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October 30, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Nov 2-6
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 3:53 PM UTC

Pressure on tech, leading to choppy action, but overall weight on dollar; JPY and CHF benefit
BoE hike seen as more of a one off and possible one-and-done.
US election a wild card, though no settled view on impact. At margin, some scenarios would add to risk-off mood

Chart AUD/USD Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 3:20 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade around 0.7025

Preview: Due November 2 - U.S. October ISM Manufacturing - Stable and positive
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 2:58 PM UTC

There does not appear to be any reason to expect much change in October’s ISM manufacturing index. We expect no change from September’s 54.5, which was only marginally changed from 54.6 in August. The data will continue to imply healthy manufacturing expansion, fueled by AI.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in JPY-dominant trade
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 2:36 PM UTC

Consolidation around congestion resistance at 158.00 has given way to a fresh pullback

Weekly Chart USD Index DXY: Choppy trade - studies continue to point lower
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 2:04 PM UTC

Consolidation above 102.00 has given way to a bounce, with prices reaching 102.50 before falling steadily to congestion support at 101.50

Canada August GDP - Economy looks weaker than BoC thought
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 12:58 PM UTC

August Canadian GDP fell short of a positive 0.2% preliminary estimate and came in unchanged for a second straight month. The preliminary estimate for September is for a 0.1% decline, suggesting the economy may be weaker than the BoC thought when tightening rates this week.

U.S. Q3 Employment Cost Index - Wages slowing, benefits firm
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 12:42 PM UTC

The 0.8% increase in Q3’s Employment Cost index is in line with expectations. Yr/yr growth remains stable at 3.4%.

Eurozone Economy Remains Resilient in Q3 - Headwinds Ahead?
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 11:41 AM UTC

The economy expanded more than expected in Q3, rising 0.4% q/q from 0.6% before, with the Eurozone aggregate benefitting from Ireland’s large and volatile growth rate. Most of the larger member countries experienced weak quarter on quarter growth, with Germany’s economy increasing 0.2%, Italy’

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Eurozone Economy Remains Resilient in Q3 - Headwinds Ahead?
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 11:41 AM UTC

The economy expanded more than expected in Q3, rising 0.4% q/q from 0.6% before, with the Eurozone aggregate benefitting from Ireland’s large and volatile growth rate. Most of the larger member countries experienced weak quarter on quarter growth, with Germany’s economy increasing 0.2%, Italy’

...
Ethiopia Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Ethiopia remains at a high rating.     

USD/CHF, DXY flows - Shifting recent leadership, cross-mkt dynamics
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 10:11 AM UTC

Dollar trading pro-cyclically with AI/tech risk at present, amplified through yield responsiveness - a turn around from US bond leadership

Chart USD/CHF Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 9:37 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a sharp break lower

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Leaning lower in choppy trade
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 9:11 AM UTC

Consolidation around 102.20 has given way to a pullback in heightened volatility

Chart EUR/USD Update: Smart bounce from fresh marginal year low
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 8:54 AM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a marginal fresh year low around 1.1110, before bouncing sharply to pressure 1.1200

Chart GBP/USD Update: Pushing higher
Freemium Article

October 30, 2026 8:38 AM UTC

Consolidation around congestion support at 1.3300 has given way to fresh gains

EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY flows - AI/tech pressure drags dollar ; post CB covering
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 8:22 AM UTC

AI/tech pressure out of 'cash burning' earnings pressing yields, dollar lower
BoJ see higher inflation, as per sources, still line up move towards neutral

Chart GBP/USD Update: Retest 1.3400/20 highs
Freemium Article

October 30, 2026 2:03 AM UTC

Sharply higher as prices extend bounce from strong support at the 1.3300/1.3273 area to retest resistance at the 1.3400/20 congestion

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extending bounce from 1.1105 fresh year low
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 1:50 AM UTC

Extending bounce from fresh year low at 1.1105 to retest the 1.1200 congestion

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 1:02 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the 158.00 level and channel resistance as prices settled back from the 158.35 mid-week high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Higher in consolidation from .5578 low
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 12:47 AM UTC

Turned up from the .5578 low as prices consolidate sharp losses from the .5700/10 highs

Chart AUD/USD Update: Lower in consolidation
Paying Article

October 30, 2026 12:25 AM UTC

Test of the .7050/65 resistance has given way to selling pressure as prices consolidate gains from the .6900 level

October 29, 2026

EZ Q3 GDP to Show Ongoing Resilience
Paying Article

October 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

GDP is expected to grow 0.2% q/q in Q3 following a large quarterly gain of 0.6% in Q2, a figure that had been boosted by Ireland’s significant expansion of 10.2% q/q - driven largely by a surge in multinational-dominated sectors, led by Information & Communication and high-value industry. Once Ire

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EZ Q3 GDP to Show Ongoing Resilience
Paying Article

October 29, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

GDP is expected to grow 0.2% q/q in Q3 following a large quarterly gain of 0.6% in Q2, a figure that had been boosted by Ireland’s significant expansion of 10.2% q/q - driven largely by a surge in multinational-dominated sectors, led by Information & Communication and high-value industry. Once Ire

North American Summary and Highlights 29 October
Paying Article

October 29, 2026 6:12 PM UTC

Overview - An unchanged ECB decision gave the EUR an initial hit but a rebound was seen during the press conference. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Under pressure in USD- and CAD-driven trade
Freemium Article

October 29, 2026 5:03 PM UTC

Cautious trade beneath resistance at 1.4050 has given way to a fresh test lower in both USD- and CAD-driven trade

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