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October 16, 2026

Preview: Due October 19 - Canada September CPI - Steady with slightly slower BoC core rates
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 5:15 PM UTC

Despite upward pressure on energy, we expect September Canadian CPI to remain at 3.0% yr/yr for a third straight month, with marginal slowing in the Bank of Canada’s three core rates. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Lower in USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

October 16, 2026 3:55 PM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a break below 1.4200 in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, 19-23 October
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 2:43 PM UTC

US bonds and USD became overstretched, looking to rebalance n/t
Quiet week though event risks coming onto the horizon
Big picture cross-asset themes across bonds-equities-dollar relationships remain a background focus

Chart AUD/USD Update: Choppy trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 1:57 PM UTC

The anticipated break below congestion support at 0.6900 has not been seen

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy in range - room for a minor test higher
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 1:50 PM UTC

The anticipated minor test lower has not been seen

Chart USD/JPY Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade around congestion resistance at 158.00

Confidence with a K
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 12:35 PM UTC

* Recessionary confidence, resilient spending. Political divisions are evident beneath the headline, but don't explain the macro divergence. High prices part of the story and backed up by micro data research
* Confidence with a K - exceptionally large gap in 'current conditions' sentiment for large e

Weekly Chart USD Index DXY: Pullback from fresh year highs - background studies remain positive
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 11:57 AM UTC

Consolidation above 102.00 has given way to fresh year highs

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Egypt Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Egypt remains at a high rating.

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DM Money Supply and Private Sector Debt/GDP: Not Enough Borrowing?

October 16, 2026 9:05 AM UTC

·        The surge in U.S. household wealth from the post GFC boom in equity and house prices has meant household lending has been subdued but not hitting consumption. The AI infrastructure lending boom needs to be watched in the coming years, especially with the U.S. easing capital ratios.
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Chart USD Index DXY Update: Extending losses
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 8:10 AM UTC

Consolidation is giving way to the anticipated break lower

Chart GBP/USD Update: Breaking higher
Freemium Article

October 16, 2026 7:34 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a break higher

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD flows - Fed's Warsh avoids any nudges, leaves yields/dollar off highs
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 6:42 AM UTC

Warsh avoids forward guidance
Lack of verbal intervention leaves mkt comfortable with low Oct pricing, and the dollar still modestly correcting
Indonesia moves individually on MSCI jolt

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Extending losses
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 6:36 AM UTC

Break of the 1.2315 low of 1st October confirm a double top at the 1.2490/1.2495 highs and see extension to pressure strong support at 1.2285/50

Chart USD/MYR Update: Drifting lower
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 4:58 AM UTC

Drifting lower from the 4.0915 high of last week towards support at the 4.0750 congestion

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Breakout return focus to 18126/18180, July/June highs
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 4:26 AM UTC

Consolidation above the 17880/17860 support has given way to pop higher through the June channel resistance and 18000 level

Chart USD/CNH Update: Edged to fresh year low
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 2:58 AM UTC

Consolidation within the 6.6910/6.7000 area has given way to break lower to reach fresh year low at 6.6885

Chart USD/SGD Update: Settled back in consolidation below 1.2875 resistance
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 2:31 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation after rally above the 1.2800/25 area was checked at the 1.2875 resistance

Chart GBP/USD Update: Back to pressure 1.3273/1.3300 resistance
Freemium Article

October 16, 2026 1:58 AM UTC

Retest of the 1.3140 June current year low has given way to bounce above 1.3180 support to reach strong resistance at the 1.3273/1.3300 congestion

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extend choppy trade above 176.21 current year low
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 1:03 AM UTC

Bounce from above the 176.21 current year low of 5 October see prices back to consolidate around the 177.00 level

Chart USD/JPY Update: Back in consolidation around 158.00
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 12:53 AM UTC

Settled back to consolidation around the 158.00 level following rejection from resistance at the 159.00 level

Chart NZD/USD Update: Pressuring .5625 resistance
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 12:44 AM UTC

Bounce from the .5565 Wednesday's fresh year low has seen extension to retest resistance at .5625 June low

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating retest of .6900 support
Paying Article

October 16, 2026 12:33 AM UTC

Break of support at .6950 congestion extend rejection from the .7013 high of Wednesday to reach the .6900 support

October 15, 2026

Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. September Personal Income and Spending - Four-month high for core PCE prices
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 6:03 PM UTC

September’s personal income and spending report may be overshadowed by the Q3 GDP release which is  due at the same time and will include Q3 totals for each of its components. We expect a 0.3% rise in personal income and a 0.6% rise in spending, with overall PCE prices up by 0.5%, exceeding perso

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Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. September Personal Income and Spending - Four-month high for core PCE prices
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 6:03 PM UTC

September’s personal income and spending report may be overshadowed by the Q3 GDP release which is  due at the same time and will include Q3 totals for each of its components. We expect a 0.3% rise in personal income and a 0.6% rise in spending, with overall PCE prices up by 0.5%, exceeding perso

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