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August 20, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 21
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August 20, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

National CPI Still Cushioned
USD/JPY Consolidating at 158.00
DXY coming under pressure

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 20
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August 20, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

USD breaks weaker after Treasury buyback move, might have done some damage on the s/t charts
Whether 'bond put' or 'dollar debasement' narrative, neither helping dollar near-term

Psychology for major markets Aug 20
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August 20, 2026 8:03 AM UTC

Iran foreign minister plays down US president Trump's economic threat

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 20
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August 20, 2026 4:13 AM UTC

USD breaks weaker after Treasury buyback move, might have done some damage on the s/t charts
Whether 'bond put' or 'dollar debasement' narrative, neither helping dollar near-term

August 19, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 20
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

USD breaks weaker after Treasury buyback move, might have done some damage on the s/t charts
Whether 'bond put' or 'dollar debasement' narrative, neither helping dollar near-term

Psychology for major markets Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 9:35 AM UTC

Sea of Red

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 8:53 AM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 19, 2026 3:49 AM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

August 18, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 19
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

Australian Q2 Wage Growth Under Spotlight
May Kill Room for Aussie to extend gains
Can Intervention Keep the Lid on USD/JPY

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 18
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August 18, 2026 9:06 AM UTC

Summer doldrums allow mkt to entertain both low vol risk/dollar and Iran standoff at the same time - though tensions start to show
Canada trade talks remain a key event for the week
EUR/CHF checked by stiffer resistance at Dec25 highs, but only corrective

Psychology for major markets Aug 18
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August 18, 2026 8:27 AM UTC

Reality Kicking In

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 18
Paying Article

August 18, 2026 4:40 AM UTC

Summer doldrums allow mkt to entertain both low vol risk/dollar and Iran standoff at the same time, for now
Canada trade talks remain a key event for the week
EUR/CHF checked by stiffer resistance at Dec25 highs, but only corrective

August 17, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 18
Paying Article

August 17, 2026 3:25 PM UTC

Summer doldrums allow mkt to entertain both low vol risk/dollar and Iran standoff at the same time, for now
Canada trade talks remain a key event for the week
EUR/CHF checked by stiffer resistance at Dec25 highs, but only corrective

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Aug 17-21
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August 17, 2026 8:58 AM UTC

Canada trade deadline a wildcard, but skew has been favouring a short CAD squeeze
FOMC Minutes may give more insight to Fed debate
US yield retreat chips at $ longs, although also supports summer low vol risk (for now...)

Psychology for major markets Aug 17
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August 17, 2026 8:32 AM UTC

Another Breath before Weekend

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Aug 11, little change in the week
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August 17, 2026 7:55 AM UTC

IMM data for w/e Aug 11 generally shows little change across counters, still very long $ overall
Yen shorts still smallest since Apr, and around 'normal' levels for recent years
Market remains extreme CAD short into trade deadline - binary event but squeeze risk evident
MXN longs inch back out amid the

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Aug 17-21
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August 17, 2026 4:05 AM UTC

Canada trade deadline a wildcard, but skew has been favouring a short CAD squeeze
FOMC Minutes may give more insight to Fed debate
US yield retreat chips at $ longs, although also supports summer low vol risk (for now...)
Various/CHF still trend up...

August 14, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Aug 17-21
Paying Article

August 14, 2026 3:14 PM UTC

Canada trade deadline a wildcard, but skew has been favouring a short CAD squeeze
FOMC Minutes may give more insight to Fed debate
US yield retreat chips at $ longs, although also supports summer low vol risk (for now...)
Various/CHF still trend up...

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 14
Paying Article

August 14, 2026 9:21 AM UTC

U.S. July Retail Sales still resilient
DXY Extending cautious trade
USD/JPY Room to extend gains Capped By Intervention

Psychology for major markets Aug 14
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August 14, 2026 8:08 AM UTC

Another Breath before Weekend

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 14
Paying Article

August 14, 2026 4:13 AM UTC

U.S. July Retail Sales still resilient
DXY Extending cautious trade
USD/JPY Room to extend gains Capped By Intervention

August 13, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 14
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

U.S. July Retail Sales still resilient
DXY Extending cautious trade
USD/JPY Room to extend gains Capped By Intervention

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 13
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August 13, 2026 9:10 AM UTC

UK GDP holds up, though recent trend still stagnates
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to leave dollar unshaken
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank on hold and ahead of the curve

Psychology for major markets Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 7:43 AM UTC

Relatively Quiet

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2026 4:49 AM UTC

UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve

August 12, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 13
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 2:57 PM UTC

UK GDP due, large downside surprise risks from heatwave could kneejerk sterling lower
US CPI unexciting, though unexciting enough to limit US short-end and $ for now
The volatility slide and gold/silver/metals rally helping out AUD at present
Norge Bank seen on hold and ahead of the curve

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 12
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 10:14 AM UTC

U.S. July Another subdued month for CPI 
Could end the Choppy trade of DXY
USD/JPY Still room to extend gains

Psychology for major markets Aug 12
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 8:45 AM UTC

USD a tad stronger

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 12
Paying Article

August 12, 2026 3:43 AM UTC

U.S. July Another subdued month for CPI 
Could end the Choppy trade of DXY
USD/JPY Still room to extend gains

August 11, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 12
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

U.S. July Another subdued month for CPI 
Could end the Choppy trade of DXY
USD/JPY Still room to extend gains

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 9:07 AM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA offers no big surprises
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

Psychology for major markets Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

Reality Checked

RBA Review: No Fireworks
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:42 AM UTC

The RBA August meeting keep rates unchanged at 4.35% 

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 11, 2026 5:04 AM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA the main interest Tues, no chance of a hike priced in. 
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

August 10, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 11
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 2:44 PM UTC

An argument for looking for a short CAD squeeze risk ahead
RBA the main interest Tues, no chance of a hike priced in. 
Wed's US CPI, as well as Iran, dominate the weekly outlook still

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Aug 4, $ longs cut but still remain; CAD the outlier now
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 10:20 AM UTC

IMM data for w/e Aug 4 unsurprisingly show record $ long was cut in some long liquidation
Yen shorts in particular retreats, albeit not back to flat - allowing recent USD/JPY oversold rebasing/backfilling
CAD the main exception, shorts stay at the highs. An outlier to watch for any surprises that sque

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Aug 10-14
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 8:59 AM UTC

Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base

Psychology for major markets Aug 10
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 7:16 AM UTC

Another Monday, Another No Deal

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, Aug 10-14
Paying Article

August 10, 2026 4:07 AM UTC

Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base

August 07, 2026

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, Aug 10-14
Paying Article

August 7, 2026 3:55 PM UTC

Outside of Iran, focus turns to key US CPI. Trend has been for very few core upside surprises
UK sees GDP, heatwave risks downside surprise, GBP kneejerk
Japan eyes BoJ comments from last meeting, to read the appetite for a Sep hike
Gold and silver still attempting to breakout higher from base

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 7
Paying Article

August 7, 2026 10:04 AM UTC

U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls Stronger than June
Canada August Employment Another positive month
USD/JPY Directionless With Looming Intervention Threat

Psychology for major markets Aug 7
Paying Article

August 7, 2026 9:05 AM UTC

Quiet before the Weekend

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, Aug 7
Paying Article

August 7, 2026 3:18 AM UTC

U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls Stronger than June
Canada August Employment Another positive month
USD/JPY Directionless With Looming Intervention Threat

August 06, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 7
Paying Article

August 6, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls Stronger than June
Canada August Employment Another positive month
USD/JPY Directionless With Looming Intervention Threat

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 6
Paying Article

August 6, 2026 9:26 AM UTC

A familiar story of waiting for an unclear deal, amid a neede-ly backdrop; dollar still slanted long and heavy
An argument that gold and especially silver poised for a breakout from base
Payrolls Friday next other focal point, largely mid-to-low tier data Thursday

Psychology for major markets Aug 6
Paying Article

August 6, 2026 7:48 AM UTC

U.S.-Iran's Picture Still Unclear

FX Daily Strategy:Europe, Aug 6
Paying Article

August 6, 2026 5:35 AM UTC

A familiar story of waiting for an unclear deal, amid a neede-ly backdrop; dollar still slanted long and heavy
An argument that gold and especially silver poised for a breakout from base
Payrolls Friday next other focal point, largely mid-to-low tier data Thursday

August 05, 2026

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, Aug 6
Paying Article

August 5, 2026 3:00 PM UTC

A familiar story of waiting for an unclear deal, amid a neede-ly backdrop; dollar still slanted long and heavy
An argument that gold and especially silver poised for a breakout from base
Payrolls Friday next other focal point, largely mid-to-low tier data Thursday

FX Daily Strategy: N America, Aug 5
Paying Article

August 5, 2026 9:04 AM UTC

June Labor Cash Earning Critical for BoJ
So as NZ Wage Growth
U.S. July ADP Employment suggests some slowing
ISM Services Keeping to a tight range

Psychology for major markets Aug 5
Paying Article

August 5, 2026 7:13 AM UTC

U.S.-Iran's Rhetoric Remains Confusing

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