European Weekly

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November 15, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

November 15, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

 A more balanced U.S. October CPI
And the slate of Fed speakers
One way traffic for USD/JPY
UK GDP Momentum Dissipated
Mixed Chinese Data Backs More Stimulus 

November 08, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

November 8, 2024 11:00 AM UTC

Trump 2024
FOMC eases by 25bps and statement avoids dovish hints
Gradualism Still the Order of the Day for BoE
RBA Still Waiting to ease
Norges Bank Tweaks in Policy Guidance
Sweden Riksbank Faster, But Not (Yet) Any Further Easing? 

October 25, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

October 25, 2024 10:33 AM UTC

The Bank of Canada accelerated the pace of easing
U.S. Initial Claims back to pre-hurricane trend
And other U.S. Data
USD/JPY Challenge Monthly High
Eurozone Services Risks Clearer

October 18, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

October 18, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

ECB Inflation Outlook Lowered
UK CPI Below Target and BoE Hawks Placated
Canada  CPI Subdued and pause in BoC core rates downtrend likely to be temporary
U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial Production
China September Data Rotates Higher

September 27, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

September 27, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

More Cuts on the Way for SNB 
Faster and a Little Further Rate Cuts for Riksbank 
RBA Waiting to ease
U.S. GDP Historical revisions mostly positive 
China Steps Up Support, But Not a Game changer

September 20, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

September 20, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC eases by 50bps but otherwise not strikingly dovish
BoJ Keep Rates Unchanged
Explicit Gradualism From BoE 
Norges Bank's Head Still in the Sand
UK Inflation Stable and Services Resilience 

September 13, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

September 13, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

ECB Under-Estimating Downside Risks
U.S. August Core CPI  at a four month high led by shelter and air fares
U.S. August PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade a little too high for comfort
UK GDP a More Mixed Messages Give BoE Food for Thought
More of the Same or Game changing Policies for China Equities 

September 06, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

September 6, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. August  Non-Farm Payrolls Less weak than July
U.S. ADP Employment Losing momentum
And U.S. ISM Data
Dovish Tone from the Bank of Canada
USD/JPY Begins its Trip to the South 

August 30, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

August 30, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Surprising Ukraine Incursion in Russia Continues
U.S. Q2 GDP revised even higher
German Inflation Back at Target
Moderate growth for Canada Q2/June GDP
China Consumer Volatility

August 23, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

August 23, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Riksbank Deliver 25bps and More to Come
Ueda Reinforce BoJ July's Hawkish Policy Take
ECB Policy Clues from July Accounts and Lane
Canada July CPI Shows monthly gains but yearly growth fall
China Housing Needed More Bailout

August 16, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

August 16, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Surprising Ukraine Incursion in Russia
RBNZ Begin Cutting
U.S. July Core CPI below 0.2% before rounding for a third straight month
UK Inflation Up on Energy But Services Resilience Diminishes
Soft Start to Q3 for China

August 09, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

August 9, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

No surprise from RBA
U.S. Initial Claims correct lower but trend continues to rise
U.S. July ISM Services Employment highest since September
U.S. and Canada report stronger trade balances in June
Bank of Canada Minutes expect further easing

August 02, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

August 2, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC leaves rates unchanged and put September Easing on the Table but not a Commitment
BoE Getting Less Restrictive
BoJ Too hawkish, too fast
Canada Q2 GDP looking stronger than BoC forecasted
U.S. Initial Claims higher, Q2 Unit Labor Costs consistent with falling inflation

July 26, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 26, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Bank of Canada Eases Again Given Increased Confidence in Inflation
China Surprise 7 Day Reverse Repo Rate Cut
US Q2 GDP exceeds expectations
The Turn in USD/JPY 
UK Household Wealth and the Pension Predicament

July 19, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 19, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Markets Guessing Trump Policy Priorities
U.S. Initial Claims rebound from a dip
ECB Policy Window Stays Very Open
UK Inflation Stays at Target and Services Stay Resilient
China Retail Sales Drags Q2 GDP

July 12, 2024

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

July 12, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. June CPI Very soft
USD/JPY Swings
More Upside Surprises on UK GDP
RBNZ Signals easing soon
Weak CPI and M2 Trends in China

July 05, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

July 5, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Trump now Front-Runner for President
UK Election Shows Labour’s Solid Victory
June FOMC Minutes Saw Cooling Economy but Little Discussion of Easing
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls may suggest some loss of momentum
EZ HICP Disinflation Resumes Amid Services Resilience

June 28, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

June 28, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Sweden Riksbank Slightly Less Gradual
U.S. Initial Claims and GDP improve, Durables and Trade deteriorate
U.S. Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales 
Canada May CPI strong after five straight subdued ones
USD/JPY Reaches New High

June 21, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

June 21, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

BoE MPC Splits Enlarge to Suggest Cut Soon
SNB 25bps Cut and Next Cut in September
RBA Recognized slower inflation moderation
Norges Bank Excessive Last Mile Caution?
U.S. Initial Claims, Housing Starts, Philly Fed and Current Account all disappoint

June 14, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

June 14, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC delivers hawkish 2024 dots
U.S. Initial Claims up sharply, May PPI corrects April strength
U.S. May CPI Loses Momentum
BoJ Surprise Again
Flat April UK GDP 

June 07, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Bank of Canada Eases by 25bps on Improved Inflation Picture
ECB Clearly No Policy Pre-Commitment But Policy Entering New Phase
 U.S. May Employment trend may be starting to slow
Previewed by Slower U.S. May ADP Employment 
Other U.S. Economic Release

May 31, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

May 31, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Chinese Military Drills Should Not Increase Taiwan Risk
U.S. Q1 GDP revised lower
U.S. May Consumer Confidence Rebound 
USD/JPY Restrained by Intervention Concern
Tokyo CPI Foreshadow Rebound of Inflation to 2%

May 24, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

May 24, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

This week's Fed Speaker and May FOMC Minute Review
RBNZ Keeping Restrictive Rates Longer
UK Called for July Election
UK Inflation Falls Further Amid More Signs of Price Persistence
Canada April CPI Shows Continued Progress in the BoC core rates

May 17, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

May 17, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

This Week's Fed Speaker
U.S. April PPI Demonstrates Worrying strength
But U.S. CPI and Retail Sales are Seeing Some Loss of Momentum
UK Labor Market Shows Further Signs of Resilient Wage Pressure
Lopsided Growth and New Housing Measures For China

May 10, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

May 10, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Ukraine War Update
This Week's Fed Speakers
U.S. Initial Claims rise but signs of labor market slowing still tentative
RBA Change wordings of guidance but no change in heart
UK GDP Shows Clearer Growth Momentum But Mainly Import Led

May 03, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

May 3, 2024 10:29 AM UTC

BoJ Intervened Twice
And see sentiment turned lower in USD/JPY
FOMC Notes Lack of Further Inflation Progress
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Still strong if a little less so
Canada Q1 GDP looking less positive than previously projected

April 26, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

April 26, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

BoJ Keep Rates on hold with upward revision in CPI
USD/JPY Rally Continues on Shaky Ground
U.S. GDP Slows on Imports and Inventories
Bank of Canada Minutes Look to Gradual Easing
UK Services Inflation Resilient

April 19, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Iran and Israel Seems to be Taking it Easy
U.S. Initial Claims stay low and stable
UK CPI Fall Further
China Q1 GDP Upside Surprise
Canada March CPI a little firmer

April 12, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

April 12, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. CPI Stronger than Estimated
Tone of March FOMC Minutes is Not Hawkish but Recent Speakers' Rhetoric Suggest Otherwise
And see USD/JPY Rose To Another High
RBNZ Kept Rates on Hold
UK GDP Shows Less Fragile Recovery

April 05, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

April 5, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Fed in the Driving Seat Again
USD/JPY Hanging on 151
U.S. ADP Above recent trend
U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Should be Slightly Slower 
EZ Core Disinflation Flattening Out

March 28, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

March 28, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. Fed's Waller Signals Caution towards Easing
U.S. Final Q4 GDP To be Revised Marginally Lower 
BoJ Summary of Opinion Little Surprise
USD/JPY Continues to March North
Canada January GDP to Bounce

March 22, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

March 22, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC Dots and economic forecasts marginally more hawkish
BoJ Bring Interest Rate To Zero
SNB Surprise with 25bps Rate Cut
BoE's Easing Bias Continues
RBA Holds as Expected 

March 15, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

March 15, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. February CPI Stronger than Preceding 
BoJ Keep Market on their Toes
USD/JPY Front Running
UK GDP Shows Emerging Recovery but Remains Fragility 
Lunar New Year Boosts Chinese CPI But Disinflation Still In Place

March 08, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

March 8, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Fed Speakers Capture market Spotlight
Overshadowing U.S. Data
Bank of Canada Keeps Markets Waiting
ECB Bowing to Markets?
BoJ Signals Policy Changes Soon

March 01, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

March 1, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. January Core PCE prices match Core CPI
USD/JPY The Moment of Truth
RBNZ Sees No Hikes in Sight
German Inflation Drop But Services Still Resilient 
China Authorities Views and Policy Changes

February 23, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

February 23, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC Minutes Cautious Rather Than Hawkish
Confirmed by slate of Fed Speakers
USD/JPY Stand Above 150
ECB and its Assessment Price Persistence
China Yuan Outflow Fears Versus Net Exports

February 16, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

February 16, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

U.S. CPI Shows Strength in Services
While Retail Sales Dipped 
USD/JPY Broke 150
Japan Q4 GDP Stays in Contraction
UK GDP Review Confirmed Recession

February 09, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

February 9, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Geopolitical Tension Continues after U.S. Military Action
Slate of Fed Speakers' View on Rates
USD/JPY Inching Closer to 150 on "Dovish" Uchida
RBA Kept Rates on Hold and Leave Doors Open
Bank of Canada Minutes Detail Inflationary Concerns

February 02, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

February 2, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC Suggest March Easing Seen Unlikely but Q2 Remains Plausible
 U.S. January Non-Farm Payrolls To Show Strong Labor Market 
DXY Remains Choppy on Headlines and Geopolitical Risk
More EZ Core Disinflation Signs But Services Inflation More Stubborn
Canada November GDP looking stronger than BoC project

January 26, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

January 26, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

War in Gaza and MENA Country Risk 
Trump's Reelection and U.S. T-Yields
U.S. Q4 GDP delivers another strong quarter
Bank of Canada Drops Tightening Bias
BoJ's Ueda Hinting April Move

January 19, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

January 19, 2024 10:20 AM UTC

Geopolitical Tension Remains Headline
DPP Won Taiwan Election
U.S. December Retail Sales Show Continued Resilience
China Q4 GDP Above 5%
UK Headline and Core CPI Fail to Fall

January 12, 2024

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

January 12, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Geopolitical Tension Flares Up
U.S. CPI Beats Estimate
And Rocks the USD
Tokyo CPI and Labor Cash Earning Disappoint JPY Hawks
UK GDP Still Moving Sideways

January 05, 2024

European Summary and Highlights 5 Jan
Paying Article

January 5, 2024 12:04 PM UTC

The USD continued to gain ground through the European morning, edging higher across the board ahead of the US employment report, helped by generally rising yields. 

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

January 5, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

FOMC Minutes Suggest Caution for Easing
A Slate of U.S. Data and NFP
USD/JPY Rebound in the first week of New Year
German Headline CPI Jumps On Energy Base Effects
UK Softer Wage Signs Increasingly Evident

January 04, 2024

European Summary and Highlights 4 Jan
Paying Article

January 4, 2024 11:54 AM UTC

The USD fell back against the EUR, GBP and other European currencies through the European morning, with the CAD also making modest gains, but the JPY fell sharply and the SAUD edged lower. 

January 03, 2024

European Summary and Highlights 3 Jan
Paying Article

January 3, 2024 11:56 AM UTC

The USD was generally firmer through the European morning, rising across the board, with gains against the riskier currencies catching up with initial USD/JPY strength. 

January 02, 2024

European Summary and Highlights 2 Jan
Paying Article

January 2, 2024 11:28 AM UTC

The USD was generally firmer through the European morning, rising across the board. 

December 29, 2023

European Summary and Highlights 29 Dec
Paying Article

December 29, 2023 11:01 AM UTC

European trading has seen CHF strength and JPY weakness across the board. 

December 15, 2023

This week's five highlights
Paying Article

December 15, 2023 10:00 AM UTC

Fed Hold Rates and Tilts Dovish
U.S. November CPI Shows strong components 
BoE Table Mountain Still But Descending Q2 2024
ECB  Council Sticks to its Optimistic Guns
UK GDP Resilience Dissipates