: Political and Other Risks
Paying Article

July 19, 2023 7:20 AM UTC

Latin and Central America Regional Overview
In Brazil, a significant development unfolded recently with the disqualification of former President Jair Bolsonaro, making headlines across the country. The Superior Electoral Tribunal found him guilty of misusing official communication and engaging in ec

July 14, 2023

Unleashing the Tempest: El Niño's Looming Threat to Asian Economies
Paying Article

July 14, 2023 9:37 AM UTC

Asia has emerged as a resilient region having faced a triad of shocks in the past year (Ukraine conflict, monetary tightening and commodity price rally), now faces a looming threat in the form of El Niño, with far-reaching consequences. Climate experts globally have highlighted a moderate to high r

June 02, 2023

Country Insights Country Strength Index changes 2020Q2 vs 2023Q1
Paying Article

June 2, 2023 2:43 PM UTC

The change in the Country Strength Index from 2020 Q2 to 2023 Q1 release shows an improvement of some Asian countries, whereas the countries that have deteriorated the most in the subsample are European.
The current outcome for Australia demonstrates its rapid recovery from the pandemic. Favorable te