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LONGER TERM THEMATIC RESEARCH

UK: Recession Risk to Affect Politics Before Brexit?

August 14, 2019 / Andrew Wroblewski
A “no-deal” Brexit was always supposed to accentuate risks that would push the UK economy into recession. However, if the gloomy economic news continues, the ensuing rising possibility that the economy may already be in recession will play an important role in an election campaign that already seems to be taking place.

U.S. Delays Tariffs – Toys, Tech, Beans and Politics

August 13, 2019 / Kevin Harris
The U.S. Trade Representative has announced a delay until December 15 in the imposition of 10% tariffs on some of the $200 billion in goods that was due on September 1.

Brazilian Central Bank: Not as Dovish as the Market Sees It

August 06, 2019 / Pedro Tuesta
The minutes from the July 31 monetary policy meeting show that the Brazilian Central Bank saw room to cut the Selic rate, but will be cautious going forward.
SHORTER TERM TACTICAL RESEARCH

U.S. Chart Sep S&P 500 (E-Mini) Update: Watching for a Close Outside the 2950/14 Zone

August 22, 2019 / Rob Zukowski

ESU9 continues to hold near the upper end of the 2950/2800 range that has formed over the past three weeks.

Russia Flows: Ruble Extends Gains on Higher Oil Prices, Tax Payment Period

August 21, 2019 / Juri Kren
The ruble extended its gains at the beginning of Wednesday's session, with the USD/RUB temporarily falling to 66.1545.

Preview: Due 26 Aug - Germany Aug Ifo Business Climate Survey Seen Consolidating

August 20, 2019 / Andrew Wroblewski
We envisage some consolidation in the headline and component parts of the Ifo survey in the upcoming August numbers.

 

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