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Published: 2025-08-12T07:42:57.000Z

Chart EUR/USD Update: Drifting lower

byMike Macdonald

Senior Technical Strategist
2

The anticipated test of congestion support at 1.1600 is giving way to consolidation

 LevelsImpComment  LevelsImpComment
R41.1900**Jul-Sep 2021 break level S11.1600*congestion
R31.1830**1 Jul YTD high S21.1500**congestion
R21.1750*break level S31.1400**congestion
R11.1700*congestion S41.1360**61.8% ret of May-Jul rally

*Asterisk denotes strength of level

08:35 BST - The anticipated test of congestion support at 1.1600 is giving way to consolidation, as oversold intraday studies unwind and the daily Tension Indicator continues to rise, with prices currently balanced around 1.1615. However, daily stochastics are turning down and broader weekly charts are deteriorating, highlighting room for further losses in the coming sessions. A close below 1.1600 will add weight to sentiment and open up further congestion around 1.1500. Meanwhile, resistance remains at congestion around 1.1700 and extends to 1.1750. This range should cap any immediate tests higher. Critical resistance, however, is at the 1.1830 current year high of 1 July. A close above here would turn sentiment positive and confirm continuation of September 2022 gains.

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Topics
EUR/USD-TA
DM-Technical
Technical Analysis

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