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June 29, 2026 1:18 PM UTC
After a sharp deterioration in May’s trade deficit, previously positive forecasts for Q2 GDP need to be trimmed significantly, though there is still uncertainty over June data. We now expect a Q2 GDP increase of only 0.9%, down from a previous estimate of 2.3%. After an upward revision to Q1 our
June 29, 2026 8:19 AM UTC
Latest IMM data underscores mkt strongly long-dollar, playing to current overbought pullback/consolidation
CAD (pre USMCA) and NZD shorts large; AUD remains more sidelined if forced out of longs
GBP shorts at historic highs - last out here in 2017
This occurring at the EUR/GBP range lows - so creates