View:

August 13, 2026

Chart USD/BRL Update: Edging higher - background studies improving
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 4:05 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to fresh gains

Chart USD/CAD Update: Cautious trade - background studies continue to fall
Freemium Article

August 13, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a drift higher to congestion resistance at 1.3950

U.S. Fed's Barkin - Torn between two differing arguments on inflation
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 3:13 PM UTC

Fed's Barkin's comments today may succinctly sum the arguments of the Fed hawks and the Fed doves in the inflation debate.

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 14
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

U.S. July Retail Sales still resilient
DXY Extending cautious trade
USD/JPY Room to extend gains Capped By Intervention

Preview: Due August 26 - U.S. July Durable Goods Orders - Still firm, if with some slowing on prices
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 2:51 PM UTC

We expect a 0.6% increase in July durable goods orders with a 0.7% increase ex defense and a 0.8% increase ex transport. This will suggest some loss of what remains healthy underlying momentum, though the slowing probably reflects prices more than volumes.

Preview: Due August 14 - U.S. July Retail Sales - Some loss of momentum, but still resilient
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 2:03 PM UTC

We expect June retail sales to unchanged overall, the weakest since a matching January, with a 0.2% increase ex autos, which would reverse a 0.2% June decline. Ex auto and gasoline we expect a second straight 0.4% increase.

...
Preview: Due August 14 - U.S. July Retail Sales - Some loss of momentum, but still resilient
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 2:02 PM UTC

We expect June retail sales to unchanged overall, the weakest since a matching January, with a 0.2% increase ex autos, which would reverse a 0.2% June decline. Ex auto and gasoline we expect a second straight 0.4% increase.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating gains
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 1:50 PM UTC

The push towards congestion resistance at 0.7100 has not been sustained

Chart USD/JPY Update: Further gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a push higher

U.S. July PPI - Inflationary pressures persist outside corrections in some sectors
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 1:03 PM UTC

Initial claims at 209k from 200k are still low but appear to be normalizing after some very low recent outcomes, which turned out to contradict a weak July non-farm payroll. July PPI looks subdued overall at unchanged and 0.2% ex food and energy, but a 0.4% increase ex food and energy and trade show

...
U.S. July PPI - Inflationary pressures persist outside corrections in some sectors
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 1:03 PM UTC

Initial claims at 209k from 200k are still low but appear to be normalizing after some very low recent outcomes, which turned out to contradict a weak July non-farm payroll. July PPI looks subdued overall at unchanged and 0.2% ex food and energy, but a 0.4% increase ex food and energy and trade show

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows - some downside on the PPI data, but FX currently not playing
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 12:42 PM UTC

PPI data slightly undershoots but FX not that engaged 

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 9:10 AM UTC

UK GDP holds up, though recent trend still stagnates
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to leave dollar unshaken
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank on hold and ahead of the curve

Chart USD/CHF Update: Resistance at 0.8150
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 8:39 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a drift higher to 0.8145

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Edging higher
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 8:24 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a push higher to congestion resistance at 100.00

EUR/NOK flows: Norges Bank holds as expected, slightly less hawkish but reserves judgement
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 8:09 AM UTC

Norges as expected, on hold and notes inflation undershoot
It reserves judgement but overall slightly less hawkish
Outlook ultimately depends on global backdrop over next few quarters

Chart EUR/USD Update: Drifting lower towards strong support
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:52 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test of resistance at the 1.1560~ weekly high of 3 August

Chart GBP/USD Update: Meeting profit-taking
Freemium Article

August 13, 2026 7:45 AM UTC

Anticipated tests higher have been pushed back from 1.3545

Psychology for major markets Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Relatively Quiet

Weekly Chart USD/JPY Update: Extend corrective gains
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:07 AM UTC

Consolidation around the 158.00 level has given way to break higher to extend strong bounce from the 155.22 low to retest the January high at 159.45.

GBP/USD, EUR/GBP flows: June GDP holds up, though recent trend still stagnant
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 6:36 AM UTC

GDP holds up as weather impact chequered, some world cup lift too
Following flat and -0.1%, the 0.3% print leaves recent trend stagnant all the same
Sterling left largely unmoved

USD/JPY flows: Little Changed
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 4:54 AM UTC

United Arab Emirates had released a further tranche of Iran's frozen assets held in Emirati banks

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 4:49 AM UTC

UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve

AUD/USD flows: Regional Equities Upbeat
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 3:08 AM UTC

Regional equities outperforming U.S. peers

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending consolidation at 1.3500
Freemium Article

August 13, 2026 2:05 AM UTC

Settled back to consolidate at the 1.3500 level after bounce attempt was checked at 1.3545, fresh 4-week high

Home
Directory
Add Post
Inbox
My Account