Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Shifting Gears for Growth

September 25, 2024 7:57 AM UTC

Emerging Asian economies are poised to remain the fastest growing globally. India and Southeast Asia will drive regional resilience amid China’s cooling growth engine in 2025. For India, while the external environment remains challenging due to weaker global demand and geopolitical tensions, domes

RBNZ Review: Begin Cutting

August 14, 2024 4:32 AM UTC

RBNZ cut its cash rate by 25bp to 5.25%

RBNZ Review: Signals easing soon

July 10, 2024 4:20 AM UTC

RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 5.5% and suggest inflation approaching target range

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Growth Momentum but Delayed Rate Cuts

June 21, 2024 9:45 AM UTC

•    Economic activity in emerging Asian economies is forecast to remain strong. Despite several challenges, including a tight oil market, constrained liquidity conditions, and delayed rate cuts, the region's economic activity is expected to show resilience. Other potential obstacles include u

RBNZ Review: Higher Rates for Longer

May 22, 2024 5:18 AM UTC

RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 5.5% but revised OCR path in 2025 almost one 25bps hike higher

RBNZ Review: Keep Rates Restrictive

April 10, 2024 5:48 AM UTC

RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 5.5% and suggest OCR to stay restrictive for a sustained period of time

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Election Spending to Drive Growth

March 22, 2024 12:18 PM UTC

·       In 2024, growth trends across emerging Asia will exhibit a mixed pattern. Encouragingly, there will be a resurgence in demand for global electronics following a period of stagnation in 2022‑23, which will provide a boost to regional trade. Moreover, the initiation of monetary policy

RBNZ Review: No Hikes in Sight

February 28, 2024 4:59 AM UTC

RBNZ kept rate unchanged but revised inflation forecast higher
ANZ and TD proven wrong

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Going Big, Going Strong

December 18, 2023 10:05 AM UTC

·       Following a stellar performance in 2023, the momentum of economic activity in emerging Asian economies is anticipated to remain broadly stable, albeit lose some sheen in the subsequent quarters. The economic activity levels should be sustained despite a tight oil market and a potentia

RBNZ Review: OCR Revised Higher

November 29, 2023 6:01 AM UTC

RBNZ kept rate unchanged but revise OCR forecast higher

Long-term Forecasts to download in Excel

November 16, 2023 10:38 AM UTC

Here is a link to an Excel file that contains our headline forecasts for GDP Growth, Inflation, Monetary Policy, and Exchange Rates.

RBNZ Review: Unchanged as expected

October 4, 2023 6:01 AM UTC

RBNZ leaves its cash rate target unchanged at 5.50% as expected

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Public Spending to be Catalyst

September 27, 2023 2:11 PM UTC

Forecast changes: Strong H1-2023 performance and cooling price pressures have prompted changes to our growth and monetary policy forecasts. Both India and Indonesia’s 2023 GDP growth forecast have been revised upward, and we now expect a rate cut in early 2024. 

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Defying Global Headwinds

June 21, 2023 11:01 AM UTC

RBNZ Review: Peak Rates are Here

May 24, 2023 6:29 AM UTC

RBNZ hiked by 25bps to 5.5%

Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Asian Powerhouses Lead Post War and Post Pandemic Growth

March 28, 2023 9:58 AM UTC

Forecast changes: Elevated and sticky inflation and waning external sector stimulus means that the prospects for Asian economies are less optimistic. We have cut Indonesia’s 2023 GDP growth forecast, and revised inflation across the board to reflect the elevated food price pressures in these econo