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October 09, 2024
September 25, 2024
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Shifting Gears for Growth
September 25, 2024 7:57 AM UTC
Emerging Asian economies are poised to remain the fastest growing globally. India and Southeast Asia will drive regional resilience amid China’s cooling growth engine in 2025. For India, while the external environment remains challenging due to weaker global demand and geopolitical tensions, domes
August 14, 2024
July 10, 2024
June 21, 2024
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Growth Momentum but Delayed Rate Cuts
June 21, 2024 9:45 AM UTC
• Economic activity in emerging Asian economies is forecast to remain strong. Despite several challenges, including a tight oil market, constrained liquidity conditions, and delayed rate cuts, the region's economic activity is expected to show resilience. Other potential obstacles include u
May 22, 2024
April 10, 2024
March 22, 2024
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Election Spending to Drive Growth
March 22, 2024 12:18 PM UTC
· In 2024, growth trends across emerging Asia will exhibit a mixed pattern. Encouragingly, there will be a resurgence in demand for global electronics following a period of stagnation in 2022‑23, which will provide a boost to regional trade. Moreover, the initiation of monetary policy
February 28, 2024
December 18, 2023
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Going Big, Going Strong
December 18, 2023 10:05 AM UTC
· Following a stellar performance in 2023, the momentum of economic activity in emerging Asian economies is anticipated to remain broadly stable, albeit lose some sheen in the subsequent quarters. The economic activity levels should be sustained despite a tight oil market and a potentia
December 08, 2023
This week's five highlights
December 8, 2023 10:34 AM UTC
U.S. November NFP Likely firmer due to returning strikers
USD/JPY Slumped on Ueda's Speech
Bank of Canada Tightening Bias Persists but is Reduced
USD/CAD Slipping on Weak Oil
RBA Continue to be data dependent
We expect a 200k increase in November's non-farm payroll, stronger than October's 150k though ex
November 29, 2023
October 04, 2023
September 27, 2023
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Public Spending to be Catalyst
September 27, 2023 2:11 PM UTC
Forecast changes: Strong H1-2023 performance and cooling price pressures have prompted changes to our growth and monetary policy forecasts. Both India and Indonesia’s 2023 GDP growth forecast have been revised upward, and we now expect a rate cut in early 2024.
June 21, 2023
March 28, 2023
Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Asian Powerhouses Lead Post War and Post Pandemic Growth
March 28, 2023 9:58 AM UTC
Forecast changes: Elevated and sticky inflation and waning external sector stimulus means that the prospects for Asian economies are less optimistic. We have cut Indonesia’s 2023 GDP growth forecast, and revised inflation across the board to reflect the elevated food price pressures in these econo
February 27, 2023
Emerging Asia Faces Crosswinds
February 27, 2023 9:31 AM UTC
Global trade growth is forecast to slowdown in 2023, in line with a recession in the EU and slowdown in the U.S. This is likely to hurt emerging markets in Asia, particularly commodity driven markets but also countries like India, which are dependent on services exports. The WTO projects global trad
February 22, 2023
In-Depth Research: Quick Roadmap Central Bank Forecast/Rationale - February 2023
February 22, 2023 10:44 AM UTC
M/T Quick Roadmap – Fundamental MMKT/CB Roadmap and Rationale
February 2023
US FEDERAL RESERVE
The February 1 December FOMC meeting saw the pace of tightening slowed to 25bps. Inflation has slowed, but January's CPI details still show broad based inflationary pressures at a pace well above the Fed's