Psychology for major markets February 19th

EUR/USD – EUR/USD slipping back towards 1.04 as initial optimism on Ukraine fades, but picture looks rangy near term.

USD/JPY – USD/JPY pushing lower as US yields drop back and JGB yields hit 15 year highs.

EUR/GBP – EUR/GBP breaking below 0.83 after better than expected employment data and higher than expected CPI but GBP looks a little expensive here without some more positive news to justify gains.

AUD/USD – Broke higher as optimism that tariffs won’t be too negative for global growth boosted Asian equities. Still looking attractive on a yield spread basis as long as risk sentiment is positive, but resistance likely at 0.64.

Equities – Proving very resilient as both higher yields and tariff concerns have been shaken off, with hopes of Ukraine peace deal seen as positive. But high US valuations continue to be a barrier to further gains