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May 21, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 21 May
Freemium Article

May 21, 2026 7:33 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was little changed though with some volatility on reports from the Middle East. GBP and EUR were resilient to weak PMI data. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Extending gains
Freemium Article

May 21, 2026 3:44 PM UTC

Cautious trade above the 1.3730 recent lows has given way to anticipated gains

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, May 22nd
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

Japan National CPI Likely Shielded from Shock Now
And its impact on JPY Muted
DXY Remain Supported By Uncertainty

USD flows: USD to stay firm after solid PMI
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 2:10 PM UTC

US S&P PMI solid suggesting upside risks vs Europe

U.S. May S&P PMIs - Manufacturing stronger still, Services still subdued
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 1:59 PM UTC

May’s preliminary S and P PMIs show increasing strength in manufacturing at 55.3 from an already significantly improved 54.5 in April, reaching its highest since May 2022. Services at 50.9 are however marginally softer from April’s 51.0, but still holding above March’s dip below neutral to 49.

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South Africa MPC Preview: Close Call on May 28
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

Bottom Line: Taking into account that annual inflation increased to 4.0% y/y in April due to higher energy and transportation prices, we think South African Reserve Bank (SARB) will likely consider hiking the rate by 25 bps to 7.0% during the next MPC scheduled on May 28 given plenty of upside risks

U.S. Initial Claims, May Philly Fed, April Housing Starts and Permits - Mixed data gives no clear signals of strength or weakness
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

The latest data is mixed, initial claims in line with expectations and showing signs of stabilizing at a still low level. May’s Philly Fed manufacturing survey is weaker than expected but with positive 6-month expectations, both on activity and prices.  April housing starts and permits are on the

USD flows: USD firm as yields rise
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

USD firmer as yields rise and equities fall despite neutral data

Chart AUD/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation around congestion support at 0.7100

Chart USD/JPY Update: Cautious trade - daily studies rising
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 12:57 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation within resistance at congestion around 159.00 and the 159.25 high of 19 May

EUR/USD flows: Philly Fed stalls, claims steady, no change in mkt focus
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 12:51 PM UTC

Mixed Philly Fed detail, but claims still stable and focus elsewhere 

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 11:13 AM UTC

Little change, as the test of resistance at 1.6000 gives way to fresh consolidation around 1.5975

USD, JPY, EUR, AUD flows: Uranium standoff rumbles on
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 10:48 AM UTC

Market prisoner to the headlines intraday
Latest has Iran pushback on enriched uranium. Hard line on both sides leaves deal unresolved. 

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 21st
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Eying risk and bonds out of Nvidia, auction and Minutes
Big picture, have some seen re-pricings within established ranges (EUR/USD 1.15-1.20 give or take)
Need to see more decisive developments on Iran and/or asset volatility to be making new strides
Global PMI data in focus 

Psychology for major markets May 21
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 8:57 AM UTC

Pakistan army chief's reported visit to Iran stirs up murmurs about an agreement

GBP, EUR flows: UK PMI Matches 2023 and 2025 low
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 8:38 AM UTC

EUR and GBP both holding up remarkably well despite very weak PMIs, but risks remain on the downside

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Eurozone: PMI Slump Shows Energy Surge Constraining Activity, Not Just Hitting Costs
Freemium Article

May 21, 2026 8:36 AM UTC

Once again surprising on the downside flash Eurozone Composite PMI fell to 47.5 in May from 48.8 in April and below the 50.0 no-change mark for the second successive month. The latest reading thereby signalled a further and steeper m/m reduction in business activity, was the sharpest since October 2

EUR flows: Eurozone PMI lowest since November 2023
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 8:07 AM UTC

EUR vulnerable after weak PMI

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - studies improving
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 8:07 AM UTC

Cautious trade around congestion resistance at 0.7900 has given way to a pullback to 0.7860~

EUR flows: Weak French PMI pulling EUR lower
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 7:53 AM UTC

EUR dipping after very weak French PMI

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - studies improving
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 7:48 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation following the test of congestion support at 99.00

Chart EUR/USD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 7:30 AM UTC

Little change, as cautious trade extends pressure on congestion support at 1.1600

Chart GBP/USD Update: Choppy trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

May 21, 2026 7:22 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a spike to 1.3460~

USD, JPY, EUR, AUD flows: USD still firm, PMIs in focus
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 6:35 AM UTC

USD remains well supported, AUD softer, EUR may be vulnerable on PMIs

USD/JPY flows: Trade Balance Beats
Paying Article

May 21, 2026 5:08 AM UTC

Japan April Trade Balance Beats