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September 24, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 24 September
Freemium Article

September 24, 2026 7:46 PM UTC

Overview - The USD remained firm, supported by data, Fed talk and oil, even with a brief dip in the latter. 

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September Outlook: Navigation Into 2027
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 1:35 PM UTC

Our September Outlook is now published and please see all our economic and policy chapters below.  

Europe Summary and Highlights 24 Sep
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

CHF remains pressured as SNB increasingly uniquely dovish
NOK and SEK get modest lifts out of hike and hawkish hold

Norges Bank hikes by 25bp
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 9:41 AM UTC

Norges bank increased rates by 25bp to 4.5% citing concerns over the inflation outlook. While the Bank noted that underlying inflation had moderated over the summer and was actually lower than they had expected in June, the outlook for inflation had not materially changed given the backdrop of highe

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Norges Bank hikes by 25bp
Freemium Article

September 24, 2026 9:40 AM UTC

Norges bank increased rates by 25bp to 4.5% citing concerns over the inflation outlook. While the Bank noted that underlying inflation had moderated over the summer and was actually lower than they had expected in June, the outlook for inflation had not materially changed given the backdrop of highe

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 24
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 9:23 AM UTC

Dollar breaks higher as Fed talk hawkish, PMIs surge north, trumping Eurozone gains
Prospects of 'brave' pre-mid-term back-to-back hikes still critical for dollar's jump ahead
Norges hikes and sees likely steady ahead; SNB a hawkish hold, brings next hike forward; SNB remains dovish, keeps rates an ex

Riksbank: December Hike
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 8:22 AM UTC

·       The Riksbank statement guidance that the 1st hike could be delivered in December is important.  It suggests that the Riksbank now see modest tightening as highly likely and going in December rather than Q1 2027 would have a strong signal effect.  This would also avoid too much Swedi

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Riksbank: December Hike
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 8:22 AM UTC

·       The Riksbank statement guidance that the 1st hike could be delivered in December is important.  It suggests that the Riksbank now see modest tightening as highly likely and going in December rather than Q1 2027 would have a strong signal effect.  This would also avoid too much Swedi

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 24
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 6:46 AM UTC

Dollar breaks higher as Fed talk hawkish, PMIs surge north, trumping Eurozone gains
Prospects of 'brave' pre-mid-term back-to-back hikes still critical for dollar's jump ahead
Riksbank, Norges, and SNB. Hawkish Norges in the price as oil waits on talks, NOK trims ; CHF rates look ever lower to the cro

September 23, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 23 September
Freemium Article

September 23, 2026 7:40 PM UTC

Overview - The USD extended gains supported by strong US PMI data and hawkish Fed talk. 

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 24
Paying Article

September 23, 2026 3:05 PM UTC

Dollar breaks higher as Fed talk hawkish, PMIs surge north, trumping Eurozone gains
Prospects of 'brave' pre-mid-term back-to-back hikes still critical for dollar's jump ahead
Riksbank, Norges, and SNB. Hawkish Norges in the price as oil waits on talks, NOK trims ; CHF rates look ever lower to the cro

Europe Summary and Highlights 23 Sep
Paying Article

September 23, 2026 10:07 AM UTC

Dollar retains broad bid, moving with spreads on the post Fed action
EUR/USD sees follow through to next support after clearing 1.1450, cable extends toward fib
Despite this, notable positive surprise in EZ PMI, orders to 4 year highs - one to watch
UK PMI in contrasts slightly disappoints if staying i

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China and Brazil Outlook: Geo-Politics and Artificial Intelligence
Freemium Article

September 23, 2026 10:05 AM UTC

·       China’s growth momentum continued to be sustained by AI/tech and green energy production and investment. Growth is however imbalanced with subdued consumption growth, due to adverse housing wealth effects and slow wage/job growth. Overall, we kept our forecast at 4.4% for 2026 and 4

EZ PMIs Show Ongoing Growth Momentum in Q3
Paying Article

September 23, 2026 8:42 AM UTC

The S&P flash Eurozone PMI signalled a quickening in the pace of activity during September with the composite index rising to 53.1 from 52 before and boosted by rapid gains in the service sector and ongoing growth in the manufacturing sector. With September’s number now in hand the PMIs point to E

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EZ PMIs Show Ongoing Growth Momentum in Q3
Paying Article

September 23, 2026 8:42 AM UTC

The S&P flash Eurozone PMI signalled a quickening in the pace of activity during September with the composite index rising to 53.1 from 52 before and boosted by rapid gains in the service sector and ongoing growth in the manufacturing sector. With September’s number now in hand the PMIs point to E

September 22, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 22 September
Freemium Article

September 22, 2026 7:25 PM UTC

Overview - While the USD did take some lead from oil, the USD was slightly stronger while oil was softer. 

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DM ex U.S.: Weathering Higher Energy Prices
Freemium Article

September 22, 2026 1:22 PM UTC

·       EZ. We expect the Eurozone economy to remain resilient in coming quarters despite the ongoing energy shock. Household consumption growth should strengthen into 2027, supported by a recovery in real wage growth and by favourable employment increases. Increased defence and infrastructur

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Charting Our Views: Technical Analysis for Q4 2026
Paying Article

September 22, 2026 12:14 PM UTC

Our latest quarterly Technical Analysis views on Bonds, Equities, Commodities and FX is now available.  

Europe Summary and Highlights 22 Sep
Paying Article

September 22, 2026 10:10 AM UTC

Brent tests below $100 with eyes on UN meeting Iran diplomacy
Press reports float Iran proposal to open Strait in exchange of ease in blockade
USD/JPY re-tests 157 support after earlier look up in range

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 22
Paying Article

September 22, 2026 9:14 AM UTC

USD/JPY trading in the 157-158 band, while keeping ear out for the MoF during Japan holiday
Key focal point remains word on diplomatic efforts and US plan at UN meeting. Oil sitting at key $100~ Brent range threshold support prior
Outcome will be pivotal in setting this week's tone for risk, dollar, b

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 22
Paying Article

September 22, 2026 6:33 AM UTC

USD/JPY nudging up in the 157-158 band, while keeping ear out for the MoF during Japan holiday
Key focal point remains word on diplomatic efforts and US plan at UN meeting. Oil sitting at key $100~ Brent range threshold support prior
Outcome will be pivotal in setting this week's tone for risk, dollar

September 21, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 21 September
Freemium Article

September 21, 2026 7:45 PM UTC

Overview - Oil was softer but the USD was well supported, if remaining below Friday’s highs. 

Preview: Due October 2 - U.S. September Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Healthy if less strong than August
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 6:29 PM UTC

We expect September’s non-farm payroll to rise by 100k both overall and in the private sector, slower than in August but still maintaining a healthy trend. We expect a 4.1% unemployment rate for a third straight month but a slightly slower 0.2% rise in average hourly earnings and a stable workweek

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Preview: Due October 2 - U.S. September Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Healthy if less strong than August
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 6:28 PM UTC

We expect September’s non-farm payroll to rise by 100k both overall and in the private sector, slower than in August but still maintaining a healthy trend. We expect a 4.1% unemployment rate for a third straight month but a slightly slower 0.2% rise in average hourly earnings and a stable workweek

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 22
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 3:26 PM UTC

USD/JPY nudging up in the 157-158 band, while keeping ear out for the MoF during Japan holiday
Key focal point remains word on diplomatic efforts and US plan at UN meeting. Oil sitting at key $100~ Brent range threshold support prior
Outcome will be pivotal in setting this week's tone for risk, dollar

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