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LONGER TERM THEMATIC RESEARCH

Fed Doves Dominate the Dots

July 12, 2019 / David Sloan
June’s FOMC “dots” showed one participant expecting 25 bps of tightening this year, eight who expect no change in rates and eight who expect easing (one by 25 bps and seven by 50 bps).

U.S. Jobs Data Keep the Fed Calm

July 05, 2019 / Kevin Harris, David Sloan
The employment report for June was strong enough to correct any impression that the U.S. labor market is in trouble. However, it doesn't change the outlook for Fed policy very much.

EU-U.S. Trade: Does the WTO Have a Role to Play?

July 02, 2019 / Andrew Wroblewski
Having calmed global trade dispute worries over the weekend with more conciliatory rhetoric in regard to China, it seems that the U.S. is trying to maintain its tariff bravado by turning its attention to the EU.
SHORTER TERM TACTICAL RESEARCH

USD/JPY, AUD/USD Flows: Trade Risks Were Highlighted in Chinese data

July 12, 2019 / David Sloan

USD is under pressure, most notably versus JPY, with AUD also performing well.

Chart USD/CHF Update: Focus on the 0.9821 Fibonacci Retracement; Scope for Move Even Lower

July 12, 2019 / Mike Macdonald

Anticipated selling pressure is now pushing prices below the 0.9850 support.

Banxico Minutes: Dovish Fed Provides Room for Maneuver

July 11, 2019 / Priscila Robledo

Considering Banxico's increased dovishness and our recently revised forecast for two 25-bp Fed cuts, we now believe Banxico will cut its rate this year.

 

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