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November 30, 2025

FX Weekly Strategy: APAC, December 1st-5th
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November 30, 2025 6:00 PM UTC

Risky currencies may struggle to rise further with S&P 500 approaching the highs
AUD still look good value relative to yield spreads
JPY could benefit from Ueda speech, and downside should be protected by intervention
GBP and EUR both look vulnerable

November 28, 2025

FX Weekly Strategy: December 1st-5th
Paying Article

November 28, 2025 4:36 PM UTC

Risky currencies may struggle to rise further with S&P 500 approaching the highs
AUD still look good value relative to yield spreads
JPY could benefit from Ueda speech, and downside should be protected by intervention
GBP and EUR both look vulnerable

CAD flows: CAD firmer after stronger GDP
Paying Article

November 28, 2025 2:18 PM UTC

USD/CAD dipping below 1.40 as CAD front end yields edge up following stronger than expected September GDP

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Canada Q3 GDP rebounds as imports plunge but domestic demand marginally negative
Freemium Article

November 28, 2025 2:14 PM UTC

Canada’s 2.6% annualized increase in Q3 GDP id sharply higher than expected though the surprise comes largely from a sharp fall in imports. Domestic demand was almost unchanged with a 0.1% annualized decline. September GDP grew by 0.2% on the month, but the preliminary estimate for October is weak

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China’s Hidden Gold Buying: Why?
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November 28, 2025 1:05 PM UTC

Speculation has been growing in the gold market that the surge in unrecorded gold purchases could be linked to China.
Overall, some unreported buying of gold by China could have occurred in 2025 and also in 2022-24. This could be a combination of wanting to avoid upsetting Trump during a tense U.S.-C

Continuum Economics Calendar December 2025
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November 28, 2025 12:00 PM UTC

Data and Events Calendar December 2025.

Europe Summary and Highlights 28 November
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November 28, 2025 11:18 AM UTC

Then EUR was weaker across the board through the European morning.

Psychology for major markets Nov 28
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November 28, 2025 11:12 AM UTC

EUR a little softer within the range

FX Daily Strategy: N America, November 28th
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November 28, 2025 10:13 AM UTC

JPY may suffer short term but turn near
EUR strength unlikely to extend
CAD may see gain on GDP

This week's five highlights
Freemium Article

November 28, 2025 10:00 AM UTC

No More Cut Signaled by RBNZ
More Detail on Japan Stimulus
U.S. Fed's Waller Advocating ease on labor market concerns
U.S. September Retail Sales lose momentum, PPI strong in goods but weak in services
UK Budget Shows Deferring the Fiscal Pain

EUR, CHF, SEK flows: Few surprises in European data but SEK may have upside against CHF
Paying Article

November 28, 2025 9:29 AM UTC

European data much as expected, but relatively strong Swedish growth suggests some SEK upside risks, while weak Swiss growth may maintain downward pressure on CHF

Chart USD/CAD Update: Under pressure, room to 1.4000/1.3970 support
Freemium Article

November 28, 2025 7:47 AM UTC

Prices remain under pressure following break of the 1.4080 support to open up room for deeper pullback to 1.4000

EUR, AUD, JPY flows: Quiet markets but EUR may be vulnerable on the crosses
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November 28, 2025 7:30 AM UTC

German retail sales a touch softer, some downside risks for the EUR on the crosses

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Consolidating test of .8752/.8737 support
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November 28, 2025 7:01 AM UTC

No follow-through on break of the .8752 support as prices consolidate losses from the .8865 high

Chart USD/CHF Update: Lower in consolidation from test of .8100 level
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November 28, 2025 6:41 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation from test of the upper .7900/.8100 range area

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Focus on 208.10, July 2024 year high
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November 28, 2025 5:36 AM UTC

 Little change, as prices consolidate test of the 207.20 high and unwind overbought intraday studies

Asia Summary and Highlights 28 Nov
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November 28, 2025 5:33 AM UTC

 Tokyo CPI Headline 2.7% y/y for November
S&P cut Vanke to CCC-, flags deepening distress

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Consolidating, but room for deeper pullback
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November 28, 2025 5:15 AM UTC

Edged up from the 99.40 low as prices consolidate pullback from the 100.40 high of last week

Chart USD/INR Update: Poised for retest of 89.4900 high
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November 28, 2025 4:59 AM UTC

Gap up at the open see prices poised for retest of the 89.4900 high and extend the underlying bull trend

AUD/USD flows: Chinese Vanke Delays Payment
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November 28, 2025 4:33 AM UTC

S&P cut Vanke to CCC-, flags deepening distress

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, November 28th
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November 28, 2025 4:22 AM UTC

EUR data likely to have minimal impact
Risk positive tone may fade, reducing USD and JPY weakness
AUD retains upside scope
GBP post-Budget strength looks flimsily based

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Extending losses
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November 28, 2025 3:55 AM UTC

Under pressure as prices extend pullback from the 16760 high and unwind overbought daily and weekly studies

Chart USD/CNH Update: Consolidating, room for lower later
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November 28, 2025 2:40 AM UTC

Consolidating break to fresh year low at 7.0700 as prices unwind the stretched intraday and daily studies

Chart USD/THB Update: Still heavy, room to 32.10/32.00
Paying Article

November 28, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Steadied at the 32.20 low as prices unwind oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/KRW Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

November 28, 2025 2:24 AM UTC

Consolidation around the 1470.00 level has given way to renewed selling pressure to extend pullback from the 1480.00 high