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June 16, 2026

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Preview: Due June 17 - U.S. May Retail Sales - Consumers vulnerable to a pull back
Freemium Article

June 16, 2026 12:02 PM UTC

 We expect May retail sales to increase by 0.3% both overall and ex autos, but with a 0.1% decline ex autos and gasoline, which would suggest that consumers are starting to pull back as elevated gasoline prices increasingly weigh on real disposable income. 

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Room for higher
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 10:46 AM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a drift higher

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Jun 16th
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 9:37 AM UTC

Since Iran kicked off, gold holds on to the biggest remaining losses, SEK next
BoJ delivers the expected hike, later taper, and minor tweaked statement - little impact seen
RBA likewise largely on-message 
Broader dollar tone still waiting on the new era Fed, market tread water prior

Psychology for major markets June 16
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

BoJ Hike, RBA Hold

Chartbook: Chart EUR/CHF: Potential for a corrective bounce, but long-term studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 8:52 AM UTC

The fall to fresh all-time lows around 0.9000 in March has given way to a steady bounce to 0.9275, before retreating to 0.9100 and posting a fresh bounce.

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 8:30 AM UTC

Cautious trade has bounced from 0.7920, with prices currently balanced around congestion resistance at 0.7950

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Consolidating - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 8:11 AM UTC

The anticipated break below congestion support at 99.50 has proven short-lived

Chart EUR/USD Update: Potential for a minor test higher
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 7:41 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade just beneath congestion resistance at 1.1600

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating - background studies under pressure
Freemium Article

June 16, 2026 7:27 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.3435 has given way to a drift lower

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China: Divided Economy
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 7:22 AM UTC

·       Overall, growth remains unbalanced.  Momentum in AI/automation leads economic growth, with support from net exports still.  However, consumption is not consistent with a 5% growth pace, as adverse wealth effects and a soft labor market mean only modest consumption.  While the stimu

Chartbook: US Chart Gold (XAU): Consolidating above 4000, scope for break later
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 7:01 AM UTC

Gains at the start of Q2 reached 4890 high before turning lower in choppy trade to retrace all the gains from 4100 March low

USD/JPY, AUD/USD flows: 2 down with no big surprises, FOMC the bigger focus
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 6:23 AM UTC

No big surprises from BoJ or RBA
Dollar settles back from deal reaction, waits for next lead from FOMC

AUD/USD flows: Rate Unchanged
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 5:27 AM UTC

RBA keep rate unchanged at 4.35% 

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Jun 16th
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 5:05 AM UTC

Since Iran kicked off, gold holds on to the biggest remaining losses, SEK next
BoJ in focus, 25bp hike universally expected, attention on statement and bond program
RBA tone also to be scrutinised. 
Broader dollar tone still waiting on the new era Fed

USD/JPY flows: Hiked to One Percent
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 3:49 AM UTC

BOJ hikes to 1%
No more bond purchase tapering from April 2027

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited gains, but room for higher later
Freemium Article

June 16, 2026 1:55 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation from test of resistance at the 1.3450 congestion

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 1:41 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the 1.1600 level as prices settled back in consolidation from 1.1620 high

Chart USD/JPY Update: Higher in consolidation from 159.53 low
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 1:03 AM UTC

Higher in range above the 160.00 level following bounce from the 159.53 pullback low

Chart NZD/USD Update: Extend consolidation below .5850
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 12:49 AM UTC

No follow-through on probes above resistance at .5850 as prices settled back to consolidate above the .5815 support

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating, still room for higher
Paying Article

June 16, 2026 12:33 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation after break above .7050 saw gains checked at the .7080./7100 resistance

June 15, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Jun 16th
Paying Article

June 15, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

Since Iran kicked off, gold holds on to the biggest remaining losses, SEK next
BoJ in focus, 25bp hike universally expected, attention on statement and bond program
RBA tone also to be scrutinised. 
Broader dollar tone still waiting on the new era Fed

North American Summary and Highlights 15 June
Freemium Article

June 15, 2026 7:26 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw some correction from its initial losses seen on the US-Iran peace deal. 

Preview: Due June 25 - U.S. May Durable Goods Orders - Aircraft to correct lower, but ex transport trend positive
Paying Article

June 15, 2026 5:25 PM UTC

We expect May durable goods orders to fall by 4.0% overall after a rise of 8.0% in April, the moves led by volatility in aircraft. Ex transport we expect an increase of 0.8%, slightly slower than three straight gains in excess of 1.0%, but maintaining a positive trend.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating - background studies rising
Freemium Article

June 15, 2026 3:53 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation beneath strong resistance within the 1.3985 - 1.4000 range

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, Jun 16th
Paying Article

June 15, 2026 3:20 PM UTC

Since Iran kicked off, gold holds on to the biggest remaining losses, SEK next
BoJ in focus, 25bp hike universally expected, attention on statement and bond program
RBA tone also to be scrutinised. 
Broader dollar tone still waiting on the new era Fed

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