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March 20, 2026

Preview: Due March 31 - Canada January GDP - Flat on the month and near flat yr/yr
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March 20, 2026 3:07 PM UTC

We expect January Canadian GDP to be unchanged in line with a preliminary estimate made with December’s data. We expect a positive preliminary estimate for February of around 0.2%, though Q1 is still likely to fall short of a 1.8% annualized Bank of Canada forecast made in January.

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, March 23th-27th
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March 20, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

UK CPI The Calm Before the Storm?
U.S. Q4 Current Account Correction from record pre-tariff deficit extending further
U.S. March S&P PMIs Shows Middle East bringing downside risk
DXY To Remain in Geopolitical Spotlight

Chart AUD/USD Update: Choppy trade - background studies under pressure
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March 20, 2026 2:08 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade within the 0.7050 - 0.7100 range

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Choppy in range extension
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March 20, 2026 2:01 PM UTC

Choppy trade around 182.30 has given way to a steady EUR- and JPY-driven bounce

Chart USD/JPY Update: Choppy trade - immediate gains to remain limited
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March 20, 2026 1:44 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 158.00 has bounced sharply from 157.50 in both USD- and JPY-driven trade

Chartbook: Chart USD Index DXY: Extending January gains, but further scope to remain limited
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March 20, 2026 1:13 PM UTC

Anticipated losses have met buying interest just above strong support at the 95.25 multi-month Fibonacci retracement

U.S. Fed's Bowman - Supports three rate cuts this year
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March 20, 2026 1:13 PM UTC

Fed's Bowman remains optimistic on the economy, with a dovish view on rates. 

U.S. Fed's Waller - Dissuaded from dissent by oil risk
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March 20, 2026 12:59 PM UTC

Fed's Waller suggests he would have repeated his dovish January dissent in March were it for for the energy risk to inflation.

Canada January retail sales - Positive start to Q1, but risks ahead
Freemium Article

March 20, 2026 12:46 PM UTC

January Canadian retail sales with a 1.1% increase have fallen short of the provisional 1.5% estimate made with December’s report. Sales rose by 0.8% ex autos, 0.9% ex autos and gasoline and 1.0% overall in real terms.  The preliminary estimate for February is for a 0.9% increase.

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Choppy trade - background studies rising
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March 20, 2026 12:13 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend choppy trade beneath congestion resistance at 17.0000

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Consolidating test of the 1.5910 Fibonacci retracement
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March 20, 2026 11:45 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have extended to the 1.5910 Fibonacci retracement

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidating test of the 0.9135 Fibonacci retracement
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March 20, 2026 11:18 AM UTC

The test of resistance at the 0.9135 Fibonacci retracement has given way to a pullback

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

March 20, 2026 11:00 AM UTC

Slate of Central banks

FX Daily Strategy: N America, March 20th
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March 20, 2026 10:15 AM UTC

Geopolitical Headlines In the Driver's Seat
DXY Drifting lower
USD/JPY Just shy of 160.00

Chart USD/CHF Update: Limited downside tests
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March 20, 2026 9:42 AM UTC

The anticipated test of congestion resistance at 0.7950 has been pushed back in sharp selling interest

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Lower in range - studies under pressure
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March 20, 2026 9:32 AM UTC

Consolidation beneath congestion resistance at 0.8650 has given way to drift lower to support within the 0.8613 monthly low of 4 February and 0.8620, (GBP/EUR 1.1600)

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Sharp pullback
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March 20, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

Cautious trade around 100.00 has given way to a sharp fall

Chart EUR/USD Update: Sharp bounce
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March 20, 2026 8:51 AM UTC

Consolidation above 1.1450 has given way to a sharp bounce

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating sharp gains - daily studies rising
Freemium Article

March 20, 2026 8:37 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.3250 has given way to a sharp bounce

Chartbook: Chart USD/JPY: Retest 160.00/161.95 highs
Paying Article

March 20, 2026 7:34 AM UTC

Bounce from the 152.00 support see pressure returning to the upside with break above the 159.45 January high posting fresh high just beneath the 160.00 level.

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Room for stronger corrective bounce
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March 20, 2026 6:47 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the 1.6400/25 resistance as prices consolidate gains from the 1.6130 low of last week

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Leaning lower in consolidation
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March 20, 2026 6:30 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from the 1.2150 high as prices unwind overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart USD/INR Update: Break to fresh historic high
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March 20, 2026 5:13 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 92.4750 high of last week has given way to sharp break higher to post fresh historic high at 93.2750

Chart USD/CNH Update: Consolidating, room for higher later
Paying Article

March 20, 2026 4:54 AM UTC

Extend consolidation above the 6.8600 recent low to pressure resistance at the 6.9100 congestion

Asia Summary and Highlights 20 Mar
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March 20, 2026 4:47 AM UTC

Little change in the broader risk atmosphere