Psychology for major markets Dec 12
JPY still weak, USD otherwise softer post-FOMC
EUR/USD – EUR/USD edging up after FOMC with US yields slightly lower. Positive tone but 1.18 top end of the range not under threat at this stage
USD/JPY – USD/JPY slipped back on general post-FOMC USD weakness, but JPY remains weak on the crosses, hovering near all time lows against the EUR
EUR/GBP – EUR/GBP hovering in the mid-0.87s having stabilised after the Budget. MPC speakers and weak GDP suggest a December rate cut is very likely, but this is now near fully priced.
AUD/USD – AUD/USD slipped back a little after weaker than expected Australian employment data but remains well supported by yield spreads and has prospects of testing the year’s highs above 0.67.
Equities – S&P 500 made new all time highs despite weakness in Oracle shares holding back the tech indices. Sentiment remains positive but valuations remain stretched.