EUR/NOK-Commentary
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July 9, 2026 2:21 PM UTC
ECB Minutes unsurprisingly hawkish given the decision and the presser, but do underscore the rigid view on the mmkt curve
Fed Williams meanwhile nods to upside risks, but mainly highlights 'collective reaction function' and open questions
July 9, 2026 8:27 AM UTC
Familiar de-escalation comments follow yesterday's outburst and fresh exchanges. Mkt left waiting to hear from Iran
Fed Minutes highlight two scenarios and rate paths ahead. Iran and tech demand remain highly relevant
EUR/GBP meanwhile inching out the lows
June 18, 2026 8:20 AM UTC
Norges sticks to script on upside inflation risks and likely need for a further hike
Yet it also acknowledges Iran deal and that energy drop could weaken pressures
Overall EUR/NOK still correcting 2026 downtrend on Iran/ ToT trade unwind/profit-taking
June 10, 2026 8:45 AM UTC
Firm data from both Norway (CPI) and Sweden (monthly output, GDP) , though both need to be seen in context
Norges Bank policy is already seen tight and well ahead of the curve
Cross currents from subdued oil amid nuclear progress hopes and risk market volatility
May 18, 2026 1:01 PM UTC
Some respite on suggestions of US temporary waiver on Iran oil sanctions, before any final agreement
Mkt lifted by some US compromise and apparent responsiveness to fresh energy pressure
Day to day development swing too wildly to get carried away
May 18, 2026 7:25 AM UTC
IMM positions data showed mkt was stretched long AUD into pullback, albeit partly offset on cross
GBP shorts trimmed after positioning into anticipated political event
Overall, mkt was light dollars into any volatility pick up
May 15, 2026 9:47 AM UTC
A clash of themes coming to a head as over-accelerating AI, risk and commodity complex trades run into ongoing Iran standoff and the mini dollar squeeze
The likes of AUD, semiconductors, Kospi, metals, have been overrunning m/t trends, not to maximum excess, but to degrees that are vulnerable to a lo