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Published: 2025-08-08T16:02:16.000Z

Chart USD/BRL Update: Balanced above current year lows

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
-

Anticipated losses have extended, with the break below 5.5000 giving way to consolidation above the 5.4000~ current year low of 4 July and historic congestion

 Levels Imp Comment   Levels Imp Comment 
R4 5.6650**38.2% ret of Apr-Jul fall S1 5.4000~**4 Jul YTD low
R3 5.6500**congestion S2 5.3780*August 2024 low
R2 5.6000**congestion S3 5.3150**61.8% ret of 2023-2024 rally
R1 5.5000**congestion S4 5.3000*congestion

Asterisk denotes strength of level

16:55 BST - Anticipated losses have extended, with the break below 5.5000 giving way to consolidation above the 5.4000~ current year low of 4 July and historic congestion. Daily studies are falling and broader weekly charts are coming under pressure, highlighting room for still further losses in the coming sessions. A close beneath here will add weight to sentiment and extend December 2024 losses below the 5.3780 low of August 2024 towards the 5.3150 Fibonacci retracement. Meanwhile, resistance is at congestion around 5.5000. A close above here, if seen, would help to stabilise price action and prompt consolidation beneath further congestion around 5.6000.

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Topics
USD/BRL-TA
EM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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