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September 16, 2025

AUD/USD flows: All waiting for FOMC
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 4:45 AM UTC

U.S. won’t impose China oil tariffs unless Europe acts

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 16th
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 4:24 AM UTC

US retail sales unlikely to move market
BoC set to cut even without CPI decline
GBP risks on the downside from labour market data

USD/JPY flows: Consolidation continues
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 3:27 AM UTC

Japan’s Hayashi said Tokyo pleased with implementation of tariff agreement with the US

Chart GBP/USD Update: Edging higher
Freemium Article

September 16, 2025 2:05 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the upside to reach the 1.3600/35 area as prices extend bounce from the 1.3333, 3 September low

Chart EUR/USD Update: Edging higher in choppy trade
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 1:54 AM UTC

Edging higher in choppy trade from the 1.1600 support with higher lows setting up scope for retest of the 1.1780 high of last week

Chart USD/JPY Update: Ranging within 148.00/147.00 area
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 1:02 AM UTC

Still little change, but pressure remains on the 147.00 level

Chart NZD/USD Update: Range-bound, but room for higher later
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 12:38 AM UTC

Little change, as prices remains confined to range below the .5980 high of last week

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

September 16, 2025 12:22 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the upside as prices extend gains towards the November high at .6688

September 15, 2025

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 16th
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 9:00 PM UTC

US retail sales unlikely to move market
BoC set to cut even without CPI decline
GBP risks on the downside from labour market data

North American Summary and Highlights 13 Sep
Freemium Article

September 15, 2025 7:49 PM UTC

Overview - In a generally quiet session the USD was slightly softer. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

September 15, 2025 3:53 PM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.3850 is giving way to a drift lower

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, Sep 16th
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 3:40 PM UTC

US retail sales unlikely to move market
BoC set to cut even without CPI decline
GBP risks on the downside from labour market data

Chartbook: Chart USD/CHF: Extending choppy trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 3:37 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade around congestion at 0.8000

Preview: Due September 26 - Canada July GDP - First rise in three months
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 2:34 PM UTC

We expect July Canadian GDP to rise by 0.2%, following three straight declines of 0.1%. A 0.2% rise would be slightly stronger than a preliminary estimate of 0.1% made with June’s report.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating beneath the 2025 year highs
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 1:36 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath the 0.6668 current year high of 12 September

Preview: Due September 16 - U.S. August Industrial Production - Aggregate hours suggest a decline
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 1:19 PM UTC

We expect August industrial production to fall by 0.4% with a matching 0.4% decline in manufacturing. This will be the steepest decline overall since October 2024 and the first decline in manufacturing since a 0.5% drop in April.

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Sweden Riksbank Preview (Sep 23): Riksbank To Deliver Final Rate Cut?
Freemium Article

September 15, 2025 1:09 PM UTC

Although noting the possible impact of recent both real activity and adjusted CPI data having delivered upside news and surprises, we adhere to our view that a further but final rate cut is looming and probably at the Sep 23 verdict.  Indeed, we were disappointed that the Riksbank did not deliver a

Preview: Due September 16 - Canada August CPI - Higher as year ago weakness drops out
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 1:09 PM UTC

Weakness a year ago is likely to see August Canadian CPI picking up on a yr/yr basis, we expect to 2.0% from 1.7%. The Bank of Canada’s core rates are likely to remain fairly stable, and above the 2.0% target.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in range
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 1:08 PM UTC

The retest of resistance at 148.00 has not been sustained

U.S. September Empire State Manufacturing Survey - Softer but underlying picture near flat and prices still firm
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 12:48 PM UTC

September’s Empire State manufacturing index at -8.7 from a positive 11.9 has broken a string of three straight positives which followed four straight negatives. The index is volatile but now it looks like that the three straight positives were not signaling an untrend. The underlying picture is p

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Preview: Due September 16 - U.S. August Retail Sales - Autos to slip, but core rates to maintain trend
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 12:16 PM UTC

We expect a modest 0.2% increase in August retail sales restrained by a correction lower in auto sales. However we expect the core rates ex autos and ex autos and gasoline to maintain trend with gains of 0.4%. 

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Balanced beneath fresh 2025 year high - studies edging higher
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 11:06 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around critical resistance at the 1.6235 multi-year Fibonacci retracement

Chartbook: US Chart 10 Year Yield: Consolidating - background studies leaning lower
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 10:04 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend anticipated consolidation above congestion support at 4.000%

Psychology for major markets Sep 15
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 9:59 AM UTC

USD slightly soft as Fed easing expectations help equities to strengthen

Chartbook: Chart USD Index DXY: Consolidation to give way to fresh losses
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 8:53 AM UTC

Anticipated losses following the close below 100.00 and completion of the 2023-2025 distribution top, have met support at 96.38