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November 9, 2026 7:09 PM UTC
Despite higher energy costs, growing uncertainty and tighter financial conditions, the UK economy likely continued to grow rapidly in Q3. We expect quarter on quarter growth to have increased by 0.7%, in line with estimates produced by the BoE in last week’s Monetary Policy Report (see Figure 1).

November 9, 2026 7:09 PM UTC
Despite higher energy costs, growing uncertainty and tighter financial conditions, the UK economy likely continued to grow rapidly in Q3. We expect quarter on quarter growth to have increased by 0.7%, in line with estimates produced by the BoE in last week’s Monetary Policy Report (see Figure 1).
November 9, 2026 4:15 PM UTC
Risk attempts to bounce on oil and tech lift, but outlook still unclear
Back from the noise, EUR/USD not far from 1.12 pivot, and DXY stuck in a 1 figure range
Positioning does remain heavily defensive, especially on yen risk crosses
US CPI offers some normality. On-consensus results anticipated

November 9, 2026 1:04 PM UTC
We expect more subdued CPI in October after two straight disappointing 0.3% gains in the core rate, with October’s core rate seen at 0.2%, 0.22% before rounding. Gasoline prices have seen only a marginal rise on the month, and we expect overall CPI to also rise by 0.2%, though at 0.24% before roun
November 9, 2026 10:05 AM UTC
Focus remains on AI-risk. Nasdaq attempted to bounce but hasn't broken weak structure yet
US CPI, a relatively sedate month expected. Only partial offset to payrolls, though mmkt /bonds still more impulsively driven by risk
Even if some reactive consolidation, hard to pivot from defensive view on FX r
November 9, 2026 9:31 AM UTC
IMM data shows euro shorts nudging out further, now some 1.7stdev, largest since 2015 that got 10% bigger at peak
GBP short's retreat - though remain - on it's recent policy and fiscal rank re-pricing
Positioning in classic risk off crosses quite extreme, NZD and AUD +2.7 and 2.5 stdev, versus -1.8std