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June 05, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Jun 8-12
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 9:00 PM UTC

Dollar breaking higher on a number of pairs, US CPI next data of note
Fed repricing and tech adjustment could drag the likes of AUD/USD
ECB hike already 100% odds. Given 2 more hikes in the market, a lot priced in

North American Summary and Highlights 5 June
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 7:33 PM UTC

Overview - The USD advanced across the board on strong US employment data. Canadian employment also exceeded expectations. 

Preview: Due June 16 - U.S. May Housing Starts and Permits - Slightly lower on volatile multiples
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 4:47 PM UTC

We look for May housing starts and permits to both see modest declines, with starts down by 2.4% to 1.43m and permits down by 0.2% to 1.42m. The detail is likely to see gains in the single family sector outweighed by corrections lower in multiples.

Chart USD/MXN Update: Sharp bounce
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 4:17 PM UTC

Cautious trade above support at 17.3000 has given way to a sharp USD-driven rally

Chart USD/CAD Update: Approaching strong resistance at 1.3965/85
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Choppy trade around 1.3900 has given way to fresh gains

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, Jun 8-12
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 3:44 PM UTC

Dollar breaking higher on a number of pairs, US CPI next data of note
Fed repricing and tech adjustment could drag the likes of AUD/USD
ECB hike already 100% odds. Given 2 more hikes in the market, a lot priced in

U.S. Fed's Hammack - Reiterates view, steady for now, may need to act against inflation soon
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 3:28 PM UTC

Cleveland Fed President Hammack has reiterated a hawkish lean after the employment report. 

Preview: Due June 15 - U.S. May Industrial Production - Improvement in trend to continue
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

We expect a 0.4% increase in April industrial production with a 0.3% increase in manufacturing, the latter seeing a fifth straight gain to confirm a positive trend. 

Chart AUD/USD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 2:09 PM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to fresh losses

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Canada May Employment - Recent weakness largely erased, wages correct lower
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 2:05 PM UTC

Canada’s May employment report keeps the series volatile, with a strong 87.8k bounce reducing unemployment to a four month low of 6.6%, from April’s 6-month high of 6.9%. This should ease any Bank of Canada worries over the weak Q1 GDP data which saw a second straight, if marginal, decline. The

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 2:01 PM UTC

Choppy trade around congestion resistance at 186.00 is giving way to a pullback in EUR-driven trade

Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy around 160.00 - studies improving
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:53 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious/choppy trade around congestion resistance at 160.00

EUR/USD, AUD/USD flows: Toying with breaks
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:46 PM UTC

Pairs toying with some big figure range floor breaks again, as week comes to a close
Iran always the wild card, but may have better chance of sticking this time

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Inflation Increased to 32.6% y/y in May due to Surges in Energy Prices
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:26 PM UTC

Bottom line: Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) announced May inflation figures on June 5.  After hitting 32.4% annually in April, Turkiye’s inflation surged to 32.6% in May due to rising housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuel costs. We now assess Central Bank of Turkiye (CBRT) will

U.S. May Employment - Charts and table
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:23 PM UTC

Payroll remains firm, with the gains led by local government, leisure/hospitality and health. 

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U.S. May Employment - Surprise came from local government and leisure and hospitality
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:19 PM UTC

May’s non-farm payroll is significantly stronger than expected with a rise of 172k though the private sector was less impressive at 120k, if still healthy. Upward revisions to March and April add to the positive message.  In addition to government, leisure and hospitality with a 70k increase was

EUR/USD, USD/CAD flows: Strong payrolls data, with revisions
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

Strong report, especially with revisions, further lifts mkt's end-year Fed bets
Gives dollar a boost and something to think about

Chart USD/RUB Update: Consolidating gains
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 12:24 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have tested above congestion resistance at 74.0000, with prices reaching 74.6400 before settling lower into consolidation around 73.6500

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Range trade - background studies remain under pressure
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 11:39 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a break higher

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Consolidating - background studies rising
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 11:18 AM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.6170 has given way to a pullback

EUR/USD flows: Lots to ponder into payrolls
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 11:13 AM UTC

Payrolls up next; recent data trend positive though May payrolls performance less so 
Comes at a time when policy uncertainty is very high over all the big questions

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Geopolitical Tension Persists
U.S. May Non-Farm Payrolls still healthy
This Week's Fed Speakers
EZ Headline HICP Rise Capped by Food & Energy
More Controlled Yuan Appreciation

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Lower in range
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 10:39 AM UTC

Consolidation within resistance at 0.9180 - 0.9200 has given way to a pullback

Psychology for major markets June 5
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 10:10 AM UTC

America still refuses Iran's request to unfreeze the frozen funds

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Jun 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 10:06 AM UTC

U.S. May Non-Farm Payrolls Slightly slower 
Canada May Employment A Modest Gain 
USD/JPY Has Room for test above 160

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Brazil Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 9:55 AM UTC

Overall risk in Brazil remains at a medium rating.

Europe Summary and Highlights 5 Jun
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 9:18 AM UTC

Range action holds, tired risk mkt tone shrugged of in morning session
Focus turns to US payrolls

Chart USD/CHF Update: Turning away from resistance
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 8:20 AM UTC

The test of resistance within the 0.7900 - 0.7925 range has given way to a pullback

AUD/USD, AUD/JPY flows: Stretched risk due a pullback?
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 8:11 AM UTC

Tech stocks showing some signs of running out of near-term gas
Overstretched vs short-term supporting trend, so could be due a technical correction
Something to watch if it spills into metals, volatility 

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Leaning lower in range
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 8:02 AM UTC

Consolidation beneath resistance at 99.50 is giving way to a pullback

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 7:52 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 0.8640 - 0.8660 range

Chart EUR/USD Update: Range extension
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 7:38 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 1.1600 - 1.1655 range

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 7:31 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the 1.3400 - 1.3450 range

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Consolidating
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 7:21 AM UTC

Settled back from the 215.50 high to consolidate around the 215.00 level as prices unwind overbought daily studies

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Consolidating at 114.00 level
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 6:54 AM UTC

Turned down from 114.90 fresh year high to consolidate at the 114.00 congestion

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Risk pullback, adds to the Iran and payrolls focus
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 6:35 AM UTC

Some pullback seen in tech, to be seen if its a correction or one-day-dip
Outside Iran, payrolls the main focus of the day

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Room for stronger gains from May low
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 6:30 AM UTC

Higher in consolidation following bounce from the 1.6200 level to retest resistance at the 1.6350 congestion

Chart USD/TWD Update: Choppy within 31.700/31.300 range area
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 5:37 AM UTC

Turned up from support at the 31.300 May low as prices consolidate losses from the 32.200 March current year high

Chart USD/INR Update: Lower in consolidation from 95.8500 high
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 5:17 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from test of strong resistance at the 95.8500, 3 June high

Asia Summary and Highlights 5 June
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 5:08 AM UTC

Japan FM Katayama said ready to respond to FX

AUD/USD flows: Risk undecided
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 5:01 AM UTC

Explosion heard near Oman's Mina al Fahal crude terminal

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Consolidating at 18040 historic high
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 4:03 AM UTC

Break above the 18000 level has seen gains reaching fresh historic high at 18040

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Jun 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. May Non-Farm Payrolls Slightly slower 
Canada May Employment A Modest Gain 
USD/JPY Has Room for test above 160

Chart USD/THB Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 2:45 AM UTC

Consolidating retest of the 32.80 resistance but pressure remains on the upside within an ascending triangle from the April low

Chart USD/KRW Update: Break to fresh multi-year high
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 2:38 AM UTC

Follow-through above the 1537.00 March high see prices extending gains to reach fresh year high at 1549.00

Chart USD/SGD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 2:14 AM UTC

Break above the 1.2836 high and 200-day MA see prices extending the broader gains from the 1.2650 May low

Chart GBP/USD Update: Range-bound, but still heavy
Freemium Article

June 5, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Range-bound in consolidation above the 1.3400 support but pressure remains on the downside

Chart EUR/USD Update: Weighing on 1.1600 support
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:43 AM UTC

Little change, as prices weighs on the 1.1600 level following pullback from resistance at the 1.1655/80 area

USD/JPY flows: Jawboning Arrives at 160
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 1:09 AM UTC

Japan FM Katayama said ready to respond to FX

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating below 186.00/23 resistance
Paying Article

June 5, 2026 12:56 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation within the 186.00/185.00 range area following rejection from resistance at 186.00/23

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