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November 10, 2026

U.S. October Median CPI up 3.7% annualized, confirming CPI strength was broad based
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 8:19 PM UTC

Emphasizing the disappointing nature of the October CPI, the 0.3% rise in the Cleveland Fed’s Median CPI is consistent with the core CPI released earlier and the annualized pace of 3.7% is a 5-month high.

North American Summary and Highlights 10 November
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 8:01 PM UTC

Overview - The USD picked up as a strong US CPI and hawkish Fed talk raised the risk of a 50bps December FOMC tightening. 

Bank of Canada Minutes from October 28 - Proceeding carefully
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 7:06 PM UTC

Minutes from the Bank of Canada meeting on October 28, which saw policy tightened by 25bps to 2.50%,  do not provide many surprises. The BoC saw the outlook for inflation as much stronger than in its previous Monetary Policy Report produced in July, while the growth outlook had improved modestly. S

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Bank of Canada Minutes from October 28 - Proceeding carefully
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 7:06 PM UTC

Minutes from the Bank of Canada meeting on October 28, which saw policy tightened by 25bps to 2.50%,  do not provide many surprises. The BoC saw the outlook for inflation as much stronger than in its previous Monetary Policy Report produced in July, while the growth outlook had improved modestly. S

Chart USD/CAD Update: Higher in USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

November 10, 2026 4:52 PM UTC

Choppy price action has given way to anticipated gains

DXY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF flows - Fed's Logan adds to 'behind curve' messaging, 50bp one way or another
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 4:30 PM UTC

Logan also hawkish on unacceptable inflation, sees need for 50bp to catch up before taking stock
Also sees a case for moving faster than previously this winter

Chart AUD/USD Update: Choppy in range - studies under pressure
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 2:49 PM UTC

The anticipated test above congestion resistance at 0.6900 has been pushed back from beneath 0.6950

Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy in multi-week range - background studies rising
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 2:25 PM UTC

The anticipated test below 158.00 has bounced from 157.65

U.S. October CPI - 50bps now set to be debated at December FOMC
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 2:14 PM UTC

October CPI has come in stronger than expected at 0.4% overall with a third straight 0.3% rise in the core rate ex food and energy. Earlier today Fed’s Waller suggested that a 0.3% core increase would justify a 50bps tightening in December. That looks sure to be debated, particularly after October

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U.S. October CPI - 50bps now set to be debated at December FOMC
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 2:14 PM UTC

October CPI has come in stronger than expected at 0.4% overall with a third straight 0.3% rise in the core rate ex food and energy. Earlier today Fed’s Waller suggested that a 0.3% core increase would justify a 50bps tightening in December. That looks sure to be debated, particularly after October

DXY flows - Another upside becoming an unfortunate habit; 50bp has been put up for discussion
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 1:38 PM UTC

Another 0.3% makes more of a trend
Fed's Waller indicated this brings a 50bp hike into the discussion for Dec
Clear mmkt and dollar sensitivity as a result

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows - Fed's Waller ups the ante into the CPI data
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 11:56 AM UTC

CPI remains in focus, Fed's Waller has upped the ante and the potential for reaction

Europe Summary and Highlights 10 Nov
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 11:01 AM UTC

Steady session, US CPI up next
Equities continue to lift, bolstered by lower oil and attempted tech bounce
NOK starting to be dragged by lower oil

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Azerbaijan Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Azerbaijan remains at a medium-high rating.     

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Nov 10
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 10:13 AM UTC

Risk attempts to bounce on oil and tech lift, but outlook still unclear
Back from the noise, EUR/USD not far from 1.12 pivot, and DXY stuck in a 1 figure range
Positioning does remain heavily defensive, especially on yen risk crosses
US CPI offers some normality. On-consensus results anticipated

EUR/NOK, NOK/SEK flows: NOK still sees correction risks given oil reset
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 9:45 AM UTC

NOK still seems to be lagging the reset seen in oil, suggesting bigger correction risks

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - any gains to remain limited
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 9:40 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies extend cautious/choppy trade around congestion resistance at 0.8200

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Minor consolidation has given way to renewed selling interest

Chart EUR/USD Update: Higher in range
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 8:50 AM UTC

Minor consolidation has given way to the anticipated break above 1.1200

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pushing higher
Freemium Article

November 10, 2026 8:34 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.3400 has given way to continuation higher

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows - BoJ summary leans to Dec; US CPI main interest
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 8:03 AM UTC

BoJ summary suggests majority likely favoured Dec hike, bar a big financial shock
US CPI main focus today, 0.2% core expected

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Nov 10
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 7:54 AM UTC

Risk attempts to bounce on oil and tech lift, but outlook still unclear
Back from the noise, EUR/USD not far from 1.12 pivot, and DXY stuck in a 1 figure range
Positioning does remain heavily defensive, especially on yen risk crosses
US CPI offers some normality. On-consensus results anticipated

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Freemium Article

November 10, 2026 1:45 AM UTC

Rebound from the 1.3340 Monday's low to regain the 1.3400 level see pressure returning to resistance at the 1.3450 congestion

Chart EUR/USD Update: Choppy within a 5-week range area
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 1:31 AM UTC

Sharp bounce from support at the 1.1150/30 area to regain the 1.1200 level see prices extending choppy trades within a 5-week range area

Chart USD/JPY Update: Extend choppy trade around 158.00
Paying Article

November 10, 2026 1:04 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade around the 158.00 level following rejection from the 158.77 high of last week

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