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September 07, 2026

Weekly Chart AUD/USD: Extending gains
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 7:40 AM UTC

Shallow pullback from the .7200 level has given way to bounce from above strong support at the .7100/.7080 area to pressure the .7200 level

Chart EUR/USD Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 7:37 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 1.1600

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Strait of Hormuz Scenarios
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

Our new baseline (60%) is for a new ceasefire deal into Q4 2026 or Q1 2027 that allows more shipping to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. We feel that economic pressure on Iran remains intense and that Iran will want to lift the U.S. blockade on its energy shipments and export revenue.  The Trump

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating - background studies under pressure
Freemium Article

September 7, 2026 7:23 AM UTC

Anticipated minor tests higher have not been seen

EUR/SEK, NOK/SEK flows: CPI supports lack of broad inflation, Riksbank 'scope to wait'
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 7:04 AM UTC

Downside surprise on CPI breaks the recent pick up and supports Riskbank having scope to wait
EUR/SEK, NOK/SEK bounce albeit still with overhead resistance after o/b runs

USD/JPY flows: Hovering at Lows
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 5:12 AM UTC

USD/JPY Stay Near 156

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 3:57 AM UTC

US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s

AUD/USD flows: Regional Tech Sentiment Strong
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 2:45 AM UTC

KOSPI leading with 3% gains

Chart GBP/USD Update: Steadied at 1.3475 support
Freemium Article

September 7, 2026 1:38 AM UTC

Turned up from the 1.3475 low as prices consolidate losses from the 1.3675 August high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating above 1.1575 support
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 1:20 AM UTC

Edged up from test of the 1.1575 support as prices consolidate losses from the 1.1710 high

Chart USD/JPY Update: Range-bound in consolidation
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 12:46 AM UTC

Higher in range following retest of the 155.22 August low as prices consolidate sharp drop from the 160.00/160.50 resistance

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 12:31 AM UTC

Bounce from support at the .5815/00 area last week has seen gains checked at the .5900 resistance

Chart AUD/USD Update: Focus remains on .7278, May YTD high
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 12:22 AM UTC

Consolidating at the .7200 level but pressure remains on the upside and see scope to extend bounce from the .7121 low of last week

September 04, 2026

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

September 4, 2026 11:00 PM UTC

U.S.-Iran Exchanging Fire Again
Bank of Canada Now expecting a December tightening
Another 25bps for RBNZ 
U.S. July Trade Deficit surge restrained by Service revisions
USD/JPY Consolidating test of 155.22/00 support

North American Summary and Highlights 4 September
Freemium Article

September 4, 2026 7:53 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was supported by strong US employment data, particularly versus the CAD given a contrast with a weak Canadian employment report. 

Preview: Due September 16 - U.S. August Retail Sales - Autos and non-store sales to lead bounce from weak July
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 7:29 PM UTC

We expect August retail sales to rise by 1.0% in a rebound from a 0.6% July decline that was the first fall since October 2025. Autos and non-store retailers will lead the rise, the latter due to July being depressed by Amazon running a promotion in June rather than the usual July.

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Preview: Due September 16 - U.S. August Retail Sales - Autos and non-store sales to lead bounce from weak July
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 7:28 PM UTC

We expect August retail sales to rise by 1.0% in a rebound from a 0.6% July decline that was the first fall since October 2025. Autos and non-store retailers will lead the rise, the latter due to July being depressed by Amazon running a promotion in June rather than the usual July.

Preview: Due September 18 - U.S. August Industrial Production - Maintaining a healthy trend
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 6:40 PM UTC

We expect a 0.3% increase in August industrial production with a 0.4% increase in manufacturing, the latter up from a 0.2% increase in July though for manufacturing ex autos we expect a second straight rise of 0.4%. This would maintain a healthy trend, supported by AI investment. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Choppy trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

September 4, 2026 3:41 PM UTC

Consolidation around congestion support at 1.3800 has given way to a bounce in CAD-dominant trade

Preview: Due September 17 - U.S. August Housing Starts and Permits - Starts due for a bounce, but trend subdued
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 3:03 PM UTC

We expect August housing starts to increase by 8.2% to 1340k after a 12.4% decline in July while permits fall by 1.6% to 1410k after a 4.3% increase in July. 

DM Data Weekly Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 2:54 PM UTC

US CPI the big data release, key for the Sep FOMC. We see upside risks at 0.3% for core
ECB hike fully priced in. Forecasts and presser more of interest
BoE gives testimony to the TSC. Message has remained a majority wait and see stance

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 2:47 PM UTC

US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, DXY flows: Trump making sure Sep FOMC is political minefield
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 2:17 PM UTC

Trump renews the political pressure on the Fed
Makes for an even more 'interesting' debate at the next FOMC

Canada August Employment - Fall corrective, but tariff risks ahead
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 1:54 PM UTC

Canada’s August employment report with a 41.7k decline is much weaker than expected though the fall can be seen as corrective from three straight healthy gains. The unemployment rate was stable at 6.4% though the average hourly wage of permanent employees at 2.0% was a significant slowing from 3.0

Chart AUD/USD Update: Studies improving
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 1:36 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed/negative intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

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