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FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 7-11
September 4, 2026 2:47 PM UTC
US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s
Barbarous Relic or Strategic Hedge - Gold in a late-cycle portfolio
September 1, 2026 7:00 AM UTC
* Gold worked off early year retail excess, moving into a more constructive technical and seasonal period
* The strategic case for gold is much wider: rich risk asset valuations can neither be sat out nor left unhedged
* History (no guarantee of future performance…) supports increased gold hedges in
EUR/USD, GBP/USD flows - UK labour data softer; schizophrenic mood slightly catches up with risk o/n
August 18, 2026 6:41 AM UTC
The schizophrenic, compartmentalised performance slightly catches up with risk overnight, as US-Iran standoff slightly dents mood
UK labor data overall soft and helps keep BoE wait and see on hold
FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 8
September 7, 2026 2:49 PM UTC
USD/JPY remains under pressure, if getting oversold, deeper support down at 152/3
Riksbank not in a rush as CPI slows, SEK crosses though are stretched towards bigger tops
BoE TSC testimony. Majority view still wait and see, BoE the laggard
Canada-US tariffs remain a running issue, low key market impac
Weekly Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating test of support - studies under pressure
September 7, 2026 1:02 PM UTC
The anticipated test below 1.3500 has reached support at the 1.3475 Fibonacci retracement, where a tick higher in oversold daily stochastics is prompting a bounce into fresh consolidation above 1.3500.
FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Sep 7-11
September 7, 2026 10:16 AM UTC
US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s
Strait of Hormuz Scenarios
September 7, 2026 7:32 AM UTC
Our new baseline (60%) is for a new ceasefire deal into Q4 2026 or Q1 2027 that allows more shipping to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. We feel that economic pressure on Iran remains intense and that Iran will want to lift the U.S. blockade on its energy shipments and export revenue. The Trump