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Published: 2025-09-17T10:11:02.000Z

Psychology for major markets Sep 17

6

USD soft, EUR firm as Fed easing expectations maintain USD weakness. FOMC awaited

EUR/USD – EUR/USD steady near the highs of the year above 1.18. FOMC meeting awaited, with a focus on the new “dots” and projections with a 25bp rate cut fully expected.

USD/JPY – USD/JPY testing the low end of the range seen since July at 146 ahead of the FOMC. Yield spreads continue to suggest further downside risks.

EUR/GBP – Still stuck in a 0.86-0.87 range, but testing the top end on EUR strength. Little chance of an easier BoE stance near term, so any break likely to be due to global factors.

AUD/USD – Trading at the highs of the year above 0.6650 on improving yield spreads and strong global equities, with further scope to the upside if risk sentiment remains positive.

Equities – S&P continues to hit new all time highs on the back of lower US yields, but downside scope for yields now very limited and valuation is very extended.

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