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August 11, 2026

U.S. July NFIB survey - Optimism on both labor market and prices
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 11:21 AM UTC

July’s NFIB survey of Small Business Optimism shows the optimism index at its highest since August 2025 at 99.8 from 97.4. Despite July’s weak payroll, respondents are more optimistic about the labor market while seeing reduced inflationary pressure.

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA offers no big surprises
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

Chart USD/CHF Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 8:29 AM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to a break above 0.8100

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - any gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 8:20 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 99.50 - 100.00 range

Psychology for major markets Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

Reality Checked

Chart EUR/USD Update: Back in range - background studies rising
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 7:47 AM UTC

The retest of resistance within the 1.1560~ - 1.1585 range is giving way to a pullback

Chart GBP/USD Update: Balanced above 1.3500 - studies rising
Freemium Article

August 11, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

The anticipated break above 1.3500 has reached 1.3530

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows - quiet day, oil still drifting out
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 6:51 AM UTC

Quiet out of Japan holiday,
Oil drifts out as Iran deal elusive and bogged down in rhetoric

RBA Review: No Fireworks
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:42 AM UTC

The RBA August meeting keep rates unchanged at 4.35% 

AUD/USD flows: RBA keep Rates Unchanged
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:32 AM UTC

RBA leaves cash rate unchanged at 4.35%

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:04 AM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA the main interest Tues, no chance of a hike priced in. 
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

USD/JPY flows: Jiji says BoJ Hike in Sep
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 4:16 AM UTC

Jiji says The BoJ may consider an additional rate hike at its September 17-18 meeting

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room for further gains
Freemium Article

August 11, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 1.3500 level has given way to break to reach 1.3530 high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Retains bullish bias
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 1:45 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the 1.1575 resistance last week but bullish bias keeps pressure on the upside

Chart USD/JPY Update: Still room to extend gains
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 12:57 AM UTC

 Break above 158.00 see extending gains from the 155.22 low to reach resistance at 159.00/45, congestion and January high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Choppy in range
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 12:40 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation below the .5900/08 congestion and high of last week

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating below .7080/.7100 resistance
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 12:28 AM UTC

Little change, as prices stays in consolidation just below strong resistance at the .7080/.7100 area

August 10, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 10 August
Freemium Article

August 10, 2026 7:49 PM UTC

Overview - Oil and UST yields picked as did USD/JPY though USD moves were modest elsewhere. 

U.S. Fed's Hammack - Suggests multiple rate hikes will be needed
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 7:39 PM UTC

Cleveland Fed President Hammack, who dissented for tightening in July, is sounding increasingly hawkish. 

Is CAD poised for a short-squeeze?
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 5:03 PM UTC

There's a decent argument that, event-risk given, CAD may be poised for a short-squeeze
Positioning is extreme and against the grain of recent $ moves
 Data has been surprising to the upside supporting a shift in momentum
Lead indicator trends support a recent move back toward recovery and outperforma

Weekly Chart USD/MXN Update: Balanced just above year lows - studies under pressure
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 4:13 PM UTC

Cautious trade within the broad 16.3000 - 16.5000 range is giving way to fresh losses

Chart USD/CAD Update: Poised for further losses
Freemium Article

August 10, 2026 3:47 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade following recent sharp USD- and CAD-driven losses

FOMC Minutes Preview: Hawks, Doves and Data-Dependents
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:50 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 are due on August 19 and will get extra attention with Chairman Warsh not having given a clear explanation of the decision to leave rates unchanged, after a meeting which saw three dissenting votes for tightening. The minutes may suggest that several in the majority could b

...
FOMC Minutes Preview: Hawks, Doves and Data-Dependents
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:49 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 are due on August 19 and will get extra attention with Chairman Warsh not having given a clear explanation of the decision to leave rates unchanged, after a meeting which saw three dissenting votes for tightening. The minutes may suggest that several in the majority could b

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:44 PM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA the main interest Tues, no chance of a hike priced in. 
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

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