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Published: 2024-01-04T19:47:28.000Z

Psychology for major markets 5 Jan

byAdrian Schmidt

Senior FX Strategist
-

US non-farm payrolls await.

EUR/USD – EUR/USD gaining support from upward revisions in services PMIs, but 1.10 is likely to be a bridge too far. 
USD/JPY – Rising US yields at the start of the year boosting USD/JPY, but gains starting to look a little excessive.
GBP/USD – GBP outperforming as UK yields rise strongly at the beginning of the year, and PMIs outperform, but upside more limited near term as market already prices a relatively less dovish BoE.
AUD/USD – Backing away from the 2023 highs near 0.69 as the USD makes a general recovery, but still well supported as long as risk sentiment holds up. 
USD/CHF – CHF showing remarkable strength early in the year, in spite of the SNB’s more dovish tone and the end of their FX reserve selling. But gains look overdone.
Equities - Cautious start to year as Fed easing speculation is reconsidered, though sharp decline with market braced for a heathy payroll after ADP data. 

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Topics
Foreign Exchange
Psycho

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