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Published: 2025-07-04T07:42:35.000Z

Chart EUR/USD Update: Balanced at year highs - potential for a minor test lower

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
2

The sharp pullback from congestion resistance at 1.1800 has bounced from above congestion support at 1.1700

 LevelsImpComment  LevelsImpComment
R41.2000/20**cong; 38.2% ret of 2008-2022 fall S11.1700*congestion
R31.1900*congestion S21.1600*congestion
R21.1830*1 Jul YTD high S31.1500*congestion
R11.1800*congestion S41.1446*19 Jun (w) low

*Asterisk denotes strength of level

08:35 BST - The sharp pullback from congestion resistance at 1.1800 has bounced from above congestion support at 1.1700, with prices currently balanced back beneath 1.1800. Intraday studies are mixed/negative and daily readings are coming under pressure, highlighting potential for a test below 1.1700. Focus will turn turn to further congestion around 1.1600. But rising weekly charts and positive longer-term readings are expected to limit any tests in renewed buying interest. Following cautious/corrective trade, fresh gains are looked for. A later break above 1.1800 will open up the 1.1830 current year high of 1 July. A close above here will turn sentiment positive once again and extend broad September 2022 gains towards further congestion around 1.1900.

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Topics
EUR/USD-TA
DM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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