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Published: 2025-07-16T07:43:57.000Z

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating test of 1.1600 - studies under pressure

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
-

Cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 1.1700 has given way to a sharp pullback to congestion support at 1.1600

 LevelsImpComment  LevelsImpComment
R41.1830**1 Jul YTD high S11.1600*congestion
R31.1800*congestion S21.1540*38.2% ret of May-Jul rally
R21.1750*break level S31.1500*congestion
R11.1700*congestion S41.1450**50% ret of May-Jul rally

*Asterisk denotes strength of level

08:25 BST - Cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 1.1700 has given way to a sharp pullback to congestion support at 1.1600. Oversold intraday studies are unwinding and oversold daily stochastics are flat, prompting consolidation above here. But the negative daily Tension Indicator and deteriorating weekly charts are expected to prompt still further losses. A later break below 1.1600 will add weight to sentiment and extend July losses towards the 1.1540 Fibonacci retracement. Already oversold daily stochastics could limit any initial tests of here in consolidation, before further losses unfold. Meanwhile, resistance remains at 1.1700 and should continue to cap any immediate tests higher.

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Topics
EUR/USD-TA
DM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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