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June 16, 2025

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Higher in consolidation from 1659 low
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June 16, 2025 3:12 AM UTC

Bounce from the 16225 low see price poised for retest of the 16300 resistance

Chart USD/THB Update: Consolidating, but still heavy
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June 16, 2025 2:50 AM UTC

Turned up from Friday's current year low at 32.31 as prices unwind oversold intraday studies

USD/JPY flows: Geopoltiical tension remains
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June 16, 2025 2:42 AM UTC

Missiles continue to be firing between Israel and Iran

Chart USD/KRW Update: Extend choppy trade above 1351.00/1352.00 lows
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June 16, 2025 2:42 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade above the 1351.00/1352.00 lows

Chart USD/SGD Update: Higher in range from 1.2763, multi-year low
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June 16, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Turned up in range from the 12 June multi-year low at 1.2763 as prices unwind oversold intraday studies

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for pullback
Freemium Article

June 16, 2025 2:16 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from the 1.3632 13 Jun YTD high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Range-bound in consolidation
Paying Article

June 16, 2025 2:06 AM UTC

Settled back in range from the 1.1631, 12 Jun current year high, as prices unwind overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Limited above 166.68
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June 16, 2025 1:39 AM UTC

Rebound from support at 165.00 on Friday has seen further probes above the 166.68, October high

Chart USD/JPY Update: Sustaining higher lows from 142.10, May low
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June 16, 2025 1:14 AM UTC

 Extending bounce from the 142.79 pullback low to regain the 144.00 level setting up scope for retest of 145.00 and 145.46 high

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
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June 16, 2025 12:47 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies are trading mostly weaker against the greenback as the USD gains on higher geopolitical tension between Iran and Israel. The only winner is THB by 0.09%; the largest losers are INR 0.57%, followed by MYR 0.56%, KRW & PHP 0.51%, IDR 0.37%, SGD 0.27%, CNH 0.22%, CNY 0.15%.
US

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating at .6000, risk for deeper pullback
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June 16, 2025 12:37 AM UTC

Choppy trade  below .6080 current year high see prices coming under pressure as intraday and daily studies unwind overbought readings

Chart AUD/USD Update: Leaning lower from .6545 high
Paying Article

June 16, 2025 12:22 AM UTC

Consolidation below the fresh year high at .6545 has given way to break of support at .6500/.6480 area

June 14, 2025

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Russian GDP Growth Loses Steam in Q1
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June 14, 2025 8:54 AM UTC

Bottom Line: Russia's GDP expanded by 1.4% YoY in Q1, the slowest pace of growth since the economy resumed expansion in Q2 2023 driven by military spending, higher wages and fiscal stimulus. The softening of growth figures demonstrates monetary tightening, sanctions, supply side constraints and hi

June 13, 2025

North American Summary and Highlights 13 Jun
Freemium Article

June 13, 2025 7:56 PM UTC

Overview - North America saw the USD correct from gains in Asia and North America, though the correction lost momentum after an Iranian retaliatory attack on Israel. 

Psychology for major markets Jun 13
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June 13, 2025 7:17 PM UTC

USD softer after weak US CPI, EUR positive.

Preview: Due June 25 - U.S. May New Home Sales - April strength unlikely to be sustained
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June 13, 2025 6:16 PM UTC

We expect a May new home sales level of 650k, which would be a 12.5% decline if April’s surprisingly strong 10.9% increase to 743k is unrevised. April’s level was the highest since February 2021, but only marginally above the highs of 2023 and 2024, and a downward revision is possible. 

Preview: Due June 23 - U.S. May Existing Home Sales - Remaining subdued
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June 13, 2025 4:46 PM UTC

We expect May existing home sales to maintain a subdued picture with a decline of 1.3% to 3.95m. This would be the lowest pace since September 2024. Yr/yr data at -2.7% from -2.0% in April would also be the weakest since September 2024.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Fresh 2025 year low
Freemium Article

June 13, 2025 4:03 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to fresh losses

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, June 16th-20th
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June 13, 2025 3:55 PM UTC

No change in rates or dots for FOMC 
Splits to Continue within BoE
SNB Toying With Being Negative
Norges Bank Policy Easing Schedule Clearer
Riksbank to Cut and Reassess Policy Outlook 

U.S. June Preliminary Michigan CSI - Back to levels seen before the reciprocal tariff announcement
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June 13, 2025 2:16 PM UTC

June’s preliminary Michigan CSI has seen a significant bounce to 60.5 from 52.2, putting the index to its highest since February assisted by reduced tariffs against China. The one-year inflation view has fallen to 5.1% from 6.6% though the 5-10 year view at 4.1% is down only marginally from 4.2%.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Leaning lower in range
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June 13, 2025 2:11 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a fresh test lower

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Volatile trade below 2025 year high - daily studies under pressure
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June 13, 2025 2:01 PM UTC

The pullback following the test above strong resistance at the 166.68 monthly high of 31 October fell sharply to 165.00

Chart USD/JPY Update: Tests lower not sustained
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June 13, 2025 1:45 PM UTC

Anticipated tests lower have bounced smartly from 142.75/80

Preview: Due June 27 - Canada April GDP - Tariffs starting to bite
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June 13, 2025 1:40 PM UTC

We expect Canadian GDP to be unchanged in April, slightly below a preliminary estimate for a 0.1% increase made with March’s report. Tariffs are likely to be a restraint on the economy through Q2 and beyond.

Chartbook: Chart GER 10 Year Yield: Potential for a minor pullback in broad range
Paying Article

June 13, 2025 1:15 PM UTC

The anticipated break above critical resistance at congestion around 3.000% and the 3.024% year high of October 2023 has not been seen