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May 19, 2026
Preview: Due May 28 - U.S. April New Home Sales - Trend has little direction
May 19, 2026 2:48 PM UTC
We expect an April new home sales total of 665k, which would be a decline of 2.5% in March’s 7.4% increase to 682k sees no revisions. Over the last three years, movements outside a 650-700k range have trended to be brief though November 2025 hit a high of 748k and January 2026 a low of 583k.
Canada April CPI - Excluding energy inflation is falling
May 19, 2026 12:59 PM UTC
May Canadian CPI is clearly softer than expected, with the acceleration to 2.8% yr/yr from 2.5% due to a drop in the year ago base due to the abolition of the carbon tax. Current energy strength is being offset by weakness elsewhere. The Bank of Canada’s three core rates are all softer, with CPI-T
ECB: Not the Only Game in Town – But A Time for Hair Shirts?
May 19, 2026 11:22 AM UTC
When hearing ECB Council policy thinking one can get the impression that it sees only a direct link from changes in its policy rate to inflation rather than the latter succumbing to a range of factors, this being the transmission mechanism. Most important of course is the economic damage that chan
FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 19th
May 19, 2026 9:14 AM UTC
Erratic Iran headlines continues, glass half full and empty reads
Stretched positioning still dominates, keeping dollar propped
Oil still sets the tone, but along with other areas of risk build up
UK labour market soft, favouring BoE caution; Burnham reassures
Canada CPI likewise seen implying little im
UK Labor Market: Core Wage Pressures hit New Cycle -Low as Jobs Growth into Sharp Reverse
May 19, 2026 6:56 AM UTC
Even more clearly, there are further signs that the labor market is haemorrhaging jobs both clearly and broadly with fresh falls in the more authoritative measure of jobs covering payrolls. Indeed, private sector payrolls are still falling, down over 0.8 ppt in y/y terms with the m/m drop the larg
FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 19th
May 19, 2026 4:06 AM UTC
Some better Iran headlines help mkt work off o/s moves, but not getting carried away
Bar clear positive news, stretched positioning still dominates providing capping
Oil still sets the tone, but along with other areas of risk build up
UK has labour market data, Canada CPI, neither seen implying pressur