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October 20, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 20 October
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:03 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw modest losses as oil gains were reversed and US data came in soft, but came off its lows. 

Chart USD/MXN Update: Choppy beneath year highs - background studies positive
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 4:24 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have posted a fresh year high above resistance at congestion around 18.5000 and the 18.5500 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD/CAD Update: Extending losses in CAD-dominant trade
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.4100 has given way to anticipated losses

FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:59 PM UTC

The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa

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FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 2:58 PM UTC

The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa

U.S. September Pending Home Sales - More signs of housing sector weakness
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:17 PM UTC

September’s 7.3% decline in pending home sales is the sharpest decline since December with the level a record low. This adds to growing evidence that rising mortgage rates are undermining housing demand.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Pushing higher
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 1:21 PM UTC

Anticipated minor gains have reached congestion resistance at 0.7000

U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

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U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in range
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:34 PM UTC

The drift higher from congestion support at 158.00 has been pushed back from 158.60

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Honk Kong Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Hong Kong remains at a medium-low rating.     

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Oct 20
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

France remains in focus, even if positioning and expiries help to cushion
USD long positioning was back to the extremes pre-CPI-reaction; euro crosses still struggle
A political winter of discontent asks FX questions of who comes out on top - CHF? JPY?

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 8:33 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious/choppy trade around 0.8250

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:47 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 102.00

Chart EUR/USD Update: Cautious trade - studies rising
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:39 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at 1.1200

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room for further gains
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 7:23 AM UTC

Cautious trade above congestion support at 1.3300 is giving way to a fresh test higher

Weekly Chart AUD/USD: Extending bounce from .6900 support
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:08 AM UTC

Turned up from retest of the .6900 level and channel support from the March low has seen push higher towards the .7000 resistance

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD flows - better UK labour mkt data; euro crosses still weighed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:07 AM UTC

GBP supported by better labour mkt data
AUD, NZD both very short start the week off on the best footing
EUR/USD quiet, euro tending to underperform on the crosses 

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Oct 20
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 4:30 AM UTC

France remains in focus, even if positioning and expiries help to cushion
USD long positioning was back to the extremes pre-CPI-reaction; euro crosses still struggle
A political winter of discontent asks FX questions of who comes out on top - CHF? JPY?

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 1:52 AM UTC

Settled back from the 1.3370 high of last week as prices consolidate strong gains from the 1.3137 current year low of last week

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 1:42 AM UTC

Settled back from approach of the 1.1275 resistance to consolidate at the 1.1200 level

Chart USD/JPY Update: Sustaining bullish bias from 156.50/00 support
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 1:08 AM UTC

Consolidation around 158.00 level see prices pushing higher to sustain bullish bias from the 156.50/00 support

Chart NZD/USD Update: Poised for further gains from 5565 low
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:39 AM UTC

Break above .5625 see prices extending bounce from the .5565 current year low to reach towards strong resistance at .5680

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:30 AM UTC

Turned up from the .6900 level to regain .6950 see prices within reach of the .7000 level

October 19, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 19 October
Paying Article

October 19, 2026 7:06 PM UTC

Overview - It was a quiet start to the week with the USD making marginal gains, led by USD/JPY. 

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