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May 26, 2026

Chart USD/CAD Update: Cautious trade - background studies rising
Freemium Article

May 26, 2026 4:19 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around strong resistance at 1.3800/10

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Preview: Due June 5 - U.S. May Employment (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Slightly slower but still healthy
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 4:13 PM UTC

We expect May’s non-farm payroll to rise by 85k overall and by 90k in the private sector, less strong than in March and April but still showing a healthy labor market given a lack of growth in the labor force, leaving unemployment at 4.3% for a third straight month. We expect a 0.3% rise in in ave

AUD/NZD, NZD/USD flows: Kiwi remains pressured into RBNZ
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 4:07 PM UTC

Kiwi remains pressured into RBNZ
Even with expectations of a hawkish outlook shift, mkt already has decent amount priced in
Cross continues to trade medium-term trajectory on charts and on 90s parallel
Loaded positioning remains its main n/t risk factor

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, May 27th
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

RBNZ Likely More Hawkish
Could Support the Kiwi
Australia April CPI Remain Hot
But Unlikely Enough to Persuade RBA to Hike 

U.S. May Consumer Confidence - Holding up better than Michigan CSI
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 2:22 PM UTC

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index at 93.1 is down from April’s 93.8 but only because April was revised up from 92.8. May’s index is the first decline since January. The index is holding up better than the record low Michigan CSI. The Conference Board index tends to be more sensi

Chart AUD/USD Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

The retest of congestion support at 0.7100 has given way to a drift higher

USD/JPY, EUR/JPY flows: Strong month for the N225 worth watching this week
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 1:28 PM UTC

Minor US data albeit still showing overall economic resilience
Some focus on any potential USD/JPY month-end hedging demand on N225 (headline) outperformance
See if it adds to temporary upside pressure into intervention zone

Chart USD/JPY Update: Pressuring resistance - daily studies rising
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 1:03 PM UTC

Still little change

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CHP Leadership Crisis Threatens Disinflation Trajectory in Turkiye
Freemium Article

May 26, 2026 11:20 AM UTC

Bottom Line: Political tensions remain high in Turkiye after the 36th Civil Chamber of the Ankara Regional Court of Justice annulled the opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) 2023 leadership congress on May 21, 2026. The ruling removed elected CHP chairman Ozgur Ozel from his leadership posit

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Further gains to remain limited
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 10:13 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to further gains

FX Weekly Strategy: May 25th-29th
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Resilient equity markets preventing much FX movement…
…but sell in May and go away makes sense this year
European currencies vulnerable to any turn lower in risk sentiment
JPY remains favoured with BoJ protecting the downside

EUR flows: EUR marginally firmer after hawkish Schnabel, but..
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 8:24 AM UTC

Schnabel calls for June rate hike, EUR modestly firmer, but upside limited

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating tests lower
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 8:17 AM UTC

The anticipated break below 0.7850 has bounced from just above congestion support at 0.7800

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Range trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 7:47 AM UTC

The test below congestion support at 99.00 has bounced from 98.90~

Chart EUR/USD Update: Lower in range
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 7:35 AM UTC

Little change, as the bounce from congestion support at 1.1600 is pushed back from resistance at the 1.1655 weekly low of 30 April

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

May 26, 2026 7:25 AM UTC

The run to congestion resistance at 1.3500 has met sharp selling interest

Psychology for major markets May 26
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 7:22 AM UTC

Optimism Building

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e May 18th
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 7:17 AM UTC

Net long AUD position remains high by historical standards, NZD and CHF short.  EUR positioning suggests EUR downside risks based on historic correlations.

EUR/USD, CAD, GBP flows: tense few days ahead; Breentry and Albertout getting media attention
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 6:09 AM UTC

Deal could take some days, skirmishes o/n keep things tense
Less immediately, some background media focus on Breentry and Albertout

USD/JPY flows: Are we there yet
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 5:42 AM UTC

Trump suggests Iran's enriched uranium could be destroyed in place or transferred to a third country under IAEA supervision 
BOJ Deputy Governor Himino reaffirmed the rate hike path in Diet testimony

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, May 25th-29th
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 4:48 AM UTC

Resilient equity markets preventing much FX movement…
…but sell in May and go away makes sense this year
European currencies vulnerable to any turn lower in risk sentiment
JPY remains favoured with BoJ protecting the downside

AUD/USD flows: Dropping bombs
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 4:44 AM UTC

Rubio says Hormuz will open one way or another
U.S. forces sank two IRGC vessels laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz and struck a surface-to-air missile site at Bandar Abbas
Iran launched anti-ship cruise missiles at US Navy assets in response

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Freemium Article

May 26, 2026 1:43 AM UTC

Gains to the 1.3500 level has given way to consolidation as prices unwind overbought intraday studies

Chart EUR/USD Update: Room to extend bounce from 1.1575
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 1:31 AM UTC

Turned up in consolidation from the 1.1600/1.1575 support as prices unwind oversold daily studies to reach the 1.1655 resistance

Chart USD/JPY Update: Extend choppy trade around 159.00
Paying Article

May 26, 2026 12:49 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around the 159.00 level following pullback from the 159.35 high of last week