View:
June 3, 2026 12:36 PM UTC
May’s ADP’s estimate of private sector employment of 122k is in line with market exactions if not quite as strong as weekly ADP data for the preceding week had been implying. Still, it maintains a recent improvement in trend and like last week’s was, is the strongest increase since January 2

June 3, 2026 10:23 AM UTC
Aware of repeating ourselves (again), it is the case that the next ECB Council meeting will be more important for what is said than what is done. In fact, a 25 bp official rate hike is virtually nailed on irrespective of how events in the Middle East may fare in coming days. But the ECB comments
June 2, 2026 4:37 PM UTC
We expect PPI to rise by 0.8% overall in May, strong if slower than April’s 1.4% surge, with a 0.4% rise ex food and energy, significantly slower than a 1.0% increase in April. Ex food, energy and trade however we expect only a modest slowing, to 0.5% in May from 0.6% in April.