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June 14, 2024

Psychology for major markets June 14th
Paying Article

June 14, 2024 10:18 AM UTC

EUR under pressure on French election concern; risk sentiment weakening

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 14th
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June 14, 2024 8:57 AM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday and surprised market again
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

Asia Summary and Highlights 14 June
Freemium Article

June 14, 2024 5:33 AM UTC

BoJ keep rates on hold and did not cut bond purchase this month
Forward guidance suggest BoJ will decide bond purchase cut in July

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 14th
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June 14, 2024 5:28 AM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday and surprised market again
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

June 13, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 14th
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June 13, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday with reduction in bond buying expected
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

North American Summary and Highlights 13 June
Freemium Article

June 13, 2024 7:49 PM UTC

Overview -
Despite falling on weak data, the USD finished firmer led by EUR weakness.

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 14th
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June 13, 2024 2:58 PM UTC

BoJ the focus on Friday with reduction in bond buying expected
Already plenty of reasons for JPY recovery, but increasingly hard to find a trigger
SEK vulnerable vs NOK unless CPI comes in strong
USD generally looks vulnerable if US outperformance fades

Psychology for major markets June 13th
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June 13, 2024 10:21 AM UTC

USD back in ranges

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 13th
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June 13, 2024 9:01 AM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
Stronger employment data see muted impact on the Aussie
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

Asia Summary and Highlights 13 June
Freemium Article

June 13, 2024 4:23 AM UTC

Australian May unemployment rate steady while headline and participation rate beats

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 13th
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June 13, 2024 4:21 AM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
Stronger employment data see muted impact on the Aussie
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

June 12, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 13th
Paying Article

June 12, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
AUD supported by firm equities but may see short term volatility on employment data
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

North American Summary and Highlights 12 June
Freemium Article

June 12, 2024 7:54 PM UTC

Overview - The USD fell sharply on a softer than expected CPI before seeing a partial correction after the FOMC. 

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 13th
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June 12, 2024 3:01 PM UTC

US PPI unlikely to have a big impact
AUD supported by firm equities but may see short term volatility on employment data
Scandi strength against the EUR reflects political uncertainty, NOK preferred
Market on watch for pre-BoJ leaks

Psychology for major markets June 12th
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June 12, 2024 10:11 AM UTC

Awaiting US CPI, FOMC and BoJ meetings.

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 12th
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June 12, 2024 9:06 AM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP steady after April GDP

Asia Summary and Highlights 12 June
Freemium Article

June 12, 2024 3:48 AM UTC

Japan May PPI +0.7% m/m, expected +0.4 and +2.4% y/y, expected +2.0%
China May CPI +0.3% y/y, expected +0.4% and PPI -1.4% y/y, expected -1.5%

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 12th
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June 12, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP risks on the downside on April GDP

June 11, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 12th
Paying Article

June 11, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP risks on the downside on April GDP

North American Summary and Highlights 11 June
Freemium Article

June 11, 2024 7:57 PM UTC

Overview - Markets were quiet awaiting US CPI data and the FOMC meeting on Wednesday.  

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 12th
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June 11, 2024 3:14 PM UTC

USD focus on CPI and FOMC
Fed expected to be more hawkish, but USD reaction depends on how much
EUR/CHF may remain biased lower if France/Germany spreads continue to widen
GBP risks on the downside on April GDP

Psychology for major markets June 11th
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June 11, 2024 9:57 AM UTC

Awaiting US CPI, FOMC and BoJ meetings.

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 11th
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June 11, 2024 8:46 AM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP slips lower on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

Asia Summary and Highlights 11 June
Freemium Article

June 11, 2024 4:05 AM UTC

Chinese Builder Dexin Receives Liquidation Order From Hong Kong Court
Yuan reached yearly low and see National Team stepping in 

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 11th
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June 11, 2024 4:03 AM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP risks on the downside on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

June 10, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 11th
Paying Article

June 10, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP risks on the downside on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

North American Summary and Highlights 10 June
Freemium Article

June 10, 2024 7:34 PM UTC

Overview - A quiet day saw USD/JPY and GBP/USD slip in Europe but reverse direction in North America.  

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 11th
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June 10, 2024 3:15 PM UTC

Market awaiting FOMC
GBP risks on the downside on UK labour market data
CHF strength may extend…
…but JPY remains much better value

Psychology for major markets June 10th
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June 10, 2024 10:02 AM UTC

Awaiting US CPI, FOMC and BoJ meetings.

FX Weekly Strategy: June 10th -14th
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June 10, 2024 9:04 AM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e June 4th
Paying Article

June 10, 2024 7:04 AM UTC

New high in CHF and CAD shorts

Asia Summary and Highlights 10 June
Freemium Article

June 10, 2024 4:30 AM UTC

Japan Q1 GDP -0.5% q/q, annualized revised slightly higher to -1.8% 

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, June 10th -14th
Paying Article

June 10, 2024 4:24 AM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

June 08, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, June 10th -14th
Paying Article

June 8, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

June 07, 2024

North American Summary and Highlights 7 June
Freemium Article

June 7, 2024 7:50 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw strong and broad based gains on a stronger than expected US non-farm payroll increase.  

Psychology for major markets June 10th
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June 7, 2024 7:28 PM UTC

Awaiting US CPI, FOMC and BoJ meetings.

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, June 10th -14th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 7:08 PM UTC

U.S. CPI To Be Slower overall
U.S. PPI Following a strong April
UK GDP Fresh Correction on the Cards?
USD/JPY to Strengthen on any BoJ Surprise

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 7th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 9:48 AM UTC

U.S. May Employment Should be Stronger than April
May Lead to a Knee-Jerk Rally in DXY
Japan Household Spending Should Rebound on higher wage
Canada Employment to support further easing

Asia Summary and Highlights 7 June
Freemium Article

June 7, 2024 4:41 AM UTC

Japan April Overall Household Spending down 1.2%m/m
Chinese export beats but import misses
China small and medium-sized banks have lowered their deposit rates

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 7th
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June 7, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. May Employment Should be Stronger than April
May Lead to a Knee-Jerk Rally in DXY
Japan Household Spending Should Rebound on higher wage
Canada Employment to support further easing

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 7th
Paying Article

June 7, 2024 4:00 AM UTC

U.S. May Employment Should be Stronger than April
May Lead to a Knee-Jerk Rally in DXY
Japan Household Spending Should Rebound on higher wage
Canada Employment to support further easing

June 06, 2024

North American Summary and Highlights 6 June
Freemium Article

June 6, 2024 7:53 PM UTC

Overview - The EUR made modest gains after an expected 25bps ECB easing, though EUR/JPY ended lower. The USD was slightly softer, with US data coming in on the weak side of expectations.  

FX Daily Strategy: North America, June 6th
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June 6, 2024 9:45 AM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

Asia Summary and Highlights 6 June
Freemium Article

June 6, 2024 4:32 AM UTC

BOJ's Nakamura says inflation may not reach 2% from FY 2025 on if consumption weakens

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, June 6th
Paying Article

June 6, 2024 4:30 AM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

June 05, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, June 6th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

North American Summary and Highlights 5 June
Freemium Article

June 5, 2024 8:22 PM UTC

Overview - The CAD slipped after a 25bps BoC easing. The USD was supported by ISM services data but USD gains later faded.  

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, June 6th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 2:57 PM UTC

ECB rate cut essentially fully priced in
EUR/USD focus on the prospects for further cuts, but some upside bias
Claims trend will garner some attention
JPY weakness looking ever more out of line with spreads

Psychology for major markets June 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 10:11 AM UTC

EUR/USD rangy ahead of ECB,  JPY choppy

FX Daily Strategy: N America, June 5th
Paying Article

June 5, 2024 9:48 AM UTC

ISM services the focus after recovery in S&P services PMI
USD may manage a small bounce but upside limited, especially against the JPY
Modest downside risks for the CAD on BoC
NOK sell off likely to reverse