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October 02, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Oct 5-8
Paying Article

October 2, 2026 3:51 PM UTC

US yields put in a potential n/t weekly top as data plays to Fed lack of urgency
Euro still weighed on crosses until/unless politicians manage a convincing response; mkt tends to escalate into a forced crisis reaction
Fiscal saints may come back onto the agenda, so long as US bonds and risk steady at

October 01, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Oct 1
Paying Article

October 1, 2026 9:12 AM UTC

EZ headline inflation hot, but France spread continues to blow out, one to watch (EUR/GBP downside?)
ISM main data focus ahead of payrolls

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Oct 1
Paying Article

October 1, 2026 6:34 AM UTC

EZ headline inflation hot, but France spread continues to blow out, one to watch (EUR/GBP downside?)
ISM main data focus ahead of payrolls

September 30, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Oct 1
Paying Article

September 30, 2026 3:05 PM UTC

Oversold sterling sees a bounce as NoV BoE hike firms, Fed fever tempers
EZ headline inflation hot, but France spread continues to blow out, one to watch (EUR/GBP downside?)
ISM main data focus ahead of payrolls

September 29, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 29
Paying Article

September 29, 2026 9:10 AM UTC

CHF still slipping as the unicorn zero-rater
GBP got stretched (over?) short last week, EUR/GBP resistance failure weighs
RBA delivers expected hike, sell the fact AUD dip out

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 29
Paying Article

September 29, 2026 6:29 AM UTC

CHF still slipping as the unicorn zero-rater
GBP got stretched (over?) short last week, EUR/GBP resistance failure weighs
RBA delivers expected hike, sell the fact AUD dip out

September 28, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 29
Paying Article

September 28, 2026 3:35 PM UTC

CHF still slipping as the unicorn zero-rater
GBP got stretched (over?) short last week, EUR/GBP resistance failure weighs
RBA meeting the big event. Hike priced in so all about the forward guidance

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Sep 28 - Oct 2
Paying Article

September 28, 2026 9:19 AM UTC

High profile US data, but would need something big to impact now after recent steep mkt adjustment
Dollar retains bullish posture overall, but a overstretched and consolidating/correcting steep run to levels on most pairs
Japan rolls out the verbals; BoE comments hint at dab in November
Round of CB mee

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports - sterling got thematically oversold
Paying Article

September 28, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

Dollar longs bounce back and now fairly broad
Most dollar pairs moderate however rather than extreme
Sterling the exception, became the most popular "obvious short" last week amid CB moves
Potentially stretched now into cable support, BoE shifting Nov odds. EUR/GBP also again rejecting resistance test,

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 28 - Oct 2
Paying Article

September 28, 2026 6:14 AM UTC

High profile US data, but would need something big to impact now after recent steep mkt adjustment
Dollar retains bullish posture overall, but a overstretched and consolidating/correcting steep run to levels on most pairs
Japan rolls out the verbals; BoE comments hint at dab in November
Round of CB mee

September 25, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 28 - Oct 2
Paying Article

September 25, 2026 3:17 PM UTC

High profile US data, but would need something big to impact now after recent steep mkt adjustment
Dollar retains bullish posture overall, but a overstretched and consolidating/correcting steep run to levels on most pairs
Japan rolls out the verbals; BoE comments hint at dab in November
Round of CB mee

September 24, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 24
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 9:23 AM UTC

Dollar breaks higher as Fed talk hawkish, PMIs surge north, trumping Eurozone gains
Prospects of 'brave' pre-mid-term back-to-back hikes still critical for dollar's jump ahead
Norges hikes and sees likely steady ahead; SNB a hawkish hold, brings next hike forward; SNB remains dovish, keeps rates an ex

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 24
Paying Article

September 24, 2026 6:46 AM UTC

Dollar breaks higher as Fed talk hawkish, PMIs surge north, trumping Eurozone gains
Prospects of 'brave' pre-mid-term back-to-back hikes still critical for dollar's jump ahead
Riksbank, Norges, and SNB. Hawkish Norges in the price as oil waits on talks, NOK trims ; CHF rates look ever lower to the cro

September 23, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 24
Paying Article

September 23, 2026 3:05 PM UTC

Dollar breaks higher as Fed talk hawkish, PMIs surge north, trumping Eurozone gains
Prospects of 'brave' pre-mid-term back-to-back hikes still critical for dollar's jump ahead
Riksbank, Norges, and SNB. Hawkish Norges in the price as oil waits on talks, NOK trims ; CHF rates look ever lower to the cro

September 22, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 22
Paying Article

September 22, 2026 9:14 AM UTC

USD/JPY trading in the 157-158 band, while keeping ear out for the MoF during Japan holiday
Key focal point remains word on diplomatic efforts and US plan at UN meeting. Oil sitting at key $100~ Brent range threshold support prior
Outcome will be pivotal in setting this week's tone for risk, dollar, b

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 22
Paying Article

September 22, 2026 6:33 AM UTC

USD/JPY nudging up in the 157-158 band, while keeping ear out for the MoF during Japan holiday
Key focal point remains word on diplomatic efforts and US plan at UN meeting. Oil sitting at key $100~ Brent range threshold support prior
Outcome will be pivotal in setting this week's tone for risk, dollar

September 21, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 22
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 3:26 PM UTC

USD/JPY nudging up in the 157-158 band, while keeping ear out for the MoF during Japan holiday
Key focal point remains word on diplomatic efforts and US plan at UN meeting. Oil sitting at key $100~ Brent range threshold support prior
Outcome will be pivotal in setting this week's tone for risk, dollar

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Sep 21-25
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 8:56 AM UTC

SNB, Riksbank and Norges Bank all meet, no change expected. SNB still remains the low-yielder and CHF on the backfoot
Geopolitics still a huge focal point, particular attention on Trump meetings this week. Oil back to test key break support. Some NOK profit-taking 
Dollar consolidating run up, overal

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports - jump in yen longs squeezed last week
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 7:13 AM UTC

Jump in yen longs, pulled dollar net closer to balance overall into big central bank meetings, setting up shif out
Mkt gets caught JPY long into the local USD/JPY lows and squeezed 
NZD still long, has already illustrated contrary indicator selloff qualities

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 21-25
Paying Article

September 21, 2026 6:17 AM UTC

SNB, Riksbank and Norges Bank all meet, no change expected. SNB still remains the low-yielder and CHF on the backfoot
Geopolitics still a huge focal point, particular attention on Trump meetings this week. Oil back to test key break support. Some NOK profit-taking 
Dollar consolidating run up, overal

September 18, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 21-25
Paying Article

September 18, 2026 1:32 PM UTC

SNB, Riksbank and Norges Bank all meet, no change expected. SNB still remains the low-yielder and CHF on the backfoot
Geopolitics still a huge focal point, particular attention on Trump meetings this week. Oil back to test key break support. Some NOK profit-taking 
Dollar consolidating run up, overal

September 17, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 17
Paying Article

September 17, 2026 9:11 AM UTC

Fed pivots to catch up with the curve on inflation, dots see 1 (to 2) more hikes
Swift turn does enough to bolster dollar, cable especially pressured unless BoE changes tune
USD/JPY runs into supply up here, with the BoJ Friday now critical, even more important it matches the pick up in pace

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 17
Paying Article

September 17, 2026 6:39 AM UTC

Fed pivots to catch up with the curve on inflation, dots see 1 (to 2) more hikes
Swift turn does enough to bolster dollar, cable especially pressured unless BoE changes tune
USD/JPY runs into supply up here, with the BoJ Friday now critical, even more important it matches the pick up in pace

September 16, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 17
Paying Article

September 16, 2026 8:00 PM UTC

Fed pivots to catch up with the curve on inflation, dots see 1 (to 2) more hikes
Swift turn does enough to bolster dollar, cable especially pressured unless BoE changes tune
USD/JPY runs into supply up here, with the BoJ Friday now critical, even more important it matches the pick up in pace

September 15, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 15
Paying Article

September 15, 2026 9:14 AM UTC

Spec data shows mkt turned long kiwi - often a contrary indicator
Risk sentiment turns weaker, squeezing dollar, as oil catches up with sentiment; AI complications
Soft UK labour market data, followed by CPI, provide the run in to the next BoE meeting

September 14, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 15
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 3:22 PM UTC

Spec data shows mkt turned long kiwi - often a contrary indicator
Risk sentiment turns weaker, squeezing dollar, as oil catches up with sentiment; AI complications
UK labour market data, followed by CPI, provide the run in to the next BoE meeting

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Sep 14-18
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 9:42 AM UTC

A week of 2 key central bank meetings..
We expect a 25bp Fed hike but perhaps a "dovish hike". Could temper dollar given a lot priced in further out
BoJ also seen going 25bp. A heavy USD/JPY needs validation on shift to quarterly pace however to extend - else to re-test persistence of supply
CHF still

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports - carry switching on show, contrary indicator for kiwi
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 8:57 AM UTC

Spec market turns slightly JPY long for the first time since Apr
At the same time, CHF shorts pick back up on switching, now some 1.3stdev above average
Overall $ long pared back further, still net long but back within normal bounds, tempering headwinds
Mkt still short GBP, positioning may be tending t

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 14-18
Paying Article

September 14, 2026 3:30 AM UTC

A week of 2 key central bank meetings..
We expect a 25bp Fed hike but perhaps a "dovish hike". Could temper dollar given a lot priced in further out
BoJ also seen going 25bp. A heavy USD/JPY needs validation on shift to quarterly pace however to extend - else to re-test persistence of supply
CHF still

September 11, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Sep 14-18
Paying Article

September 11, 2026 5:21 PM UTC

A week of 2 key central bank meetings..
We expect a 25bp Fed hike but perhaps a "dovish hike". Could temper dollar given a lot priced in further out
BoJ also seen going 25bp. A heavy USD/JPY needs validation on shift to quarterly pace however to extend - else to re-test persistence of supply
CHF still

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 11
Paying Article

September 11, 2026 9:01 AM UTC

EUR/USD dips back to anchor out of ECB meeting, though money market rate bets firm up
Focus turns to US CPI, where we see upside risks to core
Could see another intraday reaction for the dollar to keep recent chop going
UK GDP upside keeps EUR/GBP capping and range top fading in place for now

Psychology for major markets Sep 11
Paying Article

September 11, 2026 7:14 AM UTC

Fiery Weekend Coming

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 11
Paying Article

September 11, 2026 5:10 AM UTC

EUR/USD dips back to anchor out of ECB meeting, though money market rate bets firm up
Focus turns to US CPI, where we see upside risks to core
Could see another intraday reaction for the dollar to keep recent chop going

September 10, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 11
Paying Article

September 10, 2026 2:52 PM UTC

EUR/USD dips back to anchor out of ECB meeting, though money market rate bets firm up
Focus turns to US CPI, where we see upside risks to core
Could see another intraday reaction for the dollar to keep recent chop going

Psychology for major markets Sep 10
Paying Article

September 10, 2026 9:15 AM UTC

Waiting for ECB

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 10
Paying Article

September 10, 2026 9:01 AM UTC

A 25bps Hike from ECB
U.S. August PPI Shows Inflationary pressure still significant
U.S. August Pending home sales suggest slippage

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 10
Paying Article

September 10, 2026 5:29 AM UTC

A 25bps Hike from ECB
U.S. August PPI Shows Inflationary pressure still significant
U.S. August Pending home sales suggest slippage

September 09, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 10
Paying Article

September 9, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

A 25bps Hike from ECB
U.S. August PPI Shows Inflationary pressure still significant
U.S. August Pending home sales suggest slippage

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 9
Paying Article

September 9, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

Empty Calendar Sees Focus Back to Geopolitics/Fed
152.10 January low Targeted for USD/JPY
AUD/USD Could Break May High

Psychology for major markets Sep 9
Paying Article

September 9, 2026 8:46 AM UTC

Another fast break for USD/JPY

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 9
Paying Article

September 9, 2026 4:33 AM UTC

Empty Calendar Sees Focus Back to Geopolitics/Fed
152.10 January low Targeted for USD/JPY
AUD/USD Could Break May High

September 08, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 9
Paying Article

September 8, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

Empty Calendar Sees Focus Back to Geopolitics/Fed
152.10 January low Targeted for USD/JPY
AUD/USD Could Break May High

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Sep 8
Paying Article

September 8, 2026 9:00 AM UTC

USD/JPY runs on and bounces from deeper support down at 152/3, not quite tagging major support
Riksbank not in a rush as CPI slows, SEK crosses though are stretched towards bigger tops
BoE TSC testimony. Majority view still wait and see, BoE the laggard
Canada-US tariffs remain a running issue, low key

Psychology for major markets Sep 8
Paying Article

September 8, 2026 7:59 AM UTC

Another fast break for USD/JPY

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Sep 8
Paying Article

September 8, 2026 3:30 AM UTC

USD/JPY remains under pressure, if getting oversold, deeper support down at 152/3
Riksbank not in a rush as CPI slows, SEK crosses though are stretched towards bigger tops
BoE TSC testimony. Majority view still wait and see, BoE the laggard
Canada-US tariffs remain a running issue, low key market impac

September 07, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Sep 8
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 2:49 PM UTC

USD/JPY remains under pressure, if getting oversold, deeper support down at 152/3
Riksbank not in a rush as CPI slows, SEK crosses though are stretched towards bigger tops
BoE TSC testimony. Majority view still wait and see, BoE the laggard
Canada-US tariffs remain a running issue, low key market impac

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 10:16 AM UTC

US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s

Psychology for major markets Sep 7
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

USD/JPY Down A Figure

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 7, 2026 3:57 AM UTC

US CPI a key focal point. We see upside risks at 0.3% core
ECB hike fully priced in; attention turns to forecasts and commentary on policy stance
Sharp USD/JPY lurch down may have left behind better supply into bounces, further downside risks ahead
BoE seen back of the tightening pack, sterling could s

September 04, 2026

DM Data Weekly Sep 7-11
Paying Article

September 4, 2026 2:54 PM UTC

US CPI the big data release, key for the Sep FOMC. We see upside risks at 0.3% for core
ECB hike fully priced in. Forecasts and presser more of interest
BoE gives testimony to the TSC. Message has remained a majority wait and see stance

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