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October 15, 2026

Preview: Due October 16 - U.S. September Industrial Production - Rebound from a weak August
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 3:14 PM UTC

We expect a strong 1.0% increase in September industrial production after flat August with manufacturing up by 0.6% after a 0.3% August decline. This would restore a positive trend after a weak month.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp break lower

U.S. September Retail Sales and PPI, October Philly Fed and Empire State, Initial Claims - Generally strong
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

The latest set of US data is on the firm side of expectations, September PPI at 1.3% overall and 0.7% ex food and energy, September retail sales at 0.8%, 0.9% ex autos. Underlying gains of 0.5% for PPI ex food energy and trade and 0.2% for retail sales ex autos and gasoline are less firm but far fro

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U.S. September Retail Sales and PPI, October Philly Fed and Empire State, Initial Claims - Generally strong
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:15 PM UTC

The latest set of US data is on the firm side of expectations, September PPI at 1.3% overall and 0.7% ex food and energy, September retail sales at 0.8%, 0.9% ex autos. Underlying gains of 0.5% for PPI ex food energy and trade and 0.2% for retail sales ex autos and gasoline are less firm but far fro

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in USD- and JPY-driven trade
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 12:58 PM UTC

Consolidation beneath congestion resistance at 159.00 has given way to a pullback in USD- and JPY-driven trade

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY flows - Yields remain lower out of latest data round
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 12:44 PM UTC

Data doesn't change the overall story and yields remain extending lower, 10s closing in on 5% re-test

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Bangladesh Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Bangladesh remains at a medium-high rating.     

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Oct 15
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 9:21 AM UTC

Core CPI uncomfortable for Fed, but dollar spike reversed as bonds U-turn, equities sell
Warsh watched for any pointers
UK GDP again better than expected, as resilience continues

Chart USD/CHF Update: Sharp pullback from strong Fibonacci retracement
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 8:54 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp run to fresh year highs just beneath strong resistance at the 0.9400 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Sharp pullback from fresh year high
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 8:17 AM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a spike to fresh year highs around 102.95

Chart EUR/USD Update: Smart bounce from fresh year low
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 7:51 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.1200 has given way to a sharp pullback

Chart GBP/USD Update: Test of year lows not sustained - prices back in range
Freemium Article

October 15, 2026 7:36 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp break below 1.3200

Weekly Chart USD/JPY Update: Extend September corrective gains
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 7:36 AM UTC

Consolidation around the 158.00 level has given way to retest of the late-September high at the 159.00 level

UK Growth Resilience Continues in August
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

In the event, growth did not contract by 0.1% m/m as consensus had expected, but grew 0.1% in August. While the month-on-month number can be volatile, the more reliable 3-month measure is showing the economy is proving to be a lot more resilient than many had expected. The better growth outturn alon

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UK Growth Resilience Continues in August
Freemium Article

October 15, 2026 7:32 AM UTC

In the event, growth did not contract by 0.1% m/m as consensus had expected, but grew 0.1% in August. While the month-on-month number can be volatile, the more reliable 3-month measure is showing the economy is proving to be a lot more resilient than many had expected. The better growth outturn alon

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY flows - false extensions as bonds U-turn
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 6:57 AM UTC

Some exhaustion showing, with bond demand on weakness highlighting how far and fast mkt has already moved
Better outright and hedging demand tending to show into knee-jerks, from bonds to JPY
UK GDP beats again, although also already has a lot of tightening priced in. Cable dollar-led

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Oct 15
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 6:34 AM UTC

Core CPI uncomfortable for Fed, but dollar spike reversed as bonds U-turn, equities sell
Warsh watched for any pointers
UK GDP again better than expected, as resilience continues

Chart GBP/USD Update: Still choppy
Freemium Article

October 15, 2026 2:09 AM UTC

Rejection from the 1.3273/1.3300 resistance has seen losses to retest the 1.3140 June current year low before turning back to consolidate above 1.3180 support

Chart EUR/USD Update: Turned up from fresh year low
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Still probing for a bottom with push lower reaching fresh year low at 1.1113 before turning up to consolidate above 1.1150 congestion

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in consolidation
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 1:02 AM UTC

Back in consolidation at the 158.00 level after bounce attempt was rejected at the 158.95 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Turned up from .5565 fresh year low
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 12:40 AM UTC

No follow-through on break of the .5580/78 lows and channel support as prices turned up from fresh year low at .5565 to the .5578/.5625 range area

Chart AUD/USD Update: Back within .6950/.7000 range
Paying Article

October 15, 2026 12:27 AM UTC

Settled back to the .6950/.7000 range area after bounce attempt was rejected at the .7013 high

October 14, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 14 October
Paying Article

October 14, 2026 7:02 PM UTC

Overview - The USD picked up on a stronger than expected US CPI. 

U.S. September Median CPI up 2.8% annualized, less alarming than core CPI
Paying Article

October 14, 2026 6:38 PM UTC

The Cleveland Fed’s September Median CPI is stronger than in August, but less alarming than September’s core CPI. The Median CPI rose by 0.23% on the month and 2.8% annualized.

U.S. Fed Beige Book Summary - Growth dependent on manufacturing, price pressures rising
Paying Article

October 14, 2026 6:24 PM UTC

The latest Fed Beige Book looks a little stronger on growth but dependent on manufacturing, with rising inflationary pressures.

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