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September 01, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 1-4
Paying Article

September 1, 2026 3:54 AM UTC

Is the Fed resigning itself to tightening? Seems so...
While offered a dollar fillip, ECB is also looking determined and some hawks there are looking for more and faster
BoE is currently looking the laggard and worth monitoring whether GBP starts to fall down the pack
BoJ also under pressure and Ueda m

USD/JPY flows: Waiting for next cue
Paying Article

September 1, 2026 3:04 AM UTC

USD/JPY Stay Below 160

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for deeper pullback
Freemium Article

September 1, 2026 2:07 AM UTC

Steadied at the 1.3425 low as prices consolidate losses from the 1.3675, August high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating at 1.1575 support, room for lower later
Paying Article

September 1, 2026 1:47 AM UTC

Steadied at the 1.1575 support as prices consolidate recent losses from the 1.1710 high

Chart USD/JPY Update: Lower in range from 160.20 high
Paying Article

September 1, 2026 1:00 AM UTC

Settled back in range from the 160.20 August high as prices unwind overbought intraday studies and consolidate at the 159.50 congestion

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating, room for lower later
Paying Article

September 1, 2026 12:44 AM UTC

Turned up from test of the .5900 support as prices consolidate losses from the .5988 high

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating above .7150 support
Paying Article

September 1, 2026 12:30 AM UTC

Bounce from the .7150 support see prices retracing losses from the .7208 high and unwinding oversold intraday studies

August 31, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 31 August
Freemium Article

August 31, 2026 7:51 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw a modest correction from its sharp Friday spike, led by EUR/USD. 

Preview: Due September 10 - U.S. August PPI - Inflationary pressure still significant
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 5:59 PM UTC

We expect August PPI to increase by 0.4% overall with 0.3% gains in both core rates, ex food and energy and ex food, energy and trade. We expect a 2.2% increase in energy, not fully erasing a 3.5% July decline, and a 0.3% correction higher in food after a sharp 0.9% decline in July.

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Preview: Due September 10 - U.S. August PPI - Inflationary pressure still significant
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 5:59 PM UTC

We expect August PPI to increase by 0.4% overall with 0.3% gains in both core rates, ex food and energy and ex food, energy and trade. We expect a 2.2% increase in energy, not fully erasing a 3.5% July decline, and a 0.3% correction higher in food after a sharp 0.9% decline in July.

Preview: Due September 14 - Canada August CPI - Slightly firmer but with BoC core rates steady
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

We expect August Canadian CPI to edge higher to 3.1% yr/yr from 3.0%, extending the gain from June’s 2.8% but remaining below May’s 3.2%. We also expect a firmer ex food and energy pace at 2.1% from 1.9%, but we expect the Bank of Canada’s three core rates to remain at July’s pace. 

Preview: Due September 1 - U.S. August ISM Manufacturing - Still strong if a little less so
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 3:19 PM UTC

We expect modest slippage in August’s ISM manufacturing index to 55.0 from 55.6, a level that was the highest since May 2022. August’s level will remain above June’s 53.3 and keep every month in 2026 to date clearly positive, contrasting a 10-month string of negatives ending in December 2025.?

Preview: Due September 11 - U.S. August CPI - Firmer on energy and lodging away from home
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 1:57 PM UTC

We expect a slightly stronger US CPI in August, up by 0.4% overall, lifted by energy, and 0.3% ex food and energy, lifted by a correction higher in lodging away from home. Before rounding we expect overall CPI to rise by 0.37% and ex food and energy CPI to rise by 0.26%. Despite a firmer monthly cor

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Preview: Due September 11 - U.S. August CPI - Firmer on energy and lodging away from home
Freemium Article

August 31, 2026 1:55 PM UTC

We expect a slightly stronger US CPI in August, up by 0.4% overall, lifted by energy, and 0.3% ex food and energy, lifted by a correction higher in lodging away from home. Before rounding we expect overall CPI to rise by 0.37% and ex food and energy CPI to rise by 0.26%. Despite a firmer monthly cor

...
UK External Account: The Ugly and the Good
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 11:02 AM UTC

·       The UK has seen a ugly persistent worsening of the EU goods trade deficit since leaving the EU in 2020, but two current account trends are good. The UK is helped by a surging services surplus and also a pick-up in investment income from UK portfolios invested overseas. Nevertheless, G

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Aug 31 to Sep 4
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 9:55 AM UTC

Is the Fed resigning itself to tightening? Seems so...
While offered a dollar fillip, ECB is also looking determined and some hawks there are looking for more and faster
BoE is currently looking the laggard and worth monitoring whether GBP starts to fall down the pack
BoJ also under pressure and Ueda m

Psychology for major markets Aug 31
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 7:39 AM UTC

U.S-Iran Pointing Fingers

Weekly Chart AUD/USD: Settled back from test of .7200
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 6:33 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the .7200 level as prices unwind overbought daily studies and consolidate strong gains from the June low

AUD/USD flows: U.S.-Iran back at it
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 4:47 AM UTC

Iran says US must bear full responsibility for consequences of escalation

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 1-4
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 3:30 AM UTC

Is the Fed resigning itself to tightening? Seems so...
While offered a dollar fillip, ECB is also looking determined and some hawks there are looking for more and faster
BoE is currently looking the laggard and worth monitoring whether GBP starts to fall down the pack
BoJ also under pressure and Ueda m

USD/JPY flows: JPY Caught a Bid
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 3:11 AM UTC

USD/JPY rotates below 160

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room for deeper pullback
Freemium Article

August 31, 2026 2:13 AM UTC

Break of support at the 1.3550 congestion see prices extending losses from the 1.3675 high to correct recent strong gains from the 1.3275, late-July low

Chart EUR/USD Update: Weighing on 1.1575 support
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Sharply lower through the 1.1655/50 area as prices extend pullback from the 1.1710 highs to retest the May low at 1.1575

Chart USD/JPY Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 1:10 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation around the 160.00 level following extension to 160.20 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Room for deeper corrective pullback
Paying Article

August 31, 2026 12:52 AM UTC

Consolidation around the .5950 congestion gave way to deeper pullback from the .5988 high as prices unwind overbought daily studies

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