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October 20, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 20 October
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:03 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw modest losses as oil gains were reversed and US data came in soft, but came off its lows. 

Chart USD/MXN Update: Choppy beneath year highs - background studies positive
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 4:24 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have posted a fresh year high above resistance at congestion around 18.5000 and the 18.5500 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD/CAD Update: Extending losses in CAD-dominant trade
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.4100 has given way to anticipated losses

FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:59 PM UTC

The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa

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FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 2:58 PM UTC

The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa

U.S. September Pending Home Sales - More signs of housing sector weakness
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:17 PM UTC

September’s 7.3% decline in pending home sales is the sharpest decline since December with the level a record low. This adds to growing evidence that rising mortgage rates are undermining housing demand.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Pushing higher
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 1:21 PM UTC

Anticipated minor gains have reached congestion resistance at 0.7000

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy in range - studies are mixed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:56 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have been pushed back just shy of congestion resistance at 178.00

U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

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U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in range
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:34 PM UTC

The drift higher from congestion support at 158.00 has been pushed back from 158.60

Chart EUR/SEK Update: Prices remain under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 11:13 AM UTC

Cautious trade beneath resistance at 11.2000 has given way to anticipated losses

Europe Summary and Highlights 20 Oct
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 10:07 AM UTC

Stretched dollar longs still set backdrop; commodity currencies generally firmer, NOK lifted by oil 
EUR/USD propped, but euro heavier on crosses still
UK labour mkt data supports GBP, EUR/GBP still testing lows

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Honk Kong Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Hong Kong remains at a medium-low rating.     

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Room for lower
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 9:59 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Oct 20
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

France remains in focus, even if positioning and expiries help to cushion
USD long positioning was back to the extremes pre-CPI-reaction; euro crosses still struggle
A political winter of discontent asks FX questions of who comes out on top - CHF? JPY?

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 8:33 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious/choppy trade around 0.8250

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 8:13 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade within the 0.8400 - 0.8425 range

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:47 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 102.00

Chart EUR/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies rising
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:39 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at 1.1200

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room for further gains
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 7:23 AM UTC

Cautious trade above congestion support at 1.3300 is giving way to a fresh test higher

Weekly Chart AUD/USD: Extending bounce from .6900 support
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:08 AM UTC

Turned up from retest of the .6900 level and channel support from the March low has seen push higher towards the .7000 resistance

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD flows - better UK labour mkt data; euro crosses still weighed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:07 AM UTC

GBP supported by better labour mkt data
AUD, NZD both very short start the week off on the best footing
EUR/USD quiet, euro tending to underperform on the crosses 

Chart USD/TWD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 6:14 AM UTC

Sharply higher as prices extend break above 32.400 congestion and 32.550 July high to reach fresh year high at 32.600 congestion

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Consolidating, room for lower later
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 5:46 AM UTC

Edged up from the 1.2270 low as prices consolidate losses from the 1.2495 current year high of last week

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