Published: 2024-09-25T10:11:59.000Z
Psychology for major markets September 25th
Senior FX Strategist
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Risk sentiment staying positive on China stimulus and expectations of general monetary easing
EUR/USD – EUR sentiment resilient despite weaker survey data helped by better risk sentiment following China easing. But rising yield spreads limit the upside scope.
USD/JPY – More positive global risk sentiment and BoJ indications of a pause in monetary tightening extending JPY correction lower, but levels above 145 likely to prove hard to achieve.
EUR/GBP – Holding close to the lows of the year on the back of weaker Eurozone surveys, but valuation getting stretched and GBP vulnerable to any weaker UK data
AUD/USD – Better risk sentiment, particularly in Chinese equities, supporting a move to new highs for the year, but better China sentiment may not last so upside scope may prove modest.
Equities – New highs in S&P 500 but valuations looking stretched with yields also higher