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EUR/USD: Europe’s Counter Threats to Trump
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 11:05 AM UTC

·       Europe is highly unlikely to weaponize its existing portfolio holdings or new flows into the U.S., as Europe is dependent on the U.S. nuclear umbrella and as EZ/EU decision making is slow and modest in action.  Such a move would be strongly opposed by EZ/European investors. Even so,

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Turkiye Inflation Preview: Inflation will Likely Soften to Around 30.5% in January
Paying Article

January 27, 2026 5:10 PM UTC

Bottom line: After hitting 30.9% annually in December, we expect Turkiye’s inflation will likely soften moderately to around 30.5% in January despite some noise is expected in next two months' readings as upside-tilted inflation risks will continue to limit the downward trend during the ongoing

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Preview: Due January 22 - U.S. October and November Personal Income and Spending - Heading for annualized Q4 gains a little above 2.0%
Paying Article

January 21, 2026 1:58 PM UTC

January 22 will see a personal income and spending report for both October and November. We expect personal income to rise by 0.4% in October and 0.5% in November and  personal spending to rise by 0.2% in October and 0.5% in November. For core PCE prices, we expect gains of 0.2% in October and 0.1%

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UK Gilt Vigilantes and Politics
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 9:05 AM UTC

•    The Gilt market is sensitive to the prospect that Starmer/Reeves could be replaced, resulting in some changes to the fiscal rules in the scanario of a new PM/Chancellor.  Further fiscal rule refinement could be possible, but a new PM would want a political reset and this would likely pre

Chart EUR/USD Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 8:49 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart GBP/USD Update: Range trade - immediate gains to remain limited
Freemium Article

February 11, 2026 8:44 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 1.3650 - 1.3700 range

Psychology for major markets Feb 11
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 7:42 AM UTC

USD Lower Before NFP

Asia Summary and Highlights 11 Feb
Freemium Article

February 11, 2026 4:55 AM UTC

Risk upbeat

USD/JPY flows: JPY Gaining on Japan Holiday
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 4:48 AM UTC

JPY Gaining on Japan Holiday

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, February 11th
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. January Non-Farm Payrolls Above trend but with higher unemployment
U.S. CPI A Stronger month but slower yr/yr
Aussie May Need A Push Or Risk Retesting Support

AUD/USD flows: Risk Upbeat
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 2:18 AM UTC

Risk is upbeat to start Wednesday

North American Summary and Highlights 10 Feb
Freemium Article

February 10, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was little changed overall, but came under some pressure, particularly USD/JPY, after weak US data. 

Preview: Due February 19 - U.S. December Trade Balance - Despite volatility, 2025 will average similar to 2024
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 7:16 PM UTC

We expect a December trade deficit of $59.5bn, which would be the widest since August and up moderately from November’s $56.8bn. It would be up sharply from October’s $29.2bn which was the lowest since June 2009 but heavily influenced by temporary factors. The data may bring some fine tuning to

U.S. Fed's Logan - Falling inflation will not be enough for easing
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 6:14 PM UTC

Fed's Logan, like Hammack, is another incoming voter who is sounding hawkish.

Chart USD/SGD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 5:55 PM UTC

Corrective gains have been pushed back from 1.2768

U.S. Fed's Hammack - Rates could be on hold for some time
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 5:46 PM UTC

Cleveland Fed President Hammack remains hawkish and has a vote this year.

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extending April 2025 losses
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 5:44 PM UTC

Cautious trade around 6.9500 has given way to a break lower

Chart USD/CAD Update: Poised for further losses
Freemium Article

February 10, 2026 5:19 PM UTC

Price action remains under pressure

Preview: Due February 20 - U.S. December Personal Income and Spending - Firmer prices matching income and spending
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 4:02 PM UTC

December’s personal income and spending report may be overshadowed by Q4 GDP data released at the same time, but is likely to see a strong core PCE price index increase of 0.4%, the highest since February. We expect personal income to rise by 0.3%, underperforming a 0.4% rise in spending, with bot

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, February 11th
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 4:00 PM UTC

U.S. January Non-Farm Payrolls Above trend but with higher unemployment
U.S. CPI A Stronger month but slower yr/yr
Aussie May Need A Push Or Risk Retesting Support

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 3:17 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on the 15.8800 Fibonacci retracement

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Leaning lower in range
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 2:52 PM UTC

The anticipated minor test above congestion resistance at 1.6200 has not been seen

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Preview: Due February 11 - U.S. January Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Above trend but with higher unemployment

February 10, 2026 2:30 PM UTC

We expect January’s non-farm payroll to rise by 85k overall and by 80k in the private sector, which would be on the firm side of trend and could be even more so after what could be substantial negative historical revisions. However, we expect unemployment to rise to 4.5% from 4.4%. We expect avera

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U.S. December Retail Sales and Q4 Employment Cost Index show fading momentum
Freemium Article

February 10, 2026 2:03 PM UTC

December retail sales are weaker than expected, unchanged overall, ex autos and ex autos and gasoline. This could be a sign of consumer spending losing momentum in response to real disposable income coming in near flat in both Q3 and probably Q4, given limited employment growth and resilient inflati

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Fresh lows - studies under pressure
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 1:31 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to anticipated losses