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FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Oct 22
October 21, 2026 2:35 PM UTC
Positioning and oversold conditions obstructing euro follow through traction; downside focus switching to options protection
AUD lifted by short-covering and momentum swing towards a Nov hike pricing
Focus remains news driven rather than calendar-centric
AI and The U.S. Economy
October 9, 2026 8:15 AM UTC
· The AI boom is boosting the U.S. economy through three channels (semiconductor and other product enablers for AI; the data center construction boom and wealth effects boosting consumption for rich households). If AI labs revenue growth remains fast then the boom can continue through
FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Nov 9-13
November 6, 2026 4:14 PM UTC
Focus remains on AI-risk. Nasdaq attempts to bounce but hasn't broken weak structure yet
US CPI, a relatively sedate month expected. Only partial offset to payrolls, though mmkt /bonds still more impulsively driven by risk
Even if some reactive consolidation, hard to pivot from defensive view on FX ri
Canada October Employment - Even weaker outside public sector correction
November 6, 2026 2:25 PM UTC
Canada’s 4.7k decline in October employment is not as sharp as in the two preceding months but looks worse in the details. September’s 68.3k decline was fully explained by a 70k decline in the public sector. October’s decline came despite a 49.6k rebound in the public sector.
U.S. October Employment - Unambiguously strong
November 6, 2026 1:56 PM UTC
October’s non-farm payroll at 165k overall, 159k private, with unemployment down to 4.1% from 4.2%, and even average hourly earnings on the strong side with a 0.4% increase, is strong across the board and makes a December Fed tightening highly likely, though we will also receive November’s non-f
U.S. October Employment - Unambiguously strong
November 6, 2026 1:56 PM UTC
October’s non-farm payroll at 165k overall, 159k private, with unemployment down to 4.1% from 4.2%, and even average hourly earnings on the strong side with a 0.4% increase, is strong across the board and makes a December Fed tightening highly likely, though we will also receive November’s non-f
