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August 13, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 9:10 AM UTC

UK GDP holds up, though recent trend still stagnates
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to leave dollar unshaken
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank on hold and ahead of the curve

Chart USD/CHF Update: Resistance at 0.8150
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 8:39 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a drift higher to 0.8145

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Edging higher
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 8:24 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a push higher to congestion resistance at 100.00

EUR/NOK flows: Norges Bank holds as expected, slightly less hawkish but reserves judgement
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 8:09 AM UTC

Norges as expected, on hold and notes inflation undershoot
It reserves judgement but overall slightly less hawkish
Outlook ultimately depends on global backdrop over next few quarters

Chart EUR/USD Update: Drifting lower towards strong support
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:52 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test of resistance at the 1.1560~ weekly high of 3 August

Chart GBP/USD Update: Meeting profit-taking
Freemium Article

August 13, 2026 7:45 AM UTC

Anticipated tests higher have been pushed back from 1.3545

Psychology for major markets Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Relatively Quiet

Weekly Chart USD/JPY Update: Extend corrective gains
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:07 AM UTC

Consolidation around the 158.00 level has given way to break higher to extend strong bounce from the 155.22 low to retest the January high at 159.45.

GBP/USD, EUR/GBP flows: June GDP holds up, though recent trend still stagnant
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 6:36 AM UTC

GDP holds up as weather impact chequered, some world cup lift too
Following flat and -0.1%, the 0.3% print leaves recent trend stagnant all the same
Sterling left largely unmoved

USD/JPY flows: Little Changed
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 4:54 AM UTC

United Arab Emirates had released a further tranche of Iran's frozen assets held in Emirati banks

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 4:49 AM UTC

UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve

AUD/USD flows: Regional Equities Upbeat
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 3:08 AM UTC

Regional equities outperforming U.S. peers

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending consolidation at 1.3500
Freemium Article

August 13, 2026 2:05 AM UTC

Settled back to consolidate at the 1.3500 level after bounce attempt was checked at 1.3545, fresh 4-week high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Lower in consolidation beneath 1.1575
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 1:52 AM UTC

Leaning lower in range following test of the 1.1575 resistance as prices unwing overbought daily studies

Chart USD/JPY Update: Room to extend gains
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 1:08 AM UTC

Return to pressure the upside after pullback beneath 159.45 resistance gave way to rebound above the 158.50 support

Chart NZD/USD Update: Leaning lower in choppy trade
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 12:44 AM UTC

Sideways ranging action see prices leaning lower from the .5900/08 high of last week

Chart AUD/USD Update: Bullish bias kept in check at .7080/.7100
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 12:26 AM UTC

Held firm above the .7050 congestion but resistance at the .7080/.7100 area keeping gains in check

August 12, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 12 August
Freemium Article

August 12, 2026 7:46 PM UTC

Overview - The USD initially dipped on a consensus US CPI, but finished stronger. 

U.S. July Budget Deficit largest since March 2021
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 6:33 PM UTC

July’s budget deficit of $432.3bn is the largest since March 2021 when the Biden stimulus was at its peak. The deficit is up from $291.1bn in July 2025, lifted by calendar effects, tariff refunds and defense spending.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Drifting lower
Freemium Article

August 12, 2026 3:46 PM UTC

Little change, as cautious trade continues to drift lower towards strong support at 1.3900

Preview: Due August 25 - U.S. July New Home Sales - Remaining soft
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 3:10 PM UTC

We expect July new home sales to be little changed at 620k, which would be down 1.3% from June if June is unrevised. This would still sustain step down in trend in 2026 to date, with movements in the preceding two years outside a 650-700k range having tended to be brief.

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 2:57 PM UTC

UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve

Preview: Due August 13 - U.S. July PPI - Prices seen subdued when data was surveyed
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 2:57 PM UTC

We expect July’s PPI to reflect more the more optimistic view of the Middle East seen at the start of the month than the riskier one later in the month. We expect gains of 0.1% overall, 0.3% ex food and energy and 0.2% ex food and trade, mostly subdued, if stronger than respective June outcomes of

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Preview: Due August 13 - U.S. July PPI - Prices seen subdued when data was surveyed
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 2:57 PM UTC

We expect July’s PPI to reflect more the more optimistic view of the Middle East seen at the start of the month than the riskier one later in the month. We expect gains of 0.1% overall, 0.3% ex food and energy and 0.2% ex food and trade, mostly subdued, if stronger than respective June outcomes of

Chart AUD/USD Update: Pushing higher
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 2:04 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp push higher

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