View:

August 13, 2025

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating - potential for a minor test lower
Freemium Article

August 13, 2025 3:38 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around 1.3765

...
September Fed ease now more likely than not, but far from assured
Freemium Article

August 13, 2025 3:29 PM UTC

A September FOMC easing now looks more likely than not, but remains far from a done deal. We are however revising our call to two 25bps FOMC easings this year, in September and December, from just one, in December. 2026 is harder still to call given threats to Fed independence, but we continue to ex

Preview: Due August 14 - U.S. June PPI - Pattern of weak monthly data but upward back month revisions
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 2:59 PM UTC

We expect July PPI to rise by a modest 0.1% overall and in each of the core rates, ex food and energy and ex food, energy and trade. This would follow unchanged outcomes in all three indices in June, but risk is that those indices will be revised higher, offsetting weakness in July. 

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, August 14th
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 2:54 PM UTC

AUD vulnerable if Australian employment data is weak
GBP risks on the downside on GDP data
NOK at attractive levels ahead of Norges Bank decision
USD more likely to gain than fall on PPI
Underlying positive risks tone hard to justify longer term

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Poised for further losses
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 12:08 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a break lower

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Fresh year high
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 11:27 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a break higher

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidating - downside tests to remain limited
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 10:47 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade following the test of congestion support at 0.9400

Psychology for major markets Aug 13
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 10:03 AM UTC

USD loses ground as market prices in September Fed ease

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating test of 173.00 - daily studies continue to rise
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 9:09 AM UTC

The anticipated test of congestion resistance at 173.00 is giving way to a pullback

Chart USD/CHF Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:58 AM UTC

Consolidation above 0.8050 has given way to the anticipated break

FX Daily Strategy: N America, August 13th
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:46 AM UTC

Risk positive tone persists after US CPI
JPY remains under pressure
GBP/JPY reaches highest in a year
CHF weakness can extend further

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Choppy trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:42 AM UTC

The test of support at 0.8620, (GBP/EUR 1.1600), has given way to a bounce to congestion resistance at 0.8650

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:27 AM UTC

The anticipated break lower from recent consolidation around 98.50 is extending

Chart AUD/USD Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:17 AM UTC

Consolidation above congestion support at 0.6500 has given way to a bounce

...
China: Echoes of Japan?
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:05 AM UTC

     Overall, some of China’s private businesses and households are suffering from Japan’s style balance sheet recession.  Combined with slowing productivity and a shrinking workforce, this points to slower trend growth in the coming years.  However, fiscal stimulus and the clean-up of Loca

Chart USD/JPY Update: Back in range
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 8:03 AM UTC

Consolidation above 148.00 has given way to a fresh pullback

USD flows: USD soft in early trade
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 7:50 AM UTC

USD weakening as equities extend gains on dovish Fed view

Chart EUR/USD Update: Edging higher
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 7:46 AM UTC

Cautious trade following the test of congestion support at 1.1600 has given way to fresh gains

...
India CPI Review: Headline inflation drops sharply on account of food prices
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 7:38 AM UTC

India’s retail inflation fell to 1.55% yr/yr in July 2025, its lowest since 2017 and below the RBI’s 2–6% target band for the first time in over six years. The drop was driven by a sharp contraction in food prices, even as edible oil and fruit inflation remained elevated. With inflation well b

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending August gains
Freemium Article

August 13, 2025 7:32 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.3500 has given way to further gains

JPY, AUD flows: JPY soft, AUD firm as equities move to new highs
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 6:38 AM UTC

A new high in the S&P 500 overnight maintains the risk positive tone in FX markets

Asia Summary and Highlights 13 Aug
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 4:46 AM UTC

Australian Q2 2025 Wage Price Index 0.8% q/q
China hits Canadian canola with 75.8% tariffs

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, August 13th
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 4:29 AM UTC

Risk positive tone persists after US CPI
JPY remains under pressure
GBP/JPY reaches highest in a year
CHF weakness can extend further

USD/JPY flows: Moderate PPI
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 4:21 AM UTC

Japan July PPI +0.2% m/m & +2.6% y/y
China hits Canadian canola with 75.8% tariffs

AUD/USD flows: Steady wage growth
Paying Article

August 13, 2025 1:56 AM UTC

Australian Q2 2025 Wage Price Index 0.8% q/q