View:

May 08, 2026

Preview: Due May 21 - U.S. April Housing Starts and Permits - A mixed picture but trend may slow in Q2
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 6:34 PM UTC

We look for April housing starts and permits to both see levels of 1.40m, for starts a fall of 6.8% after a rise of 10.8% in March, and for permits a rise of 2.7% after a fall of 11.4% in March.

Preview: Due May 15 - U.S. April Industrial Production - Restoring an improvement in trend
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 5:17 PM UTC

We expect a 0.3% increase in April industrial production with a matching increase in manufacturing, restoring signs of an improvement in trend in early 2026 after slippage in March. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Reached 1.3700 - daily studies rising
Freemium Article

May 8, 2026 4:02 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached congestion resistance at 1.3700, where unwinding overbought intraday studies are prompting short-term reactions

FX Weekly Strategy: May 11th-15th
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 2:51 PM UTC

Positive risk tone suggests good news largely priced in
JPY may have scope to gain on the crosses
CAD weakness can extend
GBP likely toppy against the EUR

U.S. Preliminary May Michigan CSI - Dip on current conditions, expectations slightly improved
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 2:19 PM UTC

The preliminary May Michigan CSI of 48.2 is down from 49.8 in April and weaker than expected. The details are however more surprising, with the fall due to current conditions not expectations and inflation expectations slightly softer.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:40 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath the current year high around the 0.7280~ high of June 2022

Canada April Employment - Weak data suggests little case for tightening
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:36 PM UTC

Canada’s April employment report with a 6-month high of 6.9% for unemployment following two straight months at 6.7%, and a fall of 17.7k in employment, is clearly a weak one and suggests there is little case for the Bank of Canada to consider tightening as long as core inflation shows no clear fee

Chart USD/JPY Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:26 PM UTC

Cautious trade has pushed higher to 157.00

U.S. April Employment - Charts and table
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:08 PM UTC

Payroll mostly shows resilience, but earnings losing momentum.

USD, CAD, JPY, EUR flows: USD slightly weaker except against CAD after employment data
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:07 PM UTC

Weak Canadina data hits CAD, US data modestly strong but USD weaker elsewhere

...
U.S. April Employment - Resilience should keep easing off the near term agenda
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:04 PM UTC

April’s non-farm payroll suggests the US economy continues to grow at a respectable pace in early Q2 with no signs of a hit from the oil shock yet. Payrolls increased by a stronger than expected 115k, with unemployment stable at 4.3% and the workweek stronger at 34.3 hours from 34.2. Average hourl

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Focus on 1.6100
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 11:23 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to the anticipated push higher

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

May 8, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Straits of Hormuz Scenarios
U.S. April Non-Farm Payrolls Not as strong as March
This Week's Fed Speakers
RBA's Last Hike for Now
Fresh Tightening Bias for Sweden Riksbank 

...
Eurozone: In Dire Straits?
Freemium Article

May 8, 2026 10:55 AM UTC

Amid all the concern about the energy-induced surge in inflation resulting from the Middle East conflict, the impact on EZ real economy looks to be sizeable and growing.  High profile PMI numbers are flashing alarmingly, but the message from the April composite (at a 17-mth low) may actually be not

USD, JPY, EUR, NOK, CAD oil flows: Ever present weekend risk
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

Recent pattern of hope for the best, hedge for the worst heading into w/e

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 8th
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

US and Canadian employment data offer some USD upside risks
Focus remains on US/Iran negotiations with some good news already priced in
Japanese wage data misses
GBP vulnerable to political fallout from local elections

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 8:29 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at the 0.7770 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Consolidating - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 7:57 AM UTC

Consolidation has given way to a break above 98.00, with prices reaching 98.25 before settling into cautious trade around 98.15

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 7:46 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation beneath resistance at 1.1760

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating
Freemium Article

May 8, 2026 7:35 AM UTC

Consolidation beneath congestion resistance at 1.3660 has given way to a break below 1.3600

Psychology for major markets May 8
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 7:05 AM UTC

The U.S.-Iran Ceasefire being Tested

USD, JPY, EUR flows: USD slightly firm as US and Iran skirmish
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 6:16 AM UTC

Skirmishing between the uS and Iran overnight has had only a modest USD positive and risk negative impact so far, but...

AUD/USD flows: Ceasefire Does not Seem to Hold
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 4:11 AM UTC

UAE says it is responding again to a missile threat

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 8th
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 3:56 AM UTC

US and Canadian employment data offer some USD upside risks
Focus remains on US/Iran negotiations with some good news already priced in
Japanese wage data misses
GBP vulnerable to political fallout from local elections

USD/JPY flows: Labor Earning Missed
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Labor cash earnings rose 2.7% y/y