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Chart GBP/USD Update: Choppy trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

June 22, 2026 7:31 AM UTC

The opening gap below 1.3200 has given way to a bounce

Chartbook: Chart GER 10 Year Yield: Yields to remain under pressure into the coming weeks
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 12:57 PM UTC

The anticipated break higher in yields has posted a fresh 15-year high at 3.200%

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BoJ Review: One Percent
Freemium Article

June 16, 2026 4:39 AM UTC

The BoJ hike rates by 25bps to 1% in the June meeting 

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U.S./Iran Interim Deal and Reopening Strait of Hormuz
Paying Article

June 15, 2026 12:32 PM UTC

  ·       Our baseline (80%) is that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen in H2 2026 and remains open through 2027.  However, logistics dislocation plus a switch from commercial inventory rundown to rebuilding will likely slow the decline in oil prices back towards normal levels (Figure 1).  O

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ECB Review: If Not Insurance, Why the Hike?
Paying Article

June 11, 2026 2:27 PM UTC

The 25 bp official rate hike unveiled today was so well-flagged it is hard to suggest that it is consistent with a decision process on a meeting-by-meeting basis.  Similarly, the dominance of inflation upside risks, alongside another dose of optimistic real economy projections, is hardly proper dat

USD flows: Net firm batch of US data, if no knock-outs
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 12:41 PM UTC

Strong batch of data overall, though avoids any 'headline shocks'
Mkt consolidates its recent repositioning

Preview: Due June 26 - U.S. May Advance Goods Trade Balance - Exports, Imports and Deficit to rise
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 12:09 PM UTC

We expect an advance May goods trade deficit of $87.8bn, up from $83.0bn in April and the widest deficit since December. We expect exports and imports to both show strong gains, rising by 4.0% and 4.5% respectively. Even if exports and imports saw the same gain in percentage terms, the deficit would

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Back in range - daily studies rising
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 11:17 AM UTC

The test above 16.6000 has been pushed back from 16.6750

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Back in range - studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 10:45 AM UTC

The break below 1.6150 has bounced from 1.6125, as intraday studies turn higher

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidating - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 10:06 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.9200 - 0.9230 range

Europe Summary and Highlights 25 Jun
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 10:01 AM UTC

Consolidation after recent fast dollar action
Oil fully back to pre-Iran, equities bolstered by earnings

Psychology for major markets June 25
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 9:20 AM UTC

Israel has pulled back from part of its buffer zone in southern Lebanon

Chart USD/CHF Update: Balanced beneath fresh year high
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 8:43 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test above the 0.8125 monthly high of 5 November 2025

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Balanced beneath fresh year high
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 8:19 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have posted a fresh year high at 101.80

USD flows: OPEC pressure cooker
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 8:14 AM UTC

Reuters sources have Iraq making OPEC threats of quota
Iran closures have exerted critical financial and fiscal stress on the region
That creates a pressure cooker environment for (hopefully) post war supply and cooperation

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Choppy above year lows - studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 8:02 AM UTC

The push above resistance at 0.8620, (GBP/EUR 1.1600), has not been sustained

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June Outlook: Iran War and AI Challenges
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 7:55 AM UTC

Our June Outlook is now published and please see all our economic and policy chapters below.  

Chart EUR/USD Update: Balanced above fresh year low - studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Anticipated losses have tested below the 1.1355 Fibonacci retracement to post a fresh year low at 1.1325

Chart GBP/USD Update: Balanced above fresh year low
Freemium Article

June 25, 2026 7:35 AM UTC

Anticipated selling interest has posted a fresh year low at 1.3140

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Consolidating, room for lower later
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 7:26 AM UTC

Leaning lower in consolidation from resistance at the 215.50 highs but losses still limited below the 213.00 level

Preview: Due July 2 - U.S. June Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - World Cup boost versus underlying slowing
Freemium Article

June 25, 2026 7:12 AM UTC

We expect June’s non-farm payroll to rise by 115k overall and by 125k in the private sector, the former a slowing from 172k in May but the latter marginally stronger than May’s 120k increase. We expect the unemployment rate to remain at 4.3% for a fourth straight month and an in line with trend

EUR/USD flows: Consolidation; mulling Bessent and the shape of the Fed curve
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 6:57 AM UTC

Oil fills gap, chip earnings strong
Dollar takes a breather consolidates recent action
Debate over Bessent's comments and what that might say for Fed policy

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extend corrective gains
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 6:56 AM UTC

Break above the 1.6400/25 resistance see prices extending bounce from the 1.6300 congestion to retest the 1.6500 resistance

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extend corrective gains
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 6:40 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 6.8000/60 resistance has given way to break to extend bounce from the 6.7540 low

Asia Summary and Highlights 25 June
Paying Article

June 25, 2026 5:35 AM UTC

Australian May unemployment rate 4.4%
BoJ Hawk Tamura says neutral rate around 2% 

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