USD/JPY-Commentary

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March 06, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: USD Down After Payrolls
Paying Article

March 6, 2026 1:38 PM UTC

USD lower after the data, but Iran war still helping USD sentiment.  

March 05, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Japanese Equities Bounce and Fade
Paying Article

March 5, 2026 5:26 AM UTC

USD/JPY little changed

March 04, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: USD off on NYT Iran Talks Request
Paying Article

March 4, 2026 10:46 AM UTC

USD is dipping on reports of Iran reaching out to the U.S. for talks. 

USD/JPY flows: Verbal Intervention Surfaces
Paying Article

March 4, 2026 5:46 AM UTC

Japan finance minister Katayama verbally intervene

March 03, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Risk Off, But
Paying Article

March 3, 2026 9:13 AM UTC

The EUR is under pressure today, despite USDJPY being stable in Europe.

USD/JPY flows: Quiet before the storm?
Paying Article

March 3, 2026 3:52 AM UTC

Major FX rangebound

March 02, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Risk Off, But
Paying Article

March 2, 2026 8:47 AM UTC

The mood remains risk off, but this is being curtailed by the modest rise in oil prices.  

USD/JPY flows: FX market rangebound after weekend strike
Paying Article

March 2, 2026 2:59 AM UTC

U.S. strike Iran over the weekend, killing the Supreme leader

February 27, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Tokyo CPI Dips Further
Paying Article

February 27, 2026 2:48 AM UTC

Tokyo CPI Dips Further Below 2%

February 26, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Ueda and his hawkish words
Paying Article

February 26, 2026 5:35 AM UTC

BOJ’s Ueda flags March, April hike chance

February 25, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Geopolitical Drama Persists
Paying Article

February 25, 2026 6:05 AM UTC

Trump says Iran advancing missile, nuclear programs despite negotiations

February 24, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Takaichi Weakens the JPY
Paying Article

February 24, 2026 9:44 AM UTC

The JPY fell noticeably across the board in early European trading, as reports indicated that PM Takaichi had voiced concerns about further BOJ rate hikes in a meeting with BOJ Ueda – a further 25bps hike had been discounted by June.  Into mid-morning, the JPY partially retraced some of the losse

USD/JPY flows: USD rebounds
Paying Article

February 24, 2026 3:34 AM UTC

USD rebounds on Tuesday

February 23, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Waiting for Trump State of the Union
Paying Article

February 23, 2026 8:00 AM UTC

In Europe, the USD has initially stabilized at lower levels.

USD/JPY flows: No Weekend Strikes
Paying Article

February 23, 2026 1:13 AM UTC

U.S.-Iran nuclear talks set for Thursday

February 20, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Q4 US GDP
Paying Article

February 20, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

GDP lower than expected but USD dip is temporary.  

USD/JPY flows: Headline Inflation Below Target
Paying Article

February 20, 2026 1:24 AM UTC

The January National CPI dipped below two percent

February 19, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Initial Claims Helps USD
Paying Article

February 19, 2026 1:38 PM UTC

USD drifted higher after today's releases in the U.S. 

February 18, 2026

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: Waiting for Friday
Paying Article

February 18, 2026 1:57 PM UTC

USD drifted higher, but breakout no expected before Friday Q4 GDP data. 

February 17, 2026

USD/JPY flows: April Hike Speculation
Paying Article

February 17, 2026 5:35 AM UTC

BOJ likely to raise rates 25bp April, former board member says

February 16, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Preliminary Q4 GDP Miss
Paying Article

February 16, 2026 12:44 AM UTC

Q4 Annualized GDP at 0.2%

February 13, 2026

USD flows: Supreme Court decision on tariffs possible on February 20, but not certain
Paying Article

February 13, 2026 5:34 PM UTC

The Supreme Court has scheduled February 20 as a day for announcements. There is no certainty on which cases will see decisions announced for, but a ruling on the Trump reciprocal tariffs is a clear possibility.

EUR/USD, USD/JPY flows: U.S. Equity Risk Off Questions Post CPI
Paying Article

February 13, 2026 1:40 PM UTC

The January U.S. CPI at 0.2% headline and 0.3% core is USD neutral, as it does not change the near-term rate cut prospects that the market sees as coming in the summer. 

USD/JPY flows: Rebound after on Friday
Paying Article

February 13, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Japan advances U.S. investment package talks
Japan seizes Chinese fishing vessel in EEZ

February 12, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Japanese Officials Kept the Jawboning Pressure
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 3:42 AM UTC

Atsushi Mimura reiterates high-urgency monitoring stance
Bloomberg reports Hedge funds boost yen bets as buy Japan trade strengthens 

February 11, 2026

EUR/USD, GBP/USD USD/JPY flows: USD bounces except versus JPY
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 1:49 PM UTC

USD has pushed higher against DM currencies except the JPY, after the stronger than expected January employment report (130k NFP and 4.3% unemployment). 

USD/JPY flows: JPY Gaining on Japan Holiday
Paying Article

February 11, 2026 4:48 AM UTC

JPY Gaining on Japan Holiday

February 10, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Takaichi in Action
Paying Article

February 10, 2026 2:26 AM UTC

Japan pushes fast budget passage as food tax cuts, funding debated

February 09, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Labor Cash Earning Improves
Paying Article

February 9, 2026 2:12 AM UTC

December Labor Cash Earning 2.4% y/y
LDP Landslide Victory

February 06, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Household spending miss
Paying Article

February 6, 2026 2:03 AM UTC

Japan December Household Spending -2.9% m/m 

February 05, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Waiting for Clarity
Paying Article

February 5, 2026 5:48 AM UTC

Polls suggest LDP to regain majority in Lower House

February 04, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Recovered half of losses since late January
Paying Article

February 4, 2026 6:03 AM UTC

USD/JPY points north again

February 03, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Risk mood improves
Paying Article

February 3, 2026 2:38 AM UTC

US cuts tariffs on India to 18% as New Delhi agrees to end Russian oil purchases

February 02, 2026

USD flows: Shutdown postpones January non-farm payroll
Paying Article

February 2, 2026 6:26 PM UTC

While House Majority leader Johnson is still optimistic about getting the partial government shutdown resolved tomorrow (Tuesday), the Labor Department has no stated that the shutdown has already lasted long enough to  cause Friday’s non-farm payroll to be delayed.

USD flows: Shutdown politics and economic data
Paying Article

February 2, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

The US government is now in a partial shutdown which is expected to be resolved fairly soon, but probably only for two weeks. The December JOLTS report on labor turnover due on Tuesday February 3 may be delayed, but initial claims on Thursday February 5 and the key January non-farm payroll on Friday

USD/JPY flows: Renewed Weakness
Paying Article

February 2, 2026 1:11 AM UTC

USD/JPY weakens at the opening

January 30, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Tokyo CPI Dips
Paying Article

January 30, 2026 2:01 AM UTC

Headline CPI Dips Below Target Range

January 29, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Digesting the FOMC
Paying Article

January 29, 2026 3:12 AM UTC

Market participants digesting the hold from FOMC

January 28, 2026

USD/JPY flows: BoJ Meeting Minutes "Hawkish"
Paying Article

January 28, 2026 5:30 AM UTC

Some members see inflation becoming more entrenched
No preset hiking path, but further tightening firmly on the table

January 27, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Trump and Iran
Paying Article

January 27, 2026 6:36 PM UTC

 Trump is once again threatening military action against Iran, with an armada arriving off Iran this week. 

USD/JPY flows: Minor Recovery
Paying Article

January 27, 2026 3:45 AM UTC

Small rebound for USD/JPY

January 26, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Intervention Fear Bids
Paying Article

January 26, 2026 12:29 AM UTC

JPY gain strongly on intervention fear

January 23, 2026

USD/JPY flows: BoJ Holds
Paying Article

January 23, 2026 5:32 AM UTC

BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.75%

USD/JPY flows: CPI Slows
Paying Article

January 23, 2026 2:02 AM UTC

All three items of Japanese CPI moderates in December

January 22, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Yields continue to moderate
Paying Article

January 22, 2026 5:47 AM UTC

JGB yields moderate across the curve

January 21, 2026

USD/JPY flows: Rise in Yields Stalled
Paying Article

January 21, 2026 5:50 AM UTC

Long end JGB yield's climb stalled

January 20, 2026

USD flows: Repeat of reciprocal tariff sell off?
Paying Article

January 20, 2026 8:48 AM UTC

USD generally weaker as Greenland spat revives memories of USD sell off on reciprocal tariff announcement last April

JPY flows: Renewed sell off on election fears
Paying Article

January 20, 2026 8:17 AM UTC

JPY renews downtrend as Takaichi call election and pledges to suspend food tax 

USD/JPY flows: Yields Climbing
Paying Article

January 20, 2026 3:15 AM UTC

10yr JGB yields continue to search for higher levels

January 19, 2026

USD flows: USD lower on Greenland
Paying Article

January 19, 2026 8:07 AM UTC

Greenland furore underminign equities and weakening the USD. EUR and CHF best performers so far but JPY preferred