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IMM Commitment of Traders Reports - sterling got thematically oversold
Paying Article

September 28, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

Dollar longs bounce back and now fairly broad
Most dollar pairs moderate however rather than extreme
Sterling the exception, became the most popular "obvious short" last week amid CB moves
Potentially stretched now into cable support, BoE shifting Nov odds. EUR/GBP also again rejecting resistance test,

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 28 - Oct 2
Paying Article

September 25, 2026 3:17 PM UTC

High profile US data, but would need something big to impact now after recent steep mkt adjustment
Dollar retains bullish posture overall, but a overstretched and consolidating/correcting steep run to levels on most pairs
Japan rolls out the verbals; BoE comments hint at dab in November
Round of CB mee

Chart GBP/USD Update: Balanced above 1.3200 - studies remain under pressure
Freemium Article

September 25, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

The test of strong support at 1.3200 is giving way to anticipated consolidation

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 14-18
Paying Article

September 11, 2026 5:21 PM UTC

A week of 2 key central bank meetings..
We expect a 25bp Fed hike but perhaps a "dovish hike". Could temper dollar given a lot priced in further out
BoJ also seen going 25bp. A heavy USD/JPY needs validation on shift to quarterly pace however to extend - else to re-test persistence of supply
CHF still

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U.S. Equity-Treasury Strains and Correction Risk
Paying Article

September 9, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

·       Equity investors have taken note of higher U.S. Treasury yields, but the influence of the AI boom and corporate earnings is greater.  Nevertheless, the U.S. equity market valuation means that it is stretched currently versus the U.S. Treasury market and could be hurt by moderate bad

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 2:47 PM UTC

US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s

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Barbarous Relic or Strategic Hedge - Gold in a late-cycle portfolio
Freemium Article

September 1, 2026 7:00 AM UTC

* Gold worked off early year retail excess, moving into a more constructive technical and seasonal period
* The strategic case for gold is much wider: rich risk asset valuations can neither be sat out nor left unhedged
* History (no guarantee of future performance…) supports increased gold hedges in

North American Summary and Highlights 30 September
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 7:58 PM UTC

Overview - Despite softer than expected US PCE price data and stronger than expected price data in Europe, the USD ended firmer after a brief dip on the data, as upside pressure persisted on UST yields. 

Preview: Due October 12 - U.S. September Existing Home Sales - Marginal correction higher, but trend is falling
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 7:27 PM UTC

We see scope for a marginal upward correction in September existing home sales, by 0.5% to 4.00m after three straight declines. However rising mortgage rates and Fed tightening are likely to bring renewed slippage in Q4.

U.S. Trimmed Mean and Median PCE Price Indices slower in August
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 5:22 PM UTC

The Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE price index at 1.92% annualized in August is similar to July’s and the third straight month below 2.0%. Yr/yr growth of 2.19% is down from 2.28% in both June and July and the slowest since August 2021.

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Leaning lower
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 5:13 PM UTC

The anticipated pullback towards 17900 is extending

Chart USD/SGD Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 4:50 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious 

Preview: Due October 6 - U.S. August Trade Balance - Advance goods data suggests widest post-tariff deficit
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 4:49 PM UTC

We expect an August trade deficit of $102.3bn, up sharply from $88.6bn in July and the widest deficit since the record $133.0bn seen in March 2025 ahead of the tariffs. August’s deficit will be larger than anything seen before Q1 2025.

Chart USD/CNH Update: Mixed studies highlight cautious trade
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 4:02 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 6.7000

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating gains - background studies rising
Freemium Article

September 30, 2026 3:24 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies and flat overbought daily stochastics keep near-term sentiment cautious 

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Oct 1
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 3:05 PM UTC

Oversold sterling sees a bounce as NoV BoE hike firms, Fed fever tempers
EZ headline inflation hot, but France spread continues to blow out, one to watch (EUR/GBP downside?)
ISM main data focus ahead of payrolls

Preview: Due October 1 - U.S. September ISM Manufacturing - Back to near the recent high
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 2:18 PM UTC

We September’s ISM manufacturing index to pick up to 55.5 from August’s 54.6, not quite reaching July’s 55.6 that was the highest since May 2022 but sustaining a clearly healthy picture. 

Weekly Chart EUR/USD Update: Room for consolidation above fresh year low, before further losses unfold
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 1:53 PM UTC

Anticipated losses have reached critical support at the 1.1325 monthly low of 24 June and the 1.1355 Fibonacci retracement

U.S. GDP, Income, Spending and PCE Price revisions mostly encouraging, but Trade Deficit is rising
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 1:51 PM UTC

The final Q2 GDP report and August’s personal income and spending data are notable for historical revisions going back to 2021. The news in the revisions is generally encouraging, with upward revisions to GDP and real disposable income but downward revisions to PCE prices, led by non-market prices

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U.S. GDP, Income, Spending and PCE Price revisions mostly encouraging, but Trade Deficit is rising
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 1:51 PM UTC

The final Q2 GDP report and August’s personal income and spending data are notable for historical revisions going back to 2021. The news in the revisions is generally encouraging, with upward revisions to GDP and real disposable income but downward revisions to PCE prices, led by non-market prices

Continuum Economics Calendar October 2026
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 1:00 PM UTC

Data and Events Calendar October 2026.

EUR/USD, GBP/USD flows - PCE prices revised down as suspected; Germany confirmed higher
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 12:42 PM UTC

Mixed data, PCE price downward revisions, Germany upside, tending to stem the dollar 
Cable seeing the greatest benefit, with short positioning and GDP data helping firm Nov hike expectations

U.S. September ADP Employment - Consistent with lower initial claims
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 12:30 PM UTC

September’s ADP estimate of private sector employment of 90k is on the firm side of expectations and a 3-month high for the ADP report. It leaves us comfortable with our 100k forecasts for both private sector and overall non-farm payrolls. 

Chart EUR/NOK Update: Room for higher
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 12:05 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached congestion resistance at 10.9000

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Pressuring critical resistance at 0.9475/80
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 11:14 AM UTC

Choppy trade around 0.9460 is giving way to a fresh push higher

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