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April 07, 2026

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Preview: Due April 21 - U.S. March Retail Sales - Surge on gasoline prices, underlying trend subdued
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 6:15 PM UTC

We expect March retail sales to surge by 1.4% largely on surging gasoline prices, with sales ex auto and gasoline even stronger at 1.6%. Ex autos and gasoline we expect a rise of only 0.2%, on the weak side of a trend that has recently lost momentum.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Strong support at 1.3870
Freemium Article

April 7, 2026 4:26 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 1.3900

Preview: Due April 20 - Canada March CPI - Higher on energy but BoC core rates seen close to stable
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April 7, 2026 4:05 PM UTC

We expect March Canadian CPI to bounce to 2.8% yr/yr from 1.8% in February, reaching its highest since May 2024. We expect ex food and energy CPI to also pick up, to 2.3% yr/yr from 2.0%, but we expect the Bank of Canada’s three core rates to be close to stable, still slightly above the 2.0% targe

New York Fed survey shows U.S. inflation expectations higher in March, even on a 5-year view
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 3:14 PM UTC

The New York Fed’s March Survey of Consumer Expectations shows expectations have been lifted by the surge in energy prices, most obviously at the 1-year level, but with impacts visible at the 3-year and even 5-year levels.

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, April 8th
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

RBNZ To Hold at 2.25%
Japan Labor Cash Earning Needs to Pick Up Further
DXY Remain Geopolitical Driven

Chart AUD/USD Update: Room for a minor test higher
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April 7, 2026 1:58 PM UTC

The anticipated break above 0.6900 has met selling interest beneath the 0.6960 weekly high of 1 April

Chart USD/JPY Update: Cautious trade
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April 7, 2026 1:37 PM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious and extend consolidation beneath congestion resistance at 160.00

U.S. Fed's Williams - Story around underlying inflation not much changed
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 1:10 PM UTC

Fed's Williams expect the war to add only 0.1-0.2% to core inflation, though this may assume worst case scenarios can be avoided.

U.S. February Durable Goods Orders - Underlying trend remains positive
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 12:52 PM UTC

February durable goods orders are in line with expectations overall with a 1.4% decline led by the volatile aircraft sector correcting from recent strength, but a slightly stronger than expected ex transport increase of 0.8% maintaining a positive trend, indicating a positive business investment pic

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Despite Monthly Pressures and Risks Persist, Inflation Eased to 30.9% in March
Freemium Article

April 7, 2026 11:53 AM UTC

Bottom line: Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) announced March inflation figures, and Turkiye’s inflation edged down to 30.9% despite inflationary risks. The moderate slowdown in March was supported by the sliding tax system and the normalization in food prices after Ramadan. Our average infla

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Immediate gains to remain limited
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 11:13 AM UTC

Cautious trade above the 1.6025 recent lows is giving way to a move higher

FX Daily Strategy: N America, April 7th
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April 7, 2026 9:16 AM UTC

Market Spotlight Remain on Middle East
U.S. February Durable Goods Orders to see Aircraft slipping
Choppy Japan February Household Spending

Psychology for major markets Apr 7
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 9:08 AM UTC

Waiting for Trump

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade
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April 7, 2026 8:34 AM UTC

The anticipated break above resistance at 0.8000 has been pushed back from beneath the 0.8040 current year high of 15-16 January

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited tests lower
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 8:03 AM UTC

Cautious trade, as prices consolidate the break above 100.00

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2yr and The Iran War
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

·       2yr yields can edge lower from current less elevated levels, as DM central banks continue to try to calm fears of near-term rate hikes outside of the BOJ/RBA.  However, the key swing factor remains the length of the Iran war, as that will determine the trajectory of energy prices in

Chart EUR/USD Update: Cautious trade - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation within the 1.1500 - 1.1550 range

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited tests higher - background under pressure
Freemium Article

April 7, 2026 7:34 AM UTC

Consolidation above congestion support at 1.3200 is giving way to a drift higher

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, April 7th
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 5:27 AM UTC

Market Spotlight Remain on Middle East
U.S. February Durable Goods Orders to see Aircraft slipping
Choppy Japan February Household Spending

USD/JPY flows: February Household Spending Mixed
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 4:38 AM UTC

Japanese February Household Spending -1.7% y/y but +1.5% m/m

AUD/USD flows: Deadline?
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 3:47 AM UTC

The deadline Trump said is approaching, again

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating above 1.3175/60 lows
Freemium Article

April 7, 2026 1:48 AM UTC

Limited on break below the 1.3200 level as prices turned up in consolidation from the 1.3175 low to unwind oversold intraday and daily studies

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating above 1.1500
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 1:37 AM UTC

Steadied at the 1.1500 level as prices consolidate pullback from the 1.1627 high of last week

Chart USD/JPY Update: Drifting narrowly below 160.00
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 1:02 AM UTC

Drifting narrowly below the 160.00 level but pressure remains on the upside following bounce from 158.27 low last week

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating above .5680 fresh year low
Paying Article

April 7, 2026 12:46 AM UTC

Edged up from Friday's fresh year low at .5680 low as prices unwind oversold intraday and daily studies