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October 21, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 21 October
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 6:36 PM UTC

Overview - In a quiet session GBP was supported by inflation data and EUR reasonably resilient to France risks. 

Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 4:03 PM UTC

We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024. 

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Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 4:03 PM UTC

We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating losses - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 3:39 PM UTC

Steady selling interest is giving way to consolidation

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Oct 22
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:35 PM UTC

Positioning and oversold conditions obstructing euro follow through traction; downside focus switching to options protection
AUD lifted by short-covering and momentum swing towards a Nov hike pricing
Focus remains news driven rather than calendar-centric 

Bank of Canada Preview for October 28: Steady, December tightening not a done deal
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:04 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada meets on October 28 and recent soft employment and core inflation data suggest rates will be left unchanged at 2.25%. The BoC is still likely to express more concern about upside than downside risks, but may sound a little more balanced than was the case at the last meeting on Sep

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Bank of Canada Preview for October 28: Steady, December tightening not a done deal
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 2:04 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada meets on October 28 and recent soft employment and core inflation data suggest rates will be left unchanged at 2.25%. The BoC is still likely to express more concern about upside than downside risks, but may sound a little more balanced than was the case at the last meeting on Sep

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending gains, but studies becoming overstretched
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:28 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached 0.7035

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending cautious trade - studies are mixed
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:22 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade just below 177.50

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:07 PM UTC

Little change, as cautious trade extends pressure on congestion support at 158.00

Weekly Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating above fresh year low - background studies remain under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 12:31 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a fresh spike lower

Chart EUR/NOK Update: Fresh year lows in NOK-dominant trade
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 11:19 AM UTC

Anticipated tests higher have been pushed back sharply

Europe Summary and Highlights 21 Oct
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 10:14 AM UTC

France remains pressured, euro underperformance limited by recent oversold backdrop
GBP supported by firmer UK CPI
AUD continues short covering lean, RBA’s Hauser helps nudge RBA hike pricing to odds-on

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Cautious trade - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 10:14 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at the 0.9245 Fibonacci retracement and congestion around 0.9250

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Philippines Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in the Philippines remains at a medium-high rating.     

Strains bring financial conditions into the eurozone mix
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 9:06 AM UTC

* French stress and ECB Lagarde comments switch focus to the tightening in financial conditions
*Past studies show material impact from significant episodes...
* ...with possible implications for core bond demand, ECB pricing and the wider appetite for risk across FX and markets.

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:36 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies and flat oversold daily stochastics keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Fresh year lows - approaching strong support
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:21 AM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to fresh selling interest

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Price action remains cautious
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:12 AM UTC

Anticipated tests lower have bounced from support at the 101.50 range highs and the 101.58 weekly low of 16 October

AUD/USD, AUD/NZD flows - Comments nudge market towards odds-on Nov RBA hike
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:08 AM UTC

RBA's Hauser comments nudge hike odds above 50-50, keeps AUD short covering

Chart EUR/USD Update: Price action remains cautious
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 7:49 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the wide 1.1200 - 1.1270 range

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating test of 1.3400/05 - background studies remain positive
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 7:28 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached strong resistance at congestion around 1.3400 and the 1.3405 Fibonacci retracement

EUR/GBP, GBP/USD flows - UK CPI upside cementing likely Nov hike
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 6:42 AM UTC

UK CPI upside cements likely Nov hike, 90%+ priced in
GBP remains on a firm trend, if n/t oversold on the cross

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Higher in consolidation
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 6:03 AM UTC

Turned up from the 1.2270 low see prices retracing losses from the 1.2495 current year high of last week and unwindind oversold intraday and daily studies

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Still limited above 18000
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 5:27 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the 18000 level to leave pin bars at the 18035/18045 highs

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