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November 05, 2026

Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy in range - studies rising
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 2:09 PM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to a retest below congestion support at 158.00

U.S. Initial Claims very low, Q3 Productivity and Unit Labor Costs healthy but Non-Labor Costs strong
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:46 PM UTC

Initial claims at 189k from 195kare back at the July 18 low. Continued claims did correct higher by 23k 1.718m after a preceding 27k decline but the net message is still for a very tight labor market. The latest data were however surveyed after October’s non-farm payroll was.

Bank of England Hikes by 25bp - Another Hike in the Pipeline
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:36 PM UTC

The Bank lifted rates to 4% as expected and all members voted to hike even the arch doves. Of the 9 members, 8 members opted for 25bp while Mann wanted a 50bp increase. The Bank is touting a further hike even if Governor Bailey noted that it is not on a “pre-set path” though the longer the confl

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Bank of England Hikes by 25bp - Another Hike in the Pipeline
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:35 PM UTC

The Bank lifted rates to 4% as expected and all members voted to hike even the arch doves. Of the 9 members, 8 members opted for 25bp while Mann wanted a 50bp increase. The Bank is touting a further hike even if Governor Bailey noted that it is not on a “pre-set path” though the longer the confl

EUR/GBP, GBP/USD flows - sharper pivot from BoE, now more on board likely follow up
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 12:33 PM UTC

BoE headlines somewhat more hawkish than previously signalled, or at least more of a pivot towards accepting likely follow up given the headline inflation overshoot
Provisos over premia, not expecting an inevitably long sequence, but also more resigned to some further adjustment, as growth has also h

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Tanzania Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Taiwan remains at a medium-high rating.     

Europe Summary and Highlights 5 Nov
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 10:53 AM UTC

Chips/AI and tech remain the dual focal points
European morning settles the big initial wide bar moves yesterday
NOK/SEK bounce out of soft Swedish CPI, and Norges Bank 
BoE next up 

Norges Bank: Holds Rates - Signals it is Prepared to Hike if Needed
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 10:20 AM UTC

Norges Bank kept rates unchanged at 4.5% but kept open the possibility of further policy tightening should inflation remain high. The market does not expect any more hikes and neither do we.

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Norges Bank: Holds Rates - Signals it is Prepared to Hike if Needed
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 10:20 AM UTC

Norges Bank kept rates unchanged at 4.5% but kept open the possibility of further policy tightening should inflation remain high. The market does not expect any more hikes and neither do we.

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Nov 5
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:58 AM UTC

Dust settles on midterm, chaos avoided, mkt focus on implications for oil and tech
BoE hike a done deal, but build up suggests a 'dovish hike' relative to mkt

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating - room for lower
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:12 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious/choppy trade around congestion support at 0.8150

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Pressuring support
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 9:01 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within support at the 101.30 Fibonacci retracement and the 101.50 break level

Chart EUR/USD Update: Balanced beneath resistance - background studies rising
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 8:34 AM UTC

Little change, as the retest of resistance within congestion around 1.1250 and the 1.1270 weekly high of 16 October gives way to further choppy trade beneath here

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring resistance - background studies continue to rise
Freemium Article

November 5, 2026 8:27 AM UTC

Little change, as the anticipated test of resistance at the 1.3470 Fibonacci retracement and congestion around 1.3500 gives way to consolidation

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP flows - twin themes continue, BoE up next
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 7:39 AM UTC

Oil reset, chip pressure remain two of the big themes out of the election
FX still biased towards position corrections
BoE up next, relatively dovish (or non-hawkish) hike expected

Weekly Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy around 158.00, room for lower later
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 7:27 AM UTC

Extending choppy trade around the 158.00 level as prices settled back from the 158.75 high

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Nov 5
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 5:00 AM UTC

Dust settles on midterm, chaos avoided, mkt focus on implications for oil and tech
BoE hike a done deal, but build up suggests a 'dovish hike' relative to mkt

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Freemium Article

November 5, 2026 2:05 AM UTC

Break above the 200-day MA at 1.3420 has seen extension to reach strong resistance at the 1.3475/1.3500 area

Chart EUR/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:52 AM UTC

Break above the 1.1200 level has seen prices extending bounce from the 1.1105 current year low to reach 1.1275 resistance

Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy below 158.77 Tuesday's high
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 1:05 AM UTC

Extend choppy trade around the 158.00 level as bounce attempt see prices kept in check at the 158.77 Tuesday's high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Extend bounce from .5578/.5565 support
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 12:49 AM UTC

Bounce from support at the .5578/.5565 October lows has seen prices back to retest resistance at the .5625/50 area

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Paying Article

November 5, 2026 12:31 AM UTC

Saw bounce above support at the .6950 congestion to regain the .7000 level with the resulting outside range suggesting prices reversing losses from the high of last week

November 04, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 4 November
Paying Article

November 4, 2026 8:23 PM UTC

Overview - The USD stabilized after slipping in Asia as the Democrats took control of Congress.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Choppy trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

November 4, 2026 4:45 PM UTC

The anticipated break above congestion resistance at 1.4000 has proven shallow

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Nov 5
Paying Article

November 4, 2026 4:06 PM UTC

Dust settles on midterm, chaos avoided, mkt focus on implications for oil and tech
BoE hike a done deal, but build up suggests a 'dovish hike' relative to mkt

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