View:

June 30, 2025

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, July 1st
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 9:00 PM UTC

Data looks unlikely to move markets
USD and JPY remain under pressure
CHF strength looks puzzling and excessive
GBP could be vulnerable to more dovish BoE comments

North American Summary and Highlights 30 Jun
Freemium Article

June 30, 2025 7:50 PM UTC

Overview - The USD weakened in North America after being little changed in the European morning. 

Chart USD/MXN Update: Pressuring the 18.7750 Fibonacci retracement
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 4:00 PM UTC

The fall from the 19.3260 weekly high of 23 June has reached critical support at the 18.7750 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD/CAD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

June 30, 2025 3:38 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, July 1st
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 3:08 PM UTC

Data looks unlikely to move markets
USD and JPY remain under pressure
CHF strength looks puzzling and excessive
GBP could be vulnerable to more dovish BoE comments

Preview: Due July 1 - U.S. June ISM Manufacturing - Modest improvement from a 6-month low
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 2:48 PM UTC

We expect a June ISM manufacturing index of 49.0, which would be a marginal improvement from May’s 48.5, which was the weakest since November 2024. However the index would remain below the neutral 50 which was beaten in January and February for the first times since October 2022. 

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 1:24 PM UTC

Still little change

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Balanced beneath fresh year highs - daily studies leaning lower
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 1:19 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 1:08 PM UTC

Still little change

...
German Data Review: Services Dip Further Despite Calendar Effects?
Freemium Article

June 30, 2025 12:30 PM UTC

Germany’s disinflation process continues, with the lower-than-expected June preliminary numbers refreshing and reinforcing this pattern, with a 0. Ppt drop to 2.0%, a 10-mth low (Figure 1)!  Previously but there have been signs that the downtrend was flattening out and this impression may have be

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 11:46 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above congestion support at 4.2350

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 11:18 AM UTC

Anticipated minor tests higher have not been seen, as negative intraday studies keep near-term sentiment under pressure

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Further consolidation - studies continue to rise
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 10:54 AM UTC

Prices have posted a fresh 2025 year high around 1.6090

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 10:16 AM UTC

Choppy trade is giving way to a drift lower

Europe Summary and Highlights 30 June
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 10:03 AM UTC

EUR/USD was not much changed but USD/JPY was slightly higher, gaining 20 pips to 144.20, and USD/CHF slightly lower, falling 15 pips to 0.7970. 

Psychology for major markets Jun 30
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 10:01 AM UTC

EUR testing highs, JPY weakness looks overdone, equities making new highs

FX Weekly Strategy: June 30th - July 4th
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 8:45 AM UTC

US employment report the prime focus
Some risk of weaker numbers after higher claims figures from mid-May
General USD weakness remains hard to oppose
JPY could recover some ground on the crosses on weaker US data

Chart USD/CHF Update: Fresh year lows - prices under pressure
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 8:33 AM UTC

The break back below 0.8000 has posted a fresh 2025 year low at 0.7957

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Pressuring year lows - studies falling
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 8:22 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Immediate gains to remain limited
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 8:11 AM UTC

The anticipated break below congestion support at 0.8520 has not been seen

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - studies continue to rise
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 7:55 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e June 24th
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 7:44 AM UTC

Net long JPY positioning slightly reduced but still large, EUR longs rising

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating recent gains
Freemium Article

June 30, 2025 7:36 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed/negative intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious 

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Leaning lower from 198.80 high
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 7:32 AM UTC

Turning lower from the 198.80 Friday's high and return below the 198.00 level threatens deeper pullback to support at the 197.00

...
U.S. and Asia Defense Partners
Paying Article

June 30, 2025 7:30 AM UTC

 ·        Japan, S Korea and Australia could eventually agree to some extra commitment to increase (self) defence spending in the next 5-10 years though perhaps not targets like NATO countries.  This could come as part of the trade deal negotiations currently underway.  Japan and S Korea