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Published: 2025-07-07T16:07:37.000Z

Chart USD/BRL Update: Corrective bounce from fresh year lows

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
1

Steady selling interest has extended December 2024 losses to a fresh year low around 5.4000~

 Levels Imp Comment   Levels Imp Comment 
R4 5.6000**congestion S1 5.4000~**4 Jul YTD low
R3 5.5500*congestion                                           S2 5.3780*August 2024 low
R2 5.5000**congestion S3 5.3150**61.8% ret of 2023-2024 rally
R1 5.4700*range lows S4 5.3000**congestion

Asterisk denotes strength of level

16:55 BST - Steady selling interest has extended December 2024 losses to a fresh year low around 5.4000~, where unwinding oversold daily stochastics are prompting short-covering and a bounce towards resistance at the 5.4700 range lows. The daily Tension Indicator is also edging higher, suggesting room for a break towards further congestion around 5.5000. But mixed/negative weekly charts should limit any continuation beyond here in renewed selling interest towards 5.5500. Following corrective trade, fresh losses are looked for. But a close below 5.4000 is needed to turn sentiment negative and extend losses initially towards the 5.3780 low of August 2024.

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Topics
USD/BRL-TA
EM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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