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February 10, 2026

Asia Summary and Highlights 10 Feb
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February 10, 2026 6:06 AM UTC

Japan pushes fast budget passage as food tax cuts, funding debated

AUD/USD flows: Risk Undecided, except Japan
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February 10, 2026 5:19 AM UTC

The broader risk sentiment is undecided on Tuesday

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, February 10th
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February 10, 2026 5:12 AM UTC

USD/JPY Selling the Fact
U.S. December Retail Sales Maintaining momentum
So as Q4 Employment Cost Index 

USD/JPY flows: Takaichi in Action
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February 10, 2026 2:26 AM UTC

Japan pushes fast budget passage as food tax cuts, funding debated

February 09, 2026

Preview: Due February 20 - U.S. February S and P PMIs - Manufacturing significantly stronger, Services marginally so
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February 9, 2026 6:32 PM UTC

We expect improvement in February’s S and P PMIs, more significantly in manufacturing, to 53.5 from 52.4, with services seeing only a modest increase to 53.0 from 52.7. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Under pressure
Freemium Article

February 9, 2026 5:32 PM UTC

Cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 1.3700 has given way to fresh losses

Preview: Due February 18 - U.S. December Durable Goods Orders - Aircraft to slip, but ex transport trend is positive
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February 9, 2026 4:26 PM UTC

We expect December durable goods orders to fall by 5.0% after a 5.3% increase in November, the reversal led by aircraft after a strong November increase. Ex transport we expect a 0.4% increase, matching the gain in November.

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, February 10th
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February 9, 2026 4:00 PM UTC

USD/JPY Selling the Fact
U.S. December Retail Sales Maintaining momentum
So as Q4 Employment Cost Index 

Preview: Due February 10 - U.S. Q4 Employment Cost Index - Maintaining trend
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February 9, 2026 2:24 PM UTC

We look for the Q4 employment cost index (ECI) to increase by 0.9%, slightly firmer than the 0.8% seen in Q3 but matching the gains of Q1 and Q2, as well as Q4 2024. 

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Preview: Due February 10 - U.S. December Retail Sales - Maintaining momentum
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February 9, 2026 2:18 PM UTC

We expect retail sales to maintain momentum in December, rising by 0.6% overall and by 0.5% ex auto, both matching their November increases. Ex autos and gasoline we expect a 0.5% increase, a modest pick-up from two straight gains of 0.4%.

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy beneath current year highs
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February 9, 2026 1:11 PM UTC

Cautious trade, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend choppy price action within the 185.00 - 186.00 range

Psychology for major markets Feb 9
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February 9, 2026 10:53 AM UTC

Early Mood Led by Japan's Election

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, February 9th-13th
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February 9, 2026 10:13 AM UTC

Japan Election Seals the Fate for JPY
A stronger month for U.S. January CPI but slower yr/yr
U.S. January Non-Farm Payrolls Above trend but with higher unemployment
UK Underlying Economy Fragility Continues

Chart AUD/USD Update: Strong resistance at 0.7095
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February 9, 2026 10:10 AM UTC

The sharp bounce from strong support at 0.6900 has reached 0.7030

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating sharp losses - room for a test lower
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February 9, 2026 9:43 AM UTC

The test of congestion resistance at 157.50 has been sharply rejected

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Lower from 98.00 - focus on 97.00
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February 9, 2026 9:22 AM UTC

Consolidation following the test of congestion resistance at 98.00 has given way to steady selling interest

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited scope above 1.3600
Freemium Article

February 9, 2026 8:39 AM UTC

The bounce from support within congestion around 1.3500 and the 1.3540 Fibonacci retracement has reached congestion resistance at 1.3600

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India’s Union FY27 Budget: A Pragmatic Blueprint That Prioritises Stability over Stimulus
Freemium Article

February 9, 2026 7:47 AM UTC

India’s 2026–27 Union Budget opts for prudence over populism, targeting a fiscal deficit of 4.3% of GDP and boosting capital expenditure by 11.5%. The government shifts focus to services-led job creation, defence modernisation, and water infrastructure while trimming subsidies, while tax tweaks

Asia Summary and Highlights 9 Feb
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February 9, 2026 5:34 AM UTC

Japan December Labor Cash Earning 2.4% y/y
LDP Landslide Victory

AUD/USD flows: Risk Upbeat
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February 9, 2026 5:26 AM UTC

Major equity indexes in the green

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, February 9th-13th
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February 9, 2026 4:36 AM UTC

Japan Election Seals the Fate for JPY
A stronger month for U.S. January CPI but slower yr/yr
U.S. January Non-Farm Payrolls Above trend but with higher unemployment
UK Underlying Economy Fragility Continues

USD/JPY flows: Labor Cash Earning Improves
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February 9, 2026 2:12 AM UTC

December Labor Cash Earning 2.4% y/y
LDP Landslide Victory

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Japan: Landslide Victory
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February 9, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Japan's LDP Win Super Majority in Landslide Victory

February 06, 2026

U.S. December Consumer Credit ends 2025 strongly
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February 6, 2026 8:18 PM UTC

December saw a much stronger than expected $24.0b increase in consumer credit, a further sign that the consumer maintained momentum at the end of 2025. Tuesday will see December retail sales released.

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Russian Economy Grew by 1% in 2025
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February 6, 2026 6:25 PM UTC

Bottom Line: According to official announcement, Russian economy grew by 1.0% in 2025. President Putin said this slowdown was expected and intentional as part of measures aimed at curbing inflation. We think Central Bank of Russia’s (CBR) previous aggressive monetary tightening coupled with sancti