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Published: 2025-08-28T15:32:33.000Z

Chart USD/CAD Update: Room for lower

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
-

The anticipated break below 1.3800 has reached 1.3750

 Levels ImpComment   Levels ImpComment 
R4 1.4170**50% ret of Feb-Jun fall S1 1.3700**congestion
R3 1.4000/20**break level; 38.2% ret S2 1.3600**congestion
R2 1.3900**break level S3 1.3550*congestion
R1 1.3800*congestion S4 1.3500**congestion

Asterisk denotes strength of level

16:15 BST - The anticipated break below 1.3800 has reached 1.3750, where oversold intraday studies are prompting short-term reactions. Daily readings continue to point lower and overbought weekly stochastics are unwinding, highlighting room for continuation down to congestion support at 1.3700. A break will open up further congestion around 1.3600. But already oversold daily stochastics and the rising weekly Tension Indicator are expected to limit any initial tests in consolidation. Meanwhile, a close back above congestion resistance at 1.3800, if seen, will help to stabilise sentiment and prompt consolidation beneath 1.3900.

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Topics
USD/CAD-TA
Free-Tactical-TA
DM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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