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FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 14-18
Paying Article

September 11, 2026 5:21 PM UTC

A week of 2 key central bank meetings..
We expect a 25bp Fed hike but perhaps a "dovish hike". Could temper dollar given a lot priced in further out
BoJ also seen going 25bp. A heavy USD/JPY needs validation on shift to quarterly pace however to extend - else to re-test persistence of supply
CHF still

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U.S. Equity-Treasury Strains and Correction Risk
Paying Article

September 9, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

·       Equity investors have taken note of higher U.S. Treasury yields, but the influence of the AI boom and corporate earnings is greater.  Nevertheless, the U.S. equity market valuation means that it is stretched currently versus the U.S. Treasury market and could be hurt by moderate bad

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 2:47 PM UTC

US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s

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Barbarous Relic or Strategic Hedge - Gold in a late-cycle portfolio
Freemium Article

September 1, 2026 7:00 AM UTC

* Gold worked off early year retail excess, moving into a more constructive technical and seasonal period
* The strategic case for gold is much wider: rich risk asset valuations can neither be sat out nor left unhedged
* History (no guarantee of future performance…) supports increased gold hedges in

EUR/USD, GBP/USD flows - UK labour data softer; schizophrenic mood slightly catches up with risk o/n
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 6:41 AM UTC

The schizophrenic, compartmentalised performance slightly catches up with risk overnight, as US-Iran standoff slightly dents mood
UK labor data overall soft and helps keep BoE wait and see on hold 

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring July high
Freemium Article

August 18, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Bounce from the 1.3475 low has seen gains to retest the 1.3550/58, July high

North American Summary and Highlights 17 August
Freemium Article

August 17, 2026 7:42 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was softer in Europe but corrected higher in North America assisted by gains in oil. 

UK CPI Preview: Headline Inflation to Increase on Higher Energy Costs but no Second Round Effects
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 9:24 AM UTC

·       Inflation figures will come ahead of BoE meeting on September 17 in which the Bank is expected to keep rates on hold. Headline annual inflation rose to 2.9% in July and is forecast to increase to 3.1% in August with core also ticking up to 2.7% from 2.6% previously. The numbers are un

UK CPI Preview: Headline Inflation to Increase on Higher Energy Costs but no Second Round Effects
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 9:22 AM UTC

·       Inflation figures will come ahead of BoE meeting on September 17 in which the Bank is expected to keep rates on hold. Headline annual inflation rose to 2.9% in July and is forecast to increase to 3.1% in August with core also ticking up to 2.7% from 2.6% previously. The numbers are un

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports - carry switching on show, contrary indicator for kiwi
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 8:57 AM UTC

Spec market turns slightly JPY long for the first time since Apr
At the same time, CHF shorts pick back up on switching, now some 1.3stdev above average
Overall $ long pared back further, still net long but back within normal bounds, tempering headwinds
Mkt still short GBP, positioning may be tending t

Chart USD/CHF Update: Approaching year highs
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 8:28 AM UTC

Minor consolidation beneath 0.8150 has given way to the anticipated break higher

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Room for lower
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 8:09 AM UTC

Cautious trade above 0.8580 has given way to anticipated losses

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Poised for further gains
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 7:51 AM UTC

Choppy trade above congestion support at 99.00 has given way to anticipated gains

Chart EUR/USD Update: Room for lower
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 7:36 AM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.1600 has given way to anticipated selling interest

Chartbook: Chart EUR/GBP: Any gains to remain limited - long-term studies under pressure
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 7:26 AM UTC

The anticipated continuation of November losses to strong support at the 0.8470 Fibonacci retracement and 0.8475, (GBP/EUR 1.1800), is giving way to a bounce

Chart GBP/USD Update: Choppy in range - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

September 14, 2026 7:23 AM UTC

The test below strong support at the 1.3475 Fibonacci retracement has bounced from 1.3465

Chartbook: US Chart Crude Oil Futures: Extending gains from the July low
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 7:13 AM UTC

Staged recovery from the 67.00 low at the start of Q3 to retrace sharp losses from the 119.50, March current year high

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Open AI Delay IPO and Safety Fears
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 6:59 AM UTC

·       For financial markets, the Open AI IPO delay risks making the Open AI ecosystem more volatile, despite the huge private financing that it has already done this year.  Additionally, the wider safety fears and calls for slowing by leading AI labs increase the risks surrounding the 2027

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, DXY flows: pressures offer $ support
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 6:53 AM UTC

Risk negatives offering dollar some early week support into key meetings

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Corrective bounce from 17500 low
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 5:59 AM UTC

Little change, as prices turned up in range from the 17500 low to reach resistance at 17600/17625 congestion

Chart USD/CNH Update: Drifting narrowly above 6.7030 low
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 5:44 AM UTC

Little change, as prices drift narrowly above the 6.7030 low after bounce attempt was checked at the 6.7150 resistance

Asia Summary and Highlights 14 September
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 5:25 AM UTC

Asia Session
Broader risk sentiment is sour on geopolitics. Over the weekend, there is more harassment in the Strait, concern on Saudi’s pipeline also worsens.  Major equity indexes are performing individually but are tilted south. AUD/USD is trading 0.29% lower at 0.7149. NZD/USD is trading 0.51%

AUD/USD flows: Risk Sour
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 5:09 AM UTC

Risk sours on geopolitics 

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 14-18
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 3:30 AM UTC

A week of 2 key central bank meetings..
We expect a 25bp Fed hike but perhaps a "dovish hike". Could temper dollar given a lot priced in further out
BoJ also seen going 25bp. A heavy USD/JPY needs validation on shift to quarterly pace however to extend - else to re-test persistence of supply
CHF still

Chart USD/MYR Update: Consolidating test of 4.0750 resistance
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 2:40 AM UTC

Little change, as prices consolidate beneath the 4.0750 resistance following strong gains from the 4.0200 low

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