View:
May 20, 2026
FOMC Minutes from April 29: Hawkish concerns appear broadly felt
May 20, 2026 6:54 PM UTC
FOMC minutes from April 29 show a hawkish leaning, confirming market perceptions that there was more interest in removing an easing bias from the language than revealed by the three hawkish dissents at the meeting. Should inflation remain persistent, tightening could come onto the agenda, though sho
FX Daily Strategy: APAC, May 21st
May 20, 2026 3:04 PM UTC
Eying risk and bonds out of Nvidia, auction and Minutes
Big picture, have some seen re-pricings within established ranges (EUR/USD 1.15-1.20 give or take)
Need to see more decisive developments on Iran and/or asset volatility to be making new strides
Global PMI data in focus
Preview: Due May 21 - U.S. April Housing Starts and Permits - A mixed picture but trend may slow in Q2
May 20, 2026 12:31 PM UTC
We look for April housing starts and permits to both see levels of 1.40m, for starts a fall of 6.8% after a rise of 10.8% in March, and for permits a rise of 2.7% after a fall of 11.4% in March.
USD/JPY, EUR/JPY flows: A compelling argument for the BoJ to surprise with aggressive Operation Twist
May 20, 2026 8:53 AM UTC
Argument that the current BoJ mix is not being rewarded. Indeed, its being punished as trilemma narrative takes hold
A riff on 'Operation Twist' offers a strong way forward - hike policy rates while reduce the aggressive taper
Could actually be both macro supportive and market savvy
Best version of the
UK CPI Review: Inflation Falls Broadly But A Calm Before the Storm?
May 20, 2026 6:42 AM UTC
What are energy induced price rises are now very evident, even more so in the latest PPI data very much contrasting with the more benign picture in April’s more closely watched CPI figures. Thus, having seen headline CPI jump to 3.3% in March and where services rose to 4.5% on the back if what may