Flows

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November 21, 2024

AUD/USD flows: Seizing soft USD
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November 21, 2024 4:05 AM UTC

USD taking a step back

USD/JPY flows: Holding on 155
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November 21, 2024 2:34 AM UTC

Japanese media, NHK, reported Japan's economic package expected around 21.9 trillion yen

November 20, 2024

JPY flows: Sharp JPY decline looks excessive
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November 20, 2024 8:01 AM UTC

JPY has reversed yesterday's gains but decline looks excessive

GBP flows: Stronger CPI GBP supportive
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November 20, 2024 7:32 AM UTC

GBP rises on stronger than expected October CPI

AUD/USD flows: Westpac leading Index Shows Positive Signs
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November 20, 2024 1:59 AM UTC

People's Bank of China leaves its interest rates unchanged as expected

USD/JPY flows: More import
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November 20, 2024 12:40 AM UTC

Headline trade balance softer than estimate but details improves

November 19, 2024

CAD flows: Stronger CPI CAD supportive
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November 19, 2024 3:18 PM UTC

Canadian CPI on the strong side pushing USD/CAD sub-1.40

USD, JPY, CHF flows: USD quieter, crosses to dominate
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November 19, 2024 8:00 AM UTC

Majors mostly consolidating. Verbal intervention from Japan helping cap USD/JPY but little USD momentum seen. Scope for action on crosses 

AUD/USD flows: Slow start
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November 19, 2024 3:31 AM UTC

Slow start for the day

USD/JPY flows: Treading lower
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November 19, 2024 1:48 AM UTC

USD/JPY treads lower in Asia

November 18, 2024

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Nov 12th
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November 18, 2024 7:56 AM UTC

Net short CAD position increases further, net JPY short position increases.

USD, JPY, EUR flows: JPY slips after Ueda comments
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November 18, 2024 7:50 AM UTC

USD/JPY moved higher after Ueda speech, but BoJ December rate hike remains a close call. EUR/USD may have modest scope for recovery.

AUD/USD flows: Regional sentiment upbeat
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November 18, 2024 3:35 AM UTC

Regional sentiment upbeat

USD/JPY flows: Subtle hint
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November 18, 2024 1:48 AM UTC

Bank Japan Gov Ueda says driver of Japan's inflation shifting towards rise in domestic wages.

November 15, 2024

USD, JPY flows: USD gains support after solid retail sales
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November 15, 2024 2:20 PM UTC

USD better bid after strong retail sales but JPY holds its own as market increases BoJ rate hike expectations

JPY flows: Turning lower helped by yield spreads
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November 15, 2024 10:11 AM UTC

USD/JPY has bounced off a Fibnacci retracement level at 156.66 and has moved more than a figure lower helped by rising JGB yields and speculation of BoJ tightening in december. 

GBP flows: GBP softer after weak GDP
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November 15, 2024 7:41 AM UTC

GBP slips lower after weak GDP but decline is modest and underlying GBP strength remains

AUD/USD flows: Taking a breather
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November 15, 2024 4:13 AM UTC

Risk sentiment individual
Slate of Chinese data mixed

USD/JPY flows: One way traffic
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November 15, 2024 2:21 AM UTC

Japan finance minister Kato says will take appropriate action versus excessive FX moves

November 14, 2024

USD, EUR, JPY flows: USD gains after PPI
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November 14, 2024 2:02 PM UTC

PPI only marginally stronger than expected but the USD remains firm. However, furtehr gains may be more difficult, particularly against the JPY

CAD flows: 1.40 broken for the first time since the pandemic
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November 14, 2024 9:39 AM UTC

USD/CAD moves abve 1.40 for the first tme since the pandemic and there is scope for further gains

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD flows: USD stays firm
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November 14, 2024 7:55 AM UTC

USD gains continue but stretched against AUD and JPY

AUD/USD flows: Softer employment
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November 14, 2024 3:59 AM UTC

Australian October Unemployment Rate Stays at 4.1%

USD/JPY flows: New Three Month High
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November 14, 2024 2:20 AM UTC

USD/JPY reached new three month high on USD strength

November 13, 2024

USD, EUR, JPY flows: USD slips back after CPI
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November 13, 2024 1:40 PM UTC

US yields and the USD both fall despite CPI being bang in line with consensus. Scope for more JPY gains

USD, EUR, JPY flows: USD stays firm, JPY under pressure
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November 13, 2024 7:57 AM UTC

US yields and the USD continue to rise. JPY weakness the feature overnight helped by further decline in equity risk premia to the lowest since 2002. 

USD/JPY flows: Staying elevated
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November 13, 2024 4:10 AM UTC

USD/JPY continues the rally with little verbal intervention

AUD/USD flows: Wage growth slowing
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November 13, 2024 1:44 AM UTC

Australia Q3 2024 Wage Price Index +0.8% q/q 

November 12, 2024

GBP flows: GBP edges lower after labour market data
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November 12, 2024 7:39 AM UTC

UK labour market data mixed but GBP slightly lower, perhaps focusing on the rise in the unemployment rate. But stronger than expected average earnings data may be more significant and could prevent a BoE rate cut in December

USD/JPY flows: Challenging another figure
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November 12, 2024 2:51 AM UTC

USD/JPY testing 154

November 11, 2024

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Nov 5th
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November 11, 2024 8:42 AM UTC

Net short CAD position increases further, net JPY short position increases.

USD, EUR, GBP, JPY flows: USD firm in early trade
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November 11, 2024 8:11 AM UTC

USD firm as markets anticipate Trump administration. GBP resilient, USD/JPY stretched

AUD/USD flows: Regional equities soft
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November 11, 2024 5:01 AM UTC

China October CPI lower than estimate
U.S. Department of Commerce follow up on export restriction from TSMC to China

USD/JPY flows: Upbeat start for the week
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November 11, 2024 3:38 AM UTC

BOJ divided on rate hike timing from summary of opinion

November 08, 2024

CAD flows: Little change on employment report but risks to CAD downside
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November 8, 2024 2:15 PM UTC

USD/CAD not much changed on mixed emplyoment report. Yield spreads point higher but short CAD spec positioning already very extended

USD, CAD, EUR, JPY flows: USD reverses gains, CAD in focus
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November 8, 2024 7:59 AM UTC

The rise in US yields and the USD after the election have largely been reversed, but equities remain elevated and commodity currencies have outperformed. But the CAD remains vulnerable if today's employment report is weak.

USD/JPY flows: More jawboning
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November 8, 2024 5:19 AM UTC

More verbal intervention 

AUD/USD flows: Sentiment mixed
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November 8, 2024 3:31 AM UTC

Risk sentiment mixed

USD/JPY flows: Household spending remains weak
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November 8, 2024 2:15 AM UTC

Household spending remains in contraction

November 07, 2024

USD/JPY flows: Labor Cash Earning Stays Strong
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November 7, 2024 5:12 AM UTC

Japan September Labor Cash Earning 2.8% y/y

AUD/USD flows: Recovers along regional sentiment
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November 7, 2024 3:12 AM UTC

Aussie recovers along regional equities

USD/JPY flows: Jawboning curb the strong gains for now
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November 7, 2024 1:09 AM UTC

Atsushi Mimura says closely watching market moves with high sense of urgency

November 06, 2024

EUR, USD flows: History suggests modest USD gains
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November 6, 2024 1:11 PM UTC

Rising US yields supported the USD in 2016, and are likely to do so again now, but erhpas less substantially. 

EUR flows: EUR downside risks as 2 year yield drops
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November 6, 2024 10:49 AM UTC

EUR 2 year yields drop after US election, possibly on tariff concers, suggesting EUR downside risks.

USD flows: USD up on likely Republican clean sweep
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November 6, 2024 7:32 AM UTC

USD up as Trump victory seems assured with the Republicans also likely to win both houses of Congress. JPY to suffer most initially on risk positive move 

AUD/USD flows: King Dollar Is Back
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November 6, 2024 3:59 AM UTC

USD triumphs major FX

USD/JPY flows: Trump Trade Cheers
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November 6, 2024 3:08 AM UTC

Market cheers on Trump seemingly passed North Carolina

USD/JPY flows: Back to Trump Trade
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November 6, 2024 1:56 AM UTC

Trump Trade resumes as early polls favor Trump

November 05, 2024

USD flows: ISM services data gives the USD a boost
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November 5, 2024 3:08 PM UTC

Strongest index since November 2022

USD flows: Election scenarios for the USD
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November 5, 2024 2:37 PM UTC

USD to gain on Trump victory, fall on Harris win