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Published: 2025-05-14T15:30:05.000Z

Chart USD/CAD Update: Extending cautious trade

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
1

 The anticipated minor test lower has bounced from congestion support at 1.3900

 Levels 
Imp
Comment 
 
 Levels 
Imp
Comment 
R4 1.4150**50% ret of Mar-May fall
 
S1 1.3900*congestion
R3 1.4100 break level
 
S2 1.3800 congestion
R2 1.4050**38.2% ret of Mar-May fall
 
S3 1.3745**76.4% ret of Sep-Feb rally
R1 1.4000*break level
 
S4 1.3700**congestion

Asterisk denotes strength of level

16:20 BST - The anticipated minor test lower has bounced from congestion support at 1.3900, as oversold intraday studies unwind, with prices currently trading around 1.3975. Focus is back on resistance at 1.4000. But overbought daily stochastics are expected to limit any initial tests in consolidation, before the positive daily Tension Indicator and improving weekly charts prompt a break. A close above here will turn sentiment positive and extend May gains initially towards the 1.4050 Fibonacci retracement, where bearish longer-term charts could promote renewed selling interest. Meanwhile, any immediate tests below 1.3900 should give way to consolidation above 1.3800.

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Topics
USD/CAD-TA
Free-Tactical-TA
DM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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