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August 18, 2026 9:06 AM UTC
Summer doldrums allow mkt to entertain both low vol risk/dollar and Iran standoff at the same time - though tensions start to show
Canada trade talks remain a key event for the week
EUR/CHF checked by stiffer resistance at Dec25 highs, but only corrective
August 17, 2026 7:55 AM UTC
IMM data for w/e Aug 11 generally shows little change across counters, still very long $ overall
Yen shorts still smallest since Apr, and around 'normal' levels for recent years
Market remains extreme CAD short into trade deadline - binary event but squeeze risk evident
MXN longs inch back out amid the
August 17, 2026 4:05 AM UTC
Canada trade deadline a wildcard, but skew has been favouring a short CAD squeeze
FOMC Minutes may give more insight to Fed debate
US yield retreat chips at $ longs, although also supports summer low vol risk (for now...)
Various/CHF still trend up...
August 14, 2026 3:14 PM UTC
Canada trade deadline a wildcard, but skew has been favouring a short CAD squeeze
FOMC Minutes may give more insight to Fed debate
US yield retreat chips at $ longs, although also supports summer low vol risk (for now...)
Various/CHF still trend up...
August 13, 2026 9:10 AM UTC
UK GDP holds up, though recent trend still stagnates
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to leave dollar unshaken
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank on hold and ahead of the curve
August 13, 2026 4:49 AM UTC
UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve
August 12, 2026 2:57 PM UTC
UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve
August 10, 2026 10:20 AM UTC
IMM data for w/e Aug 4 unsurprisingly show record $ long was cut in some long liquidation
Yen shorts in particular retreats, albeit not back to flat - allowing recent USD/JPY oversold rebasing/backfilling
CAD the main exception, shorts stay at the highs. An outlier to watch for any surprises that sque
August 10, 2026 8:59 AM UTC
Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base
August 10, 2026 4:07 AM UTC
Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base
August 7, 2026 3:55 PM UTC
Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base
August 6, 2026 9:26 AM UTC
A familiar story of waiting for an unclear deal, amid a neede-ly backdrop; dollar still slanted long and heavy
An argument that gold and especially silver poised for a breakout from base
Payrolls Friday next other focal point, largely mid-to-low tier data Thursday
August 6, 2026 5:35 AM UTC
A familiar story of waiting for an unclear deal, amid a neede-ly backdrop; dollar still slanted long and heavy
An argument that gold and especially silver poised for a breakout from base
Payrolls Friday next other focal point, largely mid-to-low tier data Thursday
August 5, 2026 3:00 PM UTC
A familiar story of waiting for an unclear deal, amid a neede-ly backdrop; dollar still slanted long and heavy
An argument that gold and especially silver poised for a breakout from base
Payrolls Friday next other focal point, largely mid-to-low tier data Thursday