View:

August 11, 2026

RBA Review: No Fireworks
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:42 AM UTC

The RBA August meeting keep rates unchanged at 4.35% 

AUD/USD flows: RBA keep Rates Unchanged
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:32 AM UTC

RBA leaves cash rate unchanged at 4.35%

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:04 AM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA the main interest Tues, no chance of a hike priced in. 
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

USD/JPY flows: Jiji says BoJ Hike in Sep
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 4:16 AM UTC

Jiji says The BoJ may consider an additional rate hike at its September 17-18 meeting

Chart GBP/USD Update: Room for further gains
Freemium Article

August 11, 2026 1:56 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 1.3500 level has given way to break to reach 1.3530 high

Chart EUR/USD Update: Retains bullish bias
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 1:45 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the 1.1575 resistance last week but bullish bias keeps pressure on the upside

Chart USD/JPY Update: Still room to extend gains
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 12:57 AM UTC

 Break above 158.00 see extending gains from the 155.22 low to reach resistance at 159.00/45, congestion and January high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Choppy in range
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 12:40 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation below the .5900/08 congestion and high of last week

Chart AUD/USD Update: Consolidating below .7080/.7100 resistance
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 12:28 AM UTC

Little change, as prices stays in consolidation just below strong resistance at the .7080/.7100 area

August 10, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 10 August
Freemium Article

August 10, 2026 7:49 PM UTC

Overview - Oil and UST yields picked as did USD/JPY though USD moves were modest elsewhere. 

U.S. Fed's Hammack - Suggests multiple rate hikes will be needed
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 7:39 PM UTC

Cleveland Fed President Hammack, who dissented for tightening in July, is sounding increasingly hawkish. 

Is CAD poised for a short-squeeze?
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 5:03 PM UTC

There's a decent argument that, event-risk given, CAD may be poised for a short-squeeze
Positioning is extreme and against the grain of recent $ moves
 Data has been surprising to the upside supporting a shift in momentum
Lead indicator trends support a recent move back toward recovery and outperforma

Weekly Chart USD/MXN Update: Balanced just above year lows - studies under pressure
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 4:13 PM UTC

Cautious trade within the broad 16.3000 - 16.5000 range is giving way to fresh losses

Chart USD/CAD Update: Poised for further losses
Freemium Article

August 10, 2026 3:47 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade following recent sharp USD- and CAD-driven losses

FOMC Minutes Preview: Hawks, Doves and Data-Dependents
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:50 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 are due on August 19 and will get extra attention with Chairman Warsh not having given a clear explanation of the decision to leave rates unchanged, after a meeting which saw three dissenting votes for tightening. The minutes may suggest that several in the majority could b

...
FOMC Minutes Preview: Hawks, Doves and Data-Dependents
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:49 PM UTC

FOMC minutes from July 29 are due on August 19 and will get extra attention with Chairman Warsh not having given a clear explanation of the decision to leave rates unchanged, after a meeting which saw three dissenting votes for tightening. The minutes may suggest that several in the majority could b

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:44 PM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA the main interest Tues, no chance of a hike priced in. 
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

Monthly US Chart 10 Year Yield: Consolidating gains - studies rising
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 1:47 PM UTC

Choppy trade around 4.500% has given way to a break higher, with yields reaching 4.745% before settling into fresh consolidation.

Preview: Due August 11 - U.S. July Existing Home Sales - Surveys suggest slippage
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 1:20 PM UTC

We expect July existing home sales to see a second straight monthly fall, by 1.5% to 4.03m, as fears that the next Fed move is likely to be a hike pick up, while remaining in the year to date range.

Slicing and dicing US inflation – why different measures are at the centre of Fed debate
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 1:01 PM UTC

* Wide divergence of US inflation measures becoming increasingly material to policy debate and sets the unusual statistical backdrop to the next CPI release
* Reflects many of the divergent opinions over AI, ‘relative price adjustment’ vs generalised inflation, temporary vs persistent overshoot.

Weekly Chart GBP/USD Update: Pressuring range highs - studies rising
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 12:20 PM UTC

Little change, as choppy trade gives way to a retest of congestion resistance at 1.3500.

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Aug 4, $ longs cut but still remain; CAD the outlier now
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 10:20 AM UTC

IMM data for w/e Aug 4 unsurprisingly show record $ long was cut in some long liquidation
Yen shorts in particular retreats, albeit not back to flat - allowing recent USD/JPY oversold rebasing/backfilling
CAD the main exception, shorts stay at the highs. An outlier to watch for any surprises that sque

Chart USD/CHF Update: Choppy trade - studies leaning lower
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 9:12 AM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to a pullback

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Aug 10-14
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 8:59 AM UTC

Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 8:43 AM UTC

The anticipated break above 0.7050 has reached 0.7075

Home
Directory
Add Post
Inbox
My Account