FX Daily Strategy

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June 14, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: June 17th-21st
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June 14, 2024 3:20 PM UTC

French political picture in focus as risk sentiment suffers
EUR likely to remain under pressure
Some downside risks for GBP on MPC meeting
PMIs look like the most important data

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 14th
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June 14, 2024 8:57 AM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday and surprised market again
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 14th
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June 14, 2024 5:28 AM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday and surprised market again
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

June 13, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 14th
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June 13, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday with reduction in bond buying expected
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 14th
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June 13, 2024 2:58 PM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday with reduction in bond buying expected
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 13th
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June 13, 2024 9:01 AM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
Stronger employment data see muted impact on the Aussie
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 13th
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June 13, 2024 4:21 AM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
Stronger employment data see muted impact on the Aussie
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

June 12, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 13th
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June 12, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
AUD supported by firm equities but may see short term volatility on employment data
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 13th
Paying Article

June 12, 2024 3:01 PM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
AUD supported by firm equities but may see short term volatility on employment data
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 12th
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June 12, 2024 9:06 AM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP steady after April GDP

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 12th
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June 12, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP risks on the downside on April GDP

June 11, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 12th
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June 11, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP risks on the downside on April GDP

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 12th
Paying Article

June 11, 2024 3:14 PM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP risks on the downside on April GDP

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 11th
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June 11, 2024 8:46 AM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP slips lower on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 11th
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June 11, 2024 4:03 AM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP risks on the downside on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

June 10, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 11th
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June 10, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP risks on the downside on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 11th
Paying Article

June 10, 2024 3:15 PM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP risks on the downside on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

FX Weekly Strategy: June 10th -14th
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June 10, 2024 9:04 AM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, June 10th -14th
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June 10, 2024 4:24 AM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

June 08, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, June 10th -14th
Paying Article

June 8, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

June 07, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, June 10th -14th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 7:08 PM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 7th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 9:48 AM UTC

U.S. May Employment Should be Stronger than April
May Lead to a Knee-Jerk Rally in DXY
Japan Household Spending Should Rebound on higher wage
Canada Employment to support further easing

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 7th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. May Employment Should be Stronger than April
May Lead to a Knee-Jerk Rally in DXY
Japan Household Spending Should Rebound on higher wage
Canada Employment to support further easing

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 7th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. May Employment Should be Stronger than April
May Lead to a Knee-Jerk Rally in DXY
Japan Household Spending Should Rebound on higher wage
Canada Employment to support further easing

June 06, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: North America, June 6th
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June 6, 2024 9:45 AM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 6th
Paying Article

June 6, 2024 4:30 AM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

June 05, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 6th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 6th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 2:57 PM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 9:48 AM UTC

ISM services the focus after recovery in S&P services PMI
USD may manage a small bounce but upside limited, especially against the JPY
Modest downside risks for the CAD on BoC
NOK sell off likely to reverse

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 8:47 AM UTC

ISM services the focus after recovery in S&P services PMI
USD may manage a small bounce but upside limited, especially against the JPY
AUD to remain rangebound unless GDP surprises
NOK sell off likely to reverse

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 4:34 AM UTC

CHF briefly dips after CPI, but decline short lived
CHF may still have further to rise and positioning looks very short
JPY still has scope to benefit from declining yields in the US and Europe
Scandis look attractive but NOK may be the better bet

June 04, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 5th
Paying Article

June 4, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

CHF briefly dips after CPI, but decline short lived
CHF may still have further to rise and positioning looks very short
JPY still has scope to benefit from declining yields in the US and Europe
Scandis look attractive but NOK may be the better bet

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 5th
Paying Article

June 4, 2024 2:49 PM UTC

CHF briefly dips after CPI, but decline short lived
CHF may still have further to rise and positioning looks very short
JPY still has scope to benefit from declining yields in the US and Europe
Scandis look attractive but NOK may be the better bet

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 4th
Paying Article

June 4, 2024 9:16 AM UTC

CHF briefly dips after CPI, but decline short lived
CHF may still have further to rise and positioning looks very short
JPY still has scope to benefit from declining yields in the US and Europe
Scandis look attractive but NOK may be the better bet

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 4th
Paying Article

June 4, 2024 5:41 AM UTC

Focus on Swiss CPI on Tuesday
CHF may still have further to rise and positioning looks very short
JPY still has scope to benefit from declining yields in the US and Europe
Scandis look attractive but NOK may be the better bet

June 03, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 4th
Paying Article

June 3, 2024 3:08 PM UTC

Focus on Swiss CPI on Tuesday
CHF may still have further to rise and positioning looks very short
JPY still has scope to benefit from declining yields in the US and Europe
Scandis look attractive but NOK may be the better bet

FX Weekly Strategy: June 3rd-7th
Paying Article

June 3, 2024 9:00 AM UTC

EUR unlikely to be moved much by ECB meeting
Modest downside risks for the CAD on BoC
JPY remains out of line
US employment data may give the USD a brief lift

June 02, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, June 3rd-7th
Paying Article

June 2, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

EUR unlikely to be moved much by ECB meeting
Modest downside risks for the CAD on BoC
JPY remains out of line
US employment data may give the USD a brief lift

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, June 3rd-7th
Paying Article

June 2, 2024 5:00 PM UTC

EUR unlikely to be moved much by ECB meeting
Modest downside risks for the CAD on BoC
JPY remains out of line
US employment data may give the USD a brief lift

May 31, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: June 3rd-7th
Paying Article

May 31, 2024 3:07 PM UTC

EUR unlikely to be moved much by ECB meeting
Modest downside risks for the CAD on BoC
JPY remains out of line
US employment data may give the USD a brief lift

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 31st
Paying Article

May 31, 2024 9:28 AM UTC

Japanese CPI has minimal impact
US PCE data needs to be weaker to extend USD decline
EUR CPI data support the EUR
EUR/CHF decline hard to oppose but CHF/JPY looks too high

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 31st
Paying Article

May 31, 2024 4:50 AM UTC

Japanese CPI could impact the JPY, which looks close to a bottom
US PCE data needs to be weaker to extend USD decline
EUR data looks unlikely to have a big impact
EUR/CHF decline hard to oppose but CHF/JPY looks too high

May 30, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, May 31st
Paying Article

May 30, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Japanese CPI could impact the JPY, which looks close to a bottom
US PCE data needs to be weaker to extend USD decline
EUR data looks unlikely to have a big impact
EUR/CHF decline hard to oppose but CHF/JPY looks too high

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, May 31st
Paying Article

May 30, 2024 3:05 PM UTC

Japanese CPI could impact the JPY, which looks close to a bottom
US PCE data needs to be weaker to extend USD decline
EUR data looks unlikely to have a big impact
EUR/CHF decline hard to oppose but CHF/JPY looks too high

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 30th
Paying Article

May 30, 2024 8:56 AM UTC

Some downside risks for the USD on US data
USD/JPY remains the most obviously out of line with spreads
EUR/USD to hold steady

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 30th
Paying Article

May 30, 2024 5:01 AM UTC

Some downside risks for the USD on US data
USD/JPY remains the most obviously out of line with spreads
EUR/USD to hold steady

May 29, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, May 30th
Paying Article

May 29, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Some downside risks for the USD on US data
USD/JPY remains the most obviously out of line with spreads
EUR/USD to hold steady

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, May 30th
Paying Article

May 29, 2024 2:37 PM UTC

Some downside risks for the USD on US data
USD/JPY remains the most obviously out of line with spreads
EUR/USD to hold steady

FX Daily Strategy: N America, May 29th
Paying Article

May 29, 2024 8:57 AM UTC

EUR/USD may struggle to extend recent gains as ECB talks dovish
German CPI data may lead to market pricing more ECB rate cuts
SEK strength could extend as market takes Riksbank comments on board
AUD upside looks limited

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, May 29th
Paying Article

May 29, 2024 5:10 AM UTC

EUR/USD may struggle to extend recent gains as ECB talks dovish
German CPI data may lead to market pricing more ECB rate cuts
SEK strength could extend as market takes Riksbank comments on board
AUD upside looks limited