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October 21, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 21 October
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 6:36 PM UTC

Overview - In a quiet session GBP was supported by inflation data and EUR reasonably resilient to France risks. 

Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 4:03 PM UTC

We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024. 

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Preview: Due October 29 - U.S. Q3 GDP - Stronger growth, slower inflation
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 4:03 PM UTC

We expect a Q3 GDP increase of 2.8% annualized, a modest acceleration from the two preceding quarters to a 4-quarter high. We expect a 2.4% increase in core PCE prices, still above target but the slowest since a matching Q3 2024. 

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating losses - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 3:39 PM UTC

Steady selling interest is giving way to consolidation

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Oct 22
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:35 PM UTC

Positioning and oversold conditions obstructing euro follow through traction; downside focus switching to options protection
AUD lifted by short-covering and momentum swing towards a Nov hike pricing
Focus remains news driven rather than calendar-centric 

Bank of Canada Preview for October 28: Steady, December tightening not a done deal
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:04 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada meets on October 28 and recent soft employment and core inflation data suggest rates will be left unchanged at 2.25%. The BoC is still likely to express more concern about upside than downside risks, but may sound a little more balanced than was the case at the last meeting on Sep

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Bank of Canada Preview for October 28: Steady, December tightening not a done deal
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 2:04 PM UTC

The Bank of Canada meets on October 28 and recent soft employment and core inflation data suggest rates will be left unchanged at 2.25%. The BoC is still likely to express more concern about upside than downside risks, but may sound a little more balanced than was the case at the last meeting on Sep

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending gains, but studies becoming overstretched
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:28 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached 0.7035

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending cautious trade - studies are mixed
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:22 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade just below 177.50

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:07 PM UTC

Little change, as cautious trade extends pressure on congestion support at 158.00

Weekly Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating above fresh year low - background studies remain under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 12:31 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a fresh spike lower

Chart EUR/NOK Update: Fresh year lows in NOK-dominant trade
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 11:19 AM UTC

Anticipated tests higher have been pushed back sharply

Europe Summary and Highlights 21 Oct
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 10:14 AM UTC

France remains pressured, euro underperformance limited by recent oversold backdrop
GBP supported by firmer UK CPI
AUD continues short covering lean, RBA’s Hauser helps nudge RBA hike pricing to odds-on

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Cautious trade - background studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 10:14 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at the 0.9245 Fibonacci retracement and congestion around 0.9250

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Philippines Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in the Philippines remains at a medium-high rating.     

Strains bring financial conditions into the eurozone mix
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 9:06 AM UTC

* French stress and ECB Lagarde comments switch focus to the tightening in financial conditions
*Past studies show material impact from significant episodes...
* ...with possible implications for core bond demand, ECB pricing and the wider appetite for risk across FX and markets.

Chart USD/CHF Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:36 AM UTC

Still little change, as mixed intraday studies and flat oversold daily stochastics keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Fresh year lows - approaching strong support
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:21 AM UTC

Choppy trade has given way to fresh selling interest

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Price action remains cautious
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:12 AM UTC

Anticipated tests lower have bounced from support at the 101.50 range highs and the 101.58 weekly low of 16 October

AUD/USD, AUD/NZD flows - Comments nudge market towards odds-on Nov RBA hike
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 8:08 AM UTC

RBA's Hauser comments nudge hike odds above 50-50, keeps AUD short covering

Chart EUR/USD Update: Price action remains cautious
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 7:49 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade within the wide 1.1200 - 1.1270 range

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating test of 1.3400/05 - background studies remain positive
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 7:28 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached strong resistance at congestion around 1.3400 and the 1.3405 Fibonacci retracement

EUR/GBP, GBP/USD flows - UK CPI upside cementing likely Nov hike
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 6:42 AM UTC

UK CPI upside cements likely Nov hike, 90%+ priced in
GBP remains on a firm trend, if n/t oversold on the cross

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Higher in consolidation
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 6:03 AM UTC

Turned up from the 1.2270 low see prices retracing losses from the 1.2495 current year high of last week and unwindind oversold intraday and daily studies

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Still limited above 18000
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 5:27 AM UTC

No follow-through on break above the 18000 level to leave pin bars at the 18035/18045 highs

Chart USD/CNH Update: Consolidating at 6.6730 low
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:46 AM UTC

Steadied at 6.6730 low as prices unwind oversold intraday studies and consolidate losses from the 6.7250, September swing high

Chart USD/MYR Update: Drifting lower from 4.0915 high
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:09 AM UTC

Drifting lower as prices extend pullback from 4.0915 high of 8 October

Chart USD/SGD Update: Consolidating, room for further losses later
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 2:01 AM UTC

Steadied at 1.2765 low as prices consolidate sharp losses from the 1.2872 high of last week

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Freemium Article

October 21, 2026 1:52 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the 1.3400 level as prices consolidate strong gains from the 1.3137 current year low of last week

China September Activity Data Review: Dichotomy between Supply and Demand
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:32 AM UTC

China’s dichotomy between supply and demand continued to deepen in September, as sluggish retail sales and fixed-asset investment slump highlighted persistent weakness in domestic demand, with analysts expecting more policy stimulus from Beijing to stave off downside risks. Export and Industrial n

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating below 1.1275 resistance
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:30 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above the 1.1200 level but bounce attempt kept in check at the 1.1275 resistance

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Edging higher in choppy trade
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 1:08 AM UTC

Edging higher in choppy trade above the 176.21 current year low of 5 October to reach towards resistance at 178.00

Chart USD/JPY Update: Still supported in choppy trade
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 12:55 AM UTC

Sustaining bullish bias in choppy trade at the 158.00 level to retest the 200-day MA, currently at 158.54

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating test of .5700
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 12:46 AM UTC

Saw break above the .5680 resistance to reach the .5700 level before settling back to consolidate gains from the .5565 low of last week

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending gains
Paying Article

October 21, 2026 12:31 AM UTC

Pushing higher as prices extend bounce from the .6900 support to break the .7000 level

October 20, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 20 October
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 7:03 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw modest losses as oil gains were reversed and US data came in soft, but came off its lows. 

Chart USD/MXN Update: Choppy beneath year highs - background studies positive
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 4:24 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have posted a fresh year high above resistance at congestion around 18.5000 and the 18.5500 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD/CAD Update: Extending losses in CAD-dominant trade
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 3:48 PM UTC

Cautious trade around 1.4100 has given way to anticipated losses

FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:59 PM UTC

The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa

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FOMC Preview for October 28: Tightening to be debated but delayed
Freemium Article

October 20, 2026 2:58 PM UTC

The FOMC meets on October 28 and a strong case for a second straight tightening can be made and will certainly be debated at the meeting. However to appears more likely that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at 3.75-4.0%. It is likely that December’s meeting will see a tightening, but Chairman Wa

U.S. September Pending Home Sales - More signs of housing sector weakness
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 2:17 PM UTC

September’s 7.3% decline in pending home sales is the sharpest decline since December with the level a record low. This adds to growing evidence that rising mortgage rates are undermining housing demand.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Pushing higher
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 1:21 PM UTC

Anticipated minor gains have reached congestion resistance at 0.7000

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy in range - studies are mixed
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:56 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have been pushed back just shy of congestion resistance at 178.00

U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

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U.S. September Housing Starts and Permits - Signs of weakness building
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:50 PM UTC

September housing starts are clearly weaker than expected, -5.2% to 1221k, with both singles and multiples lower. Permits held up better, -0.2% to 1400k, but with multiples up and singles down the net message is for a slowing housing sector, restrained by rising mortgage rates.

Chart USD/JPY Update: Leaning lower in range
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 12:34 PM UTC

The drift higher from congestion support at 158.00 has been pushed back from 158.60

Chart EUR/SEK Update: Prices remain under pressure
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 11:13 AM UTC

Cautious trade beneath resistance at 11.2000 has given way to anticipated losses

Europe Summary and Highlights 20 Oct
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 10:07 AM UTC

Stretched dollar longs still set backdrop; commodity currencies generally firmer, NOK lifted by oil 
EUR/USD propped, but euro heavier on crosses still
UK labour mkt data supports GBP, EUR/GBP still testing lows

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Hong Kong Country Risk Rating
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 10:00 AM UTC

Overall risk in Hong Kong remains at a medium-low rating.     

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Room for lower
Paying Article

October 20, 2026 9:59 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower

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