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Published: 2025-07-04T10:31:32.000Z

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Choppy trade - room for a test lower

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
-

Sharp selling interest has reached 1.5930, where unwinding oversold intraday studies have prompted a steady bounce back to congestion resistance at 1.6000

 Level Comment  Level Comment
R41.6200 historic congestion S11.5900*congestion
R31.6150~**March 2018 (y) high S21.5800 congestion
R21.6100/09*cong; 1 Jul YTD high S31.5700 break level
R11.6000**congestion S41.5600**congestion lows

Asterisk denotes strength

11:30 BST - Sharp selling interest has reached 1.5930, where unwinding oversold intraday studies have prompted a steady bounce back to congestion resistance at 1.6000. A test above here cannot be ruled out. But unwinding overbought daily stochastics and a tick lower in the daily Tension Indicator are expected to limit scope in renewed selling interest beneath 1.6100. In the coming sessions, a fresh test lower is looked for. Support is at congestion around .5900. But rising weekly charts should limit any break in renewed buying interest above 1.5800. Meanwhile, a close above 1.6100/09, not yet seen, will turn sentiment positive once again and extend August 2022 gains towards critical multi-year resistance at the 1.6150~ year high of March 2018. Continuation beyond here will extend broader 2012 gains into levels from 3Q2009.

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Topics
EUR/CAD-TA
Technical Analysis
DM-Technical

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