View:

EUR/USD, GBP/USD flows - UK labour data softer; schizophrenic mood slightly catches up with risk o/n
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 6:41 AM UTC

The schizophrenic, compartmentalised performance slightly catches up with risk overnight, as US-Iran standoff slightly dents mood
UK labor data overall soft and helps keep BoE wait and see on hold 

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring July high
Freemium Article

August 18, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Bounce from the 1.3475 low has seen gains to retest the 1.3550/58, July high

North American Summary and Highlights 17 August
Freemium Article

August 17, 2026 7:42 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was softer in Europe but corrected higher in North America assisted by gains in oil. 

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 31, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

FOMC leaves rates unchanged with three hawkish dissents
U.S. Q2 GDP strong outside net exports, inventories and government
BoJ As Expected
USD/JPY Intervened
BOE Split Does Not Mean September Hike

CHF/JPY and the carry question
Paying Article

July 30, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

·       CHF/JPY has become interesting from several directions: extreme relative valuation, changing carry rankings, opposing official preferences over currency direction, and the beginnings of a possible technical rollover. When things align, they can encourage some migration in positioning

...
Margin Call - Does Margin Debt Really Predict Market Crashes?
Paying Article

July 27, 2026 11:31 AM UTC

·       US margin debt has reached USD1.5tn, the kind of huge round figure milestone that is always going to get a fair amount of attention, especially with the market focused on risk and valuations. Should this number be sounding the alarm? The balanced answer is probably partially, though i

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Jul 27-31
Paying Article

July 24, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

FOMC Unchanged policy with an unspoken tightening bias
U.S. Q2 GDP and PCE
BOE Hawkish Noises
Canada Heading for a healthy Q2 GDP 

North American Summary and Highlights 24 August
Freemium Article

August 24, 2026 7:51 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was slightly firmer though a fresh Trump tariff announcement targeted on Canada and later Bessent’s announcement on sanctions targeting Iran did not suggest an immediate impact. 

USD Flows: Bessent underwhelming on Iran sanctions
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 7:41 PM UTC

The USD is modestly firmer but Treasury Secretary Bessent’s announcement of sanctions targeting Iran seems to have underwhelmed the markets.

Chart USD/MXN Update: Minor bounce from fresh year low
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 4:33 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 17.0000 has posted a fresh year low around 16.8750

Chart USD/CAD Update: Corrective bounce in both USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

August 24, 2026 4:12 PM UTC

Consolidation above the 1.3730~ weekly low of 21 August has given way to a sharp USD- and CAD-driven bounce

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 25
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 3:27 PM UTC

Reactive policy, Canada, Iran, maybe later US election - chips away at risk sentiment but also dollar confidence
FX volatility likely picking up from the extreme summer lows
CAD reaction so far measured - well within 1.3850-1.39 bounce resistance and supply
US PCE, Nvidia, Warsh remain the week's key e

Preview: Due August 25 - U.S. July New Home Sales - Remaining soft
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 3:23 PM UTC

We expect July new home sales to be little changed at 620k, which would be down 1.3% from June if June is unrevised. This would still sustain step down in trend in 2026 to date, with movements in the preceding two years outside a 650-700k range having tended to be brief.

...
Escalation Risk in U.S.-Canada Trade Dispute
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 3:11 PM UTC

The immediate economic impact of the collapse of the US-Canada trade talks is likely to be modest, but not insignificant in the case of Canada.  Where things move from here is uncertain, with Canadian retaliation due to be implemented on September 8, and risk of further mutual escalations after tha

Chart AUD/USD Update: Immediate gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

The break above 0.7150 is giving way to consolidation

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Balanced trade - studies rising
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 1:06 PM UTC

The spike down towards support at 185.00 has bounced from 185.15, with prices currently balanced around 185.60 as oversold intraday studies flatten

Chart USD/JPY Update: Range trade
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 12:56 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Weekly Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating recent gains - background studies continue to rise
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 11:26 AM UTC

Cautious/choppy trade around 1.3550 has given way to the anticipated break higher

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 10:17 AM UTC

The anticipated break above 0.9350 has reached 0.9360~

Europe Summary and Highlights 24 Aug
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 10:06 AM UTC

CAD underperforms after w/e talk breakdown
Leaks into some o/s correction in the likes of USD/NOK
Oil slightly trims, waits on sanctions details next

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Aug 24-28
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 8:56 AM UTC

Small upward revision for U.S. Q2 GDP 
U.S. July PCE prices to match CPI
U.S. Advance Goods Trade Balance Wider in nominal and real terms
Canada Q2 GDP Quarterly rebound seen largely on net exports

Chart USD/CHF Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 8:36 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to the anticipated break above 0.8000

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 8:19 AM UTC

Cautious trade above strong support at the 98.60 Fibonacci retracement is giving way to a push higher

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 7:58 AM UTC

Consolidation above support at 0.8560 is giving way to a drift lower

Chart EUR/USD Update: Any pullback to remain limited
Paying Article

August 24, 2026 7:41 AM UTC

The anticipated break above resistance at congestion around 1.1700 has been pushed back from beneath the 1.1725 Fibonacci retracement

Home
Directory
Add Post
Inbox
My Account