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June 09, 2026

U.S. May NFIB survey - Signs of stagflation
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 11:39 AM UTC

May’s NFIB survey of Small Business Optimism shows the optimism index with a modest drop to 95.3 from 95.9 from to 95.8, taking it to its lowest since October 2024 just before a sharp post-election bounce.

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

The anticipated minor pullback has reached congestion support at 1.6050

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Central and Latin America: Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for select Central and Latin America countries.  

Psychology for major markets June 9
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 9:58 AM UTC

US president Trump says he may have an "idea" on Iran deal within a few days

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UK CPI Preview (Jun 17): Inflation Peaking?
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 9:37 AM UTC

What have been energy induced price rises are now very evident, even more so in some aspects of the latest PPI data.  Regardless, actual CPI have offered a more benign picture both in terms fo headline and underlying trends.  Indeed, having seen headline CPI jump to 3.3% in March and where service

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Jun 10th
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 9:26 AM UTC

Backfilling after mini risk correction, but further long shakeout still seems a risk
Dollar still seems to have two paths to gains (outperformance or risk spike)

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating gains - background studies improving
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 9:13 AM UTC

Sharp gains have given way to consolidation beneath 0.7985

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Consolidating gains - studies improving
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 8:28 AM UTC

Recent sharp gains are giving way to a pullback from 100.21

Chart EUR/USD Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 8:07 AM UTC

Consolidation following the fall to congestion support at 1.1500 is giving way to a bounce

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited tests higher
Freemium Article

June 9, 2026 7:44 AM UTC

Sharp selling interest has all-but reached congestion support at 1.3300

USD flows: Asia risk recovers, but USD not cancelled yet
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 6:32 AM UTC

Kospi manages a strong bounce, S&P future not as convincing yet
USD leaks out but hasn't cancelled breakouts yet

USD/JPY flows: No Intervention yet
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 5:30 AM UTC

Japan economy minister Kiuchi flags rate rise risks

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Jun 9th
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 4:59 AM UTC

Still a battle to head off escalation, at least Trump seems keen on an exit
Backfilling after mini risk correction, but further long shakeout still seems a risk
Dollar still seems to have two paths to gains (outperformance or risk spike)

AUD/USD flows: No Sign of Progress
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 4:15 AM UTC

No Sign of Progress in Middle East

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating above 1.3300
Freemium Article

June 9, 2026 1:43 AM UTC

Steadied at 1.3305 low as prices consolidate losses from resistance at the 1.3485/1.3500 area

Chart EUR/USD Update: Steadied at 1.1500
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 1:33 AM UTC

Turned up from test of the 1.1500 level as prices consolidate sharp losses from the 1.1655/85 resistance

Chart USD/JPY Update: Poised for retest of 160.46/160.72, March/April highs
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 12:46 AM UTC

Still stretching as prices extend gains above the 160.00 figure to approach the 160.46 resistance

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating at .5800 level
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 12:35 AM UTC

Consolidating at the .5800 level after bounce attempt from the .5778 low was checked at the .5815/.5835 May lows and 200-day MA

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating above .7020 low
Paying Article

June 9, 2026 12:25 AM UTC

 Little change, as prices consolidate above the .7020 Monday's opening low

June 08, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Jun 9th
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

Still a battle to head off escalation, at least Trump seems keen on an exit
Backfilling after mini risk correction, but further long shakeout still seems a risk
Dollar still seems to have two paths to gains (outperformance or risk spike)

North American Summary and Highlights 8 June
Freemium Article

June 8, 2026 7:40 PM UTC

Overview - The USD came off its highs with oil, but remained mostly firm. 

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, Jun 9th
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 4:15 PM UTC

Still a battle to head off escalation, at least Trump seems keen on an exit
Backfilling after mini risk correction, but further long shakeout still seems a risk
Dollar still seems to have two paths to gains (outperformance or risk spike)

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DM Government Bonds: Risks of Higher Long End Premia?
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 2:10 PM UTC

·        Our baseline is for DM government bond yields ex Japan to remain elevated, but controlled.  Japan extra risk premium is driven by BOJ QT at 6% of GDP, more than long-term debt fears. Major catalysts could drive a regime change to higher risk premia and steeper yield curves, but non

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Preview: Due June 17 - U.S. May Retail Sales - Consumers vulnerable to a pull back
Freemium Article

June 8, 2026 1:28 PM UTC

 We expect May retail sales to increase by 0.3% both overall and ex autos, but with a 0.1% decline ex autos and gasoline, which would suggest that consumers are starting to pull back as elevated gasoline prices increasingly weigh on real disposable income. 

USD flows: Latest truce, but dollar dips to be bought?
Paying Article

June 8, 2026 12:39 PM UTC

Some mkt comfort in Trump still driving de-escalation 
Both sides of dollar smile still active though and better buyers of dips

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