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August 26, 2026

Preview: Due August 27 - U.S. July Advance Goods Trade Balance - Wider in nominal and real terms
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 2:08 PM UTC

We expect a July advance goods trade deficit of $105.0bn, up from $101.4bn in June but slightly below the $105.3bn seen in May. May saw the widest deficit since the record $158.7bn of March 2025 immediately before the reciprocal tariffs were announced. 

U.S. July and revised Q2 Core PCE Prices on the firm side, Income and Spending also exceed expectations
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:37 PM UTC

While July’s core PCE price index came in at 0.2% as expected, before rounding the rise was 0.246%. Q2’s core PCE price index was revised up to 3.6% annualized from 3.4%, making the data a modest disappointment, which will sustain Fed inflationary worries, though is not quite enough to make a Se

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U.S. July and revised Q2 Core PCE Prices on the firm side, Income and Spending also exceed expectations
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:37 PM UTC

While July’s core PCE price index came in at 0.2% as expected, before rounding the rise was 0.246%. Q2’s core PCE price index was revised up to 3.6% annualized from 3.4%, making the data a modest disappointment, which will sustain Fed inflationary worries, though is not quite enough to make a Se

Chart AUD/USD Update: Drifting higher
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:29 PM UTC

Cautious trade above congestion support at 0.7150 has given way to a fresh bounce

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - potential for a minor test higher
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:16 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation around 159.30

USD/JPY, EUR/USD flows: Latest core PCE prices as expected but data generally quite 'hot'
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 12:48 PM UTC

US data mixed and includes as-expected latest core PCE
However, general story is still a bit 'hot', US2s up around 4bp and dollar a touch firmer

Weekly Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating test of 1.1700 - weekly studies continue to rise
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 11:55 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached strong resistance at 1.1700, (congestion and 50% Fibonacci retracement)

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 26
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 9:11 AM UTC

Australian Monthly CPI Beats
U.S. Preliminary Q2 GDP Still Subdued
PCE prices to match CPI
July Durable Goods Orders Still firm
Slate of U.S. Data could see Limited tests higher for DXY

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious/choppy trade
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 8:27 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.8000 - 0.8050 range

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

Prices failed to make much headway beyond 99.00

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 7:41 AM UTC

Little change, as bearish intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation within the 1.1650 - 1.1700 range

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

August 26, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation beneath resistance at the 1.3657 monthly high of 1 May

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/NZD - US PCE and Nvidia next up; Iran talks continue
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 7:03 AM UTC

Aussie the main mover after firmer CPI data
Dual track Iran talks continue, if still 'complicated'
PCE data the big focus of the day, followed by Nvidia 

Weekly Chart USD/CNH: Under pressure, scope to 6.7000 support
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 6:52 AM UTC

Still grinding lower and break of 6.7200 level see prices extending losses from the April 2025 year high to reach fresh year low at 6.7150

Psychology for major markets Aug 25
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 6:50 AM UTC

Oil Market Calms

USD/JPY flows: Up and Down Around 159
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 5:28 AM UTC

U.S. weighs further trade escalation after Canada sets retaliatory tariffs

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 26
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 4:00 AM UTC

Australian Monthly CPI Beats
U.S. Preliminary Q2 GDP Still Subdued
PCE prices to match CPI
July Durable Goods Orders Still firm
Slate of U.S. Data could see Limited tests higher for DXY

AUD/USD flows: Monthly CPI Beats
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 3:46 AM UTC

Australian July monthly CPI 3.5 % y/y

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating
Freemium Article

August 26, 2026 1:52 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation beneath the Friday's 1.3675 high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Shallow pullback from 1.1710 high
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:42 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from the 1.1710 pin bar highs to consolidate at the 1.1655 support

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating, limited above the 159.00 level
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 1:01 AM UTC

Edged higher from the 158.00 low to regain the 159.00 level before settling back in consolidation beneath 159.78 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Poised just below .5988 Friday's high
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 12:42 AM UTC

Firm in range to keep pressure on the upside and scope for retest of the .5988 high of last Friday

Chart AUD/USD Update: Firm in range
Paying Article

August 26, 2026 12:23 AM UTC

Remains below the .7180 Friday's high as prices consolidate around .7150 congestion

August 25, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 25 August
Freemium Article

August 25, 2026 7:49 PM UTC

Overview - The USD was slightly softer as oil prices moved lower, as did UST yields.  

FOMC Discount Rate minutes show four districts backed a July hike
Paying Article

August 25, 2026 6:44 PM UTC

Minutes from the Fed’s discount rate meetings shortly before the July FOMC meeting show a not very hawkish 4 votes (out of 12) to increase the Discount Rate, from the Cleveland, Dallas, Kansas City and Minneapolis Feds.

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