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November 05, 2026

Chart AUD/USD Update: Limited tests lower
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 2:42 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a test below congestion support at 0.7000

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating gains
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 2:21 PM UTC

Consolidation has met selling interest around 178.45/50, as intraday studies turn down, with prices currently balanced in cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 178.00

Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy in range - studies rising
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 2:09 PM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to a retest below congestion support at 158.00

U.S. Initial Claims very low, Q3 Productivity and Unit Labor Costs healthy but Non-Labor Costs strong
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:46 PM UTC

Initial claims at 189k from 195kare back at the July 18 low. Continued claims did correct higher by 23k 1.718m after a preceding 27k decline but the net message is still for a very tight labor market. The latest data were however surveyed after October’s non-farm payroll was.

Bank of England Hikes by 25bp - Another Hike in the Pipeline
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:36 PM UTC

The Bank lifted rates to 4% as expected and all members voted to hike even the arch doves. Of the 9 members, 8 members opted for 25bp while Mann wanted a 50bp increase. The Bank is touting a further hike even if Governor Bailey noted that it is not on a “pre-set path” though the longer the confl

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Bank of England Hikes by 25bp - Another Hike in the Pipeline
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:35 PM UTC

The Bank lifted rates to 4% as expected and all members voted to hike even the arch doves. Of the 9 members, 8 members opted for 25bp while Mann wanted a 50bp increase. The Bank is touting a further hike even if Governor Bailey noted that it is not on a “pre-set path” though the longer the confl

Chart NOK/SEK Update: Turning away from fresh year high
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

The run to the fresh year high around 1.0730 has given way to anticipated profit-taking

EUR/GBP, GBP/USD flows - sharper pivot from BoE, now more on board likely follow up
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 12:33 PM UTC

BoE headlines somewhat more hawkish than previously signalled, or at least more of a pivot towards accepting likely follow up given the headline inflation overshoot
Provisos over premia, not expecting an inevitably long sequence, but also more resigned to some further adjustment, as growth has also h

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Range extension - background under pressure
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 11:12 AM UTC

The test of congestion resistance at 0.9200 has given way to further consolidation

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Tanzania Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Taiwan remains at a medium-high rating.     

Europe Summary and Highlights 5 Nov
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 10:53 AM UTC

Chips/AI and tech remain the dual focal points
European morning settles the big initial wide bar moves yesterday
NOK/SEK bounce out of soft Swedish CPI, and Norges Bank 
BoE next up 

Norges Bank: Holds Rates - Signals it is Prepared to Hike if Needed
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 10:20 AM UTC

Norges Bank kept rates unchanged at 4.5% but kept open the possibility of further policy tightening should inflation remain high. The market does not expect any more hikes and neither do we.

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Norges Bank: Holds Rates - Signals it is Prepared to Hike if Needed
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 10:20 AM UTC

Norges Bank kept rates unchanged at 4.5% but kept open the possibility of further policy tightening should inflation remain high. The market does not expect any more hikes and neither do we.

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Nov 5
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:58 AM UTC

Dust settles on midterm, chaos avoided, mkt focus on implications for oil and tech
BoE hike a done deal, but build up suggests a 'dovish hike' relative to mkt

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating - room for lower
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:12 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious/choppy trade around congestion support at 0.8150

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Further consolidation
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:06 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.8333 - 0.8365 range

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Pressuring support
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:01 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within support at the 101.30 Fibonacci retracement and the 101.50 break level

Chart EUR/USD Update: Balanced beneath resistance - background studies rising
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 8:34 AM UTC

Little change, as the retest of resistance within congestion around 1.1250 and the 1.1270 weekly high of 16 October gives way to further choppy trade beneath here

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring resistance - background studies continue to rise
Freemium Article

November 5, 2026 8:27 AM UTC

Little change, as the anticipated test of resistance at the 1.3470 Fibonacci retracement and congestion around 1.3500 gives way to consolidation

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP flows - twin themes continue, BoE up next
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 7:39 AM UTC

Oil reset, chip pressure remain two of the big themes out of the election
FX still biased towards position corrections
BoE up next, relatively dovish (or non-hawkish) hike expected

Weekly Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy around 158.00, room for lower later
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 7:27 AM UTC

Extending choppy trade around the 158.00 level as prices settled back from the 158.75 high

Chart USD/TWD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 6:48 AM UTC

Pullback from the 32.700 October high has seen prices giving way to renewed buying interest at the 32.400 congestion

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 5:57 AM UTC

Leaning lower in consolidation to retest the 1.2400 level and risk seen for break here to extend pullback from the 1.2600, 28 October current year high

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Nov 5
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 5:00 AM UTC

Dust settles on midterm, chaos avoided, mkt focus on implications for oil and tech
BoE hike a done deal, but build up suggests a 'dovish hike' relative to mkt

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Leaning lower from 18183, all-time high
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 4:30 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from the 18183 all-time high to pressure support at the 18126/18090, July highs

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