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July 13, 2026

Japan’s GPIF: Can it turn back the clock on the yen?
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 11:45 AM UTC

·       The GPIF story is not that one public fund can singlehandedly ‘rescue the yen’. The question is more whether Japan can use one of the central institutions that helped drive the Abenomics flow-of-funds regime revolution to change the narrative, re-influence domestic allocation and

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Jul 6
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 11:04 AM UTC

IMM data echoes recent trends, with market broadly long dollar, if euro neutral
NZD shorts even more extreme (3stdev +) into the RBNZ squeeze
GBP shorts also stayed large even as cross stretched range downside

...
Mexico: Fiscal Consolidation and Reducing Real Yields
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 9:55 AM UTC

·       10yr real yields in Mexico are currently high at 5%, given a moderate fiscal trajectory and some government action towards fiscal reform (though the judicial reforms have been criticized by global investors, the reality is no major political manipulation).  10yr nominal yields could

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Jul 13-17
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 9:06 AM UTC

Quiet summer markets, if some with idiosyncratic drivers
GPIF story is one to watch on USD/JPY. Market may be being underestimated it, for all its procedural issues
US CPI and Warsh testimony provides the calendar highlights

...
Malaysia Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Malaysia remains at a medium-low rating.

Psychology for major markets July 13
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 8:45 AM UTC

Bombs keep dropping

Chart USD/CAD Update: Under pressure
Freemium Article

July 13, 2026 7:40 AM UTC

No follow-through on break of the 1.4140 support as prices turned up from 1.4117 low to consolidate losses from the 1.4248 June high

Chart USD/CHF Update: Turned up from .8010 support
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 7:15 AM UTC

Return to pressure the .8100 level following bounce from support the .8010

USD Flows - mkt unwilling to commit amid broader escalation, hugs familiar figures
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 6:34 AM UTC

Battle becoming more entrenched over Strait control
Mkt unwilling to commit and be whipsawed again though
Minor USD haven skew but sticks to the familiar figures, risks do seem to be growing

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Higher in consolidation
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 5:46 AM UTC

Gapped up at the open see prices back above 101.00 level as prices extend bounce from the 100.64/100.50 support area

USD/JPY flows: Haven USD Bids
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 5:30 AM UTC

USD haven bids

AUD/USD flows: Exchange Fire continues
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 3:56 AM UTC

Iran extend strikes to Qatar and the UAE for the first time in months, plus Jordan, Kuwait and Oman

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Jul 13-17
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 3:30 AM UTC

Quiet summer markets, if some with idiosyncratic drivers
GPIF story is one to watch on USD/JPY. Market may be being underestimated it, for all its procedural issues
US CPI and Warsh testimony provides the calendar highlights

Chart GBP/USD Update: Lower opening below 1.3400 support
Freemium Article

July 13, 2026 1:48 AM UTC

Weak start see prices gapping down at the open to extend Friday's rejection from resistance at 1.3450/75

Chart EUR/USD Update: Lower through the 1.1410/00 support
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 1:34 AM UTC

Gapped lower at the opening has seen break of the 1.1410/00 support

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating at 162.00
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 1:08 AM UTC

Higher at the open as prices extend bounce from the 161.28 Friday's low to consolidate rejection from the 162.70 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 12:45 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above .5770/80 resistance as prices settled back in consolidation from the .5792 high

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room for higher in consolidation
Paying Article

July 13, 2026 12:17 AM UTC

Still probing the upside but gains remains limited above .6950

July 10, 2026

Chart USD/BRL Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

July 10, 2026 4:47 PM UTC

Consolidation is giving way to a drift lower

Chart USD/CAD Update: Lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

July 10, 2026 4:08 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Jul 13-17
Paying Article

July 10, 2026 3:27 PM UTC

Quiet summer markets, if some with idiosyncratic drivers
GPIF story is one to watch on USD/JPY. Market may be being underestimated it, for all its procedural issues
US CPI and Warsh testimony provides the calendar highlights

...
Economic Data and Events Week Ahead July 13-17
Paying Article

July 10, 2026 3:06 PM UTC

The most significant release of the week is likely to be June’s CPI on Tuesday, which we expect to be unchanged overall, but with a slightly firmer 0.3% rise ex food and energy, 0.26% before rounding. The CPI could however be overshadowed by testimony from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to the House Financ

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room for a minor test higher
Paying Article

July 10, 2026 1:51 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation following the retest above resistance at the 0.6960 high of 7 July

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in both USD- and JPY-driven trade
Paying Article

July 10, 2026 1:23 PM UTC

The USD- and JPY-driven test below 162.00 has met anticipated buying interest at 161.50

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 10, 2026 1:00 PM UTC

FOMC Minutes Fork in the road
DXY Consolidating test of support
25bps Hike from RBNZ But Next Unknown 
NZD/USD Extending June gains
USD/JPY Consolidating below 162.84 high

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