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March 11, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Better Sentiment and Rate Hike Speculation
Paying Article

March 11, 2026 2:22 AM UTC

RBA’s Hauser warns oil price risks could intensify rate rise debate

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room to extend gains
Freemium Article

March 11, 2026 1:49 AM UTC

Higher in choppy trade from the 3 March current year low at 1.3253 to extend gains above the 1.3400 level

Chart EUR/USD Update: Scope for stronger bounce from 1.1507 fresh year low
Paying Article

March 11, 2026 1:36 AM UTC

Saw bounce from fresh year low at 1.1507 to regain the 1.1600 level

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating at the 158.00
Paying Article

March 11, 2026 1:01 AM UTC

Settled back from the 158.90 high to consolidate at the 158.00 level

Chart NZD/USD Update: Extend choppy trade within .5950/.5850 area
Paying Article

March 11, 2026 12:45 AM UTC

Remains in choppy trade within the .5950/.5850 area

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating below fresh high, room to extend
Paying Article

March 11, 2026 12:34 AM UTC

Break above the .7100 level saw follow-through above the .7147 February high to reach fresh year high at .7169

March 10, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 10 Mar
Freemium Article

March 10, 2026 7:48 PM UTC

Overview - Oil and the USD weakened through most of the session, but a late correction in oil saw the USD losses largely erased. 

Preview: Due March 19 - U.S. January New Home Sales - Edging further off November's high
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 6:06 PM UTC

We expect a modest 0.7% decline in January new home sales to 740k, a second straight loss after a 1.7% decline in December. This would still leave most of November’s 15.5% increase, which took sales to their highest level since February 2022, intact.

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Bank of Canada Preview for March 18: No change in rates or from January's message
Freemium Article

March 10, 2026 5:27 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada meets on March 18 and looks highly likely to leave rates unchanged at 2.25%. The statement is likely to reiterate the message given at the last meeting on January 28, that the policy rate is appropriate conditional on the economy evolving in line with expectations, but uncertainty

Chart USD/CAD Update: Range trade - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

March 10, 2026 5:03 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 1.3550 - 1.3600 range

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South African Economy Grew by 1.1% in 2025 Supported by Stronger Agriculture, Trade and Finance Activities
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 4:35 PM UTC

Bottom Line: Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) released the Q4 2025 and full-year GDP growth figures on March 10. Following a revised 0.3% q/q expansion in Q3, the economy grew by 0.4% q/q (0.8% y/y) in Q4. For the full year, the economy expanded by 1.1%—its fastest pace in three years—supporte

Chart AUD/USD Update: Smart gains pressuring year highs
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 3:15 PM UTC

Cautious trade above 0.7050 has given way to steady gains

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, March 11th
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

U.S. February CPI A moderate gain
Japan PPI Unlikely to Sway JPY
DXY Poised for further gains

Chart USD/JPY Update: Limited downside tests
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 2:34 PM UTC

Consolidation around 158.50 has given way to a pullback to 157.30

U.S. February Existing Home Sales - Stronger than expected, trend fairly flat
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 2:14 PM UTC

February existing home sales with a 1.7% increase to 4.09m are stronger than expected and while the rise does not fully erase January’s decline, that drop has been revised to -5.9% from -8.4% making the net gain well above expectations.

Psychology for major markets Mar 10
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 1:27 PM UTC

Oil Exploded

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Preview: Due March 11 - U.S. February CPI - A moderate gain, but inflation not yet defeated
Freemium Article

March 10, 2026 12:15 PM UTC

We expect February’s CPI to increase by 0.3%, with a 0.2% increase ex food and energy.  Before rounding we expect the gains will be similar, with the overall CPI rounded up from 0.26% and the core rounded down from 0.24%.  CPI has slowed, but it is too soon for the Fed to declare victory.

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 11:56 AM UTC

Consolidation above support at congestion around 1.5600 and the 1.5615 current year low of 9 March has given way to a steady bounce

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Swiss SNB Preview (Mar 19): Keeping a Low Profile

March 10, 2026 11:53 AM UTC

Once again and in line with consensus thinking we see SNB policy being unchanged when it gives its next quarterly assessment with little shift in the forecast for either growth or inflation.  Admittedly, the tone of the economic outlook will be more guarded but where it will be underscored that it

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Asia Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Asia countries including China, India, Indonesia, Taiwan and Phillipines.  

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Sweden Riksbank Preview (Mar 19): On Hold and Still For Some Time Ahead?

March 10, 2026 10:56 AM UTC

It is highly likely that the Riksbank will (again) keep policy on hold with the key rate left at 1.75% when it gives its next verdict.  However, what will be more important is what the Board says; explicitly in terms of the recent (less pleasing to it) data flow and, implicitly in terms of updated

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Trump’s Fiscal Dominance
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 10:35 AM UTC

·       Voting will be done by 12 FOMC members and while Kevin Warsh could mellow some centrists, 5 district Fed presidents and Barr/Jefferson are at the Fed until at least 2031. Warsh may merely bring interest rate cuts sooner from June or potentially engineer a small dip below the 3% neutra

FX Daily Strategy: N America, March 10th
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 10:23 AM UTC

Japan GDP Can Only Help the JPY a tad
Else, Geopolitical Tension Drives the DXY
U.S. February Existing Home Sales Extending  decline

Chart USD/CHF Update: Limited tests lower
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 9:35 AM UTC

The anticipated break below 0.7800 has reached congestion support at 0.7750

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited tests lower
Paying Article

March 10, 2026 9:12 AM UTC

The test of resistance at 99.50 has given way to selling interest