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March 13, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Closer to 160
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 5:57 AM UTC

USD/JPY met verbal intervention on its way to 160

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, March 13th
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 5:25 AM UTC

U.S. Preliminary Q4 GDP Marginally stronger on housing
And Core PCE Prices to outperform CPI
UK GDP Getting Better?
Canada February Employment due for a rebound in Ontario

Chartbook: Chart Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300: Consolidation expected to give way renewed strength
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 5:03 AM UTC

Bullish start to the year saw gains reaching fresh high at 4836 before drifting lower to consolidate above the 4450 support

Chart GBP/USD Update: Under pressure
Freemium Article

March 13, 2026 1:55 AM UTC

Extending rejection from the 1.3485 Tuesday's high with break of the 1.3400 congestion returning focus to the downside for retest of the 1.3344/1.3300

Chart EUR/USD Update: Retest 1.1507 low, break in focus
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 1:44 AM UTC

Met with selling pressure at the 200-day MA with losses back to retest Monday's 1.1507 current year low

Chart USD/JPY Update: Pressuring 159.45, January high
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 1:05 AM UTC

Break above the 158.90 high of Monday has seen gains to retest 159.45, January current year high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 12:41 AM UTC

Choppy trade within the .5950/.5850 area see pressure returning to the .5850 support

Chart AUD/USD Update: Turned down from channel resistance
Paying Article

March 13, 2026 12:30 AM UTC

Turned lower from Wednesday's .7188 just below strong resistance at the .7200/.7210 channel resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci level

March 12, 2026

AUD/USD flows: Signs of De-escaltion from Iran
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 11:10 PM UTC

Iran says it will not close Strait of Hormuz but asserts right to secure waterway

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CBRT Pauses Easing Cycle; Policy Rate Held at 37% Due to Surges in Oil Prices and CPI Increase in February
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 8:20 PM UTC

Bottom Line: The Central Bank of Turkiye (CBRT) kept its policy rate constant at 37% during the MPC meeting on March 12. This decision effectively pauses the bank’s easing cycle in response to heightened market volatility and rising energy costs driven by the ongoing war in Iran. While February's

North American Summary and Highlights 12 Mar
Freemium Article

March 12, 2026 7:35 PM UTC

Overview - Comments from Iran and Trump added to Middle East worries, lifting both oil and the USD. 

Chart USD/MXN Update: Choppy trade - studies improving
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 5:49 PM UTC

The sharp break higher to strong resistance within the 17.9330 - 18.0000 range is giving way to choppy trade

Chart USD/CAD Update: Limited tests higher
Freemium Article

March 12, 2026 4:59 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a test higher

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, March 13th
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

U.S. Preliminary Q4 GDP Marginally stronger on housing
And Core PCE Prices to outperform CPI
UK GDP Getting Better?
Canada February Employment due for a rebound in Ontario

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BoE Preview (Mar 19): MPC Agree to Disagree?
Freemium Article

March 12, 2026 2:35 PM UTC

The rate cut that seemed partly flagged by the narrow vote against easing in early February now looks highly unlikely this month. Indeed, it is also likely that the four who dissented in favor of cutting last time around will vote with the majority in favour of no change.  But while the MPC as a wh

Preview: Due March 13 - U.S. January Durable Goods Orders - Aircraft to slip, but ex transport trend is positive
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 2:30 PM UTC

We expect January durable goods orders to see a second straight moderate decline, of 0.6%, as a November surge in aircraft orders continues to correct, but ex transport we expect continued underlying strength to be shown, with a rise of 0.7%.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Sharp pullback from fresh year high
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 2:24 PM UTC

The anticipated break above strong resistance at the 0.7155~ year high of February 2023 has posted a fresh year high around 0.7185

Preview: Due March 13 - U.S. January Personal Income and Spending - Core PCE Prices to outperform CPI
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 2:16 PM UTC

We expect January to see a strong core PCE price index increase of 0.4%, matching the rise seen in December. We expect personal income to increase by 0.6%, unusually outpacing personal spending, which we expect to rise by 0.4% for a third straight month.

Preview: Due March 13 - Canada February Employment - Employment and Labor force due for rebounds in Ontario
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 2:08 PM UTC

We expect Canadian employment to increase by 50k in February, more than fully reversing a 24.8k decline in January to keep trend modestly positive. However we expect an even stronger rebound in the labor force from a decline in January to lift the unemployment rate to 6.6% from 6.5%, while remaining

Preview: Due March 13 - U.S. Preliminary (Second) Estimate Q4 GDP - Marginally stronger on housing
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 1:55 PM UTC

We expect a marginal upward revision to Q4 GDP to 1.5% in the preliminary (second) estimate from 1.4% in the advance (first) release, led by an upward revision to housing investment to a 1.7% rise from a 1.5% decline.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Pressuring year highs
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 1:50 PM UTC

Little change, as prices consolidate the test of resistance at the 158.90 high of 9 March and congestion around 159.00

U.S. January trade deficit shows continued volatility, Initial Claims still low, January housing data mixed
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 1:21 PM UTC

A significantly narrower US trade deficit on January of $54.5bn from $72.9bn is positive for Q1 GDP and led by a rise in exports, though the large swings in the deficit remain led by a few volatile items and trend is unclear. Initial claims at 213k from 214k remain low while January housing data is

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Trump Visit To China: Trade/Taiwan and Iran
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 11:37 AM UTC

•    The main success of Trump’s visit will be on trade, where an extension of October trade truce is likely.  China wants to avoid section 301 tariffs that could increase the current effective tariff of 25% and the U.S. will turn the whole visit into a PR victory for Trump to deflect from

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Room for lower
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 11:37 AM UTC

The anticipated test of 1.5700 has extended to 1.5665/70

FX Daily Strategy: N America, March 12th
Paying Article

March 12, 2026 10:14 AM UTC

Rather Quiet Calendar Sees Headline Dominates
U.S. January Trade Balance May be stabilizing
U.S. January Housing Starts and Permits Weaker