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EUR/USD, GBP/USD flows - UK labour data softer; schizophrenic mood slightly catches up with risk o/n

August 18, 2026 6:41 AM UTC

The schizophrenic, compartmentalised performance slightly catches up with risk overnight, as US-Iran standoff slightly dents mood
UK labor data overall soft and helps keep BoE wait and see on hold

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring July high

August 18, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Bounce from the 1.3475 low has seen gains to retest the 1.3550/58, July high

North American Summary and Highlights 17 August

August 17, 2026 7:42 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was softer in Europe but corrected higher in North America assisted by gains in oil.

This week's five highlights

July 31, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

FOMC leaves rates unchanged with three hawkish dissents
U.S. Q2 GDP strong outside net exports, inventories and government
BoJ As Expected
USD/JPY Intervened
BOE Split Does Not Mean September Hike

CHF/JPY and the carry question

July 30, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

· CHF/JPY has become interesting from several directions: extreme relative valuation, changing carry rankings, opposing official preferences over currency direction, and the beginnings of a possible technical rollover. When things align, they can encourage some migration in positioning

Margin Call - Does Margin Debt Really Predict Market Crashes?

July 27, 2026 11:31 AM UTC

· US margin debt has reached USD1.5tn, the kind of huge round figure milestone that is always going to get a fair amount of attention, especially with the market focused on risk and valuations. Should this number be sounding the alarm? The balanced answer is probably partially, though i

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Jul 27-31

July 24, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

FOMC Unchanged policy with an unspoken tightening bias
U.S. Q2 GDP and PCE
BOE Hawkish Noises
Canada Heading for a healthy Q2 GDP

BOE Preview After CPI: Hawkish Noises

July 22, 2026 6:11 AM UTC

• The BOE will likely maintain a hawkish bias on July 30, but are unlikely to signal a September hike. The June CPI did not really change this picture, with the core unchanged at 2.6%. Though BOE Bailey recently noted the unstable process (in the Straits of Hormuz and for energy prices), he

Chart USD/INR Update: Consolidating, room to extend gains

July 22, 2026 5:28 AM UTC

Consolidating test of the 96.5000 high but pressure remains on the upside as prices extend strong gains from the June low

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Jul 21

July 20, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

Iran/U.S. Escalating
USD/JPY Coiled below 162.70/84 highs

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Extending losses

August 20, 2026 5:07 AM UTC

Consolidation around 17850 has given way to losses through the 17770 low of last week to extend the broader losses from the 18126, July high

Chart USD/MYR Update: Extending losses

August 20, 2026 4:58 AM UTC

Break of support at the 4.0650/4.0600 area has seen follow-through below strong support at 4.0460

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 20

August 20, 2026 4:13 AM UTC

USD breaks weaker after Treasury buyback move, might have done some damage on the s/t charts
Whether 'bond put' or 'dollar debasement' narrative, neither helping dollar near-term

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extending losses

August 20, 2026 2:47 AM UTC

Consolidation above 6.7375 has given way to break to reach fresh year low at the 6.7200 level

Chart USD/SGD Update: Extending June losses

August 20, 2026 2:28 AM UTC

Steadied at 1.2708 low as prices consolidate losses through the 1.2767/50 support

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher

August 20, 2026 2:12 AM UTC

Settled back from the 1.3630 high as prices consolidate bullish break above the 1.3550/58 July high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extending bullish break

August 20, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Consolidating at the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance has given way to sharp break higher to approach resistance at 1.1685/1.1700 area

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Pressuring 185.00, scope for break

August 20, 2026 1:13 AM UTC

Bounce from support at the 184.00 congestion see pressure returning to the upside to reach strong resistance at 184.92/185.00 area

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating at 158.00 support, room for lower later

August 20, 2026 1:03 AM UTC

Steadied at the 158.00 level as prices consolidate sharp pullback from the 159.78 Tuesday's high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Extending gains

August 20, 2026 12:41 AM UTC

Consolidation below the .5900 level has given way to rebound from the .5860 low to reach towards resistance at .5950 congestion

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending gains

August 20, 2026 12:24 AM UTC

Consolidation at the .7100 level has given way to bounce to retest the .7129 Monday's high

North American Summary and Highlights 19 August

August 19, 2026 8:07 PM UTC

Overview - The USD broke lower as the US Treasury took steps to support the UST market.

FOMC Minutes: Inter-meeting data seen as important

August 19, 2026 6:58 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 confirm that most participants supported leaving rates steady but several favored a 25bps tightening, implying more than the three hawkish dissenters, presumably non-voting district presidents. Many assessed that tightening would be necessary if inflation did not decline, w

FOMC Minutes: Inter-meeting data seen as important

August 19, 2026 6:56 PM UTC

Chart USD/CAD Update: Lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

August 19, 2026 3:39 PM UTC

Consolidation around congestion resistance at 1.3900 has given way to a sharp fall in both USD- and CAD-driven trade