EUR/JPY-Commentary

View:

October 07, 2025

EUR, JPY flows: EUR downside favoured after weak German orders, JPY weakness overdone
Paying Article

October 7, 2025 6:57 AM UTC

EUR to stay soft as German orders add to evidence of slowdown. JPY weakness lacks rationale

October 06, 2025

USD, EUR flows: EUR down on French PM resignation
Paying Article

October 6, 2025 8:41 AM UTC

EUR down across the board as French PM resigns after less than a month in office

USD, JPY flows: JPY weakness unlikely to persist
Paying Article

October 6, 2025 6:50 AM UTC

JPY weakness on Takaichi election victory unlikely to persist

October 03, 2025

USD, JPY, EUR flows: EUR up JPY down after objectively soft ISM data
Paying Article

October 3, 2025 2:28 PM UTC

EUR/JPY gains on ISM look to be more to do with end of week than the data itself. 

USD, JPY, EUR, AUD flows: JPY weaker, scope for some recovery in riskier currencies
Paying Article

October 3, 2025 6:56 AM UTC

JPY weaker on Ueda comments, unemployment rise. Equities continue to gain

October 02, 2025

USD, JPY, CHF flows: Steady markets, JPY still has upside scope, CHF topping out
Paying Article

October 2, 2025 6:49 AM UTC

USD steady overnight, equities making new highs (again) but JPY favoured going forward. CHF looking toppy.

October 01, 2025

USD, JPY, EUR flows: USD falls on weak ADP employment data
Paying Article

October 1, 2025 12:31 PM UTC

USD softer across the board but JPY favoured going forward

USD, JPY, EUR flows: USD softer as US government shuts down
Paying Article

October 1, 2025 6:48 AM UTC

USD softer and JPY stronger as US government shuts

September 26, 2025

USD, EUR, CHF, JPY flows: More tariffs may impact EUR and CHF
Paying Article

September 26, 2025 6:48 AM UTC

New Trump tariffs may impact EUR and CHF. JPY still weak

September 25, 2025

USD flows: USD up on upward revision to Q2 GDP
Paying Article

September 25, 2025 12:46 PM UTC

USD firmer on upward revision to GDP, particularly against the JPY

CHF, JPY, EUR flows: EUR/JPY approaches all time high, CHF in spotlight
Paying Article

September 25, 2025 6:44 AM UTC

EUR/JPY contineus to rise towards the July 2024 all time high at 175.42. CHF strength in focus as SNB meets

September 24, 2025

AUD, JPY, EUR flows: AUD gains on CPI, JPY still weak
Paying Article

September 24, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

AUD/NZD at a post 2022 high, EUR/JPY approaching all time high from July 2024

September 23, 2025

EUR flows: German services strength supports EUR
Paying Article

September 23, 2025 7:15 AM UTC

The stronger German services PMI offset weakness elsewhere

September 22, 2025

USD, EUR, JPY flows: Neutral picture, risk premia remain very low
Paying Article

September 22, 2025 6:50 AM UTC

USD steady, Japanese equities firmer, FX becalmed ahead of PMIs

September 18, 2025

USD, EUR, JPY, NOK flows: USD firmer after Fed, JPY soft, NOK could slip on Norges Bank
Paying Article

September 18, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

USD firmer after Fed despite larger than expected 2025 rate cuts in the dots. JPY continues to underperform. NOK can slip on Norges Bank

September 10, 2025

USD, NOK, SEK, JPY flows: Quiet markets ahead of US price data
Paying Article

September 10, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

FX markets briadly steady but JPY and NOK remain undervalued

September 09, 2025

USD, JPY, CHF, AUD flows: USD soft, JPY and AUD favoured
Paying Article

September 9, 2025 6:39 AM UTC

JPY can close Monday's opening gaps on crosses. AUD/USD threatening top of recent range

September 08, 2025

JPY flows: Dip on Ishiba resignation unlikely to last
Paying Article

September 8, 2025 6:59 AM UTC

JPY lower after Ishiba resignation, but has scope for major recovery

September 05, 2025

USD, CAD, JPY flows: US employment weak, Canadian weaker
Paying Article

September 5, 2025 12:52 PM UTC

USD lower after weaker employment data, Canadian data much weaker still 

JPY flows: JPY supported by strong wage data
Paying Article

September 5, 2025 8:27 AM UTC

JPY upside potential remains, downside risks decline as wages rise

September 03, 2025

USD flows: USD dips on JOLTS
Paying Article

September 3, 2025 2:22 PM UTC

July JOLTS lowest since September 2024. USD and US yields lower

September 02, 2025

USD, JPY flows: USD slips after ISM, JPY has scope for recovery
Paying Article

September 2, 2025 2:15 PM UTC

ISM manufacturing rises less than expected but new orders index encouraging. USD downside likely modest but scope for more general JPY recovery.

JPY flows: JPY under pressure as US and European yields rise
Paying Article

September 2, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

JPY falls across the board as US and European yields rise despite hawkish comments from BoJ deputy governor Himino

August 28, 2025

USD flows: USD softer as yields move lower
Paying Article

August 28, 2025 6:40 AM UTC

Declining US yields and negative Nvidia reaction to results put the USD under pressure

August 27, 2025

EUR flows: EUR has some downside risks as confidence slips
Paying Article

August 27, 2025 6:46 AM UTC

German confidence follows French confidence decline

August 19, 2025

USD flows: Most pairs rangebound
Paying Article

August 19, 2025 6:42 AM UTC

Little to move markets today as Ukraine Summit produces little of substance. Mild risk negative tone

August 04, 2025

USD, JPY, CHF flows: JPY recovery has legs, CHF under a little pressure
Paying Article

August 4, 2025 7:33 AM UTC

Quiet start, CHF softer, JPY has potential to gain more longer term

August 01, 2025

USD flows: USD hit by downward revisions to employment
Paying Article

August 1, 2025 1:14 PM UTC

Big downward revisions to May and June employment data undermine labour market perceptions and weaken the USD

USD, CAD, CHF, JPY flows: CAD, CHF hit by tariffs, JPY still weak
Paying Article

August 1, 2025 7:12 AM UTC

CAD and CHF marginally weaker after higher tariff announcement, JPY still weak but verbal intervention has started

July 31, 2025

JPY flows: USD/JPY gains continue
Paying Article

July 31, 2025 1:00 PM UTC

USD/JPY continues higher with longer term trend traders potentially being squeezed

JPY flows: JPY firmer o/n but little impact from BoJ
Paying Article

July 31, 2025 6:42 AM UTC

USD/JPY a little lower overnight but decline came pre-BoJ. Increase in inflation forecast maintains lieklihood of future tightening, but little indication that tightening is imminent. 

July 30, 2025

EUR, USD, JPY, CAD flows: Better Eurozone data may provide some EUR support
Paying Article

July 30, 2025 6:56 AM UTC

Stornger French GDP and German retail sales help stabilise EUR

July 28, 2025

EUR, USD, JPY flows: EUR/USD ambiguous after trade deal, JPY weak
Paying Article

July 28, 2025 7:04 AM UTC

EEUR/USD failes to maintain initial gains on trade deal. EUR/JPY continues to advance towards all time high

July 25, 2025

JPY flows: JPY under pressure again
Paying Article

July 25, 2025 9:05 AM UTC

EUR/JPY on an unprecedented ninth consecutive week of gains as risk sentiment remains buoyant, but valuation is extreme

July 24, 2025

USD flows: USD weaker on trade deals
Paying Article

July 24, 2025 8:56 AM UTC

The USD has weakened on talk of trade deals, but underlying picture is unclear

July 23, 2025

JPY flows: JPY reverses initial gains on trade deal
Paying Article

July 23, 2025 6:42 AM UTC

JPY i nitially agins on trade deal, but positive equity market reaction and expectation of other deals helps the USD

July 22, 2025

JPY flows: JPY rallying without an obvious trigger
Paying Article

July 22, 2025 1:17 PM UTC

The JPY correction higher is overdue, and should have further to go, but weaker risk sentiment is needed to create a positive JPY trend

USD flows: Risks to the downside as trade sentiment sours
Paying Article

July 22, 2025 6:38 AM UTC

A quiet calendar, but the ruling out of a trade deal with India before August 1st suggests a risk negative tone

July 21, 2025

JPY flows: Recovery after election could extend, but...
Paying Article

July 21, 2025 6:39 AM UTC

JPY recovered after Upper House election result was less bad than feared, and correction can extend, but risk sentiment needs to weaken if JPY is to manage a sustained recovery.

July 18, 2025

USD, JPY, EUR flows: JPY weakness continues as US data stays solid
Paying Article

July 18, 2025 6:46 AM UTC

JPY stays weak as equities hit new highs 

July 15, 2025

JPY, EUR, USD flows: JPY still weak after softer US CPI
Paying Article

July 15, 2025 1:09 PM UTC

Lower US yields ought to be JPY supportive, but sentiment remains negative. USD otherwise softer versus AUD

JPY, EUR, USD flows: JPY still weak as equities stay firm
Paying Article

July 15, 2025 6:48 AM UTC

JPY weak despite higher JGB yields. New high in S&P500 futures

July 14, 2025

JPY, EUR, USD flows: Tariff news weighs on EUR, JPY favoured
Paying Article

July 14, 2025 6:55 AM UTC

30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico announced at the weekend put downward pressure on EUR, support JPY

July 08, 2025

AUD, JPY flows: AUD makes modest gains on RBA, JPY stays weak
Paying Article

July 8, 2025 6:59 AM UTC

AUD gains only modestly after RBA surprisingly leaves rates unchanged. JPY continues to decline against European currencies

July 07, 2025

USD, JPY flows: USD firmer after Trump announces 25% tariffs for Japan and Korea
Paying Article

July 7, 2025 5:02 PM UTC

Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on Japan and South Korea has the USD generally firmer, though impact on USD/JPY was modest.

JPY flows: JPY weak as wage growth slows, but...
Paying Article

July 7, 2025 7:05 AM UTC

JPY weak as earnnigs growth comes in well below consensus, but yield spreads and risk premia still supportive

July 04, 2025

JPY, CHF, EUR flows: USD back to near pre-employment levels, JPY still soft
Paying Article

July 4, 2025 6:55 AM UTC

USD has slipped back overnight and the JPY has recovered, but remains weak, especially versus CHF

July 03, 2025

USD flows: USD up on employment data
Paying Article

July 3, 2025 12:46 PM UTC

USD gains as payrolls come in slightly above consensus

July 01, 2025

USD, JPY flows: JPY starting to come to the party, but...
Paying Article

July 1, 2025 9:46 AM UTC

USD/JPY down fairly sharply today but JPY continues to lag well behind European currency strength. JPY still has the most potential for major long term gains

June 27, 2025

USD flows: Softer after data, EUR leading
Paying Article

June 27, 2025 1:17 PM UTC

USD lower as prices rise more than expected and income and spending disappoint