Psychology for major markets Mar 25
Largely rangy market, USD sentiment still mildly positive, JPY weakness stretched
EUR/USD – USD holding firm having recovered some initial weakness post-FOMC. Mild positive USD sentiment but 1.08 level likely to offer support.
USD/JPY – USD/JPY still testing the highs in the high 151s, but without any real support from yield spreads. Feels stretched but may be option barriers attracting at the highs short term.
EUR/GBP- EUR/GBP showed a more positive tone post-BoE MPC meeting, with the market seeing more chance of a rate cuts as early as May, but has rejected the initial test of 0.86,. Mild positive sentiment remains, but any gains likely to be slow.
AUD/USD – AUD suffering from regional equity market weakness and big upmove in USD/CNY, but 0.6450-0.65 area sill supports.
EUR/CHF – CHF fell sharply after the SNB cut rates, and risks remain on the CHF downside, although downside now more limited as other central banks are likely to follow suit in the coming months.
Equities – US markets holding close to all time highs helped by strong corporate earnings and the more dovish than expected Fed. Sentiment remains positive despite extreme valuations