EUR/NOK-Commentary

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May 27, 2026

NOK/SEK flows: Pullback to 0.98~ if oil correction continues to stick?
Paying Article

May 27, 2026 8:33 AM UTC

Oil pullback proving sticky for now, as talks neither delivering nor breaking down yet
Could see NOK/SEK overbought run and pullback extend towards 0.98 if it holds

May 18, 2026

USD flows: Waiver allows some respite
Paying Article

May 18, 2026 1:01 PM UTC

Some respite on suggestions of US temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions, before any final agreement
Mkt lifted by some US compromise and apparent responsiveness to fresh energy pressure
Day to day development swing too wildly to get carried away

AUD/USD flows: Spec positions super-stretched into pullback, GBP trimmed
Paying Article

May 18, 2026 7:25 AM UTC

IMM positions data showed mkt was stretched long AUD into pullback, albeit partly offset on cross
GBP shorts trimmed after positioning into anticipated political event
Overall, mkt was light dollars into any volatility pick up

USD flows: Watching volatility, USD/EM, for pointers (DXY, AUD, EUR, GBP)
Paying Article

May 18, 2026 6:44 AM UTC

FX moves slow into various big figure correction levels, but USD squeeze remains the risk
Watching background pointers such as MOVE, USD/EM for broader risk aversion

May 15, 2026

USD flows: more of the same from US data and shakeout (DXY, AUD, EUR, NOK)
Paying Article

May 15, 2026 1:25 PM UTC

US data shows strength on prices and activity, chipping away at dollar shorts
Backdrop remains skewed to stretched position reductions

USD flows: Feeling the stretch (DXY, AUD, EUR, GBP)
Paying Article

May 15, 2026 9:47 AM UTC

A clash of themes coming to a head as over-accelerating AI, risk and commodity complex trades run into ongoing Iran standoff and the mini dollar squeeze
The likes of AUD, semiconductors, Kospi, metals, have been overrunning m/t trends, not to maximum excess, but to degrees that are vulnerable to a lo

USD flows: Bit of a dollar squeeze; stretched risk pullback
Paying Article

May 15, 2026 6:57 AM UTC

Dollar squeeze spreads after cable lead; stretched metals and risk mkt pull backs help broaden
Some s/t chart shifts seen, such as in NOK

May 11, 2026

NOK flows: Usual Monday oil bounce, EUR/NOK sitting on support
Paying Article

May 11, 2026 6:40 AM UTC

EUR/NOK still pressing support area after 'usual' weekend negative comments and oil bounce. More downside scope on spreads.

May 08, 2026

USD, JPY, EUR, NOK, CAD oil flows: Ever present weekend risk
Paying Article

May 8, 2026 9:02 AM UTC

Recent pattern of hope for the best, hedge for the worst heading into w/e

May 07, 2026

NOK flows: NOK rallies on Norges Bank rate hike
Paying Article

May 7, 2026 8:21 AM UTC

Norges Bank hikes the policy rateto 4.25%. NOK rallies as market had been split on probability of a hike. Scope for further NOK gains medium term

January 09, 2026

EUR, NOK flows: NOK supported by CPI, German output strong
Paying Article

January 9, 2026 7:30 AM UTC

NOK firmer after CPI comes in above consensus. EUR should find support from stronger German output

December 29, 2025

EUR/NOK, NOK/SEK: NOK to Uprate in 2026
Paying Article

December 29, 2025 11:30 AM UTC

We see EUR/NOK to 11.0 by end 2026.

December 10, 2025

NOK, SEK, JPY flows: SEK still firm after GDP decline, JPY weakness continues
Paying Article

December 10, 2025 7:51 AM UTC

SEK still strong despite drop in October GDP. JPY weakness continues, intervention likely necessary soon.

November 10, 2025

NOK, JPY flows: NOK firmer after CPI, JPY weaker on hopes of end to US shutdown
Paying Article

November 10, 2025 7:38 AM UTC

NOK rallies as CPI comes out strong in October. JPY weaker as risk rallies on hopes of end to US government shutdown

November 06, 2025

NOK flows: NOK marginally firmer after Norges Bank decision
Paying Article

November 6, 2025 9:12 AM UTC

NOK edges higher after Norges Bank leaves rates unchanged

October 28, 2025

AUD, CAD, NOK flows: Commodity currencies higher
Paying Article

October 28, 2025 3:02 PM UTC

Commodity currencies all higher in North America morning trading

October 10, 2025

NOK, JPY flows: NOK little changed after CPI, JPY makes modest recovery
Paying Article

October 10, 2025 6:54 AM UTC

Norwegna CPI much as expected, NOK remains in the centre of the range. JPY makes a modest recovery as political picture in Japan becomes more uncertain

September 18, 2025

NOK flows: NOK net little changed after hawkish cut
Paying Article

September 18, 2025 8:16 AM UTC

Norges Bank cut rates, but indicated a less dovish future profile

USD, EUR, JPY, NOK flows: USD firmer after Fed, JPY soft, NOK could slip on Norges Bank
Paying Article

September 18, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

USD firmer after Fed despite larger than expected 2025 rate cuts in the dots. JPY continues to underperform. NOK can slip on Norges Bank

September 15, 2025

USD, AUD, NOK, JPY flows: Equity strength supports riskier currencies, but...
Paying Article

September 15, 2025 6:51 AM UTC

Equity gains have helped AUD and NOK rise, but rising risk premia suggest JPY can catch up.

September 10, 2025

USD, NOK, SEK, JPY flows: Quiet markets ahead of US price data
Paying Article

September 10, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

FX markets briadly steady but JPY and NOK remain undervalued

August 21, 2025

NOK flows: NOK slightly higher after strong GDP
Paying Article

August 21, 2025 6:58 AM UTC

NOK has moved higher after stronger than expected GDP, but case for bigger gains remains

August 14, 2025

NOK flows: NOK marginally higher after Norges Bank leaves rates unchanged
Paying Article

August 14, 2025 8:12 AM UTC

Rates left unchanged as expected. Statement indicates view unchanged from June. NOK remains good longer term value

August 11, 2025

NOK flows: NOK recovered slighty on stronger CPI
Paying Article

August 11, 2025 6:39 AM UTC

July CPI slightly on the strong side, but NOK remains weak

July 24, 2025

EUR flows: EUR up as yields rise on Lagarde
Paying Article

July 24, 2025 12:42 PM UTC

Lagarde sounding less dovish, market now not fully pricing in any more easing this year. EUR firmer, but EUR/USD upside may be more limited than EUR gains on the crosses.

July 10, 2025

NOK, SEK, EUR flows: NOK marginally higher after CPI, tariff news awaited
Paying Article

July 10, 2025 6:44 AM UTC

NOK still has scope for gains after modest post CPI rise. Tariff news awaited

June 25, 2025

USD, CHF, EUR, NOK flows: USD weakness may be overdone, CHF strength looks excessive
Paying Article

June 25, 2025 6:52 AM UTC

Better risk tone should mean CHF comes under pressure

May 15, 2025

GBP, NOK flows: GBP and NOK find mild support from better GDP
Paying Article

May 15, 2025 6:47 AM UTC

UK Q1 GDP revised up, Norway Q1 GDP stronger than expected. GBP and NOK see mild gains, NOK has scope for more

May 09, 2025

NOK flows: NOK little changed after CPI
Paying Article

May 9, 2025 6:41 AM UTC

Norwegian CPI on the soft side, but NOK still good value

April 24, 2025

NOK, SEK, CAD, JPY flows: Potential for corrections
Paying Article

April 24, 2025 6:46 AM UTC

FX moves driven by the tariff driven risk sell off can correct in less volatile markets

April 14, 2025

EUR, USD, JPY, CHF, AUD, NOK flows: USD remains under pressure, risk steadier for now
Paying Article

April 14, 2025 7:06 AM UTC

USD still under pressure, risk sentiment stabilising but danger of renewed weakness

April 08, 2025

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, NOK flows: JPY and AUD look good value
Paying Article

April 8, 2025 1:46 PM UTC

A mild risk reocvery is being seen, but whether it continues will depend on the news on tariffs. But there is value in JPY, AUD and NOK

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, NOK flows: Mild risk recovery, but...
Paying Article

April 8, 2025 7:00 AM UTC

Equity markets recovering modestly but still value in JPY

March 11, 2025

EUR, GBP, scandi flows: EUR and scandis firm as risk sentiment recovers
Paying Article

March 11, 2025 8:00 AM UTC

EUR recovering as equity futures bounce, GBP slips to 6 week low against the EUR. Scandis the best performers.

March 10, 2025

NOK flows: NOK gains on stronger CPI
Paying Article

March 10, 2025 7:42 AM UTC

Norwegian February CPI has come in much stronger than expected, and NOK has risen in response, but still has scope for further gains

February 26, 2025

USD, JPY, NOK, SEK flows: USD stabilising but downside risks remain. NOK/SEK weakness is extreme
Paying Article

February 26, 2025 7:43 AM UTC

USD reocvered modestly overnight but downside favoured as long as concerns about slowing growth persist. NOK/SEK testing 2024 lows and continues to look very undervalued.

February 11, 2025

NOK flows: NOK steady despite weak GDP
Paying Article

February 11, 2025 7:31 AM UTC

Norwegian GDP disappoints but NOK downside limited

February 10, 2025

USD, NOK, SEK flows: Focus on tariffs, scope for scandi gains
Paying Article

February 10, 2025 7:46 AM UTC

USD may benefit from latest tariff announcement. Scandis have upside scope

January 23, 2025

NOK flows: NOK little changed after Norges Bank
Paying Article

January 23, 2025 9:22 AM UTC

NOK steady as Norges Bank leaves rates unchanged but still has potential for recovery

January 10, 2025

NOK flows: Softer CPI but NOK still excellent value
Paying Article

January 10, 2025 7:44 AM UTC

Softer Norway CPI increases chance of March easng but NOK remains excellent value

December 10, 2024

NOK flows: NOK firmer after higher CPI
Paying Article

December 10, 2024 7:49 AM UTC

NOK makes some gains after CPI comes in above expectations, but scope for much larger recovery

November 22, 2024

CHF flows: EUR/CHF bounces on SNB comments
Paying Article

November 22, 2024 2:32 PM UTC

EUR/CHF back above opening levels after SNB chair Schlegel indicates potential for negative rates. But scope for CHF losses against the UR remains quite limited. CHF/JPY and CHF/NOK much more vulnerable

November 08, 2024

USD, CAD, EUR, JPY flows: USD reverses gains, CAD in focus
Paying Article

November 8, 2024 7:59 AM UTC

The rise in US yields and the USD after the election have largely been reversed, but equities remain elevated and commodity currencies have outperformed. But the CAD remains vulnerable if today's employment report is weak.

October 21, 2024

AUD, GBP, NOK flows: Risk negative start to the week
Paying Article

October 21, 2024 7:03 AM UTC

Risky currencies dip as Asia equities slip ahead of European open. AUD and NOK weakness looks overdone

October 10, 2024

NOK, SEK, JPY, EUR flows: NOK dips marginally on CPI, USD firm
Paying Article

October 10, 2024 6:48 AM UTC

Norwegian CPI weaker than expected, but reaction is mild USD remains strong against EUR and JPY

September 26, 2024

JPY, CHF, NOK flows: Risk sentiment improved o/n but NOK lags
Paying Article

September 26, 2024 6:45 AM UTC

More Chinese equity gains on reports of Chinese injection of capital into banks. JPY weak, most risky currencies better, but NOK under pressure. CHF a focus on SNB meeting today

September 10, 2024

NOK flows: NOK resilient after slightly softer CPI
Paying Article

September 10, 2024 6:27 AM UTC

NOK dips slightly on CPI but reocvers quickly and remains too weak relative to yield spreads

August 22, 2024

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, NOK flows: Risk positive tone remains post FOMC
Paying Article

August 22, 2024 6:42 AM UTC

USD remains under general pressure but AUD may be the best performer while tone remains risk positive

August 12, 2024

EUR, JPY, GBP, NOK flows: Mildly more risk positive tone
Paying Article

August 12, 2024 6:30 AM UTC

Asia trading sees modest gains in the riskier currencies with safe havens edging lower

August 09, 2024

NOK, AUD flows: NOK little changed after CPI, AUD firm
Paying Article

August 9, 2024 6:27 AM UTC

NOK reverses initial post-CPI gain, but has upside scope. AUD firmer in better risk environment overnight, gains can extend