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Published: 2024-07-10T04:29:19.000Z

NZD/USD flows: Kiwi sunk on RBNZ's forward guidance shift

byCephas Kin Long Yung

FX Analyst
3

RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 5.5% and suggest inflation approaching target range

RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 5.5% and suggest inflation approaching target range."Restrictive monetary policy has significantly reduced consumer price inflation, with the Committee expecting headline inflation to return to within the 1 to 3 percent target range in the second half of this year." The RBNZ openly stated inflation is approaching target range in their title, which is a turn around from May's statement when they suggest rate would be higher for longer. It seems to suggest the Q2 CPI would likely tread lower.  The forward guidance is changed to "The Committee agreed that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive. The extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures." from "The Committee agreed that monetary policy needs to remain restrictive to ensure inflation returns to target within a reasonable timeframe." The RBNZ is signalling current inflationary dynamics are following their playbook and they are ready to ease when CPI reaches target range. 

NZD/USD sunk on release and is currently trading 0.56% lower at 0.6090 with session low at 0.6075.

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Topics
Foreign Exchange
Flows
NZD/USD-Commentary

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