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Published: 2025-08-01T14:21:52.000Z

Chart EUR/USD Update: Sharp USD-driven bounce

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
4

Consolidation above congestion support at 1.1400 has given way to a sharp USD-driven bounce

 LevelsImpComment  LevelsImpComment
R41.1830**1 Jul YTD high S11.1500**congestion
R31.1750*break level S21.1400**congestion
R21.1700*congestion S31.1360**61.8% ret of May-Jul rally
R11.1600*congestion S41.1300*congestion

*Asterisk denotes strength of level

15:15 BST - Consolidation above congestion support at 1.1400 has given way to a sharp USD-driven bounce, with the break above 1.1500 turning sentiment neutral. Intraday studies are rising and oversold daily stochastics are flattening, highlighting potential for a test of congestion resistance at 1.1600. But the negative daily Tension Indicator and bearish weekly charts are expected to limit scope in renewed selling interest beneath further congestion around 1.1700. Meanwhile, support is raised to congestion around 1.1500. But a close below 1.1400 is needed to turn sentiment negative and extend July losses initially to the 1.1360 Fibonacci retracement. A further close beneath here will open up 1.1300.

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Topics
EUR/USD-TA
DM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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