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LONGER TERM THEMATIC RESEARCH
U.S. Shutdown: Longer We Go, Slower We Grow
January 16, 2019 / David Sloan
Should the U.S. government shutdown persist through Q1, a near-flat quarter for GDP growth could result. It seems unlikely that the standoff will persist for that long, but the path to a resolution remains unclear.
Eurozone: Underlying Inflation Refuses to Rise
January 09, 2019 / Andrew Wroblewski, Lars Lundqvist
ECB frustration with underlying Eurozone (EZ) inflation refusing to move toward the 2% target is increasingly clear to the extent that policy makers have recently suggested that the recent modest rise in wages has not spilled over into consumer prices because companies have absorbed the higher costs into their profit margins. This hardly-convincing line of argument is being undermined further by the unfolding drop in energy prices and the lack of any sign of emerging price pressures in the pipeline.
View Change: Moving Fed Hikes Back in Time
January 10, 2019 / Kevin Harris, David Sloan
We are changing our forecast of the timing of Federal Reserve rate hikes this year, while leaving the year-end fed funds rate forecast unchanged.
SHORTER TERM TACTICAL RESEARCH
Chart EUR/NOK Update: Upside Open Off Last Week's Base
January 14, 2019 / Nicholas RoseAlthough a firm start was sold sharply back, the reaction has been held above Friday's value.
Asia Daily Outlook / Strategy - 15 January 2019
January 14, 2019 / Darren AwThe week kicked off with Asia FX incurring some losses, with IDR (-0.65%) the biggest loser.
Argentina Flows: Announcement of BCRA Intervention Takes ARS Back to 37.19, Still Far From the No Intervention Band
January 14, 2019 / Priscila RobledoWith the currency opening the day much stronger than the lower bound of the no-intervention zone (set today at 37.451), the BCRA has announced an auction to buy USD50 billion.
Latest Research
Singapore Flows: USD/SGD breaks the 1.3578 resistance following upbeat U.S Economic Data
3 minutes ago /
Chart NOK/SEK Update: Bear-divergence sighted on daily Stochastic
19 minutes ago / Winston Tang
Philippines Flows: USD/PHP extended its upswing, focus on Q4 GDP on Thursday
1 hour ago / Jiaxin Lu
Indonesia Flows: USD/IDR sees a minor break above 14200
1 hour ago / Charu Chanana
Indonesia Chart JAKARTA Comp Update: Risk of corrective pullback increases
1 hour ago / Winston Tang
China Chart SHANGHAI Comp Update: Corrective upmove extending
1 hour ago / Winston Tang
Chart USD/CHF Update: Stretching upmove from .9713 low
2 hours ago / Winston Tang
China Flows: Growth data alleviate some concerns on slowdown, Yuan steady
2 hours ago / Ken Loong Hoe
Chart EUR/CHF Update: Spinning-top set last Friday easing upside pressure
2 hours ago / Winston Tang
China Q4 GDP growth slowed to 6.4% y/y from 6.5% in Q3
2 hours ago / Jeff Ng
Chart GBP/JPY Update: Corrective upmove slowly losing its shine
2 hours ago / Winston Tang
Chart Roadmap Today:1-2 day Technical Summary [US EU GB JP AU]
2 hours ago / Winston Tang
Emerging Asia Quick Roadmap Central Bank Forecast/Rationale
2 hours ago / Charu Chanana
Chart EUR/GBP Update: Piercing-pattern set last Friday fading downside pressure
2 hours ago / Winston Tang
China Dec Retail Sales 8.2% y/y (Prev: 8.1 Mkt: 8.1 4CAST: 8.0)
2 hours ago / Jeff Ng