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October 28, 2026
Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
October 28, 2026 12:55 PM UTC
We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024.
Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. September Personal Income and Spending - Four-month high for core PCE prices
October 28, 2026 11:36 AM UTC
September’s personal income and spending report may be overshadowed by the Q3 GDP release which is due at the same time and will include Q3 totals for each of its components. We expect a 0.3% rise in personal income and a 0.6% rise in spending, with overall PCE prices up by 0.5%, exceeding perso
October 27, 2026
Preview: Due November 10 - U.S. October CPI - A more moderate month
October 27, 2026 6:56 PM UTC
We expect more subdued CPI in October after two straight disappointing 0.3% gains in the core rate, with October’s core rate seen at 0.2%, 0.22% before rounding. Gasoline prices have seen only a marginal rise on the month, and we expect overall CPI to also rise by 0.2%, though at 0.24% before roun
Preview: Due November 10 - U.S. October CPI - A more moderate month
October 27, 2026 6:55 PM UTC
We expect more subdued CPI in October after two straight disappointing 0.3% gains in the core rate, with October’s core rate seen at 0.2%, 0.22% before rounding. Gasoline prices have seen only a marginal rise on the month, and we expect overall CPI to also rise by 0.2%, though at 0.24% before roun
Preview: Due November 4 - U.S. October ADP Employment - Maintaining a moderate trend
October 27, 2026 4:13 PM UTC
We expect an 65k increase in October’s ADP estimate for private sector employment. The 4 week average from ADP’s weekly report for the week to October 10, the week before the monthly survey, was 16.5k, broadly consistent with our forecast.
Preview: Due October 28 - U.S. September Advance Goods Trade Balance - Deficit to widen further
October 27, 2026 2:54 PM UTC
We expect an advance September goods trade deficit of $137.0bn, up from $132.1bn in August and the widest since a record pre-tariff deficit seen in March 2025 of $158.7bn. The September deficit, as was August’s, is likely to be higher than anything seen before Q1 2025.
October 26, 2026
Preview: Due October 27 - U.S. September New Home Sales - August rise unlikely to be sustained
October 26, 2026 5:13 PM UTC
After August saw new home sales reach an 8-month high of 684k, we expect September to slip to 630k, which would be the lowest since a matching outcome in February. That would be down 7.9% from August though risk is that August’s 6.4% increase will be revised lower.
Preview: Due October 27 - U.S. September Durable Goods Orders - Bounce from a below trend August
October 26, 2026 5:08 PM UTC
We expect a 3.5% increase in September durable goods orders after a below trend 0.1% decline in August. While aircraft are likely to lead the increase we expect a healthy 1.0% increase ex transport, also picking up from a below trend 0.2% rise in August.
FX Weekly Strategy: N America, 26-30 October
October 26, 2026 10:05 AM UTC
*Central bank meeting flurry - BoC might disappoint, ECB eyed for tone change, RBNZ seen a cert
*UK Budget may have its critics, but not seen taking any chances
* JPY along with CHF regaining its safety credentials
*France remains a focus, Moody's offers some relief, if a sideshow to the bigger arc
FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, 26-30 October
October 26, 2026 7:39 AM UTC
*Central bank meeting flurry - BoC might disappoint, ECB eyed for tone change, RBNZ seen a cert
*UK Budget may have its critics, but not seen taking any chances
* JPY along with CHF regaining its safety credentials
*France remains a focus, Moody's offers some relief, if a sideshow to the bigger arc
October 25, 2026
Preview: Due November 6 - Canada October Employment - Correction from public sector-led loss
October 25, 2026 5:17 PM UTC
We expect Canadian employment to increase by 20k in a correction from two straight sharp declines, though the rise should be seen as corrective with the economy likely to lose some momentum in Q4 due to fresh US tariffs. We expect unemployment to remain at September’s 6.5% rate, up from 6.4% in Ju
Preview: Due November 6 - U.S. October Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Subdued report to hint at Q4 slowing
October 25, 2026 2:30 PM UTC
We expect October’s non-farm payroll to rise by 50k and by 45k in the private sector, in line with recent trend. We expect unemployment to remain at 4.2%, sustaining September’s increase after two months at 4.1%. We expect a modest 0.2% rise in average hourly earnings and a fall in the workweek
Preview: Due November 6 - U.S. October Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Subdued report to hint at Q4 slowing
October 25, 2026 2:30 PM UTC
We expect October’s non-farm payroll to rise by 50k and by 45k in the private sector, in line with recent trend. We expect unemployment to remain at 4.2%, sustaining September’s increase after two months at 4.1%. We expect a modest 0.2% rise in average hourly earnings and a fall in the workweek
October 23, 2026
FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, 26-30 October
October 23, 2026 3:44 PM UTC
*Central bank meeting flurry - BoC might disappoint, ECB eyed for tone change, RBNZ seen a cert
*UK Budget may have its critics, but not seen taking any chances
* JPY along with CHF regaining its safety credentials
*France remains a focus, Moody's a sideshow to the bigger arc
October 21, 2026
Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
October 21, 2026 4:03 PM UTC
We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024.
Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
October 21, 2026 4:03 PM UTC
We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024.
Bank of Canada Preview for October 28: Steady, December tightening not a done deal
October 21, 2026 2:04 PM UTC
The Bank of Canada meets on October 28 and recent soft employment and core inflation data suggest rates will be left unchanged at 2.25%. The BoC is still likely to express more concern about upside than downside risks, but may sound a little more balanced than was the case at the last meeting on Sep
Bank of Canada Preview for October 28: Steady, December tightening not a done deal
October 21, 2026 2:04 PM UTC
The Bank of Canada meets on October 28 and recent soft employment and core inflation data suggest rates will be left unchanged at 2.25%. The BoC is still likely to express more concern about upside than downside risks, but may sound a little more balanced than was the case at the last meeting on Sep
October 20, 2026
FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
October 20, 2026 2:59 PM UTC
The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa
FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
October 20, 2026 2:58 PM UTC
The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa
October 19, 2026
Preview: Due October 28 - U.S. September Advance Goods Trade Balance - Deficit to widen further
October 19, 2026 3:35 PM UTC
We expect an advance September goods trade deficit of $137.0bn, up from $132.1bn in August and the widest since a record pre-tariff deficit seen in March 2025 of $158.7bn. The September deficit, as was August’s, is likely to be higher than anything seen before Q1 2025.
Preview: Due October 20 - U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Mixed but on balance negative
October 19, 2026 2:31 PM UTC
We expect September housing starts to increase by 1.2% to 1290k after two straight declines while permits fall by 2.6% to 1370k, a second straight fall. On balance this would imply a slowing housing market.
FX Weekly Strategy: N America, 19-23 October
October 19, 2026 9:29 AM UTC
US bonds and USD became overstretched, looking to rebalance n/t
Euro remains weighed crosses out of French disorder
Quiet week though event risks coming onto the horizon
Big picture cross-asset themes across bonds-equities-dollar relationships remain a background focus
October 16, 2026
Preview: Due October 19 - Canada September CPI - Steady with slightly slower BoC core rates
October 16, 2026 5:15 PM UTC
Despite upward pressure on energy, we expect September Canadian CPI to remain at 3.0% yr/yr for a third straight month, with marginal slowing in the Bank of Canada’s three core rates.