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August 19, 2026

Psychology for major markets Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 9:35 AM UTC

Sea of Red

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Running on Empty - Low Rivers could add to Europe’s Supply Squeeze
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 9:30 AM UTC

* Drought is not only directly impacting water-dependent activity, fire damage, and food crops. It is also seeing extreme low river levels across the major Rhine–Danube/Central-European industrial corridor
* That can significantly impact freight flow, adding to costs and disrupting industrial produ

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:53 AM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade coming under pressure
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:20 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a pullback

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - prices coming under pressure
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - studies improving
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 7:44 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath resistance within congestion around 1.1600 and the 1.1620~ weekly high of 15 June

Chart GBP/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies improving
Freemium Article

August 19, 2026 7:30 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath resistance at the 1.3558 monthly high of 15 July

EUR/USD, USD/CAD, EUR/GBP flows: Risk still retreating, CAD not celebrating yet; data leaves BoE views unchanged
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:59 AM UTC

Risk still correcting while bonds level off, and oil still drifting out 
CAD not yet celebrating potential deal, as talks extended 
Sterling unmoved by CPI, BoE odds still at that gradual move to one hike view

Weekly Chart USD/CNH: Still grinding lower, but stretched
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:37 AM UTC

Still grinding lower to reach fresh year low at 6.7375 as prices extend losses from the April 2025 year high

UK CPI: Energy Prices and Weak Labour Market
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:29 AM UTC

·       July UK CPI was broadly as expected and the new few months will be volatile and dependent on whether more shipping can go through the Straits of Hormuz and reduce energy prices (our baseline with a 60% probability).  Underlying inflation trends in the UK are lower, as labour market d

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UK CPI: Energy Prices and Weak Labour Market
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 6:28 AM UTC

·       July UK CPI was broadly as expected and the new few months will be volatile and dependent on whether more shipping can go through the Straits of Hormuz and reduce energy prices (our baseline with a 60% probability).  Underlying inflation trends in the UK are lower, as labour market d

USD/JPY flows: Still in Consolidation Zone
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 3:58 AM UTC

UAE formally halted all trade, commercial and financial transactions with Iran

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 3:49 AM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

AUD/USD flows: Regional Risk Sag
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 3:47 AM UTC

Korean Equities Take the Spotlight

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower in consolidation
Freemium Article

August 19, 2026 1:29 AM UTC

Limited on break above resistance at the 1.3550/58 July high as prices unwind overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart EUR/USD Update: Settled back from 1.1575/1.1600 resistance
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 1:21 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above resistance at the 1.1575/1.1600 area as prices settled back in consolidation from the 1.1614 high

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating at 159.78 high
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 12:59 AM UTC

Lower in range from the 159.78 high as prices unwind overbought intraday studies

Chart NZD/USD Update: Lower in consolidation
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 12:43 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation as prices settled back from the .5926 Monday's pin bar high to unwind overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart AUD/USD Update: Settled back in range
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 12:27 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the .7100/20 congestion and Fibonacci level as prices settled back in range from the .7129 Monday's high

August 18, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 18 August
Freemium Article

August 18, 2026 7:52 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw little change overall, but the commodity currencies saw some slippage. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Any break above 1.3900 to remain limited
Freemium Article

August 18, 2026 3:59 PM UTC

Consolidation above the 1.3845 low of 17 August is giving way to a break higher

Preview: Due August 27 - U.S. July Advance Goods Trade Balance - Wider in nominal and real terms
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 3:39 PM UTC

We expect a July advance goods trade deficit of $105.0bn, up from $101.4bn in June but slightly below the $105.3bn seen in May. May saw the widest deficit since the record $158.7bn of March 2025 immediately before the reciprocal tariffs were announced. 

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

U.S. July Pending Home Sales - Getting close to January's record low
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 2:15 PM UTC

Pending home sales have fallen by 2.3% in July, a second straight decline to follow four straight gains that came off a record low seen in January. We are now only 0.6% above that record low, so this is clearly a weak figure.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room for higher
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 1:36 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

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