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Published: 2025-01-02T11:03:29.000Z

Psychology for major markets January 2nd

byAdrian Schmidt

Senior FX Strategist
2

USD remains generally firm

EUR/USD – Trading to new 2 year lows near 1.03 as markets maintain a USD positive view, but losses look excessive relative to yield spread moves.

USD/JPY – Still well bid on the back of rising US yields and general USD positive sentiment, but upside limited by some verbal intervention from Japanese officials

EUR/GBP – Holding near 0.83 but recent downward revisions to GDP data may put GBP mor eon the back foot.

AUD/USD – Holding near the lows of the year as US yields hold firm and markets remain disappointed at the lack of China stimulus and worried about upcoming impact of tariffs.

Equities – S&P 500 holding fairly steady just below the highs despite having slipped a little on rising US yields. Some vulnerability to any further rise in yields a risk premia are now very low.

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