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Published: 2025-08-29T15:45:11.000Z

Chart USD/BRL Update: Cautious trade

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
-

Cautious trade, as prices consolidate above congestion support at 5.4000

 Levels Imp Comment   Levels Imp Comment 
R4 5.6500**congestion S1 5.4000~*congestion
R3 5.6000**congestion S2 5.3780*August 2024 low
R2 5.5000**congestion S3 5.3150**61.8% ret of 2023-2024 rally
R1 5.4500 congestion S4 5.3000*congestion

Asterisk denotes strength of level

16:35 BST - Cautious trade, as prices consolidate above congestion support at 5.4000. Daily stochastics and the daily Tension Indicator are mixed/positive, suggesting room for a test higher in the coming sessions. But mixed weekly charts are expected to limit scope in renewed selling interest at congestion resistance around 5.5000. Longer-term charts are bearish, suggesting room for later losses. But a close below the 5.3780 low of August 2024 is needed to turn sentiment negative and extend December 2024 losses towards the 5.3150 Fibonacci retracement. Meanwhile, an unexpected close above 5.5000 will improve sentiment and give way to a run towards congestion around 5.6000.

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Topics
USD/BRL-TA
EM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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