EUR/JPY-Commentary

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January 05, 2026

USD, GBP flows: USD firmer, GBP risks on the downside
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January 5, 2026 7:42 AM UTC

USD firmer on Venezuela. ISM the main data. GBP firm but risks on the downside.

January 02, 2026

EUR, USD, JPY, GBP, AUD, CAD flows: Early risk positive tone, JPY remains soft
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January 2, 2026 7:51 AM UTC

Likely to be a quiet Friday with holidays extended. Mild risk positive tone with JPY still weak

December 31, 2025

EUR/JPY, EUR/CAD flows: EUR up and 2026 Depends on Hedging
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December 31, 2025 4:19 PM UTC

The EUR has gained across the board this afternoon, helped by year end flows in thin markets.

December 18, 2025

JPY flows: New all time high in EUR/JPY
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December 18, 2025 7:54 AM UTC

JPY weakness extends with little rationale

December 16, 2025

EUR, JPY flows: EUR softer after weaker German PMI
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December 16, 2025 8:37 AM UTC

EUR slips a little after weaker German PMI, EUR/JPY vulnerable

December 12, 2025

JPY flows: Another new high in EUR/JPY - looks unsustainable
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December 12, 2025 10:33 AM UTC

EUR/JPY hits another new high as S&P 500 also hits new high.

December 11, 2025

USD flows: USD lower after claims
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December 11, 2025 2:15 PM UTC

USD slips lower after initial claims rise

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD flows: USD slightly lower post-FOMC
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December 11, 2025 7:57 AM UTC

USD slips lower post-FOMC. Scope for modest JPY recovery on crosses

December 10, 2025

NOK, SEK, JPY flows: SEK still firm after GDP decline, JPY weakness continues
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December 10, 2025 7:51 AM UTC

SEK still strong despite drop in October GDP. JPY weakness continues, intervention likely necessary soon.

December 09, 2025

JPY, GBP flows: JPY under pressure, GBP/JPY to 17 year highs
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December 9, 2025 8:16 AM UTC

JPY under pressure, risks of intervention rising, GBP/JPY hits new 17 year high.

December 05, 2025

EUR flows: German orders and French output data EUR supportive, but...
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December 5, 2025 7:57 AM UTC

EUR firm in early trade after better German and French data, but underlying picture suggests downside risks on the crosses

December 02, 2025

USD, JPY, AUD, EUR flows: JPY reverses Monday's gains, USD generally firmer
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December 2, 2025 7:53 AM UTC

JPY reverses Monday's gains, AUD the best of the riskier currencies

December 01, 2025

JPY flows: JPY firmer after Ueda as equities dip
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December 1, 2025 7:49 AM UTC

USD/JPY dips after Ueda comments helped by weaker equities

November 28, 2025

EUR, AUD, JPY flows: Quiet markets but EUR may be vulnerable on the crosses
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November 28, 2025 7:30 AM UTC

German retail sales a touch softer, some downside risks for the EUR on the crosses

November 26, 2025

USD, AUD, NZD, JPY, GBP flows: Risk positive moves overnight, JPY weak, GBP a focus today
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November 26, 2025 8:22 AM UTC

NZD and AUD gain on RBNZ, higher Australian CPI and risk positive market tone. JPY weakness on the crosses looks overdone. GBP in focus ahead of UK Budget

November 25, 2025

USD flows: Post-data dip short-lived
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November 25, 2025 1:40 PM UTC

US September PPI and retail sales on the soft side, but impact very limited

JPY flows: Mild gains as BoJ rate hike prospects increase
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November 25, 2025 7:59 AM UTC

JPY slightly firmer, but move still just corrective for now, although JPY bottom is likely close

November 21, 2025

GBP, AUD, JPY flows: GBP dips briefly on retail sales, risk negative tone
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November 21, 2025 7:45 AM UTC

GBP dips briefly on weaker retail sales. Mild risk negative tone perissts. PMIs awaited

USD/JPY flows: CPI Supportive for a Hike?
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November 21, 2025 1:05 AM UTC

Japan November National Headline CPI 3.0%

November 20, 2025

JPY flows: No mercy for the JPY, intervention necessary
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November 20, 2025 7:48 AM UTC

New post-January highs for USD/JPY, new all time highs for EUR/JPY

USD/JPY flows: No mercy for the JPY
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November 20, 2025 2:12 AM UTC

BOJ’s Koeda signals need for further tightening as inflation holds near 2%

November 19, 2025

JPY flows: JPY hitting new lows after Katayama press conference
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November 19, 2025 10:01 AM UTC

Finance minister Katayama provides no comfort to JPY bulls

JPY flows: JPY hitting new lows ahead of Katayama press conference
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November 19, 2025 9:04 AM UTC

JPY still weak with Finance minister Katayama set to hold a press conference after a meeting with BoJ governor Ueda

USD/JPY flows: Conflict with China Persists
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November 19, 2025 5:25 AM UTC

China intends to renew a ban on Japanese seafood imports

November 18, 2025

JPY, AUD flows: JPY limited by verbal intervention, weak equities weigh on AUD
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November 18, 2025 8:15 AM UTC

JPY reverses early decline in increased verbal intervention, AUD under pressure as equities slide

USD/JPY flows: Escalated Jawboning
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November 18, 2025 4:20 AM UTC

Japan’s Finance Minister Katayama “alarmed” by recent FX moves 

November 17, 2025

JPY flows: Another new post February USD/JPY high
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November 17, 2025 2:22 PM UTC

USD/JPY breaking through 155. Risk of intervention rising

November 12, 2025

JPY, GBP flows: JPY sells off again, GBP under pressure
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November 12, 2025 7:39 AM UTC

JPY sells off as equities firm, intervention threat increases. GBP downside risks on weak data and political uncertianty

November 10, 2025

NOK, JPY flows: NOK firmer after CPI, JPY weaker on hopes of end to US shutdown
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November 10, 2025 7:38 AM UTC

NOK rallies as CPI comes out strong in October. JPY weaker as risk rallies on hopes of end to US government shutdown

November 07, 2025

EUR, JPY flows: USD lower after weak U Mich sentiment
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November 7, 2025 3:18 PM UTC

USD lower against European currencies post-Michigan senitment. JPY can play catch-up.

USD, EUR, JPY flows: Steadier picture overnight
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November 7, 2025 7:39 AM UTC

Stabilisation overnight after initial equity dip suggests mild corrective activity near term

November 05, 2025

USD, JPY flows: USD gains on strong ISM services
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November 5, 2025 3:18 PM UTC

ISM services gain strongly, JPY threatening recent lows

GBP, JPY, EUR flows: Little net change as equities bounce - GBP a focus
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November 5, 2025 7:54 AM UTC

German orders marginally firmer but trend softening. JPY reverses initial gains in Asia as equities bounce. GBP a focus as EUR/GBP makes new 2 year high

November 04, 2025

GBP, JPY, EUR flows: JPY cross gains extend
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November 4, 2025 2:54 PM UTC

GBP/JPY filling the gap?

USD, JPY, EUR flows: JPY gains as equities correct lower
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November 4, 2025 7:51 AM UTC

Equity dip triggers JPY gains, AUD losses

November 03, 2025

CHF, JPY flows: CHF slips on CPI, JPY awaits equity turn
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November 3, 2025 7:41 AM UTC

CHF softer after CPI. JPY still undermined by equity strength

October 31, 2025

USD, EUR, JPY flows: USD firm, JPY intervention risk increases
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October 31, 2025 7:59 AM UTC

USD firm helped by positive equity response to tech results. JPY gets brief support from Katayama comments. Little independent EUR movement after as expected German sales data

October 30, 2025

EUR flows: Mild recovery after ECB
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October 30, 2025 2:17 PM UTC

ECB statement slightly more upbeat after leaving rates unchanged but little EUR reaction

USD, EUR, JPY flows: Data mildly EUR positive
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October 30, 2025 9:41 AM UTC

European data helping the EUR hold its own against a stronger USD

USD, EUR, JPY flows: USD firm, JPY weak after Fed, BoJ decisions
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October 30, 2025 8:03 AM UTC

USD gains on less dovish Fed. JPY weak as Ueda still in no hurry. French data suggests EUR to get support from GDP

October 28, 2025

JPY flows: JPY firmer after Bessent/Katayama meeting
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October 28, 2025 7:43 AM UTC

JPY firmer as Bessent suggests need for tighter BoJ policy

October 23, 2025

JPY flows: JPY hits new low for the week, policy unclear
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October 23, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

Market may see new government as being happy with JPY weakness, but policy may be better supported by a stronger JPY

October 21, 2025

JPY flows: JPY weaker on Takaichi appointment
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October 21, 2025 6:57 AM UTC

JPY weaker on Takaichi PM appointment, but short JPY positioning is risky.

October 20, 2025

USD, JPY flows: Steady to mild risk positive tone
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October 20, 2025 6:45 AM UTC

Mildly more risk positive picture, but uncertainty remains. Likely Takaichi PM appointment offset by some BoJ hawkishness

October 13, 2025

USD, JPY, AUD flows: USD and riskier currencies weaker after Trump comments
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October 13, 2025 6:55 AM UTC

USD and riskier currencies weaker on Trump tariff threat to China, despite partial recovery in Asia

October 10, 2025

NOK, JPY flows: NOK little changed after CPI, JPY makes modest recovery
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October 10, 2025 6:54 AM UTC

Norwegna CPI much as expected, NOK remains in the centre of the range. JPY makes a modest recovery as political picture in Japan becomes more uncertain

October 09, 2025

JPY flows: JPY still weak
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October 9, 2025 6:45 AM UTC

USD/JPY makes new high in early Europe and near term trend remains weak although there is still scope for a longer term recovery

October 08, 2025

JPY, NZD, EUR, SEK flows: JPY and NZD down sharply, EUR resilient
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October 8, 2025 7:07 AM UTC

JPY extends weakness on weak wage data, NZD drops sharply on 50 bp RBNZ cut. EUR resilient despite likely erratically weak German production data 

October 07, 2025

EUR, JPY flows: EUR downside favoured after weak German orders, JPY weakness overdone
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October 7, 2025 6:57 AM UTC

EUR to stay soft as German orders add to evidence of slowdown. JPY weakness lacks rationale

October 06, 2025

USD, EUR flows: EUR down on French PM resignation
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October 6, 2025 8:41 AM UTC

EUR down across the board as French PM resigns after less than a month in office