Published: 2026-02-20T13:39:40.000Z
EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Q4 US GDP
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GDP lower than expected but USD dip is temporary.
The USD pushed marginally lower after Friday economic data, but then recovered as the breakdown shows that the 1.4% number for Q4 GDP was due to a larger than expected decline in government spending caused by the shutdown. This is a temporary factor and the 2.4% real final sales for domestic purchases is more representative of the underlying trend. USD could now settle down waiting for further developments on the Iran front over the weekend. A surprise early attack would probably help the USD initially.