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May 07, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 7th
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 9:13 AM UTC

ECB speakers may be mildly EUR supportive
NOK rallies as Norges bank hike 
GBP vulnerable on local elections
Risk of reversal of recent risk positive trading if US/Iran deal is not completed

Chart USD/CHF Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 8:29 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at the 0.7770 Fibonacci retracement

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Sweden Riksbank Review: Fresh Tightening Bias But Mildly So?
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 8:22 AM UTC

It is always notable how quickly things can change, especially when it is external events that precipitate a shift in the backdrop and outlook.  Notably, with inflation (Figure 1) and real economy numbers having undershot both the Norges Bank and consensus expectations, the Riksbank might have been

NOK flows: NOK rallies on Norges Bank rate hike
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 8:21 AM UTC

Norges Bank hikes the policy rateto 4.25%. NOK rallies as market had been split on probability of a hike. Scope for further NOK gains medium term

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Consolidating - studies leaning lower
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a test of resistance within the 0.8640 - 0.8650 range

Psychology for major markets May 7
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

Al Arabiya is reporting that intense communications to gradually reopen the Strait of Hormuz are ongoing 

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 7:59 AM UTC

The test of support at the 97.63 monthly low of 17 April is giving way to consolidation

Chart EUR/USD Update: Edging higher
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 7:46 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have been pushed back from congestion resistance at 1.1800

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Extend consolidation above 212.00
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 7:30 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above support at the 212.00 congestion

Chart GBP/USD Update: Studies continue to improve
Freemium Article

May 7, 2026 7:29 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation following the test of congestion resistance at 1.3660

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Consolidating below 114.00/70 highs
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 7:21 AM UTC

Little change, as prices settled back to consolidate at the 113.00 level following choppy trade to retest 114.00 level

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Still heavy, 1.6130 low at risk
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 6:45 AM UTC

Consolidating test of the 1.6200 level but pressure remains on the downside and see scope for break to expose 1.6130 March YTD low to retest

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Leaning lower from the 1.2200/35, April highs
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 6:30 AM UTC

Leaning lower from the 1.2200/35 highs as prices consolidate gains within a 2-month rising wedge pattern from the March low

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Straits of Hormoz Scenarios
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 6:25 AM UTC

·       Our new baseline (70% probability) is for the Straits of Hormuz to start to partially reopen by June/July based on a framework deal between Iran and the U.S.  This means more elevated oil prices in Q2, but then a gradual reduction in WTI to USD85 end-2026 and USD75 end 2027.  The al

USD, JPY, EUR flows: Focus on US/Iran deal
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 6:24 AM UTC

Markets await Iran's response to teh US proposal to end hostilities. Market risks may be skewed towards a risk negative response after the moves of the last few days priced in a positive outcome

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Consolidating
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 6:08 AM UTC

Settling back from the 17437 Tuesday's historic high as prices consolidate recent strong gains from the 16705, January current year low

Asia Summary and Highlights 7 May
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 5:44 AM UTC

Iran to deliver response to U.S. war-ending proposal via Pakistan mediators on Thursday 
Saudi base ban forced Trump to pause Strait of Hormuz shipping operation

Chart USD/INR Update: Extending pullback from 95.4325 historic high
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 5:28 AM UTC

Turned up from the 94.5600 low as prices consolidate sharp drop from the 95.4325 all-time high

USD/JPY flows: Little Changed
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 5:23 AM UTC

No intervention today

Chart USD/MYR Update: Extending losses
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 4:16 AM UTC

Sharply lower as prices extend break of support at the 3.9400 April low to reach support at the 3.9100/3.9000 congestion

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 7th
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 4:00 AM UTC

ECB speakers may be mildly EUR supportive
Norges bank likely to leave rates unchanged
GBP vulnerable on local elections
Risk of reversal of recent risk positive trading

Chart USD/THB Update: Room to extend rejection from 32.80/32.85 highs
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 3:51 AM UTC

Consolidation around the 32.50 level has given way to sharp break lower towards the 32.00 level 

Chart USD/KRW Update: Consolidating losses to 1440.00 support
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 2:49 AM UTC

Consolidation around the 1470.00 congestion has given way to selling pressure through the 1460.00/1455.00 support to reach the 1440.00 support

Chart USD/SGD Update: Weighing on 1.2667 April low
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 2:33 AM UTC

Sharply lower as consolidation around 1.2750 gave way to selling pressure through the 1.2700 level to retest the 1.2667, April low

AUD/USD flows: Risk Shaky Again
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 2:33 AM UTC

Iran to deliver response to U.S. war-ending proposal via Pakistan mediators on Thursday 
Saudi base ban forced Trump to pause Strait of Hormuz shipping operation