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June 21, 2024

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Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Growth Momentum but Delayed Rate Cuts
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June 21, 2024 9:45 AM UTC

•    Economic activity in emerging Asian economies is forecast to remain strong. Despite several challenges, including a tight oil market, constrained liquidity conditions, and delayed rate cuts, the region's economic activity is expected to show resilience. Other potential obstacles include u

April 17, 2024

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Asia Country Risk Ratings
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April 17, 2024 3:00 PM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Asia countries including China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Taiwan.  

March 22, 2024

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Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Election Spending to Drive Growth
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March 22, 2024 12:18 PM UTC

·       In 2024, growth trends across emerging Asia will exhibit a mixed pattern. Encouragingly, there will be a resurgence in demand for global electronics following a period of stagnation in 2022‑23, which will provide a boost to regional trade. Moreover, the initiation of monetary policy

January 17, 2024

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Thailand: Watching the Politics
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January 17, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Following Thailand’s elections in May 2023, the country’s political forecast appears to be marked by both challenges and promises of reform. multiracial Pakatan Harapan (PH) coalition, will find it challenging to spearhead a unity government incorporating pro-Malay factions. 

January 16, 2024

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Asia Country Risk Ratings
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January 16, 2024 11:57 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Asia countries including India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Taiwan.  

December 18, 2023

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Asia/Pacific (ex-China/Japan) Outlook: Going Big, Going Strong
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December 18, 2023 10:05 AM UTC

Our Forecasts
Source: Continuum Economics
Risks to Our Views
Source: Continuum Economics
Regional Dynamics: Mixed Prospects in 2024  
In H1-2024, much like in 2023, the emerging economies in Asia will continue to outperform other emerging markets and display notable resilience in comparison to develope

October 20, 2023

Asia Country Risk Ratings
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October 20, 2023 3:21 PM UTC

Cambodia
Cambodia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Samdech Hun Sen remains the prime minister of the country and leader of Cambodia’s People Party (CPP) and has been since 1985. Hun Sen won the 2023 election with a 76.85%, winning 120 out of the 125 seats. The leader of the Cambodia Nati

September 15, 2023

Thailand Country Risk Ratings
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September 15, 2023 10:20 AM UTC

 Political violence remains a high risk. Thailand has a general election in May 2023. The opposition is likely to strengthen into a coalition government, with one or more military-backed parties. In the scenario of a coalition government with no party having a clear mandate, governmental stabilitie

July 21, 2023

Asia: Election Fever and High Inflation Impact
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July 21, 2023 7:26 AM UTC

Alongside India, its neighbor Pakistan’s elections are due in October, which will likely stoke violence there. Indonesia too is gearing up for elections in early 2024 and the political landscape there is also tense. In the past quarter, political risks were elevated in Asia given unpopular policie

Asia Country Risk Ratings
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July 21, 2023 7:15 AM UTC

Afghanistan
Afghanistan has a very-high overall risk. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (ruling political entity) is under the leadership of the Taliban, a predominantly Pashtun, and Islamic fundamentalist political movement. The presence of ethnic fragmentation, Islamic terrorist movement and human

February 27, 2023

Emerging Asia Faces Crosswinds
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February 27, 2023 9:31 AM UTC

Indonesia: Lowest Trade Surplus Since May 2022
Indonesia’s trade surplus came in lower than market expectations as it dipped to $3.9bn in December 2022, from $5.1bn in November. The overall trade balance for Indonesia was at a record high of $54bn in 2022, on account of higher commodity prices duri