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May 13, 2024

North American Summary and Highlights 13 May
Freemium Article

May 13, 2024 7:26 PM UTC

Overview - The USD advanced versus JPY on higher US inflation expectations but slipped versus GBP and EUR. 

Chart USD/MXN Update: Gains to remain limited in consolidation
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 4:15 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 16.8000 has met buying interest above congestion support at 16.650

Chart USD/CAD Update: Limited gains - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

May 13, 2024 3:45 PM UTC

No change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 1.3700

USD flows: USD lifted by higher New York Fed inflation expectauons
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 3:26 PM UTC

The USD has seen a bounce on the New York Fed’s April survey of consumer inflation expectations, showing market sensitivity to the issue. This reinforces a message of stronger inflation expectations in May’s preliminary Michigan CSI report on Friday.

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, May 14th
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 3:13 PM UTC

GBP focus on earnings data
Upside risks seen for EUR/GBP
US NFIB data could support softer USD tone

U.S. Fed's Jefferson - Maintain restrictive policy until more confident
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 2:19 PM UTC

Chart AUD/USD Update: Edging higher in range
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 1:24 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 0.6600

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 1:17 PM UTC

Consolidation is giving way to a test above congestion around 168.00 in EUR-driven trade

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - studies leaning lower
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 1:05 PM UTC

Still little change, prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 156.00

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Downside pressure increasing
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:50 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift lower

Preview: Due May 14 - U.S. April PPI - New Year strength fading
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:26 PM UTC

We expect a 0.3% increase in April’s PPI, with gains of 0.2% in the core rates ex food and energy and ex food, energy and trade. The core rates would match March’s outcome which slowed from above trend gains in January and February. 

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UK CPI Inflation Preview (May 22): Inflation to Fall Further and More Broadly
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:10 PM UTC

It is very clear that labor market and CPI data are crucial to BoE thinking about the timing and even existence if any start to an easing cycle.  But perhaps the CPI data is the most crucial making the looming April data all the more important for markets as they weigh the chances of an initial rat

Chart USD/RUB Update: Leaning lower in cautious trade
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 11:20 AM UTC

The anticipated minor test above congestion around 93.0000 has not been seen

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Leaning lower in PLN-driven trade
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 11:06 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a test lower in PLN-driven trade

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Extending February losses
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 10:49 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to the anticipated extension of February losses

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Strong resistance at 1.4750/80
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 10:27 AM UTC

Little change, as cautious trade extends pressure on congestion resistance at 1.4750

European Summary and Highlights 13 May
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 10:18 AM UTC

EUR/USD gained around 15 pips and USD/JPY gained around 10 pips in a quiet European morning session.

Psychology for major markets May 13th
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 10:12 AM UTC

USD starting to edge lower

FX Weekly Strategy: May 13th-17th
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 9:10 AM UTC

Scope for EUR/USD to break higher
Focus on US CPI data
GBP/USD may return to previous correlation
JPY still has most potential for recovery

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Further consolidation
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 8:09 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation around support at 0.9760

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Choppy trade - studies edging higher
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 8:00 AM UTC

The test below congestion support has bounced from above 0.8580

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China RRR and Rate Cuts
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 7:54 AM UTC

The latest China money supply and lending figures show that private household and business lending is very subdued.  More need to be done to boost credit demand as well as credit supply.  However, the authorities desires to avoid too much Yuan weakness will likely mean that the next move is a 25bp

Chart USD/CHF Update: Further consolidation - studies leaning lower
Freemium Article

May 13, 2024 7:48 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - background studies improving
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 7:40 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating
Freemium Article

May 13, 2024 7:30 AM UTC

Little change, as mixed intraday studies keep near-term sentiment cautious

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extending consolidation above the 1.6218 low
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 7:27 AM UTC

 Limited on pullback below the 1.6300 level as prices extend consolidation above the 1.6218 low

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e May 7th
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 7:08 AM UTC

CHF net short positioning stands out

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Watts at Stake: India's Looming Power Shortage
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 6:58 AM UTC

India's power sector faces rising demand and power shortages, sparking fears of the most significant power shortfall in a decade. With coal imports continuing to rise and hydropower generation declining, India's aim to become a manufacturing hub could become challenging. Energy transition is likely

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Consolidating test of 1.0955/50 support
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 6:57 AM UTC

Turned up in consolidation from the 1.0955/1.0950 support

USD, JPY flows: FX steady but USD downside risks rising
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 6:37 AM UTC

USD steady in quiet trading but rising JGB yields and softer US data suggest USD/JPY downside risks

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Extending gains, room to 195.75/196.00 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 6:35 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the upside as prices extends gains from the 191.30 support

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Consolidating test of 103.00, further gains likely limited
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 6:24 AM UTC

Settling back from test of the 103.00 level and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement

Asia Summary and Highlights 13 May
Freemium Article

May 13, 2024 5:05 AM UTC

Japan's Kato says its natural that monetary policy will revert to positive interest rates
China's April CPI +0.3% y/y vs. +0.1% expected

Chart USD/INR Update: Remains in consolidation below the 83.5250 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 5:03 AM UTC

Remains in consolidation below the 83.5250 resistance as the daily studies remains mixed and suggest further ranging action below here likely

FX Weekly Strategy: Europe, May 13th-17th
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 5:01 AM UTC

Scope for EUR/USD to break higher
Focus on US CPI data
GBP/USD may return to previous correlation
JPY still has most potential for recovery

AUD/USD flows: Soft regional sentiment
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 5:00 AM UTC

China to switch off real-time info on foreign flows in stocks today
China plans to issue special ultra-long term treasury bonds to raise 1 trillion yuan
China's April CPI +0.3% y/y vs. +0.1% expected

USD/JPY flows: BoJ Purchase decrease and Kato's remark Affecting JPY
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 4:37 AM UTC

Japan's Kato says its natural that monetary policy will revert to positive interest rates
Bank of Japan has reduced the amount of 5-10yr JGBs purchased in its latest operation from 475bn JPY to 425bn JPY, comparing to last operation.

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extend gains
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 4:30 AM UTC

Consolidation below the 7.2340 resistance has given way to break higher to reach the 7.2415 resistance

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Consolidating below 16100/16139 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 2:57 AM UTC

Little change, as prices remains in consolidation above the 15979 low

Chart USD/THB Update: Consolidating at 36.80 congestion but room seen for deeper pullback
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 2:50 AM UTC

Settled back from test of the 37.00 congestion as prices unwind the overbought intraday studies

Chart USD/KRW Update: Still room to extend gains
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 2:26 AM UTC

Still positive with break above the 1370.00 level extending gains from the 1347.00 support

Chart USD/SGD Update: Consolidating below the 1.3578 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Break above the 1.3525 resistance has seen gains to approach strong resistance at the 1.3578

Chart GBP/USD Update: Scope for stronger gains above the 1.2500 level
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 1:38 AM UTC

 Saw rebound from the 1.2445 low to regain the 1.2500 level

Chart EUR/USD Update: Range-bound below the 1.0800/12 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 1:21 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation below the 1.0800/12 high

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Pressuring the 168.00 level, scope for break
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 1:04 AM UTC

Extending gains from the 164.00 level to retrace losses from the April YTD high to reach the 168.00 congestion

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating below 156.00, scope for break
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:52 AM UTC

Remains below the 156.00 level and 50% Fibonacci retracement 

Chart NZD/USD Update: Remains below the .6050 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:41 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation below the .6050 resistance high

Chart AUD/USD Update: Extending consolidation below .6650 resistance
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:08 AM UTC

Remains below the .6650 resistance with the mixed daily studies suggest further ranging action around the .6600 level

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
Paying Article

May 13, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies perform individually against the USD as the greenback reversed earlier losses on more hawkish market sentiment. THB saw the largest gains of 0.59%, followed by KRW 0.14%, TWD 0.12%, MYR 0.03% and INR & HKD 0.01%; the biggest losers are CNH & SGD 0.16% CNY 0.1% and IDR 0.08

May 12, 2024

FX Weekly Strategy: Asia, May 13th-17th
Paying Article

May 12, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Scope for EUR/USD to break higher
Focus on US CPI data
GBP/USD may return to previous correlation
JPY still has most potential for recovery