Published: 2025-04-30T12:46:13.000Z
USD flows: USD slightly softer after GDP

Senior FX Strategist
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GDP came in at -0.3% in Q1 due to weakness in net exports, but underlying demand remains strong
Although US GDP fell 0.3% annualised in Q1, below the consensus estimate of +0.2%, the weakness was due almost entirely to a flood of imports looking to avoid impending tariffs. But measures of underlying demand were still strong. For instance, real final sales to domestic private purchasers was up 3%, and consumer spending was up 1.8% after a 4% gain in Q4. The USD has edged a touch lower, but this data is of limited significance with the market focus more on what happens in Q2 when tariffs come into effect.