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EUR/USD, GBP/USD flows - UK labour data softer; schizophrenic mood slightly catches up with risk o/n
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 6:41 AM UTC

The schizophrenic, compartmentalised performance slightly catches up with risk overnight, as US-Iran standoff slightly dents mood
UK labor data overall soft and helps keep BoE wait and see on hold 

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring July high
Freemium Article

August 18, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Bounce from the 1.3475 low has seen gains to retest the 1.3550/58, July high

North American Summary and Highlights 17 August
Freemium Article

August 17, 2026 7:42 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was softer in Europe but corrected higher in North America assisted by gains in oil. 

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 31, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

FOMC leaves rates unchanged with three hawkish dissents
U.S. Q2 GDP strong outside net exports, inventories and government
BoJ As Expected
USD/JPY Intervened
BOE Split Does Not Mean September Hike

CHF/JPY and the carry question
Paying Article

July 30, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

·       CHF/JPY has become interesting from several directions: extreme relative valuation, changing carry rankings, opposing official preferences over currency direction, and the beginnings of a possible technical rollover. When things align, they can encourage some migration in positioning

...
Margin Call - Does Margin Debt Really Predict Market Crashes?
Paying Article

July 27, 2026 11:31 AM UTC

·       US margin debt has reached USD1.5tn, the kind of huge round figure milestone that is always going to get a fair amount of attention, especially with the market focused on risk and valuations. Should this number be sounding the alarm? The balanced answer is probably partially, though i

U.S. July and revised Q2 Core PCE Prices on the firm side, Income and Spending also exceed expectations
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:37 PM UTC

While July’s core PCE price index came in at 0.2% as expected, before rounding the rise was 0.246%. Q2’s core PCE price index was revised up to 3.6% annualized from 3.4%, making the data a modest disappointment, which will sustain Fed inflationary worries, though is not quite enough to make a Se

...
U.S. July and revised Q2 Core PCE Prices on the firm side, Income and Spending also exceed expectations
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:37 PM UTC

While July’s core PCE price index came in at 0.2% as expected, before rounding the rise was 0.246%. Q2’s core PCE price index was revised up to 3.6% annualized from 3.4%, making the data a modest disappointment, which will sustain Fed inflationary worries, though is not quite enough to make a Se

Chart AUD/USD Update: Drifting higher
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:29 PM UTC

Cautious trade above congestion support at 0.7150 has given way to a fresh bounce

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Cautious trade - background studies rising
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:23 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade just beneath congestion resistance at 186.00

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - potential for a minor test higher
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:16 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation around 159.30

USD/JPY, EUR/USD flows: Latest core PCE prices as expected but data generally quite 'hot'
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 12:48 PM UTC

US data mixed and includes as-expected latest core PCE
However, general story is still a bit 'hot', US2s up around 4bp and dollar a touch firmer

Weekly Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating test of 1.1700 - weekly studies continue to rise
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 11:55 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached strong resistance at 1.1700, (congestion and 50% Fibonacci retracement)

Chart EUR/NOK Update: Limited tests higher - background under pressure
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 11:08 AM UTC

The anticipated break lower has tested below the 10.8525 Fibonacci retracement, with prices reaching 10.8165 before bouncing to currently trade around 10.8900

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Immediate gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 10:15 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift higher, as intraday studies improve and daily stochastics turn positive

Europe Summary and Highlights 26 Aug
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 10:09 AM UTC

AUD remains firmer out of CPI data
CAD and NOK off slightly as oil drops back further on ongoing talks

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 26
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 9:11 AM UTC

Australian Monthly CPI Beats
U.S. Preliminary Q2 GDP Still Subdued
PCE prices to match CPI
July Durable Goods Orders Still firm
Slate of U.S. Data could see Limited tests higher for DXY

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious/choppy trade
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 8:27 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.8000 - 0.8050 range

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

Prices failed to make much headway beyond 99.00

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Consolidating - any immediate gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 7:56 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.8547 - 0.8560 range

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 7:41 AM UTC

Little change, as bearish intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation within the 1.1650 - 1.1700 range

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

August 26, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation beneath resistance at the 1.3657 monthly high of 1 May

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Bounce return focus to 1.2100/30 resistance
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 7:24 AM UTC

Consolidation above the 1.1950 support to regain the 1.2000 level has given way to fresh push higher above the 1.2050 resistance

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/NZD - US PCE and Nvidia next up; Iran talks continue
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 7:03 AM UTC

Aussie the main mover after firmer CPI data
Dual track Iran talks continue, if still 'complicated'
PCE data the big focus of the day, followed by Nvidia 

Weekly Chart USD/CNH: Under pressure, scope to 6.7000 support
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 6:52 AM UTC

Still grinding lower and break of 6.7200 level see prices extending losses from the April 2025 year high to reach fresh year low at 6.7150

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