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Published: 2024-08-27T10:32:25.000Z

Europe Summary and Highlights 27 August

byAdrian Schmidt

Senior FX Strategist
1

A fairly quiet European session saw modest gains for GBP and CHF, but not much net movement in EUR/USD or USD/JPY.

European morning session

A fairly quiet European session saw modest gains for GBP and CHF, but not much net movement in EUR/USD or USD/JPY. EUR/GBP lost around 20 pips to 0.8445, and EUR/CHF fell 15 pips to 0.9450. USD/CAD was also a little softer, dropping to 1.3470.

Very little of note newswise, with the Q2 German GDP data unrevised at -0.1% q/q

Asia Session

The July Japan Corporate Service PPI has came in at 2.8%, lower than prior at 3% but still much higher than sub 1% headline PPI. The wage growth will continue to be inflationary yet the transfusion into consumption is still unsure. Japan's FM Suzuki says FX rates determined by various factors but this time it is not a dejavu of verbal intervention, rather an indirect response to potential questions arising from Fed's rate cut soon. Rapid movement in any direction is generally unfavorable by central banks but JPY has been significantly weakness against USD for the past year or two, thus there maybe some room for rewind before we hear verbal intervention to slow JPY strength. U.S. Treasury yields are higher across the curve while JGB yields lower. USD/JPY stays 0.11% higher at 144.67.

Geopolitical headline surface again on Tuesday's Asia session. Russia is responding to Ukraine's advance by more drone attacks on Kyiv. So far, Russia seems to be focusing on taking more Ukrainian grounds rather then withdrew more front line forces to defend. In the same morning, Taiwan has reported 15 Chinese military aircraft detected over last 24 hours around Taiwan. While no one is expecting a Taiwan invasion but such headline will do risk asset no good in a short run. AUD/USD followed the recovering risk mood and is trading 0.22% higher at 0.6786, NZD/USD is up 0.28% at 0.6222 while USD/CAD slipped 0.04%. Else, EUR/USD and GBP/USD are up 0.07%.

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FX Highlights
Foreign Exchange
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