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May 12, 2026
Preview: Due May 13 - U.S. April PPI - Core rates to pick up from below trend March
May 12, 2026 1:40 PM UTC
We expect PPI to rise by 0.5% overall in April for a third straight month. We expect the lift from energy to be less sharp than in March, but the core rates to pick up from below trend March gains, ex food and energy to 0.3% from 0.1%, and ex food, energy and trade to 0.4% from 0.2%.
U.S. April CPI - Subdued ex food, energy and what looks like one-time strength in shelter
May 12, 2026 1:08 PM UTC
April CPI is only marginally stronger than expected on the core rate, up by 0.4%, 0.376% before rounding, and the data not alarming outside of a one-time distortion in housing. The headline gain of 0.6% was as expected, and here the rise was a little firmer at 0.64% before rounding.
UK CPI Preview (May 20): Inflation Sedate For Now But Wages Still on the Wane?
May 12, 2026 12:05 PM UTC
What are energy induced price rises are now very evident, most notably in PPI data as well as the more closely watched CPI figures. Thus after a stable 3.0% (a 10-mth low) February’s headline – matching the consensus, headline CPI jumped to 3.3% in March. Services, however, rose from 4.3% a fo
FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 12th
May 12, 2026 9:25 AM UTC
Volatility keeps compressing though maybe some tensions showing at the edges
No shift in ranges and trends yet, but if the fever breaks, USD and JPY correct
US CPI data to keep the Fed in defensive wait and see mode
GBP plays the 'political short' trade as gilts spike, though spec mkt was positioned
Foc
GBP/USD, EUR/GBP flows: Having another stab at the 'political short' trade
May 12, 2026 7:44 AM UTC
Gilts spike at open after further news of Labour push to replace Starmer
Technicals had already suggested some scope for GBP correction
That said, the narrative is a bit one-dimensional, and there is already short spec positioning
USD/JPY, EUR/USD, AUD/USD flows: Dollar touch firmer in ranges, firmer on regionals
May 12, 2026 7:01 AM UTC
Further Iran slating keeps dollar supported, but trade still in ranges
Lack of volatility belies uncertainty, while Asia regionals show a bit more dollar impetus
Market still reads glass half empty for JPY in US support
FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 12th
May 12, 2026 4:16 AM UTC
Volatility keeps compressing while the 'dash for compute' o/b rally and options arm wrestle goes on
No break in trend but if the fever breaks, USD and JPY correct
US CPI data to keep the Fed in defensive wait and see mode
Focus starts to turn to US-China meetings