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LONGER TERM THEMATIC RESEARCH

U.S./China: A Partial Deal Still Needs More Details

October 14, 2019 / Jeff Ng
The U.S. and China reached an initial agreement in principle on trade on October 11. U.S. President Donald Trump has agreed in principle to suspend October tariffs due to the progress.

Polish FX-Mortgage Verdict: At the Discretion of Local Courts

October 03, 2019 / Francesca Beausang
The European Court of Justice has ruled that Polish FX-indexed mortgages can be converted into zloty. However, local court rulings will dilute the impact.

China Policy Watch: PBoC Not Loosening Monetary Conditions Excessively

October 03, 2019 / Jeff Ng
Our view is that the Peoples’ Bank of China (PBoC) will continue to gradually loosen monetary policy in 2019-2020. In times of slowing economic growth and threats of financial instability, the PBoC has kept its monetary policy accommodative without loosening excessively. This is brought about through mostly stable interest rate policy and some currency weakness. Even with economic growth momentum threatening on the downside, we do not expect the PBoC to be excessively concerned and intervene too much.
SHORTER TERM TACTICAL RESEARCH

Chart NOK/SEK Update: Sticking With the Short-Term Breakdown for Now

October 16, 2019 / Rob Zukowski

NOK/SEK was able to thoroughly probe the next key target support at 1.0668.

Preview: Due October 24 - October Eurozone PMIs to Rebound Slightly

October 16, 2019 / Giacomo Pallaro

We expect the Eurozone composite PMI to correct higher in October to 50.8.

U.S. October Preliminary Michigan CSI Picks Up, but Inflation Expectations Fall

October 11, 2019 / David Sloan

October's preliminary Michigan CSI of 96.0 is up from 93.2 in September and extends the recovery from August's sharply lower 89.8.

 

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