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FX Daily Strategy: N America, March 26th

March 26, 2026 10:12 AM UTC

USD Choppy trade to Give Way if Geopolitical Breakthrough
USD/JPY Another Area to Watch Out
How Hawkish Will the Norges Bank Sound?

Norges Bank Review (Mar 26): Unsurprisingly Too Hawkish

March 26, 2026 9:48 AM UTC

While no change in policy was expected from the Norges Bank’s verdict this month, the clear shift in rhetoric was almost inevitable. It dropped its recently repeated assertion that ‘the policy rate will be reduced further in the course of the coming year’ and instead suggested that ‘the po

Chart USD/CHF Update: Higher in range

March 26, 2026 9:17 AM UTC

Cautious/choppy trade beneath 0.7900 has given way to a push higher

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Cautious trade

March 26, 2026 9:08 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Psychology for major markets Mar 26

March 26, 2026 9:01 AM UTC

Cracks Showing

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Edging higher

March 26, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Consolidation above congestion support at 99.00 has given way to a push higher

Chart EUR/USD Update: Leaning lower

March 26, 2026 8:48 AM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.1600 has given way to a drift lower

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower in choppy trade

March 26, 2026 8:28 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.3400 has given way to a fresh selling interest

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Room to extend gains

March 26, 2026 7:52 AM UTC

Consolidating gains to the 1.6675 high as prices unwind stretched intraday and daily studies

March Outlook: Iran War and AI Challanges

March 26, 2026 7:17 AM UTC

Our March Outlook is now published and please see all our economic and policy chapters below.

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: The Iran War Shock

March 26, 2026 7:10 AM UTC

· The Iran war macro impact on Asia depends on length of the conflict and impact on energy flows. Our baseline is for a 4-8 week Iran war, with WTI down to USD80-85 by June; USD65-70 end 2026 and USD60 by Q3 2027 (here).
· India GDP growth has been revised down slightly

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Consolidating, room for lower later

March 26, 2026 6:46 AM UTC

Edged up from the 1.1935 low as prices consolidate losses from the 1.2150 high and unwind oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Weighing on 16900/16885 support

March 26, 2026 5:53 AM UTC

Under pressure as prices extend rejection from the 16995 all-time high to reach the 16900/16885 support

Asia Summary and Highlights 26 Mar

March 26, 2026 5:34 AM UTC

Trump says Iran is negotiating and want a deal

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, March 26th

March 26, 2026 4:29 AM UTC

USD Choppy trade to Give Way if Geopolitical Breakthrough
USD/JPY Another Area to Watch Out
How Hawkish Will the Norges Bank Sound?

AUD/USD flows: Geopolitical tension persist

March 26, 2026 4:25 AM UTC

Trump says Iran is negotiating and want a deal

Chart USD/MYR Update: Extending gains

March 26, 2026 4:23 AM UTC

Gains above resistance at the 3.9500 congestion has seen follow-through above the 3.9680 March high

Chart USD/CNH Update: Pressuring 6.9100 range high

March 26, 2026 4:08 AM UTC

Choppy trade see prices pressuring resistance at the 6.9100 congestion

Chart USD/THB Update: Bounce see room to retest 33.05 high

March 26, 2026 2:37 AM UTC

Higher within the Monday's range as prices extend bounce from the 32.10 low to retest 32.80 congestion

Chart USD/KRW Update: Bounce return focus to 1510.00/1518.00 highs

March 26, 2026 2:20 AM UTC

Consolidation above the 1487.00/1480.00 support has given way to bounce to regain the 1500.00 level

Chart USD/SGD Update: Bounce return focus to 1.2850/65 highs

March 26, 2026 2:03 AM UTC

Bounce from the 1.2730 low to regain the 1.2800 level return focus to the upside for retest of strong resistance at 1.2850/65

Chart GBP/USD Update: Turned lower in consolidation

March 26, 2026 1:42 AM UTC

Settled back below the 1.3400 level as resistance at the 1.3435/80, 200-day MA and 23 March high keep gains in check

Chart EUR/USD Update: Lower in consolidation

March 26, 2026 1:27 AM UTC

Settled back from 1.1640 Monday's high as prices consolidate choppy gains from the 1.1410, 13 March current year low

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Edging higher above 184.00

March 26, 2026 1:15 AM UTC

Break above the 184.00 level see prices extending gains from the 182.00 low of last week

Chart USD/JPY Update: Scope to retest 159.75/90 highs

March 26, 2026 1:01 AM UTC

Bounce from the 157.50 low of last week to regain the 159.00 level has seen gains to retest the 159.45, January high