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FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Oct 22

October 21, 2026 2:35 PM UTC

Positioning and oversold conditions obstructing euro follow through traction; downside focus switching to options protection
AUD lifted by short-covering and momentum swing towards a Nov hike pricing
Focus remains news driven rather than calendar-centric

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, 19-23 October

October 16, 2026 2:43 PM UTC

US bonds and USD became overstretched, looking to rebalance n/t
Quiet week though event risks coming onto the horizon
Big picture cross-asset themes across bonds-equities-dollar relationships remain a background focus

AI and The U.S. Economy

October 9, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

· The AI boom is boosting the U.S. economy through three channels (semiconductor and other product enablers for AI; the data center construction boom and wealth effects boosting consumption for rich households). If AI labs revenue growth remains fast then the boom can continue through

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Back in range

October 1, 2026 5:14 PM UTC

Sharp losses have bounced from the 17860 low of 30 September

Preview: Due October 15 - U.S. September PPI - Inflationary pressure still significant

October 1, 2026 4:52 PM UTC

We expect September PPI to increase by 0.6% overall led by energy with 0.3% gains in both core rates, ex food and energy and ex food, energy and trade. This will suggest inflationary pressures remain elevated, with little sign of slowing at the producer level.

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports - sterling got thematically oversold

September 28, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

Dollar longs bounce back and now fairly broad
Most dollar pairs moderate however rather than extreme
Sterling the exception, became the most popular "obvious short" last week amid CB moves
Potentially stretched now into cable support, BoE shifting Nov odds. EUR/GBP also again rejecting resistance test,

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 28 - Oct 2

September 25, 2026 3:17 PM UTC

High profile US data, but would need something big to impact now after recent steep mkt adjustment
Dollar retains bullish posture overall, but a overstretched and consolidating/correcting steep run to levels on most pairs
Japan rolls out the verbals; BoE comments hint at dab in November
Round of CB mee

Chart GBP/USD Update: Balanced above 1.3200 - studies remain under pressure

September 25, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

The test of strong support at 1.3200 is giving way to anticipated consolidation

Weekly Chart USD Index DXY: Room for a limited test lower - background studies remain positive

October 23, 2026 11:46 AM UTC

The break below 102.00 has reached congestion support at 101.50

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Balanced at strong support - background studies falling

October 23, 2026 10:06 AM UTC

Little change, as unwinding oversold intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Pakistan Country Risk Rating

October 23, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Pakistan remains at a high rating.

Europe Summary and Highlights 23 Oct

October 23, 2026 9:59 AM UTC

French PMI weakness weighs, though 1.12~ consolidation still sticky
UK retail sales weakness balanced by firmer PMI
Japan CPI confirmed higher, projection seen lifted

Chart USD/CHF Update: Limited tests higher

October 23, 2026 8:30 AM UTC

Choppy trade above congestion support at 0.8200 is giving way to a bounce

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Extending consolidation above strong support - background under pressure

October 23, 2026 8:19 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade around strong support at the 0.8370 fresh year low of 22 October and the 0.8375 multi-month Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Edging higher in range

October 23, 2026 8:02 AM UTC

Consolidation at support within the 101.50 range highs and the 101.58 weekly low of 16 October is giving way to a bounce

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP flows - PMI keeps France in the headlines

October 23, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Weakening in PMIs, with France dropping well below 50
Adds to current headaches, and puts core bond and ECB pricing in focus

Chart EUR/USD Update: Leaning lower

October 23, 2026 7:41 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a minor drift lower

Chart GBP/USD Update: Turning away from strong resistance at 1.3400/05

October 23, 2026 7:28 AM UTC

Consolidation around strong resistance at congestion around 1.3400 and the 1.3405 Fibonacci retracement has given way to a pullback

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/GBP flows - CPI, retail sales, Moody's

October 23, 2026 7:10 AM UTC

Quiet session. Japan CPI confirmed as nudging through target
GBP off a fraction out of soft retail sales data, choppy data but some slowdown hinted
Moody's France review after the close, further front running seen yesterday

Weekly Chart USD/JPY Update: Retracing the September rally

October 23, 2026 7:10 AM UTC

Consolidation within the 158.50/157.00 area has given way to sharp losses to retest support at the 156.50/156.00 area

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Consolidating above 1.2270 low

October 23, 2026 6:35 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above 1.2315 support following bounce from the 1.2270 low

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Still limited above the 18000 level

October 23, 2026 4:54 AM UTC

Back above the 18000 level has seen gains to reach 18050 intraday high

Chart USD/CNH Update: Leaning lower

October 23, 2026 3:04 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the downside but bearish momentum slows as prices extend deep into oversold areas on intraday and daily chart

Chart USD/MYR Update: Extend consolidation above 4.0750 support

October 23, 2026 2:52 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above support at the 4.0750 congestion

Chart USD/SGD Update: Consolidating, room for lower later

October 23, 2026 2:05 AM UTC

Little change, as prices holds steady above the 1.2750 congestion to consolidate sharp losses from the 1.2872 high of last week