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Published: 2025-08-18T15:56:06.000Z

Chart USD/BRL Update: Limited tests higher

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
1

Consolidation following the test of the 5.3780 low of August 2024 has given way to a bounce back above 5.4000

 Levels Imp Comment   Levels Imp Comment 
R4 5.6500**congestion S1 5.4000~*congestion
R3 5.6000**congestion S2 5.3780*August 2024 low
R2 5.5000**congestion S3 5.3150**61.8% ret of 2023-2024 rally
R1 5.4500 congestion S4 5.3000*congestion

Asterisk denotes strength of level

16:45 BST - Consolidation following the test of the 5.3780 low of August 2024 has given way to a bounce back above 5.4000, as oversold daily stochastics unwind, with prices currently trading around 5.4215. A test of congestion resistance at 5.4500 cannot be ruled out. But the bearish daily Tension Indicator and negative weekly charts are expected to limit any break in renewed selling interest towards further congestion around 5.5000. Following cautious trade, fresh losses are looked for. A close below 5.3780 will turn sentiment negative and extend December 2024 losses towards the 5.3150 Fibonacci retracement.

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Topics
USD/BRL-TA
EM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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